有色金属冶炼及压延加工业

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钢研高纳:公司属于有色金属冶炼及压延加工业
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-20 12:12
证券日报网讯钢研高纳(300034)8月20日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司属于有色金属冶炼 及压延加工业,公司主要产品应用于航空航天领域,在国产大飞机中亦有应用。 ...
索通发展(603612.SH):上半年净利润5.23亿元,同比增长1568.52%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-20 12:00
Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by strong market demand and rising prices in the prebaked anode sector [1]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 8.306 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.28% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 523 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year growth of 1,568.52% [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses was 522 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 364.53% [1] - Basic earnings per share were reported at 1.05 yuan [1] - The company proposed a cash dividend of 2.1 yuan per 10 shares (tax included) to all shareholders [1] Industry Insights - The prebaked anode sector within the primary aluminum industry demonstrated a favorable development trend, with rising aluminum prices and strong market demand contributing to increased prebaked anode prices [1] - The company's joint ventures with high-quality downstream customers, including the 340,000-ton prebaked anode project and the 300,000-ton project, have been steadily operating, leading to significant growth in prebaked anode production and sales [1]
需求逐步走弱,基本金属震荡承压
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 10:58
1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not explicitly provide an overall industry investment rating but gives individual outlooks for each metal: - Copper: Expected to show an oscillating pattern [8][9] - Alumina: Under pressure and expected to oscillate [10] - Aluminum: Expected to oscillate and decline in the short - term, with a range - bound trend [12][13] - Aluminum Alloy: Expected to oscillate in the short - term, with potential for price spread recovery [13][14] - Zinc: Expected to oscillate weakly in the short - term and decline in the long - term [15][16] - Lead: Expected to oscillate [17][18] - Nickel: Expected to oscillate widely in the short - term and hold a short position in the long - term [19][21] - Stainless Steel: Expected to maintain a range - bound trend in the short - term [24] - Tin: Expected to oscillate, with increased volatility possible in August [25][26] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The overall demand for non - ferrous metals is gradually weakening, and prices are under pressure to oscillate. In the short - to - medium term, the weak US dollar supports prices, but the demand - weakening risk is increasing. In the long term, potential domestic stimulus policies and supply disruptions in some metals support prices. For specific metals, their prices are affected by factors such as macroeconomic data, supply - demand relationships, and policy changes [1]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1行情观点 3.1.1 Copper - **Viewpoint**: Sino - US tariff suspension extension leads to high - level oscillation of copper prices. - **Analysis**: Sino - US suspend 24% tariffs for 90 days; Fed keeps interest rates unchanged; copper production increases; spot premiums decline; inventory rises. - **Logic**: Macro - level risk preference rises, but raw material supply is tight, and demand is in the off - season with limited inventory accumulation. - **Outlook**: Copper may oscillate due to supply constraints, low inventory, weakening demand, and potential tariff impacts [8][9]. 3.1.2 Alumina - **Viewpoint**: Spot prices decline slightly, and warehouse receipts increase, leading to pressure on alumina prices to oscillate. - **Analysis**: Spot prices in various regions decline slightly; overseas transactions occur; warehouse receipts increase. - **Logic**: Smelter production capacity recovers, resulting in an oversupply and increasing inventory. - **Outlook**: Consider shorting at high levels based on warehouse receipt changes [10]. 3.1.3 Aluminum - **Viewpoint**: Spot prices are at a discount, and aluminum prices oscillate and decline. - **Analysis**: Spot prices, inventory changes, and corporate performance are presented. - **Logic**: US retail data is weak, and domestic economic data slows. Supply is stable, while demand is in the off - season, and inventory accumulates. - **Outlook**: Observe short - term consumption and inventory accumulation, with prices expected to range - bound [12][13]. 