Group 1 - The three major U.S. stock indices opened lower, with the Nasdaq down 0.35%, the Dow down 0.37%, and the S&P 500 down 0.41% [1] - Brain-computer interface concept stock, Brain Rejuvenation Technology, opened up 25%, following a previous day close increase of 283% and a year-to-date cumulative increase of over 460 times [1] - Silver stocks saw gains, with First Majestic rising over 2% and Pan American Silver increasing over 1% [1]

根据世界白银协会的预测，2025年全球白银仍呈短缺格局， 短缺幅度约达3660吨，基本面或为银价提供较强支撑。业内 人士认为，本轮"金银比"趋势收敛或由白银补涨完成，当前白 银基本面及货币环境有望对银价上涨形成共振驱动，白银价格 中枢有望逐步抬升。 作者：邹永勤 封图：图虫创意 白银一贯的"贵金属配角"形象，似乎正在发生变化。 根据万得数据，在2025年4月22日至6月16日期间，国内白银期货大涨8.37%，以8858元/千克报收，并在6月份多次刷新该品种上市以来的新高；同 期，黄金期货却下跌了4.71%，以792.30元/克报收。 外盘期货亦走出了"银强金弱"的格局。4月22日至6月16日，COMEX白银期货上涨了11.42%，报36.39美元/盎司；COMEX黄金期货下跌了0.75%，报 3385.40美元/盎司。 白银虽然在历史上曾经与黄金一样是重要的天然货币，但由于其金融属性不如黄金，因此价格走势往往跟随黄金而动。 此番金银"强弱 互换 "的背后， 究竟发生了什么？ 银饰消费并未火爆 位于深圳市罗湖区的水贝，由于集聚了上万家黄金珠宝企业，是全国贵金属行业的风向标。6月16日，经济观察报记者来到了水贝进 ...

Group 1 - The gold market showed a slight decline with Au99.95 closing at 783.26, down by 0.66% from the previous day [3][4] - Au100g opened at 785.01 and closed at 783.92, reflecting a decrease of 1.24% [3][4] - The trading volume for Au99.95 was 122 units, while Au100g had a volume of 14.2 units [3][4] Group 2 - Au(T+D) opened at 788.00 and closed at 782.94, marking a decline of 1.25% [4] - The weighted average price for Au(T+D) was 783.64 with a trading volume of 40,822 units [4] - The total transaction amount for Au(T+D) reached approximately 31.99 billion [4] Group 3 - The NYAuTN06 contract opened at 789.90 and closed at 787.65, showing a decrease of 1.45% [5] - The weighted average price for NYAuTN06 was 787.35 with a trading volume of 11.8 units [5] - The total transaction amount for NYAuTN06 was approximately 9.29 million [5]

| CTECHER | 日度黄路参考 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 发布日期: 2025/06 | 业分格号:F02517 | | | | | | | | | 趋势研判 | 逻辑观点精粹及策略参考 | 行业板块 | 品种 | 股指 | 地缘冲突加剧,结合期权工具对冲不确定性。 | 看零 | | | | 资产荒和弱经济利好债期,但短期央行提示利率风险,压制上涨 | 登间。 | 宏观金融 | | | | | | | | 局势略有缓和,金价短期或重返震荡;中长期上涨逻辑仍旧坚实 | 賃金 | 震荡 | | | | | | | | T 自银 | 短期料进入震荡走势。 | 農汤 | 近期市场风险偏好有所下滑,而下游需求进入淡季,铜价走高后 | | | | | | | 价格存在回调风险。 | 近期国内电解铝库存持续下滑,挤仓风险仍存,铝价维持偏强运 | 看多 | | | | | | | | 门。 | 氧化铝现货价格相对稳定,而期货价格偏弱运行,期货贴水明 | | | | | | | | | 氧化铝 | 显 ...

2025年06月17日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报 观点与策略 | 黄金：地缘冲突缓和 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 白银：高位回落 | 3 | | 铜：缺乏驱动，价格震荡 | 5 | | 铝：区间震荡 | 7 | | 氧化铝：偏弱运行 | 7 | | 锌：承压运行 | 9 | | 铅：中期偏多 | 10 | | 锡：紧现实弱预期 | 11 | | 镍：矿端担忧有所降温，冶炼供应弹性饱满 | 13 | | 不锈钢：负反馈传导减产增加，供需双弱低位震荡 | 13 | | 碳酸锂：成本下移趋势延续，锂价或仍偏弱 | 15 | | 工业硅：逢高空配思路为主 | 17 | | 多晶硅：关注市场情绪变化 | 17 | | 铁矿石：预期反复，区间震荡 | 19 | | 螺纹钢：宏观情绪扰动，宽幅震荡 | 20 | | 热轧卷板：宏观情绪扰动，宽幅震荡 | 20 | | 硅铁：板块情绪共振，宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 锰硅：板块情绪共振，宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 焦炭：安检趋于严格，宽幅震荡 | 24 | | 焦煤：安检趋于严格，宽幅震荡 | 24 | | 动力煤：需求仍待释放，宽幅震荡 | 26 | | 原 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The US dollar index is trading around 98.26, while spot gold opened at $3430.30 per ounce and is currently trading at approximately $3439.01 per ounce [1] - The previous trading day saw the US dollar index rise by 0.28% to 98.14, and spot gold increased by 1.38% to $3431.99 per ounce [1] - Other precious metals experienced declines, with spot silver down 0.12% to $36.29 per ounce, platinum down 5.25% to $1228.33 per ounce, and palladium down 3.18% to $1028.20 per ounce [1] Group 2: Inventory Data - As of June 13, COMEX gold inventory remains unchanged at 1175.39 tons, while COMEX silver inventory increased by 8.07 tons to 15503.85 tons [2] - SPDR gold ETF holdings increased by 2.58 tons to 940.49 tons, whereas SLV silver ETF holdings decreased by 53.72 tons to 14675.36 tons [2] Group 3: Geopolitical Events - Israel and Iran engaged in mutual attacks over the weekend, resulting in multiple casualties [4] - Israeli authorities reported at least 10 fatalities, including children, while Iran claimed that at least 138 people have died in Israeli attacks since last Friday, with a significant number being children [5] - Reports indicate that at least 14 Iranian nuclear scientists were killed in the Israeli strikes [6]

