Core Viewpoint - The expectation for the spring market may further strengthen, with A-share indices showing signs of recovery and entering a bullish phase [2][3] Technical Analysis - The A-share technical scoring model indicates that most broad indices have seen a slight rebound in technical scores, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the bullish threshold [3][10] - The model's performance for 2025 shows a timing return of 12.54%, while the overall return for the Wind All A index is 27.65%, resulting in an underperformance of -15.11% [10] Market Strategy - The macro strategy for January is focused on an optimistic growth outlook, with an increased allocation to equities [2][6] - Recommended investment themes include: - Growth style, particularly in the electric equipment and new energy sectors - Domestic demand improvement themes, focusing on consumer services, real estate, home appliances, and beverages [2][5] Style Timing Model - The style timing model has shifted from neutral to bearish on dividend style since December 22, 2025, favoring growth style instead [4][14] - The model indicates a preference for small-cap stocks, operating in a low crowding zone, which suggests a bullish outlook for small-cap stocks [20][23] Industry Rotation Model - The industry rotation model, which utilizes genetic programming techniques, has identified consumer services, electric equipment and new energy, real estate, home appliances, and beverages as favorable sectors [5][24] - The model achieved an absolute return of 40.34% in 2025, outperforming the industry equal-weight benchmark by 15.88 percentage points [24] All-Weather Strategy - The all-weather enhanced portfolio strategy for 2025 has yielded an absolute return of 13.86%, with a Sharpe ratio of 2.22 and a maximum drawdown of 2.67% [6][34] - The strategy has significantly over-allocated to the "growth exceeding expectations" quadrant and slightly to the "inflation below expectations" quadrant [34][35]

本报讯 （记者 胡明峰） 记者1月3日从南京商务部门获悉，2026年元旦假期，南京统筹推进线下线上多 元促销活动，深化商文旅体融合，全力保障市场供应，市级重点监测的商贸样本企业假期3天合计实现 销售（营业）额16.7亿元。元旦当天，市级监测样本企业销售（营业）额同比增长9.5%，银联商务监测 全市零售、餐饮、住宿行业交易额同比分别增长30%、36.5%、214%。 元旦假期消费市场火爆，离不开深度融合的商文旅体活动。熙南里街区集结五大主题市集，涵盖美食、 年货、汉服、潮玩等，年味浓郁。门东历史文化街区变身"马戏之城"，推出巡游表演与创意市集，吸引 大量游客互动体验。商业综合体积极引入热门IP展览，打造沉浸式打卡地，德基广场的"YOMeeDoll小 企鹅"全国首展、华采天地的Pingu（企鹅）主题展江苏首秀、雨花万象天地的"小猪佩奇暖冬奇遇季"全 国首展等，成为年轻人及家庭客群的"吸睛点"，带动客流增长与关联消费。 南京构建"线上宣推+线下全域"活动格局，线下组织60余场商圈及文旅消费活动，有效引导客流，激发 消费潜力；线上联合主流社交及电商平台，通过流量注入、场景打造、优惠叠加等方式，促进线上流量 向线下实体 ...

在康佳发布的公告中，一份来自监管层的问责文件尤为引人关注。 12月26日，康佳收到中国证券监督管理委员会深圳监管局（以下简称"深圳证监局"）出具的行政监管措 施决定书，以及深圳证券交易所下发的监管函。监管层的追责矛头，指向了公司2018年的一笔股权交 易。 经深圳证监局查明，2018年5月18日，康佳将持股51%的子公司安徽开开视界电子商务有限公司5%的股 权，转让给了广东南方爱视娱乐科技有限公司。然而，监管部门认定，该股权转让事项在当时并不满足 投资收益确认条件，这导致了康佳2018年半年报的信息披露出现不准确。 深圳证监局指出，上述情形不符合《企业会计准则第33号——合并财务报告（2014年修订）》第八条以 及《上市公司信息披露管理办法》的相关规定。 基于此，监管层启动了问责机制。决定书显示，对上述违规问题负有主要责任的时任董事长刘凤喜、时 任总经理周彬、时任财务总监李春雷，以及康佳集团股份有限公司本身，均被采取出具警示函的监管措 施。 2025年的最后一周，对于深康佳A(000016.SZ，以下简称"康佳")而言，显得颇为沉重。 12月23日至27日，康佳接连披露多份公告，公司当前面临"内忧外患"。一方 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the new policies for 2026 aim to stimulate consumption and investment through equipment updates and trade-in programs, with a focus on both short-term economic growth and long-term structural optimization [1][3]. - The sales of trade-in related products are projected to exceed 2.6 trillion yuan by 2025, benefiting over 360 million people [1]. - The new policies will support a wide range of sectors, including traditional industries and new areas such as elderly care and public safety, indicating a shift towards improving public welfare and consumer experiences [2][3]. Group 2 - The 2026 policy for equipment updates has expanded its scope to include not only traditional sectors but also consumer infrastructure like elevators in old residential areas and fire rescue facilities, reflecting a balanced focus on production and daily life [2][3]. - Specific adjustments in the subsidy mechanisms aim to enhance precision and effectiveness, such as prioritizing the replacement of old trucks with new energy vehicles and adjusting subsidies for residential elevators based on building height [2][4]. - The new trade-in policy will concentrate on key consumer goods like automobiles and core home appliances, streamlining support to maximize market impact and consumer engagement [3][4]. Group 3 - The implementation mechanisms of the new policies emphasize efficiency, with changes in subsidy structures for automobiles linking them to sales prices rather than fixed amounts, which is expected to optimize fiscal spending [4]. - The support for home appliances has been narrowed from 12 categories to 6 core products, focusing on high-penetration items that drive consumer behavior [4]. - Emerging consumer sectors such as smart glasses and age-friendly home products are included in the support scope, indicating a proactive approach to align with future consumption trends [4]. Group 4 - The shift in China's consumption structure from goods to services is highlighted, with service consumption becoming a key area for boosting domestic demand, particularly in sectors like tourism, sports, health, and elder care [5]. - Future efforts will focus on institutional innovation and quality enhancement to unlock the potential of service consumption and further optimize the economic structure [5].