3.1.4 Aluminum Alloy - **Viewpoint**: Tax refund policy tightening leads to oscillating prices. - **Analysis**: Price data, production project information, and policy changes are provided. - **Logic**: Supply and demand are both weak. Supply is affected by policy tightening, and demand is in the off - season. - **Outlook**: Prices are expected to oscillate in the short - term, with potential for price spread recovery [13][14]. 3.1.5 Zinc - **Viewpoint**: Declining ferrous metal prices lead to oscillating and declining zinc prices. - **Analysis**: Spot prices, inventory changes, and new project information are given. - **Logic**: Macro - level is slightly negative. Supply is loosening, and demand is in the off - season. - **Outlook**: Zinc prices are expected to oscillate in the short - term and decline in the long - term [16][17]. 3.1.6 Lead - **Viewpoint**: Stable cost support leads to oscillating lead prices. - **Analysis**: Price data, inventory changes, and market supply - demand conditions are presented. - **Logic**: Spot premiums are stable, supply and demand are both weak, and cost support is strong. - **Outlook**: Lead prices are expected to oscillate due to economic data and supply - demand balance [17][18]. 3.1.7 Nickel - **Viewpoint**: Fluctuating market sentiment leads to wide - range oscillation of nickel prices. - **Analysis**: Inventory changes, new policies, and corporate events are provided. - **Logic**: Market sentiment dominates, and fundamental factors are weakening. - **Outlook**: Nickel prices are expected to oscillate widely in the short - term and hold a short position in the long - term [19][21]. 3.1.8 Stainless Steel - **Viewpoint**: Significant increase in warehouse receipts leads to continued price correction. - **Analysis**: Warehouse receipt changes, spot prices, and new policies are given. - **Logic**: Cost increases, production declines, and inventory shows a structural surplus. - **Outlook**: Stainless steel prices are expected to range - bound in the short - term, depending on demand, inventory, and cost [24]. 3.1.9 Tin - **Viewpoint**: Declining Indonesian refined tin exports lead to high - level oscillation of tin prices. - **Analysis**: Inventory changes and spot prices are presented. - **Logic**: Supply is tight, but demand weakens in the second half of the year. - **Outlook**: Tin prices are expected to oscillate, with increased volatility possible in August [25][26]. 3.2行情监测 The report provides information on the performance of the non - ferrous metals index, including today's, recent 5 - day, recent 1 - month, and year - to - date changes, showing a decline in the short - term and an increase since the beginning of the year [143].
永茂泰:2025年半年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为19769596.87元
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-08-20 07:20
证券日报网讯 8月19日晚间,永茂泰发布公告称,2025年半年度公司实现营业收入2,619,439,927.18 元,同比增长51.66%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为19,769,596.87元,同比下降44.27%。 (编辑 何成浩) ...
神火股份(000933):2025年半年报点评:煤炭拖累业绩,电解铝量价齐升
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-20 06:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 20.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.90 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.6% year-on-year [1]. - The report highlights that the performance was primarily impacted by coal prices, while the electrolytic aluminum segment saw both volume and price increases [1][2]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 5.18 billion yuan, 6.20 billion yuan, and 6.57 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 8, 7, and 7 times [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company produced 871,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum, a 16.2% increase year-on-year, and achieved a market price of 20,300 yuan per ton, up 2.6% year-on-year [2]. - The coal segment produced 3.708 million tons, a 14.9% increase year-on-year, but the selling price dropped to 773 yuan per ton, a decline of 30.6% [3]. - The company reported investment income of 250 million yuan in H1 2025, mainly due to increased profits from associated companies [3]. Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the cost advantages of electrolytic aluminum production in Xinjiang due to stable electricity prices and low coal prices, which are expected to enhance profitability [4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from a recovery in coal prices, which could reduce the performance drag from the coal segment [3][4]. - The low valuation and high earnings elasticity of the company are expected to catalyze stock price appreciation [4].
