Core Viewpoints - The article summarizes the insights from fund managers based on their Q1 2025 reports, focusing on their investment strategies and market outlooks [1]. Group 1: Fund Manager Perspectives - Fund managers typically cover two main areas in their reports: a review of past investments and future market outlooks, with the latter being more significant [3]. - Different fund managers exhibit varying levels of detail in their reports, influenced by their investment styles, such as value or growth [3]. - The deep value style emphasizes low valuations and high dividend yields, primarily investing in sectors like finance, real estate, and energy [4][5]. - Growth value style focuses on companies with strong profitability and cash flow, often holding stocks for the long term [10]. Group 2: Deep Value Style Insights - Deep value style has shown strong performance from 2021 to 2024, while it underperformed in 2019-2020 [6]. - Fund managers express confidence in their holdings despite market uncertainties, citing factors like geopolitical changes and technological advancements as influential [7]. - The current market environment is characterized by structural changes, with some sectors facing prolonged competition, while others show clear competitive advantages [7]. Group 3: Growth Value Style Insights - Growth value managers highlight the resilience of high-frequency economic data and improved financing conditions, suggesting a positive outlook for the second quarter [12]. - They emphasize the importance of focusing on domestic economic transformation and internal demand rather than external pressures [12][13]. - Fund managers are adjusting their portfolios to capitalize on sectors like AI and healthcare, anticipating a shift in consumer behavior and market dynamics [15][16]. Group 4: Balanced Style Insights - The balanced style seeks to combine growth potential with valuation, often looking for stocks that offer good value relative to their growth prospects [26]. - Fund managers maintain a diversified approach, focusing on sectors with favorable valuations and growth potential, such as healthcare and technology [29][30]. - They express optimism about domestic consumption policies and liquidity, which may support market performance despite external uncertainties [30]. Group 5: Growth Style Insights - The growth style prioritizes companies with high revenue and profit growth, often accepting higher valuations for strong growth potential [39][40]. - Fund managers are actively seeking opportunities in emerging industries, such as renewable energy and technology, which are expected to drive future growth [41].

Core Insights - The report suggests that the easing of the US-China tariff friction creates a favorable window for bullish investments, recommending a dual focus on "technology growth + consumer recovery" [1][16] - The report highlights that the market's response to tariff impacts has been relatively quick and fully priced in compared to previous trade tensions, indicating a more resilient market sentiment [13][12] Market Overview - Following the easing of tariff tensions, the equity market has shown signs of recovery, with major indices surpassing their levels from early April. The Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, and the Wind All A Index have all exceeded their April 2 levels as of May 16 [4][9] - The report notes that the convertible bond market has rebounded quickly, with the median price recovering from 115 yuan on April 7 to 120.13 yuan, indicating improved valuation attractiveness compared to early April [14][15] Investment Strategy - The report recommends prioritizing convertible bonds with lower absolute prices, especially those with high export revenue exposure, to hedge against potential volatility in the market [16][18] - It emphasizes that the themes of self-sufficiency and domestic demand are strong investment lines, alongside the potential resurgence of investment opportunities in humanoid robots, AI, and low-altitude economy sectors as market risk appetite improves [1][18] Sector Performance - The report observes a divergence in performance between large-cap and small-cap indices, with large-cap indices performing better in the wake of tariff easing, while small-cap indices experienced some pullback [6][7] - The transportation sector has led gains in the wake of tariff easing, with financial sectors and domestic demand-related stocks also showing strong performance [6]

联合研究丨组合推荐 [Table_Title] 金融制造行业 5 月投资观点及金股推荐 research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 长江金融行业（地产、非银、银行）和制造行业（电新、机械、军工、轻工、环保）2025 年 5 月投资观点及金股推荐。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 于博 赵智勇 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490520090001 SAC：S0490517110001 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BUX667 SFC：BRP550 王贺嘉 蔡方羿 徐科 SAC：S0490520110004 SAC：S0490516060001 SAC：S0490517090001 SFC：BUX462 SFC：BUV463 SFC：BUV415 刘义 吴一凡 马祥云 SAC：S0490520040001 SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490521120002 SFC：BUV416 SFC：BUV596 SFC：BUT916 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 13 %% %% %% %% ...

