它们似乎互不相干：一边是硅谷在展示"AI智能体能把活儿做完"，达沃斯有人用一句话重写 增长叙事，另一边则是黄金闪崩、保证金上调、全球资产一起"抽水"。但把它们放在一起， 会发现其实都在讲同一件事：世界正在重新定价生产力、现金流与信用。 01 1月30日，是全球金融市场不寻常的一天。 伦敦现货黄金以9.25%的跌幅排在全球主要资产标的表现倒数第三，现货白银更是以26%的跌幅垫底。 很多人第一反应，是仅将它视为一次"价格暴跌"。但如果把镜头拉远，会发现这更像一次全球市场 对"规则与信任"的重新标价：被当作避险的资产，也可能成为波动的源头——它要么靠"共识"上涨，要 么被"纪律"砸下去。此后两天，黄金价格继续大开大合。中金公司指出，在急涨与暴跌交织的巨震面 前，任何点位的测算都显得苍白。 在望正资本全球宏观对冲基金董事长刘陈杰看来，这场惊跳可以拆成三幕：影子内阁、规则重置、流动 性休克与清算后反弹。此外，再加一条隐线，即所谓"马斯克公式"与"执行权下沉"的AI（人工智能）革 命，可能正在悄悄改变市场对通胀、增长与美元信用的想象。 至少，黄金信仰并未崩塌。2月4日盘中，伦敦现货黄金报5079.3（+2.66%）美元/ ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 750 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a fixed interest rate of 1.4%, resulting in a net liquidity withdrawal of 302.5 billion yuan after 3.775 trillion yuan of reverse repos matured on February 4 [1] - From February 2 to February 4, the cumulative net withdrawal of liquidity through 7-day reverse repos amounted to 674.5 billion yuan, indicating a trend of liquidity tightening at the beginning of the month [1] - Analysts expect that as the Spring Festival approaches, the PBOC may shift to net liquidity injection through reverse repos and potentially utilize 14-day reverse repos to stabilize market liquidity fluctuations [1] Group 2 - In January, the PBOC reported a net liquidity injection of 700 billion yuan through Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and a net injection of 100 billion yuan through government bond transactions, marking a significant increase compared to previous months [2] - The PBOC's approach to government bond transactions will be flexible, considering factors such as the need for base currency injection and market conditions, aiming to maintain ample liquidity for smooth government bond issuance [2] - The likelihood of a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut in the short term has decreased due to the increased net liquidity injections through MLF and government bond operations [2] Group 3 - The PBOC's large-scale liquidity injection in January has reduced the urgency for a comprehensive RRR cut before the Spring Festival, indicating a shift towards a monitoring phase for monetary policy [3] - The continuation of MLF operations and the resumption of 3-month reverse repos are expected to stabilize the funding environment without necessitating an RRR cut in the short term [3] - Analysts predict that the probability of an RRR cut may increase in the second quarter of the year, particularly in light of anticipated government bond issuance pressures [3]

•欧委会对中国风电企业启动深入调查， 商务部发声 •诱导用户高频分享， 微信对元宝违规链接进行限制 1 、 国家主席习近平同美国总统特朗普通电话。 习近平指出，美方有美方的关切，中方有中方的关切。中方言必信，行必果，说到做 到。只要双方秉持平等、尊重、互惠的态度相向而行，就可以找到解决彼此关切的办法。习近平强调，台湾问题是中美关系中最重要的 问题。台湾是中国的领土，中方必须捍卫国家主权和领土完整，永远不可能让台湾分裂出去。美方务必慎重处理对台军售问题。 2 、 市场传闻马斯克团队近期秘密走访多家中国光伏企业，并重点考察了有异质结、钙钛矿技术路线的光伏企业。 对此，协鑫集团、晶 科能源、 TCL 中环、高测股份证实有过接洽。受此消息影响， A 股光伏概念股集体爆发，晶科能源、泽润新能等十多只股票涨停。晶 科能源、高测股份盘后发布公告称，未与相关团队开展任何合作。晶盛机电、双良节能也提示"太空光伏"投资风险。中国光伏行业协会 指出，太空光伏技术仍处早期探索阶段，产业化尚不成熟。 3 、 谷歌母公司 Alphabet2025 年第四季度营收数据超预期， 2026 年资本支出预计为 1750 亿至 1850 亿美元， ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that southbound funds increased their holdings in Zhi Yuan Holdings (00990.HK) by 6.22 million shares, with a total net increase of 29.5 million shares over the last five trading days [1] - Over the past 20 trading days, there were 9 days of net reductions in holdings by southbound funds, totaling a decrease of 46.86 million shares [1] - As of now, southbound funds hold 1.531 billion shares of Zhi Yuan Holdings, representing 10.71% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1] Group 2 - Zhi Yuan Holdings Limited, formerly known as Ronghui International Group Limited, primarily engages in the distribution, trading, and processing of metal products [1] - The company operates through two segments: the distribution, trading, and processing segment, which deals with commodities such as iron ore, coal, nickel ore, copper ore, steel, and chemical products; and the financial services segment, which provides securities and derivative financial services, margin financing, and fund management services [1]

