Core Viewpoint - The LPR rates remain unchanged in September, consistent with market expectations, indicating a stable monetary policy environment in China [4][5][6]. Group 1: LPR Rates and Market Expectations - The 1-year LPR is set at 3.0% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5%, both unchanged for five consecutive months [6][4]. - The stability of the LPR is attributed to the consistent 7-day reverse repurchase rate, which has remained at 1.40% since May [6][4]. - Market interest rates have risen, reducing banks' motivation to lower LPR quotes, leading to the unchanged rates in September [6][4]. Group 2: Future Monetary Policy Outlook - Analysts predict potential rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in the fourth quarter to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize the real estate market [10][8]. - The recent 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to ease external constraints on China's monetary policy, allowing for more flexibility in domestic rate adjustments [9][8]. - The necessity for rate cuts is emphasized due to weak credit demand and declining real estate sales, indicating a need to lower financing costs [9][8]. Group 3: Economic Context and Policy Implications - Recent macroeconomic data show declines in consumption, investment, and industrial production due to various factors, including extreme weather and external volatility [7][10]. - The Chinese central bank's monetary policy is described as supportive and moderately loose, aimed at fostering economic recovery and financial market stability [12][14]. - The government has increased fiscal measures, including raising the fiscal deficit target to 4.0% and issuing additional government bonds, to support economic growth [7][10].

Core Insights - China's financial sector has achieved significant milestones under the strong leadership of the Central Committee, with total banking assets reaching nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally [2] - The financial system has been restructured to enhance governance and regulatory effectiveness, aligning with the strategic goal of building a financial powerhouse [2] - The banking and insurance sectors have provided 170 trillion yuan in new funds to the real economy over the past five years, with notable growth in loans for scientific research, manufacturing, and infrastructure [3] Group 1: Financial Achievements - As of mid-2023, China's banking sector holds total assets of approximately 470 trillion yuan, leading the world [2] - The stock and bond markets rank second globally in terms of size, while foreign exchange reserves have maintained the top position for 20 consecutive years [2] - The banking and insurance industries have contributed significantly to the real economy, with annual growth rates of 27.2% for scientific research loans, 21.7% for manufacturing loans, and 10.1% for infrastructure loans [3] Group 2: Risk Management - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has enhanced its regulatory framework, resulting in a 58% increase in administrative penalties for financial misconduct during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [4] - The A-share market has shown improved resilience and risk management capabilities, with the annualized volatility of the Shanghai Composite Index decreasing by 2.8 percentage points compared to the previous five-year period [4] - China's foreign exchange reserves have remained stable above 3 trillion USD, providing a crucial stabilizing effect on the economy amid external pressures [4]

Core Viewpoint - The press conference highlighted the achievements of China's financial sector during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the stability and growth of the financial system, as well as the ongoing reforms and regulatory improvements. Financial Sector Achievements - As of June 2023, China's banking sector total assets reached nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally, with stock and bond market sizes ranking second worldwide [3] - The average annual growth rate for loans to technology-based SMEs, inclusive small micro loans, and green loans exceeded 20% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3] - The People's Bank of China is committed to enhancing the central bank system and maintaining a supportive monetary policy stance [3] Regulatory Improvements - The banking and insurance sectors' total assets surpassed 500 trillion yuan, with an average growth rate exceeding 9% over the past five years [6] - The financial regulatory authority has imposed penalties on 20,000 institutions and 36,000 individuals since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [6][9] - The number of high-risk institutions and the scale of high-risk assets have significantly decreased, indicating that risks are under control [6] Capital Market Developments - The capital market's basic systems and regulatory logic have been comprehensively restructured, with the market capitalization of technology companies in A-shares increasing to over 25% [10] - The total market capitalization of A-shares surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time in August 2023 [10] - The direct financing ratio has steadily increased, reaching 31.6%, up by 2.8 percentage points from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [10] Cross-Border Financial Activities - The use of the renminbi in cross-border trade has risen to nearly 30%, reflecting its growing significance as a trade financing and payment currency [4][17] - China's cross-border receipts and payments are projected to reach 14 trillion dollars in 2024, a 64% increase compared to 2020 [17] - The foreign exchange reserves have remained stable at over 3 trillion dollars throughout the "14th Five-Year Plan" [17]

来源：中国经营报 针对外界期待的"是否会有新政策出台"，潘功胜在发布会一开始就明确表示，本次发布会不涉及短期政 策调整。关于"十五五"及下一步的金融改革安排，将在中央统一部署后对外沟通。 金融体制改革全面深化 记者在会上了解到，"十四五"期间，人民银行有序化解重点领域金融风险，守住了不发生系统性金融风 险的底线。 在化解融资平台债务风险方面，截至今年6月末，与2023年年初相比，融资平台数量下降超过60%，金 融债务规模下降超过50%，地方政府融资平台风险水平总体大幅收敛。 潘功胜指出，五年来，在党中央坚强领导下，我国金融体制改革全面深化，顶层设计更加完善，金融治 理体系和治理能力现代化迈上新台阶；金融机构、市场和产品体系日趋完善，金融服务质量、效率和普 惠性显著提升；重点领域金融风险有序化解，守住了系统性风险底线；金融对外开放步伐加快，国际竞 争力和影响力显著增强。 截至今年6月末，我国银行业总资产近470万亿元，位居世界第一；股票、债券市场规模位居世界第二； 外汇储备规模连续20年保持世界第一。我国在绿色金融、普惠金融、数字金融等方面走在世界前列，人 民币跨境支付清算网络基本建成，移动支付处于国际领先水平 ...

