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中国大冶有色金属(00661)发盈警 预计中期净亏损约600万元
智通财经网· 2025-08-20 14:45
Core Viewpoint - China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals (00661) anticipates a revenue decline of approximately 10.72% year-on-year for the six months ending June 30, 2025, with expected revenue around RMB 29.306 billion [1] Financial Performance - Expected gross profit for the period is approximately RMB 514 million, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of about 37.47% [1] - The company projects a net loss of approximately RMB 6 million for the period, contrasting with a profit of about RMB 148 million in 2024 [1] Reasons for Performance - The board attributes the anticipated net loss primarily to the reduction in gross profit, which is driven by a combination of accelerated release of domestic and international smelting capacity and tight supply of copper concentrate [1] - Continuous low smelting processing fees and reduced product output have contributed to the decline in revenue and narrowed profit margins [1]
广发早知道:汇总版-20250820
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 13:53
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No investment ratings for the industries are provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The A - share market is in high - level oscillation with sector rotation. Futures of various commodities show different trends based on their respective fundamentals, including supply, demand, and macro - economic factors [2][4]. - The bond market is affected by factors such as reverse repurchase operations and stock market trends. It is expected to have limited adjustment and requires certain factors to stabilize [6]. - Precious metals are under pressure due to the strengthening of the US dollar and are waiting for the Fed Chairman's statement at the central bank meeting [7]. - The shipping index shows different trends in different routes, and the container shipping futures are expected to be weakly volatile [11]. - The prices of non - ferrous metals are affected by factors such as macro - economic environment, supply - demand relationship, and inventory. Most of them are expected to be in a range - bound state [13]. - The prices of black metals are influenced by cost, supply, demand, and inventory. Short - term trends vary, and some suggest short - term short - selling operations [41]. - Agricultural products have different outlooks. Meal products have long - term bullish expectations, while the trends of pigs, corn, etc. are affected by supply, demand, and seasonal factors [56]. 3. Summary by Catalog Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: The A - share market had a high - level oscillation on Tuesday. The main stock indexes rose in the morning and fell back in the late trading. The four major stock index futures contracts also declined. The market is affected by domestic and overseas news and capital flows. It is expected to enter a high - level oscillation and wait for the decision of the policy direction. It is recommended to buy put options to protect long positions or partially take profits [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Treasury bond futures closed up across the board. The yields of most major interest - rate bonds in the inter - bank market declined. The market is affected by reverse repurchase operations and stock market trends. It is expected to be limited in adjustment. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [5][6]. Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices declined due to the strengthening of the US dollar. The market is waiting for the Fed Chairman's statement at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting. Gold is recommended to build a bull spread strategy through call options at low prices after the price correction, and silver is recommended to maintain a low - buying idea [7][9][10]. Container Shipping Futures on European Routes - The spot prices of container shipping are in a downward phase, and the futures are expected to be weakly volatile. It is recommended to hold short positions in the 10 - contract [11][12]. Commodity Futures Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The copper market has weak driving forces and shows narrow - range oscillation. The price is affected by the "stagflation - like" environment and inflation expectations. It is expected to be range - bound in the short term, with the main contract referring to 78000 - 79500 [13][17]. - **Alumina**: The alumina market is under pressure due to the continuous increase of warehouse receipts. The supply is expected to increase in the medium term, and it is recommended to short at high prices [17][18][19]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum price is expected to be range - bound in the short term. The supply is stable with a slight increase, while the demand is in the off - season, and the terminal consumption recovery is weak. The main contract refers to 20000 - 21000 [19][20][21]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The aluminum alloy market is in a state of weak supply and demand. The price is expected to be range - bound, and the aluminum alloy - aluminum price difference is expected to converge. It is recommended to refer to the 19600 - 20400 range and consider arbitrage operations [22][24]. - **Zinc**: The zinc price is oscillating weakly. The supply is expected to be loose, and the demand is in the off - season. It is expected to be range - bound, with the main contract referring to 22000 - 23000 [24][27]. - **Tin**: The tin price is oscillating with limited short - term driving forces. It is recommended to wait and see, and the follow - up depends on the recovery of tin mines in Myanmar [28][30]. - **Nickel**: The nickel price is in a narrow - range oscillation, and the fundamentals change little. It is expected to be range - bound, with the main contract referring to 118000 - 126000 [30][32][33]. - **Stainless Steel**: The stainless - steel price is oscillating weakly. The cost provides support, but the demand is still a drag. It is expected to be range - bound, with the main contract referring to 12800 - 13500 [33][36]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The lithium carbonate price is expected to be in a strong - range wide - amplitude oscillation. The fundamentals are marginally improved, and it is recommended to wait and see cautiously and try to go long lightly at low prices [37][40]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The steel price has broken through the support level. It is recommended to try short - selling in the 3380 - 3400 range of the October contract [41][44]. - **Iron Ore**: The iron - ore price follows the steel price. It is recommended to short at high prices due to factors such as supply, demand, and inventory [45][48]. - **Coking Coal**: The coking - coal futures have peaked and declined. It is recommended to short at high prices and conduct reverse arbitrage for the 9 - 1 spread [49][52]. - **Coke**: The coke futures are oscillating downwards. It is recommended to short the 2601 contract at high prices and conduct positive arbitrage for the 9 - 1 spread [53][55]. Agricultural Products - **Meal Products**: The meal products have strong cost support, and the long - term bullish expectation remains unchanged. It is recommended to go long at low prices [56][58]. - **Pigs**: The pig spot price is oscillating at a low level. It is recommended to wait and see due to factors such as supply, demand, and market sentiment [59][60]. - **Corn**: The corn price is oscillating weakly due to supply pressure. It is recommended to pay attention to the growth of new - season corn [61][62].
