Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to continue its oscillating trend in the upcoming week due to weak market sentiment and technical indicators suggesting a downward trend [1][2]. Market Overview - The liquidity shock indicator for the CSI 300 index was 1.23, indicating current market liquidity is 1.23 times higher than the average level over the past year [2]. - The PUT-CALL ratio for the SSE 50 ETF options increased to 1.06, reflecting a growing caution among investors regarding the short-term performance of the SSE 50 ETF [2]. - The five-day average turnover rates for the SSE Composite Index and Wind All A were 0.81% and 1.37%, respectively, indicating a decrease in trading activity [2]. Macroeconomic Factors - The onshore and offshore RMB exchange rates experienced slight fluctuations, with weekly changes of -0.03% and 0.14%, respectively [2]. - Recent economic data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in May, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.8% year-on-year, and retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% [2]. - Fixed asset investment for the first five months of the year rose by 3.7% year-on-year, with high-tech manufacturing and digital economy sectors showing significant growth [2]. Technical Analysis - The Wind All A index broke below the SAR point on June 19, indicating a bearish trend [2]. - The market score based on the moving average strength index is currently at 102, which is at the 39.7% percentile since 2021 [2]. - The sentiment model scored 1 out of 5, indicating weak market sentiment, while the trend model signal is positive and the weighted model signal is negative [2]. Market Performance - For the week of June 16-20, the SSE 50 index fell by 0.1%, the CSI 300 index decreased by 0.45%, the CSI 500 index dropped by 1.75%, and the ChiNext index declined by 1.66% [3]. - The overall market PE (TTM) stands at 19.2 times, which is at the 52.3% percentile since 2005 [3]. Factor Observations - The crowding degree for small-cap factors has decreased, with a current score of 0.79 for small-cap factors, -0.14 for low valuation factors, -0.11 for high profitability factors, and 0.00 for high profitability growth factors [3]. - The industry crowding degree is relatively high for sectors such as comprehensive, environmental protection, machinery equipment, banking, and non-ferrous metals, with notable increases in banking and medical biotechnology sectors [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Viewpoints - The issuance of special bonds by local governments is progressing faster than in previous years, with debt clearance becoming a new use for these bonds. As of June 21, 2025, 87% of the 2 trillion yuan quota for replacing hidden debts has been implemented [2][35] - The environmental sector, particularly government-related debts, is expected to benefit from the current "debt replacement + debt clearance" initiative, leading to substantial advantages for To G enterprises [2][35] Summary by Sections New Special Bonds - Local governments have issued 1.69 trillion yuan in new special bonds as of June 21, 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26.9%. The issuance pace has accelerated [6][17] - The share of environmental special bonds has decreased to approximately 0.4% due to improved waste treatment rates and the completion of capital expenditures [6][18] - Specific regions like Hunan, Yunnan, and Guangxi have allocated part of the new debt to settle government debts owed to enterprises, with Yunnan specifying 356 billion yuan for this purpose [6][24] Special Refinance Bonds - From January to June 2025, the government issued 1.74 trillion yuan in special refinance bonds, all aimed at replacing hidden debts. The total issuance for 2025 is expected to reach 2 trillion yuan, with 86.8% already completed [7][32] - Regions with significant issuance include Jiangsu (251.1 billion yuan), Shandong (106 billion yuan), and Sichuan (98.4 billion yuan), indicating a proactive approach to resolving hidden debt issues [7][33] Investment Logic - The "debt replacement + debt clearance" strategy is expected to provide substantial benefits to companies with government receivables, aiding in the recovery of credit impairment losses and stimulating new demand [9][34] - Two investment strategies are recommended: 1. Value side: Focus on sectors with large receivables and low risk, such as waste incineration and water operations [9][38] 2. Elasticity side: Target leading companies in water, waste incineration, and environmental services with low price-to-book ratios and high government receivables [9][38]

Group 1: Thermal Power and Resource Utilization - The company has established a total production scale of 34 boilers and 22 turbines, with a total installed capacity of 340 MW and a boiler evaporation capacity of 4,240 tons/hour. Two additional thermal power expansion projects are expected to increase installed capacity by 43 MW and boiler evaporation capacity by 360 tons/hour [1] - The company is exploring smart power plant technologies, utilizing core technologies such as predictive control, automatic optimization, big data self-learning, and intelligent simulation to achieve smart control of boilers, turbines, environmental protection, and reporting [1] - The company's solid waste (hazardous waste) resource utilization projects are influenced by fluctuations in metal prices, including tin, copper, and nickel, which affect both raw material procurement and product pricing [2] Group 2: Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns - The company has implemented measures to improve inventory turnover and reduce the risk associated with commodity price fluctuations by optimizing procurement, production, and sales plans [2] - The company has distributed dividends 14 times since its listing, with a total dividend payout of 1.706 billion yuan, representing 186% of the average annual net profit attributable to shareholders over the past three years [2] - The company aims to maintain a robust shareholder return mechanism, ensuring long-term and rational investment perspectives for investors while providing stable and reasonable returns [2] Group 3: Business Challenges and Future Plans - The company faces challenges in its dioxin monitoring business due to high industry entry barriers, monitoring cycle constraints, and delayed demand release [2] - The company plans to continue its external expansion through mergers and acquisitions, focusing on projects related to its main business and adhering to the philosophy of expanding the circular economy for sustainable development [2]

