本报告导读： 中国经济工作的重心正转向内需主导，并作为首要任务，内需复苏、物价回升与地 产企稳会推动经济预期上修。目前内需板块预期与交易出清，相信价值也会有春天。 投资要点： | | 021-38031658 | | --- | --- | | | fangyi2@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520120005 | | | 田开轩(分析师) | | | 021-38038673 | | | tiankaixuan@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524080006 | | | 黄维驰(分析师) | | | 021-38032684 | | | huangweichi@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520110005 | | | 李健(分析师) | | | 010-83939798 | | | lijian8@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525070013 | | | 张逸飞(分析师) | | | 021-38038662 | | | zhangyifei@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524080008 | ...

新乡凤泉区锚定高质量发展，狠抓项目、力促转型，深化"三大提升""六大专项"行动，推动产业集聚、 能级提升。同时，以"退村（城）入园"盘活土地要素，超前布局"1+3+N"园区体系，注重"以企引企"、 以商招商和延链补链、建链强链，招引一大批高质量项目落地生根。 2月19日，新乡凤泉区先进制造业开发区内，总投资8亿元的爱康建材环保新材料管道（三期）项目现 场，已经有工人在平整土地为全面建设做准备。随着多个项目的破土动工，凤泉区以"起步就要奋进"的 姿态，拉开了新年项目攻坚序幕。 "从盘活闲置土地到持续增资扩产，我们扎根凤泉10多年，真切感受到凤泉速度和全链条服务的温 度。"爱康建材负责人指着1月中旬开工的三期项目工地感慨道。该项目建成后，将成为爱康集团辐射中 西部的核心生产基地，预计年产值可达10亿元。 县计县策 "我们坚持系统思维，聚焦主导产业和优势细分领域，深入梳理产业链上下游协作配套企业，实现了'以 企引企'、以商招商和延链补链、建链强链的有机统一。"凤泉区区长丁文广介绍。 项目引进来，更要建得快、发展好。凤泉区秉承项目全生命周期服务理念，创新实施项目"红黄绿灯"管 理、专班推进等措施，确保项目签约、开工、 ...

Core Insights - Domestic demand recovery is ongoing, with technological advancements and emotional consumption as structural highlights [1] - 45% of multinational companies reported improved performance in Q4 2025, while 33% expect further improvement [1][5] - The real estate sector continues to drag down growth, but there are notable structural strengths, particularly in technology and service consumption [1][5] Domestic Demand - Overall domestic demand remains weak, but there are structural highlights such as optimistic prospects for renovation in coatings and elevators [2][12] - Service and emotional consumption are experiencing high demand, with companies like Estée Lauder and Procter & Gamble reporting double-digit growth in specific product lines [2][12] - Companies are adapting to trade friction by increasing localization, with ABB reporting over 85% localization in China [2][12] Trade Friction - Localization strategies are being adopted by companies to mitigate the impact of trade tensions, with some firms shifting to local development and sales models [2][12] - Companies like SKF are facing supply chain pressures due to trade policy uncertainties, but are implementing measures to manage these risks [34] Technology - There is a slight decline in external demand for technology products, with a trend towards domestic substitution becoming evident [3][13] - Traditional companies are benefiting from increased demand driven by technological advancements, particularly in the semiconductor sector [3][13] - U.S. export restrictions and domestic competition are impacting overseas companies' revenues in China [3][13] Industry Summaries Materials and Industrial - Demand for materials and industrial products is generally weak, but there are structural demands in electronic gases due to the semiconductor industry [14][26] - The coatings sector is showing resilience due to renovation demand, while traditional electrical and elevator businesses are facing declines [14][27] Consumer Sector - The consumer sector shows significant differentiation, with companies like Uniqlo experiencing revenue declines due to increased competition [20][21] - High-end products in the beauty sector are performing well, while food and beverage sectors are facing slight declines [21][22] Financial Services - MetLife's operations in China are showing strong recovery, with a focus on optimizing distribution channels and enhancing service offerings [19][41] - The company is transitioning away from telemarketing and focusing on high-end customer segments [41] Technology Hardware - Semiconductor companies maintain a high revenue share in China, but face challenges from export controls and supply chain adjustments [23][30] - Companies like Intel and AMD are experiencing delays and increased competition from local manufacturers [30][31] Machinery - Caterpillar anticipates positive growth in the Chinese market, particularly in larger excavators, while SKF is facing challenges in the automotive sector [32][33] - Companies are adjusting their strategies to focus on local development and sales, with a shift in production towards Southeast Asia [39]