Core Viewpoint - The LPR rates for September remain unchanged, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5%, consistent since May, indicating a stable monetary policy environment in China [1][4]. Summary by Sections LPR Rates - The 1-year LPR is set at 3.0% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5%, both unchanged for five consecutive months [4]. - The stability of the LPR is attributed to the consistent 7-day reverse repurchase rate, which has remained at 1.40% since May [4]. Market Expectations - Analysts expected the LPR to remain unchanged, aligning with market predictions [3][4]. - Factors such as rising market interest rates and banks' low net interest margins have reduced the motivation for banks to lower LPR quotes [4]. Economic Context - Recent macroeconomic data has shown declines in consumption, investment, and industrial production due to various factors, including extreme weather and external fluctuations [5]. - The fiscal policy has been strengthened, with a target deficit rate of 4.0% and an issuance of 2.9 trillion yuan in government bonds, contributing to the current economic environment [5]. Future Monetary Policy Outlook - There is potential for a new round of interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in the fourth quarter, driven by the need to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize the real estate market [6][7]. - The recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve may provide more room for China's monetary policy to adopt a looser stance [6][7]. Central Bank's Position - The People's Bank of China emphasizes a supportive monetary policy stance, aiming to create a favorable environment for economic recovery and financial market stability [8][9]. - The central bank's approach is data-driven, adjusting policies based on macroeconomic conditions and trends [9].

Group 1 - The core theme of the press conference was to introduce the achievements of the financial industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on medium to long-term perspectives without discussing short-term policy adjustments [19] - The overall financial system in China is stable, with healthy financial institutions and smooth market operations [4][18] - The banking and insurance sectors have seen total assets exceed 500 trillion yuan, with an annual growth rate of 9% over the past five years [21] Group 2 - The A-share market has shown significant resilience and risk resistance, with the proportion of technology companies in the top 50 by market capitalization increasing from 18 to 24 during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2][26] - A total of 10.6 trillion yuan has been distributed to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, representing an increase of over 80% compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2][26] - The annualized volatility of the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 15.9% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2][27] Group 3 - The financial regulatory authority has taken strict measures against financial irregularities, including the dismissal of over 3,600 illegal shareholders and the resolution of several illegal financial groups [3][36] - The regulatory framework has been significantly restructured, with over 60 supporting rules introduced following the new "National Nine Articles" [2][25] - The financial regulatory authority has imposed penalties on 20,000 institutions and 36,000 individuals, with fines totaling 21 billion yuan [23][28] Group 4 - The stock issuance registration system has transitioned from a pilot program to full implementation, with various measures introduced to optimize the listing and financing processes [5][42] - The total market capitalization of the A-share market surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time in August [26] - The proportion of direct financing in the capital market has increased by 2.8 percentage points to 31.6% compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [26] Group 5 - The foreign capital holding in A-shares is currently 3.4 trillion yuan, with 269 companies listed overseas [6] - The central bank's monetary policy stance is supportive, implementing moderately loose monetary policies to stabilize the economy [7][8] - The modern monetary policy framework in China has been initially formed and continuously improved, effectively promoting reasonable growth in financial totals and optimizing credit structures [9][33]

