Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating in the report. Core Viewpoints The report indicates that economic growth shows a situation of significant price increases but weak demand, with inflation characterized by insufficient momentum for a rebound in pork prices and weak and volatile oil prices [1][2]. Summary by Directory 1. Economic Growth: Significant Price Increases, Weak Demand 1.1 Production: Most Operating Rates Rebound - **Power Plant Daily Consumption Fluctuates at a High Level**: On July 22, the average daily consumption of 6 major power - generating groups was 882,000 tons, a 1.7% decrease from July 15. On July 15, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 2.27 million tons, a 5.7% increase from July 10 [4][11]. - **Blast Furnace Operating Rate Recovers Moderately**: On July 18, the national blast furnace operating rate was 83.5%, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from July 11; the capacity utilization rate was 90.9%, a 1.1 - percentage - point increase from July 11. In Tangshan, the blast furnace operating rate of steel mills was 92.0% on July 18, a 0.8 - percentage - point increase from July 11 [4][14]. - **Tire Operating Rate Rebounds for Two Consecutive Weeks**: On July 17, the operating rate of all - steel truck tires was 65.1%, a 0.5 - percentage - point increase from July 10; the operating rate of semi - steel car tires was 76.0%, a 3.1 - percentage - point increase from July 10. The operating rate of looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions fluctuated within a narrow range [4][16]. 1.2 Demand: Steel and Glass Prices Rise Significantly - **New Home Sales in 30 Cities Turn Negative Month - on - Month**: From July 1 to 22, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 192,000 square meters, a 21.8% decrease compared to the same period in June, a 21.7% decrease compared to July last year, and a 35.1% decrease compared to July 2023 [4][21]. - **Automobile Market Retail Sales are Stable and Strong**: In July, retail sales increased by 7% year - on - year, and wholesale sales increased by 34% year - on - year [4][23]. - **Steel Prices Strengthen Further**: On July 22, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled coil increased by 6.0%, 5.6%, 6.4%, and 3.4% respectively compared to July 15 [4][30]. - **Cement Prices are Continuously Under Pressure**: On July 22, the national cement price index decreased by 2.1% compared to July 15. The cement prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions decreased by 3.3% and 1.7% respectively [4][31]. - **Glass Prices Rise Significantly**: On July 22, the active glass futures contract price was 1,203 yuan per ton, an 11.2% increase compared to July 15 [4][35]. - **Container Shipping Freight Index Fails to Peak in the Peak Season**: On July 18, the CCFI index decreased by 0.8% compared to July 11, and the SCFI index decreased by 5.0% [4][38]. 2. Inflation: Insufficient Momentum for a Rebound in Pork Prices 2.1 CPI: Insufficient Momentum for a Rebound in Pork Prices - **Pork Price Rebound Lacks Momentum**: On July 22, the average wholesale price of pork was 20.7 yuan per kilogram, remaining stable compared to July 15. Since July, the average wholesale price of pork has increased by 1.2% month - on - month [4][44]. - **Agricultural Product Price Index Fluctuates at the Bottom**: On July 22, the agricultural product wholesale price index decreased by 0.2% compared to July 15. By variety, eggs (up 4.9%) > chicken (up 1.1%) > beef (up 0.3%) > vegetables (up 0.2%) > pork (flat) > mutton (down 0.5%) > fruits (down 3.2%) [4][49]. 2.2 PPI: Oil Prices are Weak and Volatile - **Oil Prices are Weak and Volatile**: On July 22, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were $70.0 and $65.3 per barrel respectively, a 1.6% and 1.8% decrease compared to July 15 [4][52]. - **Copper and Aluminum Prices Rise**: On July 22, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum increased by 2.5% and 1.6% respectively compared to July 15 [4][56]. - **Most Industrial Product Prices Rise**: Since July, most industrial product prices have risen. The month - on - month prices of wire rod, cement, and steam coal have decreased, while other industrial product prices have increased month - on - month, with coking coal and coke leading the gains. The year - on - year decline of most industrial product prices has narrowed [4][60].