►贵金属：基本面稳固，黄金价格本周强势 证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 6 月 15 日 [Table_Title] 地缘冲突叠加美元指数下跌，黄金价格本周强势 [Table_Title2] 有色-基本金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要: 本周 COMEX 黄金上涨 3.65%至 3,452.60 美元/盎司， COMEX 白银上涨 0.66%至 36.37 美元/盎司。SHFE 黄金上涨 1.42%至 794.36 元/克，SHFE 白银下跌 0.67%至 8,791.00 元/千 克。 本周金银比上涨 2.97%至 94.93。本周 SPDR 黄金 ETF 持 仓增加 201,954.41 金衡盎 司，SLV 白银 ETF 持仓 减少 1,090,806.40 盎司。 周一，美国 4 月批发销售月率 0.1%，预期 0.30%，前值 由 0.60%修正为 0.8%。美国 5 月纽约联储 1 年通胀预期 3.2%，前值 3.63%。 周二，美国 5 月 NFIB 小型企业信心指数 98.8，预期 95.9，前值 95.8。 周三，美国 5 月季调后 C ...

Group 1 - Israel launched attacks on multiple targets in Iran, causing global stock indices to decline, with WTI crude oil futures surging nearly 14% and COMEX gold futures rising by 2% [1] - A-shares closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.75%, the Shenzhen Component down 1.10%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.13%. Sectors such as gold, oil, nuclear pollution prevention, and military industry saw significant gains [1] - The 62nd session of the "Digging Gold" competition concluded, with the champion achieving a return of 55.64%, the runner-up 48.48%, and the third place 46.61%. Participants capitalized on opportunities in blockchain, rare earth permanent magnets, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1][3] Group 2 - The competition is currently in a structural market phase, and participants can join a competition group to exchange valuable information and market insights [2] - The champion's successful investments included medical beauty stocks, agricultural chemicals, and rare earth permanent magnets, indicating strong market trend awareness [5] - Participants utilized "Fire Line Quick Review" to identify opportunities in innovative pharmaceuticals and silver sectors, with notable stocks performing well [6][8] Group 3 - The upcoming 63rd session of the competition will allow participants to simulate trading with a virtual capital of 500,000 yuan, with registration from June 14 to June 20 and the competition running from June 16 to June 20 [9] - Weekly cash rewards are available for positive returns, with the first place receiving 688 yuan and subsequent places receiving varying amounts [9][10] - Participants can gain access to "Fire Line Quick Review" for five days upon successful registration, with additional benefits for top performers [12]

升 贴 水 、 库 存 、 E T F 持 仓 变 化 | | | | | 贵金属早报 | | 研究中心宏观团队 2025/06/13 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 价 格 表 现 | | | | | | | | | 品种 | 伦敦金 | 伦敦银 | | 伦敦铂 | 伦敦钯 | WTI原油 | LME铜 | | 最新 | 3391.40 | 36.18 | | 1269.00 | 1072.00 | - | 9680.00 | | 变化 | 61.70 | -0.02 | | 51.00 | 10.00 | - | -97.50 | | 品种 | 美元指数 | 欧元兑美元 | | 英镑兑美元 | 美元兑日元 | 美国10年期TIPS | | | 最新 | - | - | | - | - | - | | | 变化 | - | - | | - | - | - | | | 交 易 数 据 | | | | | | | | | 最新 | - | 1226.15 | 937.91 | 14729.08 | 1347.54 | 2 | 2 | ...

今天沪指险守3400点，咱们其实能很明显的感觉到最近有大金融在护盘，每天早盘热点板块都能看到银行、券商、保险的身影。但市场观望情绪依然浓 厚，量能还是跟不上。 资金在热点板块间的轮动更为频繁，板块分化加剧，最近比较火的，什么创新药、cpo、ip经济、贵金属、稀土永磁、汽车零部件等统统轮了个遍。市场 缺乏核心主线，资金难以形成一个稳定的合力。 后面咱们还是继续等待消息催化和新的市场驱动力。 下面来说几个比较重要的消息： 今天下午，港股蚂蚁集团概念股大幅拉拉升，云锋金融盘中一度飙涨100%，收盘涨约60%，耀才证券涨超10%。消息面上，蚂蚁集团旗下国际业务部门计 划在新加坡和香港申请稳定币相关牌照。最近稳定币概念一直被资金来回炒作，这个消息或影响明天A股相关板块。 虽然创新药迎来结构性的机会，但并非每家创新药公司都值得买，如果粉丝依然对这个板块感兴趣，咱们约一期，来仔细拆解下创新药产业的细分领域， 想看的评论区扣1。 今天午后，A股黄金股忽然震荡拉升，恒邦股份、潮宏基双双涨停，港股老铺黄金午后一度拉升涨超7%，年初至今已涨逾290%。消息面上中东地缘紧张 局势的急剧升温，显著提升了黄金的避险需求。 而就在黄金继续 ...