Core Insights - Fuyu, a city with over 2,000 years of history, is undergoing economic transformation, balancing traditional agriculture with emerging industries [3][21] - The local government has improved the business environment by streamlining administrative processes and promoting fair competition, which has attracted various enterprises [9][15] - Fuyu's industrial economy ranks among the top ten in Jilin Province for county-level cities, with key industries including construction materials, agricultural product processing, and automotive components [15] Economic Development - Fuyu's administrative history reflects the evolution of county-level economic strategies, with significant changes in its administrative status impacting local economic development [5] - The city has developed a logistics system around its transportation hubs, enhancing its economic growth potential [5][9] - The agricultural sector has seen consistent growth, with grain production increasing for nine consecutive years, and a shift towards diversified crop planting [13][14] Industrial Growth - Fuyu's industrial base includes construction materials, agricultural processing, and automotive components, with emerging clusters in compound fertilizers and glass manufacturing [15][16] - The presence of major companies in the fertilizer and construction sectors has reshaped local business practices and standards [9][15] - New energy projects, such as wind power and biomass energy, are being developed to diversify the local economy and promote sustainable practices [16] Cultural and Historical Context - The city’s historical significance, from the ancient Fuyu Kingdom to its modern status, contributes to its unique cultural identity [21] - The juxtaposition of old and new urban landscapes symbolizes the ongoing transformation of Fuyu's economy [5][21]

行业状况 经济观察网 美国灰矿建材相关事件前瞻。 建材行业数智融合步伐加快，2024年行业关键工序数控化率达66.5%，"AI+建材"成为升级新方向。海 螺"AI+水泥"建材大模型、中建材"晓妙"建材产业大模型等行业智能解决方案加速涌现，推动传统建材 企业向智能化、绿色化转型。 政策监管 2026年CFIUS审查新规强化对关键技术、基础设施、原材料等领域的投资管控。美国外资审查趋势显 示，半导体及电子元件制造业申报数量下降60%，科学研究与开发领域申报下降57%，建材行业跨国投 资需关注合规风险。 行业并购整合持续活跃 根据水泥网报告，TITAN集团于2026年1月9日宣布以3.1亿美元收购Keystone水泥公司，拓展美国中大西 洋水泥市场版图。此次收购涵盖宾夕法尼亚州的综合水泥厂及骨料业务，熟料年产能90万吨，服务市场 总容量达560万吨左右。法巴银行分析师认为该交易具有战略合理性，有助于在高增长地区建立规模效 应。 业务与技术发展 国金证券报告指出，2026年建材行业主要关注四个方向：传统建材龙头企稳、国内企业出海、高景气新 材料（如AI电子布）、企业并购转型。玻纤子板块因AI终端升级迭代，预计2026 ...