Core Insights - Shandong state-owned enterprises ranked first in total revenue, total assets, and owner's equity among 32 provincial state-owned enterprises in China, excluding municipalities, while ranking second in total profit and net profit, indicating strong economic performance [1] Group 1: Economic Performance - In the first half of 2025, Shandong state-owned enterprises experienced steady growth in economic scale, with total revenue and total assets both increasing. In Q2, total assets and revenue grew by over 7% and 6%, respectively [2] - The total profit achieved by state-owned enterprises reached 49.69 billion yuan, with 16 enterprises reporting profit growth or reduced losses. Notably, 14 enterprises, including Shandong Gold and Shandong Expressway, saw profit growth exceeding 5% [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities for state-owned enterprises was 55.4 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.9%, indicating improved operational efficiency and self-sustainability [2] Group 2: Market Expansion and R&D - Despite global market tightening, Shandong state-owned enterprises enhanced their overseas market presence, achieving export revenue of 60.73 billion yuan [2] - R&D investment totaled 20.36 billion yuan, primarily directed towards machinery manufacturing, information technology, and transportation sectors. Revenue from new products reached 152.19 billion yuan, marking a 55.5% year-on-year increase, while new product output value was 112.61 billion yuan, up 11.7% [2] Group 3: Investment and Social Contribution - Fixed asset investment by state-owned enterprises accelerated to 71.93 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.1% [3] - The industrial output value of state-owned enterprises was 537.56 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 14.5%, and industrial sales value reached 536.16 billion yuan, up 12.6%, contributing significantly to the stability of the provincial industrial economy [3]

Core Insights - As of July 22, the latest market financing balance reached 1,919.613 billion yuan, an increase of 15.048 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Among the 23 primary industries under Shenwan, the electronic industry saw the largest increase in financing balance, rising by 2.381 billion yuan [1] - The industries with notable increases in financing balance also include pharmaceuticals, electric equipment, and machinery, with increases of 1.413 billion yuan, 1.359 billion yuan, and 1.126 billion yuan respectively [1] - Conversely, eight industries experienced a decrease in financing balance, with the computer, home appliance, and retail industries seeing the largest declines of 0.114 billion yuan, 0.095595 billion yuan, and 0.090656 billion yuan respectively [2] Industry Financing Balance Changes - The coal industry had the highest growth rate in financing balance, with a latest balance of 15.839 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.48% increase [1] - Other industries with significant increases include construction decoration, banking, and building materials, with growth rates of 2.25%, 1.70%, and 1.65% respectively [1] - The steel, retail, and home appliance industries reported the largest declines in financing balance, with latest balances of 14.479 billion yuan, 21.545 billion yuan, and 26.662 billion yuan, showing decreases of 0.48%, 0.42%, and 0.36% respectively [2]

Group 1 - The market is focusing on "anti-involution" investment opportunities, with sectors like coal, steel, and petrochemicals showing significant gains [1][4] - The 300 cash flow index rose by 1.98%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 [1] - The first listed 300 cash flow ETF (562080) has gained 11.43% since its launch on April 15, 2025, indicating strong market interest [1][2] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to implement a new round of growth stabilization work for key industries, including steel and petrochemicals, to optimize supply and eliminate backward production capacity [2][8] - The 300 cash flow ETF has attracted significant capital inflow, with a net inflow of 38.64 million yuan in the last 20 days, reflecting strong market enthusiasm [4] - The index's top ten constituent stocks mostly recorded positive returns, with notable gains from companies like Shanxi Coking Coal and Conch Cement [4][5] Group 3 - The 300 cash flow index excludes financial and real estate sectors, over-weighting industries like household appliances and petrochemicals, which benefit from cash flow and shareholder returns [6] - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to lead to improved free cash flow ratios in industries such as steel and new energy, enhancing the quality of stocks [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in the cyclical resource sector are in a valuation trough, which is expected to be positively impacted by three major policy benefits: (1) anti-involution; (2) debt resolution; (3) infrastructure investment [11][13][15] - The Hong Kong dividend assets have a higher dividend yield compared to A-shares, with a long-term higher dividend