Market Overview - After the Spring Festival and during the Two Sessions, the TMT sector led by Deepseek has initiated a "revaluation of Chinese assets" trend, supported by a relatively stable RMB exchange rate and positive policy expectations[1] - The A-share and Hong Kong technology sectors currently exhibit a high risk appetite, although adjustments have been observed since mid-March due to uncertainties surrounding the new round of "reciprocal tariffs" from the US and concerns over AI "computing power bubbles"[1] - In March, the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300 Index, and ChiNext Index recorded gains of +0.45%, -0.07%, and -3.07%, respectively[1] Policy and Economic Outlook - The 2025 Two Sessions emphasized expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption as primary objectives, with a focus on addressing low domestic inflation and external uncertainties[2] - The "Consumption Promotion Action Plan" issued on March 16 aims to enhance consumer capacity and stabilize the stock market, with expectations for new capital market policies to accelerate implementation[2] - The central bank reiterated the need for a moderately loose monetary policy, with potential for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts based on economic conditions[2] Investment Recommendations - Focus on large consumption and cyclical industries in Q2, particularly those showing signs of recovery or strong performance[3] - Continue to monitor defensive sectors such as banking and dividend stocks due to external uncertainties[4] - The long-term trend for AI remains positive, with significant investment from major domestic companies, presenting potential short-term investment opportunities during market corrections[5] Selected Stock Portfolio - The recommended portfolio includes stocks from various sectors: China Mobile, Hongri Da, Lu Wei Optoelectronics, Sinovac Biotech, and others, covering telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, machinery, and non-bank financials[5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key stocks in the financial and manufacturing sectors, including China Resources Land and Xinhua Insurance, based on their strong fundamentals and growth potential [13][18][19]. Core Insights - The manufacturing sector is experiencing a weak recovery in profitability, with industrial profits down 0.3% year-on-year in January-February, while revenue grew by 2.8% [11]. - The real estate market shows signs of recovery, characterized by price-driven volume increases, but still requires policy support for sustained improvement [12]. - The non-bank financial sector remains attractive due to high market sentiment and low valuations, with expectations for continued growth in insurance and leasing companies [14][15]. - The banking sector is viewed positively for its dividend yield potential, with major banks expected to benefit from a recovery in real estate sales and improved net interest margins [18][19]. - The new energy sector is at a turning point, with expectations for profit recovery driven by rising prices in the supply chain and strong demand for lithium batteries and renewable energy technologies [21][22]. - The machinery sector is advised to focus on stable core businesses while exploring emerging markets, particularly in deep-sea technology and AI data centers [24][27]. - The military industry is expected to see a recovery in demand as new weapon systems are produced, with a focus on ammunition and aerospace defense equipment [28][30]. - The light industry is advised to focus on domestic consumption recovery and new consumer trends, particularly in home furnishings and packaging [31][34]. - The environmental sector is transitioning towards B2B models, with an emphasis on waste-to-energy projects and green energy initiatives [36][42]. Summary by Sections Macro Overview - Manufacturing profitability is on a weak recovery path, with industrial profits down 0.3% year-on-year and revenue growth at 2.8% [11]. - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, but still needs policy support for sustained growth [12]. Non-Bank Financial Sector - The sector is maintaining high market sentiment, with expectations for continued growth in insurance and leasing companies [14][15]. Banking Sector - The banking sector is viewed positively for its dividend yield potential, with major banks expected to benefit from a recovery in real estate sales [18][19]. New Energy Sector - The new energy sector is at a turning point, with expectations for profit recovery driven by rising prices in the supply chain [21][22]. Machinery Sector - The machinery sector is advised to focus on stable core businesses while exploring emerging markets [24][27]. Military Industry - The military industry is expected to see a recovery in demand as new weapon systems are produced [28][30]. Light Industry - The light industry is advised to focus on domestic consumption recovery and new consumer trends [31][34]. Environmental Sector - The environmental sector is transitioning towards B2B models, with an emphasis on waste-to-energy projects [36][42].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a stable market outlook with potential upward movement, suggesting a positive investment sentiment in the near term [1]. Core Insights - The market has shown stability with a slight upward trend, although short-term momentum appears limited. The K-line has consistently closed above the 5-day moving average, indicating a potential for further upward movement if supported by increased trading volume [1]. - Various sectors are experiencing rotation, with technology, consumer goods, non-bank financials, home appliances, and metals showing activity, while a clear leading sector has yet to emerge [1]. - The report highlights the importance of observing market dynamics as different capital forces engage in various sectors, leading to a lack of a definitive market leader [1]. Market Overview - On March 18, the market experienced a slight increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.11%, the Shenzhen Component by 0.52%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.61% [3]. - The net inflow of capital was significant, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange seeing a net inflow of 55.49 billion and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange 89.20 billion [4]. Industry Dynamics - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued guidelines for the construction of digital energy and carbon management centers, aiming to enhance energy efficiency and carbon reduction capabilities in industrial enterprises [5]. - The OECD has revised down its global economic growth forecasts for the next two years, citing trade tensions and rising inflationary pressures [6]. - The National Energy Administration reported a year-on-year increase of 8.6% in total electricity consumption for February, indicating robust industrial activity [8]. Sector Developments - The China Real Estate Industry Association is set to hold a conference to discuss the real estate market trends and explore new development models [9]. - Suzhou is actively seeking support for its AI chip industry, aiming to attract investment and promote innovation in this sector [10]. - AMD has announced plans to expand its partnerships in China, expecting to reach 170 ISV partners by the end of 2025, highlighting growth in the AI PC ecosystem [11]. Fund Dynamics - Over 90% of large private equity funds reported positive returns, with an average gain of over 3% as of the end of February, indicating a strong recovery in the market [12]. - The Economic Daily emphasizes the need for capital markets to support new industrialization, focusing on attracting long-term investment to foster technological innovation [13]. Buyer Perspectives - Silver华基金 suggests that the current market may face technical pressure due to high profit-taking levels, while the consumer sector could see structural opportunities supported by low valuations and policy backing [15].