Core Viewpoint - Platinum is experiencing a significant price increase, with international platinum futures surpassing $1280 per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 36% [1]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand for platinum is driven by its dual role as both an industrial and precious metal, with applications in catalytic converters and various industrial sectors [2]. - The global platinum supply is heavily reliant on South Africa, which accounts for 70% of production. Due to low prices in recent years, mining companies have struggled to invest in new mines or maintain existing ones, leading to a 10% decline in South African platinum output since its peak in 2019 [3]. - The World Platinum Investment Council estimates a demand shortfall of approximately 30 tons for this year, which could widen due to increased demand from jewelry and investment sectors [4]. Market Trends - The automotive industry is the largest consumer of platinum, accounting for about 38% of total demand, primarily for use in catalytic converters [5]. - Industrial demand constitutes around 30% of total platinum consumption, driven by its catalytic properties and resistance to corrosion [6]. - Jewelry and investment sectors, which together account for 25% to 35% of total demand, are increasingly contributing to the rising prices. The jewelry market in China, which saw a significant decline in platinum demand in recent years, is now showing signs of recovery, with a 35% year-on-year increase in platinum jewelry sales in early 2025 [7][8]. Future Outlook - The current bullish cycle for platinum may last several years, with potential price increases that could surpass historical highs, although periodic price corrections are expected [2]. - Efforts are being made by platinum jewelry companies to innovate and attract new consumer segments, which may further bolster demand [8].

Core Viewpoint - In May, the industrial production in China showed a robust growth, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 5.8% year-on-year, supported by the equipment manufacturing sector and stable growth in consumer goods manufacturing [1][2]. Group 1: Industrial Production Data - The industrial added value of large-scale enterprises grew by 5.8% year-on-year in May, with a month-on-month increase of 0.61% after seasonal adjustments [1]. - Manufacturing sector growth was recorded at 6.2%, surpassing the overall industrial growth by 0.4 percentage points [1]. - Among 41 major industries, 35 experienced year-on-year growth, resulting in a growth coverage of 85.4% [1]. Group 2: Equipment Manufacturing Sector - The added value of the equipment manufacturing sector increased by 9.0% year-on-year, contributing 54.3% to the overall industrial growth [2]. - The automotive industry saw a significant increase in added value by 11.6%, with a month-on-month acceleration of 2.4 percentage points [2]. - All eight sub-sectors within equipment manufacturing reported growth, with notable increases in railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and electrical machinery sectors [2]. Group 3: High-end, Intelligent, and Green Manufacturing - High-tech manufacturing added value rose by 8.6% year-on-year, contributing 1.4 percentage points to overall industrial growth [3]. - Key products in high-end manufacturing, such as aircraft and industrial control systems, saw substantial growth rates of 18.7% and 15.5% respectively [3]. - The digital economy's integration into industrial production is increasing, with digital product manufacturing growing by 9.1% [3]. Group 4: Green Transformation and New Energy Products - The demand for new energy products and green materials is expanding, with the production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries increasing by 31.7% and 52.5% respectively [4]. - The supply of green products is also on the rise, with high-performance chemical fibers and bio-based chemical fibers seeing production increases of 92.2% and 21.5% [4]. Group 5: Policy Impact and Economic Recovery - The "two new" policy effects are positively influencing industrial production, with significant growth in sectors like motor manufacturing and shipbuilding [5]. - The automotive sector benefited from vehicle replacement subsidies, leading to an 11.3% increase in production [6]. - Overall, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose by 0.5 percentage points, indicating improved business expectations [6].