Group 1 - The past year has been challenging yet hopeful for the Chinese economy, with a focus on high-quality development and deepening capital market reforms [3][5] - Shanxi Securities has served over 140 billion yuan in direct financing within the province, leading in corporate bond underwriting for six consecutive years and local government bonds for four years [5] - The company has established a matrix of angel funds with a subscribed scale exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, investing in over 20 new quality projects in the province [5][6] Group 2 - Wealth management services have reached 3.09 million clients, with assets under management (AUM) exceeding 320 billion yuan, achieving both scale and structural optimization [5][6] - The company has restructured its customer service system to enhance efficiency and customer experience, winning multiple awards for financial technology development [6][7] - Shanxi Securities emphasizes its commitment to social responsibility, integrating political advantages into governance and supporting local communities through various initiatives [7][8] Group 3 - The company aims to focus on three strategic pillars: functional leadership, professional standing, and differentiated development, while enhancing capabilities and driving transformation through AI integration [8] - The commitment to serving the real economy and managing residents' wealth remains a core responsibility, with a focus on building a collaborative culture [8] - The company expresses gratitude to its stakeholders and emphasizes the importance of trust and connection in its operations [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The monitoring of market prices for 50 important production materials in China shows a mixed trend, with 28 products experiencing price increases, 20 seeing declines, and 2 remaining stable in early February 2026 compared to late January 2026 [2]. Group 1: Price Changes in Major Categories - In the black metal category, prices for rebar, wire rod, and ordinary medium plates decreased by 0.3%, 0.4%, and 0.2% respectively, while seamless steel pipes remained unchanged [4]. - In the non-ferrous metal category, electrolytic copper saw a price increase of 0.3%, while aluminum ingots and lead ingots decreased by 2.8% and 2.4% respectively [4]. - Chemical products like sulfuric acid and ethanol experienced price increases of 3.3% and 2.7%, while caustic soda and acetic acid saw declines of 2.4% and 4.4% respectively [4]. Group 2: Energy and Coal Prices - In the petroleum and natural gas sector, liquefied natural gas prices fell by 0.8%, while liquefied petroleum gas and gasoline prices increased by 0.3% and 0.9% respectively [4]. - Coal prices showed mixed results, with anthracite coal increasing by 0.7% and coking coal decreasing by 1.0% [4]. Group 3: Agricultural Products and Fertilizers - Among agricultural products, prices for rice and wheat increased by 0.1% and 0.3%, while cotton prices decreased by 0.6% [5]. - Fertilizer prices also varied, with urea increasing by 1.2% and potassium fertilizer rising by 0.5% [5]. Group 4: Monitoring Methodology - The price monitoring includes a comprehensive range of 50 products across 9 categories, covering over 300 markets and nearly 2000 businesses nationwide [7][8]. - The methodology involves various data collection techniques, including on-site price collection and electronic inquiries [8].