流动性担忧支撑较强 沪锡期货盘面重心略微上移
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-20 07:07
库存方面,据五矿期货介绍,上周锡锭社会库存小幅减少,截止2025年8月15日全国主要市场锡锭社会 库存10392吨,较上周五增加114吨。 后市来看,铜冠金源期货表示,基本面矛盾点依旧在于原料锡矿复产缓慢及海外流动性担忧反复上, LME低位去库态势未扭转,且近期LME月间结构有所走强,仓单集中度较高,流动性担忧支撑内外锡 价重心略上移。预计短期沪锡跟随伦锡震荡偏强,继续关注轮锡结构及仓单集中度的变化。 消费方面,西南期货分析称,光伏行业反内卷政策出台,不过现实层面交投仍旧清淡,传统消费领域进 入季节性淡季,总体难言乐观 8月20日,国内期市有色金属板块跌幅居前。其中,沪锡期货呈现震荡上行走势,截至发稿主力合约小 幅上涨0.24%,报267140.00元/吨。 供应端,东海期货指出,云南江西两地合计开工率小幅回落0.41%,达到59.23%,已经较之前低点显著 回升,矿端现实偏紧,但精炼锡减产幅度低于预期,随着采矿许可证下发,矿端仍趋于宽松,后期关注 复产进度。 ...
A股午评:创业板指跌1.71%,消费股展开反弹
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-20 04:07
AI眼镜概念股表现活跃,科森科技4连板。 下跌方面,高位股集体大跌,华胜天成等多股跌停。 沪深两市半日成交额1.51万亿元,较上个交易日缩量1350亿。 个股方面,北方稀土成交额超109亿元居首,东方财富、四川长虹、利欧股份成交额靠前。 市场早盘震荡调整,创业板指领跌。南财金融终端显示,截至早盘收盘,沪指跌0.06%,深成指跌 0.66%,创业板指跌1.71%。 盘面上热点较为杂乱,个股跌多涨少,全市场超3400只个股下跌。 从板块来看,白酒等消费股展开反弹,酒鬼酒2连板; 有色金属概念股震荡走强,罗平锌电涨停; | PMAN | 上证A股 | 深证A股 | 创业板 科创板 | 风险警示 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | | 名称 | | 涨幅 | 最新价 | 图数 | 涨速 | 盘比 | 禁手率 | 振幅 | 成交額▼ | | 1 600111 | | 北方輸士 | | +0.79% | 44.80 | +0.35 | -0.11% | 0.55 | ...
国家统计局:冷料供应愈发紧张,7月中国铜产量环比微降
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 00:31
国家统计局发布报告显示,中国2025年7月精炼铜(电解铜)产量为127万吨,同比增加14%。新投产的冶炼厂的产能利用率在快速上升,前期产量下降的冶 炼厂恢复生产,但受冷料供应愈发紧张影响,部分冶炼厂开始出现小幅减产,7月铜产量小幅下滑。进入8月,SMM统计,仅有1家冶炼厂有检修计划,因检 修导致产量下降的量并不大;但因受铜精矿和冷料供应紧张影响,8月因此而减产的冶炼厂较7月增加。不过,受检修结束影响和华东新投产的冶炼厂仍在持 续爬产刺激。 (文华综合) ...