Core Insights - The Ministry of Commerce reports that by 2025, the sales volume of products related to the trade-in program will exceed 2.6 trillion yuan, benefiting over 360 million people [1] - The new "national subsidy" policy set to launch during the 2026 New Year holiday is expected to stimulate the consumer market, particularly in smart electronic products, with sales of smart health devices and wearable technology projected to grow by over 20% and 15%, respectively [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have issued a notice outlining the scope and subsidy standards for the 2026 large-scale equipment update and trade-in policy, emphasizing the importance of domestic demand in economic growth [1] Equipment Update Policy - The 2026 policy expands and optimizes support for traditional industries while including upgrades for public safety and consumer infrastructure, such as elevators in old residential areas and fire rescue facilities [2] - The policy shifts focus from solely enhancing manufacturing to balancing production and living standards, addressing public safety and improving consumer experiences [2] - Specific adjustments in the subsidy mechanism aim to enhance precision and effectiveness, such as prioritizing the replacement of old operational trucks with new energy electric vehicles [2] Consumer Goods Trade-in Policy - The 2026 policy optimizes the scope and standards for trade-in programs, concentrating on high-impact categories like automobiles and core household appliances [3] - By focusing fiscal resources on key consumer goods, the policy aims to stimulate larger market demand for upgrades and consumption [3] - The subsidy mechanism for automobiles has shifted from fixed amounts to a proportional subsidy linked to the sales price of new vehicles, enhancing the efficiency of fiscal spending [4] Emerging Consumer Trends - The policy introduces support for new consumer areas such as smart glasses and age-friendly home products, reflecting a forward-looking approach to consumer trends [4] - The shift in consumption structure from goods to services is highlighted, with an emphasis on boosting support in sectors like culture, sports, health, and elderly care [5] - Future efforts will focus on institutional innovation and quality enhancement to unlock the potential of service consumption and further optimize the economic structure [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is promoting green consumption through a series of initiatives aimed at fostering sustainable production and lifestyle choices across various sectors, including food, housing, transportation, and recycling [1]. Group 1: Food Sector - The initiative emphasizes increasing the supply of green agricultural products and encourages businesses to procure high-quality items such as organic and geographical indication products [3]. - It aims to reduce food waste by promoting practices like "small portion meals" and the use of biodegradable packaging in the food service industry [3]. Group 2: Housing Sector - The promotion of green living includes encouraging the purchase of certified green appliances and eco-friendly building materials [5]. - The initiative also supports the development of green hotels that utilize non-toxic cleaning agents and provide refillable toiletries instead of single-use plastics [5][6]. Group 3: Transportation Sector - The initiative highlights the growth of the automotive industry, particularly the rise of new energy vehicles, which now account for nearly 60% of the market since the implementation of vehicle replacement policies [7]. - It encourages the exploration of the "aftermarket" potential in areas like used cars, rentals, and shared mobility services, while advocating for the integration of technology to enhance resource efficiency [7]. Group 4: Recycling and Second-hand Market - The initiative promotes a circular economy by encouraging retailers to offer reusable shopping bags and supporting the establishment of a three-tier recycling system [8]. - It also advocates for the development of second-hand markets and the establishment of stores that focus on the resale of used goods, aiming to maximize the value of idle items [8].

