中新社北京11月23日电 (记者 尹倩芸)从泰国曼谷到巴西圣保罗，街头驶过的电动汽车不乏中国品 牌身影；泡泡玛特海外门店前，年轻人为抢购一只LABUBU玩偶排起长队；割草、扫地……功能各异 的中国家用机器人在跨境电商平台上热销。 这些发生在世界不同角落的日常，正重塑着"中国制造"的全球印象。驱动这一变化的主要力量，正 是日益活跃的中国民营企业。 不同于过往简单的"产品出口"，当下民企"出海"已日渐深入。从潮玩到新中式茶饮，从智能家居到 新能源汽车，越来越多具有创新力的中国品牌，正逐渐成为海外消费者"衣食住行"的一部分。 这一变化很大程度上源于民企创新活力的持续增强。全国工商联发布的调研分析报告显示，2025年 中国民营企业500强中实际填报企业的研发费用总额1.13万亿元人民币，平均研发经费投入强度2.77%。 数字技术的普及则为企业"出海"铺设了更便捷的通道。以希音(SHEIN)、阿里国际站为代表的跨境 电商平台，将"千人千面"的个性化需求与中国供应链高效对接，也让"中国制造"更直接、快速地触达全 球消费者。 中国商务部数据显示，全国跨境电商主体已超12万家，海外仓数量突破2500个。在专家看来，中国 已构 ...

刚刚过去的一个季度里，瑞幸的门店总数达到29214 家，这个数字是 2020 年退市时的6倍。五年时间里，它从每卖一杯亏 掉5.6 元，到如今单杯稳定获利1.2 元[1]。粉单市场上，它的股价从最低不到 1 美元一路反弹，不断逼近退市前 129 亿美元 的总市值峰点。 这些标志性的数字，构成了瑞幸重生的叙事。 这是近十年来中国商业史上最具代表性的"困境反转"案例。它修正了资本市场对于"中概股退市必死"的刻板印象，演绎了 一段投资机构逆势支持企业的佳话，更用一场起死回生告诉人们： 中国消费市场是一个庞大的存在，只要持续做好自己的产品，就可以活得比所有人以为的更有韧性。 2021年，生椰拿铁的上市宣布了瑞幸的"卷土重来"——单月销量突破 2000 万杯，相当于每秒钟卖出 7 杯，券后价格常年 9.9 元就能实现盈利。瑞幸又回到了最朴素的商业常识里：好产品是前面的1，其他能力是后面的0。规模只是产品的结果， 份额只是品牌的具象。 事实上，IDG资本从一开始就非常看好瑞幸，但一直没有找到合适的入局机会。公司投资团队判断瑞幸本身的品牌、门店 网络、数字化系统等都是良性健康的，只是在前期试图用大量补贴，在短期急速培养消费 ...