统计局:7月电解铜产量同比增加14% 十种有色金属产量同比增2.2%
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 10:54
数据来源:国家统计局 国家统计局发布的数据显示,中国2025年7月精炼铜(电解铜)产量为127万吨,同比增加14%;1-7月 累计产量为862.3万吨,同比增加9.9%。 金属产量数据如下: ...
五矿期货文字早评-20250818
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-08-18 05:24
Report Industry Investment Ratings There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment ratings in the given content. Core Viewpoints - The market sentiment is gradually turning rational, and the disk trends are starting to weaken. If the subsequent demand cannot be effectively repaired, commodity prices may be difficult to maintain the current level, and the disk prices may gradually return to the supply - demand logic [25]. - Policy - related emotional disturbances will continue to interfere with the disk, but ultimately, prices will move closer to the fundamentals after the emotions fade, which will take some time [31]. Summary by Categories Macro - Financial Index Futures - The central bank will focus on the supply - side in its financial policies, aiming to create effective demand with high - quality supply and promote a reasonable recovery of prices. Southbound funds had a record - high net purchase of HK$358.76 billion [2]. - The current policy is favorable to the capital market. After recent continuous increases, the market may experience intensified short - term fluctuations, but the general strategy is to go long on dips [3]. Treasury Bonds - In July, industrial added - value and social consumption showed growth, while real estate investment and new housing sales declined. The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy [4]. - The economy showed resilience in the first half of the year, and the central bank is maintaining a loose attitude towards funds. Interest rates are expected to decline in the long - term, but the bond market may return to a volatile pattern in the short - term [6]. Precious Metals - US inflation data rebounded, and there are differences among Fed officials regarding inflation. The market is highly expecting a Fed rate cut. The speech of Fed Chairman Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium will significantly affect precious metal prices [7][8]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - Although US inflation data rebounded, the market has strong rate - cut expectations. The supply of copper raw materials remains tight, and the overall copper price may consolidate and wait for further macro - level drivers [10]. Aluminum - The domestic aluminum ingot inventory is at a relatively low level, and the export data is strong, which supports the aluminum price. However, weak downstream consumption and fluctuating trade situations may cause the aluminum price to fluctuate and decline in the short - term [11]. Zinc - The zinc market is in an oversupply situation, with domestic social inventories increasing rapidly and overseas registered warehouse receipts at a low level. Zinc prices still face significant downward risks [13]. Lead - The lead market has a situation of weak supply and demand, with slow inventory accumulation. Lead prices are expected to be weak [14]. Nickel - The short - term macro - environment is positive, driving nickel prices to rebound slightly, but weak downstream demand may cause prices to correct [15]. Tin - The supply of tin is currently tight, and demand is weak during the off - season. As Myanmar's production resumes, tin prices are expected to fluctuate [17]. Carbonate Lithium - The market expects a significant supply shortage of domestic carbonate lithium in the second half of the year, but the actual reduction in supply depends on the mining end. The current price increase may attract more supply, and investors are advised to be cautious [18]. Alumina - There are continuous disturbances in the supply of domestic and foreign ores, but the over - capacity pattern of alumina remains unchanged. It is recommended to short at high prices [19]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel market is in a state of weak demand and may continue to consolidate in the short - term [21]. Casting Aluminum Alloy - The downstream of casting aluminum alloy is in the off - season, with weak supply and demand. Although the cost side provides some support, the upward resistance of prices is increasing [22]. Black Building Materials Steel - The steel market has weak demand and insufficient demand support. If demand cannot be effectively repaired, steel prices may decline. It is necessary to pay attention to the recovery of terminal demand and the support of the cost side [25]. Iron Ore - Currently, the supply pressure of iron ore is not significant, but the profitability of steel mills is declining, and terminal demand is weakening. Iron ore prices may adjust slightly in the short - term [27]. Glass and Soda Ash - Glass production is increasing, inventory pressure is rising, and demand is weak. In the short - term, glass prices are expected to fluctuate, and in the long - term, they will follow macro - level emotions. Soda ash production is increasing, and inventory pressure is rising, but the price center may gradually rise in the long - term [28][29]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - The over - capacity pattern of manganese silicon remains unchanged, and the supply pressure is increasing. The demand for ferrosilicon and manganese silicon may weaken in the future. It is recommended that