铜陵有色上半年净利14.41亿元 同比下降33.94%
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 05:43
8月17日,铜陵有色(000630.SZ)披露2025年上半年业绩。铜陵有色上半年实现营业收入760.80亿元,同 比增长6.39%;实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润14.41亿元,同比下降33.94%,主要系境外子公司分红 安排调整导致所得税费用增加。 铜陵有色计划不派发现金红利,不送红股,不以公积金转增股本。 | | 本报告期 | 上年间期 | 本製音期比上年同期增减 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 常重版人(元) | 76, 079, 875, 664, 31 | 71, 509, 487, 305, 69 | 6, 39% | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利 洞(元) | 1,440,925, 251, 21 | 2. 181. 335, 943. 91 | -33.94% | | 归属于上市公司最东的扣除 非公布性耐益的净利润(元) | 1. 431, 511, 463, 41 | 2, 208, 653, 320, 73 | -35. 19% | | 经营活动产生的现金流量净 膜(元) | 379, 022, 382, 41 | 2, 276, 425, 570, 52 | ...
铜陵有色(000630):实际经营稳健,期待米拉多铜矿二期投产
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-19 23:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 76.08 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.39%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.94% to 1.441 billion yuan [1]. - The copper price remained stable, but the spot TC (treatment charge) significantly decreased, while sulfuric acid prices surged [2]. - The company’s smelting profits showed resilience, primarily due to contributions from by-products, despite a notable decline in copper processing fees [2]. - A one-time tax expense adjustment led to a significant drop in reported profits, but the underlying operational performance remains stable when adjusted [3]. - The company is focused on strengthening its copper industry chain, with the Mirador copper mine's second phase expected to enhance self-sufficiency and production capacity [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 40.858 billion yuan, reflecting a 5.33% year-on-year increase and a 16.00% quarter-on-quarter increase. However, the quarterly net profit dropped to 312 million yuan, a decrease of 71.23% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is projected to be 3.789 billion yuan, 4.694 billion yuan, and 5.715 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14x, 12x, and 10x [4][5]. Market Conditions - The average price of electrolytic copper in Q2 2025 was 77,000 yuan/ton, showing a slight increase from Q1 2025, while the average price of sulfuric acid rose significantly [2]. - The copper concentrate TC spot index averaged -8.68 and -40.67 USD/ton in Q2 and Q1 2025, respectively, indicating a substantial year-on-year decrease [2]. Strategic Outlook - The company is advancing its copper-based new materials project and expects to enhance smelting capacity, benefiting from its geographical advantages [3]. - The Mirador copper mine is projected to produce 155,000 tons of copper in 2024, with further increases expected upon the completion of the second phase in 2025 [3].
永茂泰:8月19日召开董事会会议
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-19 14:31
2024年1至12月份,永茂泰的营业收入构成为:铝合金业务占比72.79%,汽车零部件业务占比24.89%, 其他业务占比2.33%。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 永茂泰(SH 605208,收盘价:15.83元)8月19日晚间发布公告称,公司第三届第十六次董事会会议于 2025年8月19日在上海市青浦区练塘镇章练塘路577号永茂泰公司会议室以现场结合通讯方式召开。会议 审议了《2025年半年度报告及摘要》等文件。 ...
有色协会、上期所与金川集团举办期货业务专场培训
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-19 11:39
人民财讯8月19日电,近日,中国有色金属工业协会(简称"有色协会")、上海期货交易所(简称"上期所") 和金川集团股份有限公司(简称"金川集团")联合举办期货业务专题培训。 培训会上,来自有色协会、中信期货研究所、中信中证资本管理有限公司、云南铜业(000878)股份有 限公司、中信证券投资银行管理委员会的资深专家围绕铜、镍钴产业政策趋势研判,如何有效分析价格 走势和市场行情、国有企业如何利用期权等衍生品工具实现稳健经营、央企企业内控和合规、上市公司 参与期货衍生品交易信披规则介绍等内容开展系统性、针对性的讲授与交流。 ...