Core Insights - The eighth China International Import Expo has successfully concluded, with many global consumer products quickly transitioning from "exhibition" to "merchandise" through various sales channels, enhancing consumers' quality of life [1] Group 1: Food and Beverage Innovations - Global quality food products showcased at the expo are now available in supermarkets and online platforms, allowing consumers to enjoy fresh and innovative food options [1] - Metro supermarket has launched a special section for expo products, featuring items like Spanish black pig ribs and Thai black tiger shrimp, which have quickly gained popularity among consumers [1] - Online sales are thriving, with products like Costa Rican volcano bananas and Ecuadorian red-skinned bananas being promoted through live streaming, attracting significant consumer interest [2] Group 2: Cultural and Emotional Products - Products inspired by traditional Chinese culture, such as LEGO's limited edition sets for the Year of the Horse, have captured the attention of consumers, blending tradition with modern creativity [3] - The classic IP series from Pop Mart, including SKULLPANDA, has shown strong market potential, with projected annual revenue of 1.31 billion yuan for 2024 [3][4] Group 3: Practical Solutions for Everyday Problems - Procter & Gamble has introduced a laundry solution combining laundry liquid and stain-removing powder, addressing common consumer frustrations with clothing maintenance [5] - The laundry liquid has achieved sales of 40,000 units on Tmall, while the stain-removing powder has sold 20,000 units, indicating strong consumer approval [5] Group 4: Health and Wellness Innovations - The AI massage robot developed by Rongtai Health offers a new way for consumers to relax at home, utilizing intelligent technology to provide personalized massage experiences [6] - The integration of technology in health care products is enhancing consumer convenience and driving the market towards high-quality development [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the潮玩 (trendy toy) industry is experiencing rapid growth in China, driven by factors such as rising disposable income, emotional consumption, and the emergence of quality domestic IPs. The market size is projected to grow from 229 billion to 763 billion yuan from 2020 to 2024, with a CAGR of 35.11% [3][40]. -潮玩 is characterized by its integration of trendy culture, art, design, and various elements, appealing primarily to individuals aged 15 and above, and it serves as a collectible with social and emotional connections [2][19]. - The潮玩 industry value chain is centered around IP, with upstream IP suppliers having strong bargaining power based on the scarcity and popularity of their IPs, while midstream manufacturers face intense competition and lower bargaining power [6][22]. Group 2 - The Chinese潮玩 market is currently fragmented, with the top five companies holding only 26.4% of the market share, indicating significant room for growth compared to Japan's 45% [3][8]. - The report draws parallels with the Japanese toy industry, which saw growth despite economic downturns due to a shift in consumer focus towards anime and gaming, suggesting that similar trends may occur in China as emotional consumption rises [7][26]. - The rise of quality domestic IPs, such as《原神》 and《黑神话:悟空》, is expected to enhance the潮玩 market, although there remains a significant gap in IP value and revenue compared to the US and Japan [3][10]. Group 3 - Multiple factors are driving the expansion of the潮玩 market in China, including increased disposable income, a shift towards emotional consumption, and the growth of the泛二次元 (broad two-dimensional) user base, which is projected to reach 503 million by 2024 [40][48]. - The emotional consumption trend is particularly strong among younger demographics, with 78% of emotional consumers being born in the 1990s and 2000s, highlighting a shift in consumer behavior towards seeking emotional fulfillment through purchases [44][47]. - The rapid increase in offline潮玩 retail stores, such as泡泡玛特 and TOPTOY, enhances consumer experience and supports market growth, with泡泡玛特's store count rising from 329 to 401 between 2022 and 2024 [52][54].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the social services industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a strong performance in the tourism sector, with Ctrip achieving a revenue of 18.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.5% [17] - The report indicates a structural shift in the toy industry, with a net closure of 9 stores in October 2025, leading to a total of 3,967 stores [29] - The restaurant industry is experiencing a contraction in tea supply while coffee continues to grow, with Haidilao focusing on increasing its takeout sales [36] Summary by Sections Ctrip Performance - Ctrip's Q3 2025 revenue reached 18.37 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.5% [17] - The adjusted EBITDA for Ctrip was 6.35 billion yuan, up 11.7% year-on-year [22] - The revenue breakdown shows ticketing, accommodation, vacation, and business travel management growing by 11.6%, 18.3%, 3.1%, and 15.2% respectively [21] Toy Industry - As of October 2025, the number of offline toy stores in China was 3,967, with a net decrease of 9 stores [29] - The average store efficiency for toy brands increased by 10% year-on-year, with top brands like Pop Mart showing significant growth [31] Restaurant Industry - The tea beverage sector is entering a contraction phase, while the coffee sector is accelerating [36] - As of October 2025, the average monthly store efficiency for the tea industry was 212,400 yuan, a 5.8% increase year-on-year [39] - The coffee industry saw a net increase of 5,600 stores, with an average monthly store efficiency of 289,000 yuan, up 1.2% year-on-year [39]

刚刚 过去的一个季度里，瑞幸的门店总数达到 2 921 4 家，这个数字是 2020 年退市时的 6 倍。五年时 间里，它从每卖一杯亏掉 5.6 元，到如今单杯稳定获利 1.2 元 [1 ] 。粉单市场上，它的股价从最低不到 1 美元一路反弹，不断逼近退市前 129 亿美 元的总市值峰点。 这些标志性的数字，构成了瑞幸重生的叙事。 如今中国最好的一批消费品牌，到底是怎么诞生的？ 重戴王冠 退市对于任何一家公司都是一次致命打击。但面对瑞幸，市场却表现得极为冷静和客观，即便流落粉单 市场，瑞幸也并没有离开机构们的视野中央。 先有雪湖资本把瑞幸的目标价大幅上调，估值直逼星巴克，其创始人马自铭高调宣布在粉单买了点瑞幸 股份以表支持 [2] ；后有大钲资本携手 IDG 资本、 Ares SSG ，斥资超 4 亿美元完成了对瑞幸咖啡大部 分股权的收购，保下了瑞幸的品牌。 这是近十年来中国商业史上最具代表性的 " 困境反转 " 案例。它修正了资本市场对于 " 中概股退市必死 " 的刻板印象，演绎了一段投资机构逆势支持企业的佳话，更用一场起死回生告诉人们： 中国消费市场是一个庞大的存在，只要持续做好自己的产品，就可以活得比所 ...