speculative funds wait and see, while hedging funds can seize opportunities [30][32]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - The over - capacity and high - inventory problems of industrial silicon remain unresolved. Although demand provides some support in August, prices are expected to fluctuate weakly. The polysilicon market has a situation of weak supply and demand, and prices are expected to fluctuate widely [35][36]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - The rubber market has different views from bulls and bears. The short - term increase in rubber prices is large, and it is recommended to wait and see neutrally and consider band - trading strategies [38][41]. Crude Oil - Although geopolitical premiums have disappeared and the macro - environment is bearish, the current oil price is undervalued, and there is an opportunity for left - hand side layout [42]. Methanol - The supply pressure of methanol is increasing, and demand is weak. It is recommended to wait and see [43]. Urea - The supply of urea is relatively loose, and demand is average. The price is in a narrow - range fluctuation, and it is recommended to focus on long - position opportunities at low prices [44]. Styrene - The BZN spread of styrene is expected to repair, and port inventories are decreasing. Styrene prices may rise with the cost side [45]. PVC - The PVC market has strong supply, weak demand, and high valuations. It is recommended to wait and see [47]. Ethylene Glycol - The supply of ethylene glycol is decreasing, and demand is gradually recovering, but the inventory is increasing. The fundamentals are weakening, and the short - term valuation may decline [49]. PTA - The supply of PTA is expected to increase, and demand needs improvement. It is recommended to consider long - position opportunities with PX at low prices during the peak season [50]. p - Xylene - The load of PX is high, and downstream PTA has many short - term maintenance operations. PX is expected to continue to reduce inventory, and the valuation has support but limited upward space [51]. Polyethylene (PE) - The price of PE may be determined by the game between the cost side and the supply side in the short - term. It is recommended to hold short positions [53]. Polypropylene (PP) - The supply and demand of PP are weak, and the cost side may dominate the market. The price is expected to fluctuate strongly with the oil price [54]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - The supply and demand of live pigs are expected to increase in the third quarter. The market may fluctuate within a range. It is recommended to buy at low prices in the short - term, pay attention to upper - level pressure in the medium - term, and use reverse - spread strategies for far - month contracts [56]. Eggs - The supply of eggs is sufficient, but it is currently the peak season, and egg prices are expected to rise slightly after stabilizing. In the medium - term, it is recommended to sell on rebounds [57]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - The USDA has reduced the soybean planting area, which is bullish for CBOT soybeans in the short - term. The import cost of soybeans is stable and slightly rising. It is recommended to go long on dips in the cost range of soybean meal [58][59]. Edible Oils - The fundamentals of edible oils are supported, but the upward space is limited. The market is expected to fluctuate strongly [62]. Sugar - The international sugar production is expected to increase, and the domestic import supply is increasing. Zhengzhou sugar prices are likely to continue to decline [64]. Cotton - The cotton price is affected by positive news but has weak downstream consumption. In the short - term, cotton prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level [65].
国泰君安期货商品研究晨报:贵金属及基本金属-20250818
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-18 05:00
Report Overview - Report Date: August 18, 2025 - Report Publisher: Guotai Junan Futures - Report Type: Commodity Research Morning Report - Precious Metals and Base Metals 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment ratings for the industry were provided in the report. 2. Report Core Views - **Precious Metals**: PPI exceeding expectations dampened interest - rate cut expectations, with gold and silver showing downward trends. Gold's trend strength was - 1, and silver's was also - 1 [2][7]. - **Base Metals**: - **Copper**: Lacked driving forces, with price fluctuations narrowing, and a trend strength of 0 [2][9]. - **Zinc**: Inventory accumulation became apparent, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][12]. - **Lead**: A decrease in LME inventory supported prices, and the trend strength was 0 [2][15]. - **Tin**: Traded in a range, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][18]. - **Aluminum**: Continued to converge. Alumina saw a small sideways increase, while cast aluminum alloy faced increasing pressure in the off - season. The trend strengths of aluminum, alumina, and aluminum alloy were all 0 [2][23]. - **Nickel**: Traded in a narrow range based on fundamentals, and investors were warned of news - related risks. Stainless steel prices oscillated due to the game between macro - expectations and reality. The trend strengths of nickel and stainless steel were both 0 [2][26]. 