Core Insights - The financial performance of Hainan Province in 2025 shows significant growth, particularly in cross-border transactions and credit expansion [1] Group 1: Cross-Border Transactions - In 2025, Hainan's cross-border payment and receipt scale reached $115.4 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, setting a historical record [1] - The cross-border RMB settlement amount reached 551.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.6%, and the settlement amount for new business formats like cross-border e-commerce surged by 120.5% [1] - The multi-functional free trade account (EF account) system has developed steadily, with 810 accounts opened by the end of 2025, and a business volume of 350.9 billion yuan, connecting 91 countries and regions [1] Group 2: Credit Growth - By the end of 2025, the total balance of various loans in Hainan reached 1.4057 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.7%, ranking second in the nation [1] - The balance of foreign currency loans reached $18.5 billion, positioning Hainan sixth in the country [1] - Structural monetary policy tools have been effectively utilized, with a total of 16.555 billion yuan allocated for agricultural and small business support through re-loans and rediscounts throughout the year [1]

黄金市场上演了一场史诗级波动。 国际金价从逼近5600美元的历史高点狂泻至4400美元低点，单日暴跌9%，创下1980年以来最大跌 幅；白银单日重挫26%，市场恐慌情绪蔓延。 仅隔两个交易日，金价在2月3日暴力反弹6%，重回4900美元关口，2月4日亚洲早盘更是突 破5000美元大关。 这种急速下跌与反弹的节奏，让杠杆交易者经历了一场"多杀多"的踩踏与修复。 这场暴跌的导火索是美联储主席提名事件。 特朗普提名鹰派人物凯文·沃什接任美联储主席，其主张缩表控通胀的立场引发流动性收紧担 忧。 芝加哥商品交易所随即上调保证金要求，投机多头被迫平仓，形成"下跌-平仓-再下跌"的恶性循环。 同时，美元指数反弹压制了非 美货币持有者的黄金需求。 金价在1个月内暴涨25%，白银涨幅高达63%，这种短期涨幅已脱离传统估值框架。 方正证券分析师指出，黄金较2026年合理估值2990美 元/盎司高出80%，存在明显高估。 但另一方面，全球央行购金潮构筑了坚实底部。 2025年全球央行购金量达5002吨，中国央行连续15 个月增持，波兰计划新增150吨储备。 暴跌期间，SPDR黄金ETF单日流入12吨黄金，国泰黄金ETF近20日资金 ...

Group 1 - Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. reported fourth-quarter revenue of $10.37 billion, which was below the expected $13.21 billion [1] - The company experienced a loss per share of $1.08, missing the estimate of a loss of 52 cents [1] - Galaxy ended the quarter with $6.4 billion in assets under management and $5 billion in assets under stake [1] Group 2 - The company is on track to deliver 133MW of critical IT load to CoreWeave in the first half of 2026 under the Phase I lease agreement [2] - Following the earnings announcement, Galaxy shares fell 7.5% to trade at $20.33 [2] Group 3 - HC Wainwright & Co. analyst maintained a Buy rating on Galaxy Digital but lowered the price target from $45 to $40 [3] - Goldman Sachs analyst maintained a Neutral rating and cut the price target from $27 to $24 [3] - Morgan Stanley analyst maintained an Overweight rating and reduced the price target from $43 to $36 [3]