Core Insights - The Ministry of Commerce reports that by 2025, the sales volume of products related to the trade-in program will exceed 2.6 trillion yuan, benefiting over 360 million people [1] - The new "national subsidy" policy, effective from the New Year holiday in 2026, aims to stimulate the consumption market, particularly in smart electronic products, with sales of smart health devices and wearable devices expected to grow by over 20% and 15% respectively [1] Group 1: Equipment Update Policy - The 2026 policy expands and optimizes support for equipment updates, including traditional industries and new areas such as installing elevators in old residential communities and enhancing public safety infrastructure [2] - The policy shifts focus from solely improving manufacturing levels to balancing production and living standards, addressing public safety and consumer experience [2] - Specific adjustments in subsidy mechanisms aim to enhance precision and effectiveness, such as prioritizing the replacement of old operational trucks with new energy electric trucks [2][3] Group 2: Consumer Goods Trade-in Policy - The 2026 policy for consumer goods trade-in has undergone structural optimization, focusing on high-impact categories like automobiles and core home appliances [3][4] - The subsidy mechanism for automobiles has shifted from fixed amounts to a proportional subsidy linked to the new car sales price, aiming for more efficient use of fiscal resources [4] - New emerging consumer fields, such as smart glasses and age-friendly home products, have been included in the support scope, indicating a forward-looking approach to policy adjustments [4] Group 3: Service Consumption Shift - The consumption structure in China is transitioning from goods-led to service-led consumption, with service consumption becoming a key focus for boosting domestic demand [5] - The policy is expected to increase support in areas such as culture, tourism, sports, health, elderly care, and housekeeping services [5] - Further institutional innovation and quality enhancement are needed to unlock the potential of service consumption and promote economic structure optimization [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand as a strategic priority for China's economic growth in 2026, highlighting the need for a strong domestic market [1][2] - The article discusses the significant potential of China's consumer market, driven by a population of over 1.4 billion and a growing middle-income group, which lays a solid foundation for domestic demand growth [2][3] - It notes the shift in consumer behavior from goods consumption to a balanced focus on both goods and services, indicating a substantial opportunity in service consumption [2][5] Group 2 - The article outlines the government's plan to enhance supply-demand matching by increasing the supply of quality goods and services, aiming for a high-quality development pattern by 2030 [4][6] - It highlights the role of technology, particularly AI and big data, in driving consumer demand and improving product offerings, which is essential for adapting to changing consumer preferences [5][6] - The focus on effective investment is crucial for stimulating domestic demand, with initiatives like the "old-for-new" policy expected to boost sales and promote green consumption [6][7] Group 3 - The article identifies new consumption growth points in areas such as product quality enhancement, service expansion, digital upgrades, and green health, which are expected to drive the future of China's consumer market [8][9] - It mentions the government's target to establish three trillion-level consumption sectors and ten hundred-billion-level consumption hotspots by 2027, indicating a proactive approach to expanding domestic demand [9][10] - The transition from a "large market" to a "strong market" is anticipated as supply-demand dynamics achieve a higher level of balance, unlocking further potential for economic growth [10]

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market saw all three major indices rise, with the Dow Jones increasing by 1.23%, reaching a historical high [3] - Major tech stocks mostly rose, with Tesla up over 3% and Amazon up over 2%, while Apple fell over 1% [3] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by 0.49%, with notable gains in stocks like Beike and Bilibili [3] Group 2 - European stock indices closed higher, with the Stoxx 600 index up by 0.93% and the DAX index up by 1.29% [4] - The UK FTSE 100 index rose by 0.57%, while the French CAC 40 index saw a smaller increase of 0.20% [4] Group 3 - The People's Bank of China reported a net injection of 500 billion yuan through treasury bond transactions in December 2025, marking the third consecutive month of such operations [8] - The central bank also conducted a net injection of 1 trillion yuan through medium-term lending facilities [8] Group 4 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission held a meeting to advance a comprehensive prevention and punishment system for financial fraud in the capital market, emphasizing the need for improved legal frameworks and enhanced corporate governance [9] Group 5 - The China Passenger Car Association projected a 25% growth in the sales of new energy passenger vehicles in 2025, with total sales expected to reach 15.33 million units [11] - In December 2025, wholesale sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.57 million units, marking a 4% year-on-year increase [11] Group 6 - The State Medical Insurance Administration is seeking public opinions on a draft guideline for the comprehensive value assessment of medical services, aiming to establish a unified evaluation system [10] - The guideline is part of efforts to enhance the quality and efficiency of medical services in China [10] Group 7 - Guizhou Moutai officially launched its zodiac series products, with prices ranging from 1,899 yuan to 3,789 yuan per bottle [23] - The launch is expected to attract consumer interest and boost sales in the premium liquor market [23]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments have jointly issued a notice to promote green consumption, outlining 20 specific measures across seven areas to support the development of a green economy and society during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1]. Group 1: Green Consumption Infrastructure - Establish a project library for green consumption infrastructure and regularly recommend quality projects to financial institutions [1]. - Support qualified projects to issue Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the infrastructure sector [1]. Group 2: Promotion of Green Products - Encourage the purchase of new energy vehicles and enhance the automotive industry chain, including the second-hand car market and car-sharing services [2]. - Promote green home appliances and home decoration by encouraging the purchase of certified green products and improving energy and water efficiency standards [2]. - Increase the supply of green agricultural products by encouraging enterprises to expand procurement of organic and high-quality agricultural products [2]. Group 3: Innovation in Green Consumption Models - Promote the integration of artificial intelligence with green consumption to innovate smart products and enhance resource utilization through advanced technology [2]. Group 4: Policy Support and Financial Incentives - Strengthen policy integration by linking green consumption initiatives with modern commerce and retail innovations [3]. - Encourage financial institutions to increase support for green consumption loans and provide convenient services for users with good records [3]. - Innovate financial products to offer insurance for green consumption and establish a project library for green consumption infrastructure [3].