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals Gold - **Price Movement**: Domestic and international gold prices declined. For example, the closing price of Comex Gold 2510 was $3381.70, down 0.02% [5]. - **Market News**: PPI exceeding expectations dampened interest - rate cut expectations. Overseas demand for US Treasuries remained resilient, and foreign investors' holdings in June reached a new high [7]. Silver - **Price Movement**: Prices declined slightly. For instance, the closing price of Shanghai Silver 2510 was 9204, down 0.88% [5]. - **Market News**: Similar to gold, influenced by macro - factors, with a trend strength of - 1 [7]. Base Metals Copper - **Price Movement**: The closing price of the Shanghai Copper main contract was 79,060 yuan, up 0.14%. The London Copper 3M electronic disk closed at $9,760, down 0.17% [9]. - **Market News**: China's July economic data showed declines in various indicators. The US July retail sales increased by 0.5% month - on - month. Chile's copper exports to China recovered in July after a decline in June [9]. Zinc - **Price Movement**: The closing price of the Shanghai Zinc main contract was 22,505 yuan, up 0.11%. The London Zinc 3M electronic disk closed at $2,796.5, down 1.62% [12]. - **Market News**: Inventory accumulation became more obvious, and the LME cash - 3M spread decreased [12]. Lead - **Price Movement**: The closing price of the Shanghai Lead main contract was 16,850 yuan, up 0.48%. The London Lead 3M electronic disk closed at $1,981, down 0.45% [15]. - **Market News**: A decrease in LME lead inventory supported prices [15]. Tin - **Price Movement**: The closing price of the Shanghai Tin main contract was 266,820 yuan, down 0.22%. The London Tin 3M electronic disk closed at $33,610, up 0.52% [19]. - **Market News**: Traded in a range, with changes in inventory and price spreads [19]. Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Price Movement**: The closing price of the Shanghai Aluminum main contract was 20,770 yuan. Alumina prices showed a small sideways increase, and the cast aluminum alloy main contract closed at 20,165 yuan [23]. - **Market News**: Aluminum continued to converge, alumina was stable with a small increase, and cast aluminum alloy faced off - season pressure [23]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Price Movement**: The closing price of the Shanghai Nickel main contract was 120,600 yuan, and the stainless steel main contract closed at 13,010 yuan [26]. - **Market News**: Nickel traded in a narrow range based on fundamentals, and stainless steel prices oscillated due to the game between macro - expectations and reality. There were also various industry news such as production suspensions in Indonesian nickel - iron smelting parks [26].
研究所晨会观点精萃:国内经济数据不及预期,政策刺激预期增强-20250818
Dong Hai Qi Huo· 2025-08-18 01:17
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Domestic economic data fell short of expectations, leading to an increased expectation of policy stimulus. The overall risk appetite in the domestic market has increased, with short - term bullish sentiment for stocks and cautious optimism for commodities [2]. - The long - term outlook for precious metals remains positive, but short - term support has weakened. Black metals are expected to be weak in the short term, while non - ferrous metals and new energy metals show mixed trends. Energy and chemical products are likely to remain in a weak or narrow - range oscillation pattern. Agricultural products present complex supply - demand relationships and price trends [4][6][14][17]. Summary by Directory Macro - finance - **Macro**: Overseas, the US President announced significant progress with Russia, reducing global risk - aversion sentiment. US retail sales in July met expectations, but the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation decreased. Domestically, July economic data slowed down and missed expectations. Policies such as the personal consumption loan fiscal subsidy plan and the extension of the China - US tariff truce may boost consumption and reduce short - term tariff uncertainties [2]. - **Stock Index**: Driven by sectors like batteries, securities, and banks, the domestic stock market rose. With economic data underperforming and policy support, the short - term upward momentum has increased. Short - term cautious long positions are recommended, but beware of high - level corrections [3]. - **Precious Metals**: Last week, precious metals oscillated weakly. Inflation data fluctuations and Fed policy uncertainties restricted the upside. Long - term prospects are positive due to monetary easing and central bank gold - buying demand [4]. Commodity Research Black Metals - **Steel**: The US expansion of steel and aluminum tariff scope is negative for steel billets and hot - rolled coils. Real - world demand is weakening, inventory is rising, and supply may decline further. A short - term weak - oscillation approach is recommended [6]. - **Iron Ore**: Last Friday, prices rebounded slightly. With approaching important events, iron - water production may decline. Supply is under pressure, and prices may weaken [6]. - **Silicon Manganese/Silicon Iron**: Prices are expected to oscillate weakly in the short term. Manganese ore prices are rising, and some silicon - iron enterprises are profitable and eager to resume production [7]. - **Soda Ash**: Supply is excessive, demand is weak, and inventory is high. The upside is limited [8]. - **Glass**: Supply is stable, demand is hard to increase significantly, and prices are