有色金属日报-20250819
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 09:58
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Copper: ★☆☆ [1] - Aluminum: ★☆☆ [1][5] - Alumina: なな女 [1] - Cast Aluminum Alloy: 文文文 [1] - Zinc: ななな [1][3] - Nickel and Stainless Steel: ★☆☆ [1][6] - Tin: ★☆☆ [1][7] - Lithium Carbonate: ★☆☆ [1][8] - Industrial Silicon: ななな [1][9] - Polysilicon: な女女 [1][10] Core Views - The copper market is still cautiously evaluating economic growth risks and paying attention to the Jackson Hole Annual Meeting this week. It is inclined that the resistance to trading above the copper market is significant, and short positions above 79,000 yuan should be held [1]. - The Shanghai aluminum market fluctuates narrowly. The peak of inventory accumulation in the off - season may be approaching, and the inventory is likely to be at a low level this year. It is mainly in short - term shock, with resistance at 21,000 yuan [2]. - In the first half of 2025, the zinc ore output of major overseas mining enterprises increased by more than 12% year - on - year. The demand off - season is obvious. The zinc market is dominated by the fundamentals of increasing supply and weak demand. It is necessary to be vigilant against the repeated macro - sentiment [3]. - The consumption peak season of aluminum is not prosperous, but the cost side has strong support for the price. It is advisable to hold long positions at 16,600 yuan/ton and pay attention to the opportunity of the last trading days of call options [5]. - The stainless - steel social inventory has decreased for 6 consecutive weeks, but the downstream acceptance of high - price stainless - steel is still poor. The Shanghai nickel is in the middle and late stage of the rebound, and short positions should be actively intervened [6]. - The Shanghai tin rose in the afternoon session and regained the MA40 moving average. The low overseas inventory and spot premium support the London tin [7]. - The lithium carbonate futures price fluctuates, and the market trading is active. The short - term long - position thinking should be adopted, and risk control should be done well [8]. - The industrial silicon futures fluctuate downward. The main contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 8,500 - 9,000 yuan/ton [9]. - The polysilicon futures closed down in shock. There is an opportunity to go long near 50,000 yuan/ton, but there is still resistance above 53,000 yuan/ton [10]. Summaries by Related Catalogs Copper - On Tuesday, Shanghai copper reduced its positions and continued to fluctuate in a narrow range. Technically, pay attention to the support toughness of the MA60 moving average. The domestic spot copper is 79,100 yuan, and the Shanghai premium slightly shrinks to 195 yuan [1]. Aluminum & Alumina & Aluminum Alloy - Shanghai aluminum fluctuates narrowly, with a spot discount of 20 yuan in East China. At the beginning of the week, the social inventory of aluminum ingots increased by 19,000 tons compared with Thursday, and the aluminum rods decreased by 6,000 tons. The downstream start - up is stable [2]. - The operating capacity of alumina is at a historical high, and the industry inventory and SHFE warehouse receipts are both rising. Supply surplus is gradually emerging, and the spot index in various places is falling [2]. Zinc - In 2025H1, the zinc ore output of major overseas mining enterprises increased by more than 12% year - on - year. The demand off - season is obvious. The zinc market is dominated by the fundamentals of increasing supply and weak demand [3]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - This week, the stainless - steel social inventory has decreased for 6 consecutive weeks, but the downstream acceptance of high - price stainless - steel is still poor. The supply is expected to increase, and there is still some uncertainty in the market [6]. Tin - Shanghai tin fluctuated and rose in the afternoon session, regaining the MA40 moving average. Indonesia's refined tin exports in July were 3,792 tons, a 15% month - on - month decrease [7]. Lithium Carbonate - The lithium carbonate futures price fluctuates, and the market trading is active. The total market inventory is basically stable at 142,000 tons [8]. Industrial Silicon - The industrial silicon futures fluctuate downward. During the wet season, the supply and demand of industrial silicon both increase, and the improvement of the fundamentals is limited [9]. Polysilicon - The polysilicon futures closed down in shock. The terminal and downstream demand is stable, while the polysilicon production schedule has increased significantly, and the high - inventory pattern suppresses the spot quotation [10].