Macro News - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum announced significant financial opening measures, including the establishment of an interbank market trading report library, a digital RMB international operation center, and a personal credit agency [1] - The head of the Financial Regulatory Bureau stated that efforts are underway to promote pilot projects for financial asset investment companies and technology enterprise merger loans, along with a joint action plan with the Shanghai government to support the construction of an international financial center [1] - The chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized the role of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board as a "testing ground," introducing a growth tier and restarting the listing standards for unprofitable companies [1] - The deputy governor of the People's Bank of China announced the upcoming release of additional investment quotas for qualified domestic institutional investors and a package of foreign exchange innovation policies in free trade pilot zones [1] Industry News - The Central Financial Committee issued opinions to accelerate the construction of the Shanghai International Financial Center, aiming for a comprehensive enhancement of its capabilities and competitiveness over the next five to ten years [3] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has developed opinions to enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, including the reintroduction of listing standards for unprofitable companies [3] Cross-Border Payment - The RMB Cross-Border Payment System (CIPS) held a signing ceremony with six foreign institutions, marking the first direct participation of foreign entities from Africa, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Singapore in CIPS [4]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, domestic commodities continued to rebound, with most industrial products rising and agricultural products soaring. The main reasons were the large - scale conflict between Israel and Iran, the improvement of the Sino - US framework agreement, the resilience of the Chinese economy, and the lower - than - expected US inflation boosting the interest - rate cut expectation, which improved market risk appetite [3]. - Multiple factors may cause the commodity market to continue to rebound in the short term, including the Sino - US framework agreement, the improvement of the US economic outlook and the decline of inflation expectations, and the deterioration of the Middle - East situation [3]. 3. Summary of Each Section Overseas Situation Analysis - **Sino - US London Consultation Reached a Principle Agreement**: From June 9 - 10, the first meeting of the Sino - US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London. The two sides reached a principle agreement on implementing the consensus of the heads - of - state call and consolidating the results of the Geneva economic and trade talks. China's exports may still have a window period for "rush exports" before July, but the export growth rate may decline in the second half of the year [6][7]. - **US: May CPI Lower than Market Expectations**: In May, the overall CPI in the US rose 2.4% year - on - year and 0.1% month - on - month; the core CPI was flat at 2.8% year - on - year and rose only 0.1% month - on - month, for the fourth consecutive month lower than expected. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates before September jumped to 75%, and the annual interest - rate cut expectation remained at about 45 basis points. It is believed that the probability of a soft landing of the US economy in recent years is still large, and the Fed may cut interest rates in the fourth quarter [10]. - **US: Confidence Index Rebounded and Inflation Expectation Declined**: In June, the preliminary value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index was 60.5, a month - on - month increase of 15.9%. The 1 - year inflation expectation dropped to 5.1% from 6.6%, and the 5 - year inflation expectation slightly decreased to 4.1% from 4.2%. The suspension of tariffs and the decline of inflation expectations drove the confidence to rebound, but there are still concerns in the future [13]. - **Middle - East Situation Escalated**: On the early morning of June 13, Israel launched an attack on Iran. Iran launched a series of retaliatory actions. The global economy was shaken, with the Brent crude oil price soaring 8% to $94 per barrel, the global stock markets falling generally, and the gold price breaking through $3400 per ounce [16]. Domestic Situation Analysis - **Financial Data: Mixed Results**: In June, the new social financing was 228.94 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 8.7%. The new RMB loans were 620 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.1%. M2 increased 7.9% year - on - year, and M1 increased 2.3%. Overall, the government sector was still the main force of entity - sector financing. The central bank's actions to guide monetary easing and the expectation of restarting treasury bond trading may bring a favorable environment to the capital market [21]. - **Foreign Trade Data Interpretation: Exports Maintained Short - term Resilience**: In May, exports increased 4.8% year - on - year, and imports decreased 3.4% year - on - year. The decline in exports was affected by the weakening of "rush exports" and the high base, and the decline in imports was dragged down by the decline in commodity imports. In the short term, exports are expected to maintain a certain resilience, but there will be pressure in the second half of the year [24]. - **Policy Tracking**: The release of the "Opinions on Further Ensuring and Improving People's Livelihood" may bring development opportunities to multiple fields such as consumption and elderly care. The acceleration of the "one - old - and - one - young" policy may bring development opportunities to multiple industries, including the maternal and infant consumption, elderly care service, and related equipment industries [25]. High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Production End: Industrial Production was Generally Stable**: In the chemical industry, the production load remained stable, and product prices declined. In the steel industry, production declined slightly, and demand slowed down [34]. - **Demand End: Real - Estate Sales Increased Week - on - Week and Passenger - Car Retail Sales Increased Year - on - Year**: As of June 12, the commercial housing transaction area of 30 large and medium - sized cities increased 43.96% week - on - week. In the first week of June, the average daily retail sales of the national passenger - car market were 43,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 19% [41]. - **Price Trends**: As of June 13, most food prices fell this week. The average vegetable price decreased 0.05% month - on - month, the average pork price decreased 1.48% month - on - month, the agricultural product wholesale price 200 index decreased 0.25% month - on - month, and the fruit price decreased 2.01% month - on - month [42].

【环球时报报道 记者 肖震冬】第51届七国集团（G7）峰会于当地时间15日至17日在加拿大艾伯塔省卡 纳纳斯基斯举行。在美国总统特朗普再度返回G7峰会时，"他已经带领全球经济经历了一场过山车式的 起伏"，彭博社13日报道称，而这一次，美国关税政策在国内外遭遇了日益增长的反对，"再次深刻地提 醒人们贸易战的高昂代价"。 同时，美国政府的关税政策也在挑战其作为多数国家主要经济伙伴的角色，及对全球经济议程的影响 力。彭博社的研究模型显示，美国关税政策可能使其在全球贸易中的份额从22%降至16%。这在亚洲市 场尤为明显，当前中国已是该地区多数国家最大贸易伙伴。原TPP成员国（亚太地区）对华贸易占比 23%，对美贸易仅占13%，关税政策可能将美国份额压至11%。 特朗普退出TPP的后果在8年后的今天仍然体现在盟友态度的转变上。 特朗普的关税也打击了许多美国 盟友的经济。随着出口下滑，加拿大等贸易伙伴正面临陷入衰退的可能性。日本和德国标志性的汽车行 业也面临着生存威胁。目前有三个G7成员（加拿大、日本和英国）已加入TPP的"继承者"《全面与进步 跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》（CPTPP）。报道援引日本内阁府前高级经济学家川崎健 ...