premium [12][19] - The investment value of the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE dividend strategy includes: (1) high dividend and low valuation, emphasizing absolute return attributes; (2) focusing on leading SOEs in petrochemicals, communications, transportation, and coal; (3) significant long-term return advantages; (4) long-term performance superior to the overall Hong Kong market, characterized by high dividends and high free cash flow [12][24][41] Group 2 - The industry distribution focuses on high-dividend SOEs in cyclical sectors, with significant weights in oil and petrochemicals (29%), communications (23%), transportation (14%), and coal (11%) [28][30] - The long-term performance of the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE dividend index shows a cumulative increase of 118% since early 2017, closely approaching the 129% increase of the Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index [5][36] - The constituent stocks of the National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE dividend index have outperformed the overall Hong Kong market, with an average net profit growth rate of 12% since 2015, significantly higher than the overall Hong Kong average of 4.7% [6][41] Group 3 - The Invesco Great Wall CSI National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE Dividend ETF (520990) is designed to closely track the performance of the CSI National New Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE Dividend Index, providing investors with a tool to invest in the Hong Kong SOE dividend sector [50][51] - The fund was established on June 26, 2024, and aims to minimize tracking deviation and error to achieve returns similar to the underlying index [50][51]

Core Viewpoint - The average stock price of A-shares is 12.31 yuan, with 40 stocks priced below 2 yuan, the lowest being退市锦港 at 0.63 yuan [1] Group 1: Market Overview - As of July 22, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3581.86 points, with the average A-share price at 12.31 yuan [1] - The distribution of high-priced and low-priced stocks is relatively small in the A-share market [1] Group 2: Low-Priced Stocks - There are 40 stocks priced below 2 yuan, with退市锦港 at 0.63 yuan, followed by*ST金科 at 1.44 yuan and荣盛发展 at 1.45 yuan [1] - Among the low-priced stocks, 13 are ST stocks, accounting for 32.50% of the total [1] Group 3: Market Performance of Low-Priced Stocks - Out of the low-priced stocks, 21 increased in price, with the highest gainers being*ST天茂 (up 5.20%), 重庆钢铁 (up 5.10%), and 金隅集团 (up 4.05%) [1] - Conversely, 13 stocks declined, with the largest drops seen in*ST苏吴 (down 5.03%), *ST阳光 (down 3.19%), and ST岭南 (down 1.68%) [1]

Group 1 - The overall performance of the Hong Kong stock market showed a "V" shape trend, with significant gains in high-speed rail, infrastructure, and hydropower concept stocks [1] - The Hong Kong Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (520990) experienced a rise of over 2% in the afternoon session, closing up 1.80%, marking a potential three-day winning streak [1] - Major stocks such as China Communications Construction surged over 8%, while China Railway Construction and China CRRC increased by over 6%, and other companies like China National Offshore Oil and COSCO Shipping also saw gains of over 5% [1] Group 2 - According to Wind data, the Hong Kong Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (520990) has seen net inflows for three consecutive trading days, accumulating over 400 million yuan in net inflows for the month [1] - Tianfeng Securities noted a recovery trend in the second-quarter orders of central state-owned enterprises, with China Railway's Q2 order growth rate at 20.08% year-on-year and China Nuclear Engineering's H1 order growth at 13.72% [1] - The positive order and funding indicators suggest an optimistic outlook for the acceleration of physical work volume in the near future [1]

Group 1: Lottery Sales - In June, national lottery sales reached 54.482 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% [1] - Welfare lottery sales amounted to 18.130 billion yuan, an increase of 0.7% year-on-year, while sports lottery sales were 36.351 billion yuan, down 4.2% [1] - Cumulative lottery sales from January to June totaled 317.854 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.0% [1] Group 2: E-commerce Development - The Ministry of Commerce reported that e-commerce has been effectively promoting consumption expansion and digital transformation since 2025 [2] - Policies aimed at expanding consumption have been successfully implemented in the e-commerce sector, fostering quality e-commerce and supporting foreign trade [2] Group 3: Uber's WeChat Mini Program - Uber launched a WeChat mini program allowing users to book rides directly within WeChat, facilitating payment through WeChat Pay [3][4] - The mini program is currently available in Hong Kong and Japan, with plans to expand to nine other countries [3] Group 4: Transportation Trends - Self-driving has become the mainstream mode of cross-regional travel, with approximately 130 million daily self-driving