expected to oscillate in the short term. Consider long positions in far - month contracts [8][9]. Non - ferrous and New Energy Metals - **Copper**: US PPI data exceeded expectations. Copper supply is expected to be stable, and domestic demand may weaken. The strong price trend may not last [10]. - **Aluminum**: The US expansion of aluminum tariffs affects global exports. Aluminum fundamentals are weakening, and mid - term upside is limited [10]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: Scrap aluminum supply is tight, and demand is in the off - season. Prices may oscillate strongly in the short term but have limited upside [11]. - **Tin**: Supply may increase, and demand is weak. Prices are expected to oscillate in the short term, with limited rebound space [11]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Production is at a new high, raw - material support is strengthening, and inventory is shifting downstream. Prices are expected to oscillate strongly [12]. - **Industrial Silicon**: Production is increasing, inventory is high, and prices are expected to oscillate strongly [12][13]. - **Polysilicon**: Production is expected to increase in August. Inventory is decreasing slightly, and attention should be paid to the August 19th photovoltaic enterprise symposium [13]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: The US - Russia talks had no substantial results. The oil market may face an oversupply situation in 2026. Short - term short positions are recommended, but beware of geopolitical risks [14]. - **Asphalt**: Crude - oil prices are weakening, and asphalt prices are under pressure. It is expected to remain weakly oscillating [14]. - **PX**: It remains in a tight supply situation in the short term and will oscillate until PTA device changes [14]. - **PTA**: Supply is restricted, demand is slightly increasing, and prices are supported but have limited upside [15]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: Supply and demand may both increase slightly, maintaining an oscillating pattern [15]. - **Short - fiber**: Prices are driven down by sector resonance. Observe terminal orders for de - stocking [15]. - **Methanol**: The inland market is strong, while the port market is weak. Prices are expected to oscillate weakly [16]. - **PP**: Supply pressure is increasing, and demand is slightly rising. The 09 contract may be weakly oscillating, and the 01 contract should be watched for peak - season restocking [16]. - **LLDPE**: Supply pressure persists, and demand shows signs of recovery. The 09 contract may be weakly oscillating, and the 01 contract should be monitored for demand and restocking [16]. Agricultural Products - **US Soybeans**: The net short position of funds in the CBOT soybean market is increasing. A bumper harvest may be realized, but the export situation is uncertain. The price of 1000 cents per bushel is temporarily supported [17]. - **Soybean and Rapeseed Meal**: The cost of soybean meal is rising in the short term, but the spot market is not following. The cost - driven logic may weaken [17]. - **Oils and Fats**: Vegetable oil inventory is high and difficult to deplete, while soybean oil and palm oil show different trends. Consider the buy - soybean - sell - palm oil arbitrage strategy [18]. - **Corn**: Northeast corn prices are weak, with low trading activity and sufficient inventory in downstream enterprises. The futures market is sluggish [18]. - **Pigs**: Weekend spot prices were weak, but the decline has narrowed. Observe the performance during the late - August consumption peak [18][19].
全省经济向新向好动能持续增强
Liao Ning Ri Bao· 2025-08-17 01:59
Group 1 - The province is actively promoting industrial upgrades, increasing technological investments, advancing digital transformation, and adhering to green development principles, resulting in significant improvements in new quality productivity [1] - In the first half of this year, the invoicing amount in the chemical industry accounted for 41.8% of the petrochemical sector, while the non-ferrous metal smelting industry accounted for 23.3% of the metallurgy sector, indicating the growth of new materials in metallurgy [1] - The proportion of invoicing amounts from strategic emerging industries has increased to 28.4%, and high-tech industries have seen an increase to 4.7% [1] Group 2 - The province has made substantial investments in pollution prevention and environmental monitoring equipment, with an average annual growth of 37.3% from 2022 to 2024 [2] - The invoicing amounts for environmental technology promotion services and energy-saving technology promotion services have increased by 60.2% and 20.3% respectively [2] - New energy vehicle sales have seen an average annual growth of 109.6%, with their share of total sales rising to 40.7% in the first half of this year [2] Group 3 - The province is integrating into the national unified market, with the invoicing amount from central enterprises in Liaoning growing at an average annual rate of 1.5% from 2022 to 2024 [3] - In the first half of this year, the invoicing amount from Liaoning's trade with the Yangtze River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and the Pearl River Delta accounted for 23.2%, 20.5%, and 6.9% of total inter-provincial trade respectively [3] - The total import and export volume with countries along the Belt and Road has grown at an average annual rate of 17.2%, with exports increasing by 27% [3]