万国黄金集团 中信证券认为，贵金属将受益于货币属性和避险情绪共振延续强势。值得一提的是，此前，万国黄金集 团发布公告，预期2025年度公司拥有人应占溢利约14亿至15亿元，同比增长约143%至161%。根据董事 会目前所得资料，预期溢利增加主要是由于黄金产品销售量及价格上升所致。 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 15.73 1.06 7.23% 9.54% 6.34% 3.20% 0.00% 3.20% 6.34% 9.54% 13.27 13.74 14.20 14.67 15.14 15.60 16.07 09:30 10:30 12:00/13:00 14:00 16:10 0 81万 162万 244万 万国黄金集团(03939)再涨超8%，截至发稿，涨6.2%，报15.58港元，成交额3.53亿港元。 消息面上，截至2月4日，现货黄金盘中重回5000美元/盎司关口。瑞银策略分析师在研究报告中指出， 从长期视角看，此次金价回调反而为市场注入健康动能。近日，美联储理事米兰表示，美联储今年需要 降息不止100个基点，很期待凯文.沃什担任美联储主席后的表现。不过，里士满联储主席巴金强调，在 通胀尚未完全回落 ...

来源：智通财经网 最新的"小非农"数据显示，美国私营企业们1月新增就业岗位远远低于经济学家们普遍预期，表明年初美国劳动力市场继续放 缓。根据ADP研究机构(ADP Research)周三发布的美国私营部门就业数据(该项数据号称"小非农")，在对前一个月数据向下进行 小幅修正后，1月份的美国私营部门就业人数仅仅增加了2.2万人，远远低于4.8万人这一经济学家们多次下调后的预测中值，并 且低于机构调查所覆盖的经济学家们给出的最低增长预期。"小非农"公布之后，"CME美联储观察工具"显示6月与12月降息概率 均有所扩张。 另一方面，对于上周五创下40年来最猛烈跌幅且波动率罕见超越比特币的全球传统避险资产——黄金而言，大幅低于预期的美 国就业数据可谓利多金价。就业市场意外走弱，进而意味着市场更愿意押注降息/更鸽牌的美联储货币政策路径，也即意味着名 义/实际利率下行趋势以及美元走弱趋势，进而推动持有无息资产黄金的机会成本下降，从而利多金价;这一机制在黄金牛市主题 交易中经常出现，即弱就业数据带动降息押注、压低收益率从而推升金价。 由于之前部分联邦政府机构停摆，美国劳工统计局(简称BLS)编制的美国官方非农就业数据被推迟 ...

（原标题：?黄金多头们的福音! 美国1月"小非农"远低于预期 招聘"急刹车"点燃降息预期） 智通财经APP获悉，最新的"小非农"数据显示，美国私营企业们1月新增就业岗位远远低于经济学家们 普遍预期，表明年初美国劳动力市场继续放缓。根据ADP研究机构(ADP Research)周三发布的美国私营 部门就业数据(该项数据号称"小非农")，在对前一个月数据向下进行小幅修正后，1月份的美国私营部 门就业人数仅仅增加了2.2万人，远远低于4.8万人这一经济学家们多次下调后的预测中值，并且低于机 构调查所覆盖的经济学家们给出的最低增长预期。"小非农"公布之后，"CME美联储观察工具"显示6月 与12月降息概率均有所扩张。 ?另一方面，对于上周五创下40年来最猛烈跌幅且波动率罕见超越比特币的全球传统避险资产——黄金 而言，大幅低于预期的美国就业数据可谓利多金价。就业市场意外走弱，进而意味着市场更愿意押注降 息/更鸽牌的美联储货币政策路径，也即意味着名义/实际利率下行趋势以及美元走弱趋势，进而推动持 有无息资产黄金的机会成本下降，从而利多金价;这一机制在黄金牛市主题交易中经常出现，即弱就业 数据带动降息押注、压低收益率从而推 ...