Investment Highlights - The construction sector faced pressure in 2025, with the building materials sector showing signs of bottom recovery, as the building materials sector increased by 22.1%, outperforming the construction decoration sector which only rose by 6.7% [2][15][22]. Construction Sector Analysis - The construction sector is under significant fundamental pressure, with a focus on three main investment directions: overseas expansion through the "Belt and Road" initiative, resource value reassessment, and state-owned enterprise reform [3][5]. - The domestic traditional infrastructure investment growth rate is slowing, and real estate construction continues to weaken, limiting the improvement space for the sector [3][5]. - Companies with business transformation capabilities and those positioned in high-growth niche markets performed well, while engineering consulting firms faced pressure due to local government financial constraints [3][5]. Building Materials Sector Analysis - The building materials sector is experiencing structural differentiation, with some segments expected to reach a turning point, particularly consumer building materials [4][5]. - Despite weak real estate data, the marginal negative impact on the building materials sector has significantly decreased, with supply-side improvements expected to precede demand-side recovery [4][5]. - The cement industry is recovering from price bottoming, while the glass industry remains under pressure, and the fiberglass sector is seeing significant improvements due to structural demand [4][5][41][46]. Investment Recommendations - In the construction sector, focus on leading infrastructure companies benefiting from overseas projects and major engineering, such as China Communications Construction Company, China State Construction Engineering, and China Railway Construction Corporation [5]. - In the building materials sector, attention should be given to leading consumer building material companies like Sangke Tree, Oriental Yuhong, and Beixin Building Materials, as well as cyclical building material leaders like Huaxin Cement and China National Building Material [5]. Belt and Road Initiative - The "Belt and Road" initiative has created significant opportunities for the construction sector, with a notable increase in overseas orders and contracts signed in 2025, amounting to $257.98 billion, a 10.8% increase year-on-year [77][79]. - The demand for infrastructure in countries participating in the initiative is expected to grow rapidly, providing a substantial project pool for construction companies [77][79]. Resource Value Reassessment - The expectation of rising prices for non-ferrous metals is anticipated to benefit state-owned construction companies that have acquired valuable mineral resources through past projects [3][5]. State-Owned Enterprise Reform - Policies promoting the securitization of state-owned assets and mergers and acquisitions are expected to create value reassessment opportunities for state-owned construction companies with quality assets [3][5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The National Development and Reform Commission, the Financial Regulatory Administration, and the Civil Aviation Administration of China have issued an implementation opinion on promoting the high - quality development of low - altitude insurance. By 2027, a preliminary mandatory insurance system for unmanned aerial vehicle liability will be established, and by 2030, the policy framework for low - altitude insurance will basically take shape [1]. - The National Film Administration and the Ministry of Commerce have organized a "Film +" consumption comprehensive pilot program to boost consumption and promote the transformation of the film industry into a diversified consumption ecosystem [1]. 3. Summary by Industry Level Upstream - Black commodities are at low prices [1]. - Egg prices have declined [1]. - Building material prices have dropped [1]. Midstream - The operating rates of PX and urea remain high [2]. - The coal consumption of power plants has increased [2]. - The production of pork products has increased [2]. Downstream - The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities have seasonally declined [2]. - The number of domestic flights has remained high and stable [2]. 4. Key Industry Price Indicators | Industry | Indicator | Value (as of 2/9) | YoY | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Spot price of corn | 2271.4 yuan/ton | 0.00% | | | Spot price of eggs | 7.1 yuan/kg | - 12.96% | | | Spot price of palm oil | 8972.0 yuan/ton | - 0.47% | | | Spot price of cotton | 15986.0 yuan/ton | - 0.65% | | | Average wholesale price of pork | 18.3 yuan/kg | - 0.76% | | Non - ferrous metals | Spot price of copper | 101646.7 yuan/ton | 0.79% | | | Spot price of zinc | 24656.0 yuan/ton | - 1.26% | | | Spot price of aluminum | 23406.7 yuan/ton | 1.90% | | | Spot price of nickel | 138650.0 yuan/ton | - 0.20% | | | Spot price of aluminum | 16506.3 yuan/ton | 0.08% | | | Spot price of rebar | 3170.0 yuan/ton | - 0.61% | | Ferrous metals | Spot price of iron ore | 786.9 yuan/ton | - 2.25% | | | Spot price of wire rod | 3367.5 yuan/ton | - 0.96% | | | Spot price of glass | 13.3 yuan/square meter | 0.15% | | Non - metals | Spot price of natural rubber | 16125.0 yuan/ton | 0.62% | | | China Plastic City Price Index | 786.7 | - 0.56% | | | Spot price of WTI crude oil | 63.6 dollars/barrel | - 2.55% | | Energy | Spot price of Brent crude oil | 68.1 dollars/barrel | - 1.83% | | | Spot price of liquefied natural gas | 3620.0 yuan/ton | 0.39% | | | Coal price | 799.0 yuan/ton | - 0.50% | | | Spot price of PTA | 5144.3 yuan/ton | - 0.57% | | Chemical | Spot price of polyethylene | 6800.0 yuan/ton | - 3.20% | | | Spot price of urea | 1765.0 yuan/ton | - 0.70% | | | Spot price of soda ash | 1201.4 yuan/ton | - 0.12% | | Real estate | National cement price index | 131.7 | - 0.79% | | | Building materials composite index | | - 0.43% | | | National concrete price index | 89.8 | - 0.42% | [36]

Market Performance - On the last trading day of the Year of the Snake, the three major indices opened lower and subsequently declined, each falling over 1%. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped by 1.26%, closing below 4100 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.28% and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.57% [1][2]. Yearly Overview - Throughout the Year of the Snake (from February 5, 2025, to February 13, 2026), all three major indices recorded gains. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by over 25%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by nearly 39%, and the ChiNext Index surged by over 58% [4]. - The total trading volume for the year reached 20 trillion, with over 3800 stocks experiencing declines [4]. Sector Performance - In terms of sector performance, the non-ferrous metals and oil & gas sectors saw the largest declines, while shipping, steel, and building materials also faced downturns. Conversely, sectors such as commercial aerospace, robotics, and memory storage showed resilience and performed well [4].