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued multiple administrative penalties targeting insider trading, including a significant fine against Chen Jinquan totaling 3,473.94 million yuan for illegal gains of 578.99 million yuan [1] - A total of 13 floating rate funds have been established, raising over 12.6 billion yuan, with 26 new floating rate funds launched this year [1] - Several dividend ETFs have seen net asset value increases exceeding 10% this year, with a total net inflow of 22.02 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest in high dividend assets [1] Group 2 - In June, there has been a surge in IPO applications, with 34 companies accepted, accounting for 56% of the total this year, driven by regulatory support for tech innovation [2] - The satellite communication sector is gaining prominence, with expectations of significant changes in network access for remote areas, potentially revolutionizing the industry over the next decade [2] - A new type of perovskite image sensor has been developed, significantly enhancing light utilization efficiency and spatial resolution, marking a notable advancement in sensor technology [3] Group 3 - Intel plans to outsource its marketing operations to Accenture, which may lead to significant layoffs as the company shifts towards automation and AI-driven processes [4] - ST Baili's controlling shareholder has been applied for bankruptcy liquidation due to inability to repay debts, although the company claims its operations will remain unaffected [5] - China Tianrui Cement's controlling shareholder has increased its stake to 59.8% by purchasing 147 million shares, indicating strong confidence in the company's future [6] Group 4 - The resignation of the chairman of Qiming Star has been announced, with a new candidate proposed for the board, pending shareholder approval [7] - Yongqing Environmental Protection received a regulatory letter for failing to complete a planned share buyback, highlighting compliance issues within the company [8] - Xinhau Optoelectronics plans to transfer 100% equity of its wholly-owned subsidiary, which is expected to have a positive impact on the company [9] Group 5 - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the S&P 500 down 0.22% and the Dow Jones up 0.08%, reflecting market volatility amid geopolitical tensions and economic indicators [10][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The environmental and public utility sectors experienced declines, with the environmental index down 2.51% and the public utility index down 1.13%. The power sector specifically saw a 1.31% drop, while the gas sector increased by 0.69% [6][31] - As of June 20, 2025, the price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal has dropped to 620 CNY/ton, marking a relative low since 2022. The performance of thermal power companies varies significantly based on their geographic location and demand for electricity [6][10] - The report highlights a shift in electricity generation, with thermal power generation increasing to 4614.6 billion kWh in May, a year-on-year increase of 1.2%, while hydropower generation decreased by 14.3% [10][21] Summary by Sections Key Event Interpretations - In May, total electricity generation reached 7377.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%, with thermal power generation showing a recovery [10][21] - The overall electricity consumption in May was 8096 billion kWh, up 4.4% year-on-year, with a notable decline in the growth rate of electricity consumption in the secondary industry [21] Market Performance Review - The environmental sector has seen a cumulative increase of 3.34% since the beginning of 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 indices [6][31] - The report details the performance of various sub-sectors, with thermal power down 1.31% and nuclear power showing a slight increase of 0.15% [31][37] Key Data Tracking - The report tracks coal prices, noting that the price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal remains low, with significant declines from previous highs [46] - It also monitors water reservoir levels, with the Three Gorges Reservoir showing a water level of 149.13 meters as of June 20, 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [48] Industry Key Events - The report discusses recent government initiatives aimed at promoting renewable energy and improving energy efficiency, including financial support for renewable energy projects [78]

2025 年 06 月 22 日 环保及公用事业 5 月用电量数据发布，虚拟电厂建设加 速推进 本周专题：虚拟电厂推进加速，商业模式进一步清晰 6 月 4 日，国家发改委与国家能源局发布《关于组织开展新型电力系 统建设第一批试点工作的通知》，通知提出要围绕构网型技术、系统 友好型新能源电站、智能微电网、算力与电力协同、虚拟电厂、大规 模高比例新能源外送、新一代煤电等七个方向开展试点工作。这是继 4 月"357 号文"发布后又一国家层面加快虚拟电厂发展的文件。地 方层面看，上海、陕西等地相继发布相关政策，虚拟电厂建设加速推 进。357 号文的发布，从明确准入条件、健全电能量市场机制、完善 辅助服务市场机制和优化需求响应机制四个方面，为虚拟电厂参与电 力市场提供了清晰的路径和规范。建议关注虚拟电厂/功率预测相关 标的，国能日新、朗新集团、东方电子、恒实科技、国网信通、协鑫 能科、合康新能等；以及受益于数据中心放量的绿电标的，同力日升 等。 行情回顾： 6 月 9 日-6 月 20 日上证指数下跌 0.75%，创业板指下跌 1.45%，公用 事业指数下跌 0.87%，跑输上证综指 0.12pct,环保指数下跌 3. ...