美联储决策基于经济数据，但缺乏对未来经济走势的准确预判，货币政策被人诟病。如表，美联储官员认为，今年美 国经济增长速度为1.6%，未来几年增速低于2%。令人不解的是，尽管就业市场走软，美联储依然坚持年末失业率为 4.5%，与6月份预测一样。此外，特朗普政府新关税政策暂缓执行期于8月7日结束，关税政策预计会对物价水平形成上 涨压力，而美联储6月和9月对PCE和核心PCE的预测值几乎没什么变化。他们内部形成了共识：关税政策影响是暂时 的。 与6月相比，美联储官员更倾向于年内还有至少两次降息，但从长远预测值看，明年至多有一次降息，2027年还有一 次，2028年不变。换言之，美联储的中性利率为3.1%左右，比通货膨胀目标值2.0%高出了110个基点。从19位经济学 家预测结果看，10位预测2025年末联邦基金利率为3.6%，有6位认为维持在4.10%。经济学家们对2026年的看法分歧很 大，只有6位认为利率维持在3.6%，有5位预测低于3%。 就业形势变了，通胀形势也变了，但这些变化并未影响美联储决策官员对经济走势的看法。在他们看来，这些变化只 是暂时的，不会改变长期趋势。7月30日会上，两名由特朗普任命的理事—— ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant achievements of China's financial sector during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, highlighting reforms, risk management, and the enhancement of financial services to support the real economy. Group 1: Financial Sector Achievements - China's financial sector has made substantial progress, with total banking assets reaching nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally, and stock and bond market sizes ranking second worldwide [4] - The financial system has seen a comprehensive deepening of reforms, with improved governance and a more robust financial service framework, leading to enhanced quality, efficiency, and inclusiveness of financial services [4][5] - The average annual growth rate of loans to technology-based small and medium-sized enterprises, inclusive micro-enterprises, and green loans exceeded 20% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5] Group 2: Financial Risk Management - Significant progress has been made in preventing and resolving financial risks, with a focus on orderly handling of key risk areas and maintaining the stability of the financial system [6][14] - The financial system remains generally stable, with financial institutions in good health and the market operating smoothly [6][14] - The article emphasizes the importance of a unified leadership from the central government in managing financial risks effectively [15] Group 3: Financial Market Development - The capital market has seen a notable increase in the proportion of technology sector market capitalization, now exceeding 25%, which is significantly higher than the combined market capitalization of banking, non-banking financial, and real estate sectors [26][27] - The regulatory framework for capital markets has been strengthened, with the implementation of new securities laws and the establishment of a more comprehensive market system [26][28] - The article highlights the improvement in market transparency and fairness, with increased enforcement against financial misconduct [27] Group 4: Future Directions - The People's Bank of China plans to continue deepening reforms and enhancing the central bank's macro-prudential and financial stability functions to support high-quality economic development [10][16] - There is a commitment to maintaining a balance between growth and risk prevention, ensuring the stability of the financial market and the renminbi exchange rate [11][17] - The focus will be on further enhancing the openness of the financial sector and improving the regulatory framework to support a higher level of financial security [22][33]

Core Insights - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's financial sector has achieved significant milestones, including total banking assets nearing 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally, and maintaining the world's largest foreign exchange reserves for 20 consecutive years [1][2] Financial System Reform - The Chinese government has implemented a series of transformative reforms in financial leadership and regulatory systems, establishing the Central Financial Committee and the Central Financial Work Committee to enhance centralized leadership [2] - A modern financial system is being constructed to promote high-quality development in the financial sector [2] Financial Services to the Real Economy - The People's Bank of China has adopted a supportive monetary policy stance, leading to the formation of a modern monetary policy framework that effectively supports the main goals of economic and social development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] - Financial support for technology-driven small and medium-sized enterprises, inclusive micro and small loans, and green loans has seen an annual growth rate exceeding 20% [2] Financial Industry Reform and Opening Up - Continuous promotion of supply-side structural reforms in finance, deepening institutional reforms, and developing multi-tiered financial markets are key focuses [2] - The financial sector is experiencing a steady push for high-level bilateral opening up, enhancing the level of institutional openness and increasing participation in international financial governance [2] Risk Prevention and Mitigation - The People's Bank of China has effectively addressed several prominent risk points in the financial sector, safeguarding the interests of depositors and small investors [3] - The overall financial system remains stable, with healthy financial institutions and smooth market operations [3] Lessons Learned - The achievements of the past five years in China's financial sector provide valuable lessons that should be consistently applied, emphasizing the importance of serving the real economy and preventing financial risks [3]

时隔近一年，金融管理部门"一把手"再次出席同场新闻发布会。 9月22日下午3时，国务院新闻办公室举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题新闻发布会，中国人民银行行长潘功胜，金融监管总局局长李云泽，中 国证监会主席吴清，中国人民银行副行长、国家外汇局局长朱鹤新介绍"十四五"时期金融业发展成就，并答记者问。 发布会上，金融管理部门"一把手"在答记者问中释放了不少重磅信息，发布会要点梳理如下。 央行行长潘功胜： 今日发布会不涉及短期政策调整 我国银行业总资产位居世界第一 潘功胜介绍，"十四五"期间，我国金融事业取得新的重大成就。 截至今年6月末，我国银行业总资产近470万亿元，位居世界第一；股票、债券市场规模位居世界第二；外汇储备规模连续20年位居世界第一。同 时，我国在绿色金融、普惠金融、数字金融等方面走在世界前列，基本建成多渠道、广覆盖、安全高效的人民币跨境支付清算网络，移动支付处于国 际领先水平。 "十四五"期间科技型中小企业贷款年均增速超20% 潘功胜介绍，"十四五"期间，我国金融服务实体经济质效大幅提升，科技型中小企业贷款、普惠小微贷款、绿色贷款年均增速均超过20%。 今日发布会主要介绍"十四五"时期金融 ...