Key Points - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of May, the broad money supply (M2) reached 325.78 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 108.91 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.3% [1] - The currency in circulation (M0) was 13.13 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 12.1% [1] - In the first five months of 2025, the net cash injection was 306.4 billion yuan [1] - The total social financing scale increased by 18.63 trillion yuan in the first five months of 2025, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year, with a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [1] - Corporate bond net financing reached 908.7 billion yuan in the first five months, with over 140 billion yuan in May alone, indicating a downward trend in corporate bond issuance costs [1] - The average yield of five-year AAA-rated corporate bonds fell to 1.97% in May, further decreasing from April [1] - The People's Bank of China and the Central Bank of Turkey renewed a bilateral currency swap agreement with a scale of 35 billion yuan / 189 billion Turkish lira, valid for three years [2] - The State Administration for Market Regulation announced stricter measures for e-commerce operators failing to fulfill recall responsibilities, enhancing consumer protection [2] - The lithium-ion battery industry in China continued to grow, with total production exceeding 473 GWh in the first four months of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 68% [2]

据央视新闻报道，当地时间6月12日获悉，美国商务部宣布将 自6月23日起对多种钢制家用电 器加征关税，包括洗碗机、洗衣机和冰箱等"钢铁衍生产品"。 据悉， 对大多数国家设定50%的关税将影响这些钢铁制品的进口，可能导致消费价格上涨， 行业利益相关者正在密切关注事态发展。 来源丨央视新闻 本期编辑 黎雨桐 哪吒汽车通知：居家办公！办公室门禁已失效，董事长兼CEO被围堵讨薪 秒空！预约票溢价50000倍！百万天价Labubu"旧主"：30多万卖出，不后悔 飞天茅台持续跳水！单瓶跌破2000元 SFC 21君荐读 ...

Group 1 - China has approved a certain quantity of rare earth product export applications, indicating a shift in policy after previously imposing export restrictions [1][3] - The export restrictions on seven categories of medium and heavy rare earth elements have significant implications for various industries, including automotive, semiconductors, and military hardware [1][3] - The slow progress in issuing export licenses has led to a sharp decline in global rare earth supply, affecting multiple sectors [1][3] Group 2 - The Chinese government emphasizes that the export control of rare earths is a common international practice aimed at safeguarding national security and interests [3][4] - The recent approval of some export applications is seen as a strategic move to balance pressure from the U.S. while maintaining China's dominant position in the rare earth market [3][4] - The U.S. military could face significant production challenges if China were to completely cut off rare earth exports, highlighting the strategic importance of these materials [3][4] Group 3 - Trump's recent welcoming of Chinese students to the U.S. marks a significant shift from previous policies that were more restrictive, reflecting a potential change in U.S.-China relations [6][7] - The U.S. economy may benefit from the presence of Chinese students, who contribute to consumption and talent in various fields, despite concerns over technology transfer [6][7] - The fluctuating U.S. policy on Chinese students indicates a complex interplay between competition and cooperation in the context of U.S.-China economic relations [6][7] Group 4 - The long-term outlook suggests that both countries will continue to experience a mix of cooperation and competition across economic, technological, and educational domains [9] - China is encouraged to enhance resource management and improve domestic education quality to attract talent, while also maintaining a strategic stance in trade negotiations [9] - The evolving U.S.-China relationship will have significant implications for the global political and economic landscape, necessitating ongoing dialogue and cooperation [9]

Group 1 - Investment in high-tech industries has been surpassed by overall manufacturing investment for the first time, indicating a shift in trends after three years of low returns on investments [1][3][4] - Many sectors, including new energy and semiconductors, are showing signs of overcapacity, with rapid technological iterations leading to outdated "new" technologies [3][4] - Private investments focused on financial returns have lagged behind state-owned enterprises, highlighting a disparity in investment strategies [4] Group 2 - Corporate profits are finally showing signs of recovery, with many sectors experiencing profit rebounds, although the automotive industry continues to struggle [5][9] - The gap between fixed asset investment in manufacturing and overall profits is narrowing, suggesting a potential shift towards prioritizing shareholder returns [9][11] - Regulatory pressures in the automotive sector and tightening capital constraints are contributing to a more sustainable investment environment [11] Group 3 - The growth rate of high-tech service industries remains strong, outperforming the manufacturing sector [14] - Consumer spending on services is lagging behind goods due to supply constraints and a lack of quality offerings, impacting overall consumption patterns [17][19] - New consumption trends, particularly those with emotional and differentiated attributes, are gaining traction, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [21]

Group 1 - The U.S. aerospace industry association states that the U.S. tariff policy will harm the U.S. civil aviation industry, with Federal Reserve officials indicating that the tariff policy may lead to persistently high inflation rates [1][1] - The Mexican industry association claims that the U.S. tariff policy disrupts the stability of the North American automotive supply chain [1][1] Group 2 - The China Export-Import Bank has issued 460 billion yuan in loans to the foreign trade sector in the first five months [1]