trips, accounting for over 70% of cross-regional mobility [5] - The Ministry of Transport announced a projected reduction in transportation costs by about 280 billion yuan in 2024 [6][7] Group 5: Internet Penetration - As of June, China's internet user base reached 1.123 billion, with an internet penetration rate of 79.7% [7] - The report highlights significant achievements in internet infrastructure and the rapid development of emerging markets [7][8] Group 6: Laser Technology Advancement - A research team from Harbin Institute of Technology made significant breakthroughs in laser technology, enabling customizable laser wavefronts [9] - This advancement enhances the application potential of lasers in various fields such as communication and imaging [9] Group 7: IPO and Corporate Developments - Sichuan Baili Tianheng Pharmaceutical's Hong Kong IPO application has expired after six months [10] - Guangzhou Light Industry Group is pursuing legal action against Ningbo Hanyi for alleged malicious breach of contract regarding equity transfer [11] Group 8: Robotics Supply Chain - Haopeng Technology has entered the supply chain for various types of robots, leveraging its expertise in battery solutions [12] Group 9: Keep's Financial Performance - Keep is expected to achieve an adjusted net profit of approximately 10 million yuan for the first half of 2025, significantly narrowing its losses compared to the previous year [13][15] Group 10: Semiconductor Manufacturing in India - India's first domestically produced chip is set to be launched this year, with six semiconductor factories under construction for mass production [16]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the mixed performance of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with a notable rise in the Hong Kong construction materials sector, which saw gains exceeding 10% [1] - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (513820) has experienced a net inflow of over 29 million yuan in the past three days, indicating strong investor interest in dividend-paying stocks [1][11] - The top ten constituent stocks of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF showed varied performance, with only HSBC Holdings rising over 1%, while major oil companies and banks faced collective declines [3] Group 2 - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has commenced construction with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, expected to generate nearly 300 billion kilowatt-hours of zero-carbon electricity annually [4][5] - The project is anticipated to significantly benefit sectors such as infrastructure, cement, and explosives, with a projected cement demand of 20 to 30 million tons [5] - Southbound funds have shown a preference for high-dividend sectors, with the Construction Bank being the most actively net bought stock [6][7] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF has seen its scale grow from 77.6 billion yuan to 136.7 billion yuan in less than a year, marking a 76% increase [9] - The ETF has consistently provided monthly cash dividends for 12 consecutive months, making it the most frequent dividend-paying ETF in the Hong Kong market [16] - The low interest rate environment has made high-dividend assets increasingly attractive, with the dividend yield of the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index reaching 7.96% [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the long-term investment potential in hydropower, particularly through companies like China Yangtze Power, which can benefit from stable cash flows over 50 years from hydropower assets [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Hydropower operators can hold assets indefinitely, enjoying stable revenues, unlike construction companies that exit after project completion [1]. - For example, if China Yangtze Power increases its total installed capacity by 40% from 71.7 million kW to 100 million kW, it could generate an annual revenue of 90 billion yuan, leading to a net profit increase of 18 billion yuan per year [1]. - The additional cash flow could support a long-term dividend yield of over 4%, ensuring that even with stock price fluctuations, the absolute dividend amount continues to grow [1]. Group 2: Index and Sector Analysis - The China Securities Dividend Index includes sectors such as public utilities, transportation, steel, and coal, which together account for nearly 40% of the index, providing diversified exposure to the hydropower project benefits [2]. - The index serves as a more stable long-term investment vehicle compared to construction companies, as it mitigates performance volatility risks associated with construction projects [3][4]. - The China Securities Dividend ETF (515080) is designed for long-term holding, focusing on companies with stable demand and strong cash flows, outperforming traditional bank savings [4]. Group 3: Dividend Strategy - The China Securities Dividend Index undergoes semi-annual reviews to remove companies with reduced dividends and introduce new cash-generating firms, ensuring a focus on the most profitable and generous companies [5].