研究报告 Research Report 23 Nov 2025 中国可选消费 & 必需消费 China (Overseas) Discretionary & Staples 餐饮、潮玩及家电行业周报 F&B, Designer Toys and Home Appliance Sector Weekly Report [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | [Table_Info] | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 评级 | 股票名称 | | 评级 | | 泡泡玛特 | Outperform 现代牧业 | | | Outperform | | 安踏体育 | Outperform 澳优 | | | Outperform | | 华住酒店集团有限 | Outperform 九毛九 | | | Outperform | | 公司 | | | | | | 百威亚太 | Neutral | | | | | 华润啤酒 | Outperform | | | | | 海底捞 | Outperform | | | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - Miniso reported a total revenue of 5.8 billion yuan for Q3 2025, marking a 28% year-on-year increase, with significant growth in both its main brand and TOP TOY segment [1] Revenue Performance - Total revenue for Miniso Group reached 5.8 billion yuan, up 28% year-on-year [1] - Revenue from the Miniso brand was 5.22 billion yuan, reflecting a 23% year-on-year growth [1] - TOP TOY brand revenue was 570 million yuan, showing a remarkable 111% year-on-year increase [1] Strategic Developments - Miniso is advancing the plan for a separate listing of TOP TOY on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - TOP TOY is currently positioned as a trendy toy collection store, primarily focusing on external IP retail, with a relatively small proportion of self-owned IP [1] Operational Insights - During the earnings call, the CEO highlighted that TOP TOY achieved single-digit same-store sales growth in Q3, with a significant improvement in gross margin [1] - The rapid expansion of the self-owned IP 'Nommi' contributed to the performance, and TOP TOY is enhancing store image to create more immersive experience scenarios [1] - The company aims to increase the sales contribution from its self-owned brands and IP [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant growth of the潮玩 brand TOP TOY and the financial performance of Miniso, indicating a strong market presence and expansion strategy. Group 1: Financial Performance of Miniso - In Q3 2025, Miniso reported revenue of 5.797 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.2%, surpassing the company's previous guidance of 25% to 28% [2] - Despite revenue growth, the net profit attributable to the parent company fell to 441 million yuan, down over 30% from 642 million yuan in the same period last year [2][4] - The increase in sales and distribution expenses, which rose by 43.5% to 1.43 billion yuan, is attributed to investments in direct stores, particularly in strategic overseas markets [2][5] Group 2: Store Expansion - As of September 30, 2025, Miniso had a total of 8,138 stores, achieving a milestone of over 8,000 stores, with a net increase of 718 stores year-on-year [4] - The number of Miniso stores in mainland China reached 4,407, with a net increase of 157 stores, while overseas stores totaled 3,424, with a net increase of 488 stores [4] Group 3: Performance of TOP TOY - TOP TOY's revenue grew significantly by 111.4% to 575 million yuan in Q3 2025, with a total revenue of 1.317 billion yuan for the first three quarters of the year, reflecting an increase of 87.9% [7][9] - The number of TOP TOY stores reached 307, with a net increase of 73 stores year-on-year [7] - TOP TOY has submitted a prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, planning to raise approximately 300 million USD, while remaining a subsidiary of Miniso [8]

Group 1 - TOP TOY brand under Miniso reported a revenue increase of 111.4% to 575 million yuan in Q3 2025 [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, TOP TOY's revenue rose by 87.9% to 1.317 billion yuan [1] - As of September 30, 2025, TOP TOY had 307 stores, with a net increase of 73 stores year-on-year [4] Group 2 - TOP TOY is recognized as the largest and fastest-growing trendy toy collection brand in China [4] - In 2024, the company achieved a GMV of 2.4 billion yuan in mainland China, with nearly 50% of revenue coming from self-developed products, the highest among Chinese trendy toy brands according to Frost & Sullivan [4] - The compound annual growth rate of GMV from 2022 to 2024 exceeded 50%, making TOP TOY the fastest-growing trendy toy collection brand in China and the quickest to surpass a GMV of 1 billion yuan [4] Group 3 - On September 26, 2025, TOP TOY submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with J.P. Morgan, UBS, and CITIC Securities serving as joint sponsors [4]