Core Viewpoint - Victorious Joy Water Services Limited has reduced its stake in Jinko Environmental Co., Ltd. from 17.8815% to 12.9195% through a share transfer, indicating a strategic decision based on its funding needs [1][4][5]. Group 1: Shareholding Changes - Victorious Joy Water Services Limited held 18,375,000 shares, representing 17.8815% of the total share capital before the reduction [4][5]. - After the reduction, the total shares held decreased to 15,906,361, which is 12.9195% of the total share capital [5][6]. - The reduction was executed through an inquiry transfer of 6,143,639 shares, accounting for a decrease of 4.9900% in ownership [5][6]. Group 2: Purpose and Future Plans - The purpose of this equity change is attributed to the funding needs of Victorious Joy Water Services Limited, leading to a decrease in its shareholding [4][5]. - The company does not rule out the possibility of increasing or further reducing its stake in Jinko Environmental within the next 12 months, adhering to relevant legal disclosure obligations [4][5]. Group 3: Regulatory Compliance - The report complies with the Securities Law and the Regulations on the Management of Acquisitions of Listed Companies, ensuring all necessary disclosures are made [2][3]. - Victorious Joy Water Services Limited has confirmed that there are no other significant shareholdings in other listed companies that exceed 5% of their issued shares [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the renaming of several environmental companies, removing terms like "ecology," "environment," and "environmental protection," indicates a decline in the attractiveness of the environmental sector, yet it also reflects a strategic shift towards core business focus and deeper development opportunities [1] - The environmental industry is facing intensified competition, leading to a decrease in market valuations, but this also presents a window for companies to adjust their development strategies [1] - Small and medium-sized environmental companies can still find growth opportunities by broadening their perspectives and seeking collaborations, particularly with rapidly developing state-owned environmental groups [1] Group 2 - Environmental companies are encouraged to adopt the "sweet potato economy" model from Zhejiang Province, which involves local enterprises expanding beyond regional limitations through trade, investment, and industry chain extension to optimize resource allocation [2] - The ongoing "Belt and Road" initiative provides an opportunity for environmental companies to expand internationally while contributing to global economic development [2] - Strengthening technological innovation is crucial for environmental companies, as unique technological inventions or superior governance techniques can provide a competitive edge in the market [2]

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a 203.5 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation on June 19, with a fixed interest rate of 1.40%, and the full bid amount was accepted [1] - On the same day, 119.3 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net injection of 84.2 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Funding Conditions - The funding environment appears slightly tighter, with the central bank shifting to net injections; the overnight pledged repo rate has slightly increased to around 1.37%, while the 7-day pledged repo rate rose by nearly 2 basis points [3] - The latest overnight financing guarantee rate in the U.S. is reported at 4.31% [5] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is approximately 1.64%, showing a slight decrease from the previous day [7] Group 4: Bond Market - The closing prices for government bond futures showed a 0.16% increase for the 30-year main contract, while the 10-year main contract remained unchanged; the 5-year and 2-year main contracts saw slight declines of 0.02% and 0.01%, respectively [11] Group 5: Bond Issuance - Poly Development has received approval to register a 5 billion yuan short-term financing bond [16] - Guotai Junan has been granted approval to issue 15 billion yuan in corporate bonds for technological innovation [16] - Lanzhou Bank has been approved to issue up to 5 billion yuan in perpetual capital bonds [16] - The Export-Import Bank of China issued 10 billion yuan in bonds to support Shanghai's foreign trade and development [16]

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of the "Technology Vice President" mechanism in Wenzhou has significantly enhanced the innovation capabilities of local private enterprises, facilitating the transformation of scientific and technological achievements into practical applications and driving economic growth. Group 1: Technology Vice President Mechanism - The Technology Vice President mechanism has led to the transformation of 150 scientific achievements with a transaction value of nearly 200 million yuan in Wenzhou [1] - Since the beginning of 2024, 453 researchers have been assigned to 451 enterprises as Technology Vice Presidents, fostering innovation and collaboration [2] - The mechanism has effectively integrated the education, talent, industry, and innovation chains, addressing the development bottlenecks faced by private enterprises [3] Group 2: Impact on Local Enterprises - The collaboration with academic professionals has resulted in significant projects, such as the development of an AI detection technology team that increased output by nearly 10 million yuan [2] - The Technology Vice Presidents have helped local companies develop new technologies, such as a small decentralized wastewater treatment equipment and a new process for treating toxic wastewater [3] - The initiative has created a resource pool of nearly 1,400 experts, enhancing the support for Wenzhou's key industries [3] Group 3: Future Developments - The implementation of the 2.0 version of the "Wenzhou City Deepening Technology Vice President Deployment Work Implementation Plan" aims to clarify selection standards and responsibilities while expanding the service scope to high-tech and specialized small and medium-sized enterprises [3] - An online platform for Technology Vice Presidents will be established, incorporating AI big data models to improve the matching of research outcomes and expert resources [3]