（来源：经济参考报） 赛迪研究院未来产业研究中心副所长李艺铭表示，针对未来产业投入中面临的超高资金密集、超长周期 投入、风险性极高的特性，需因地制宜、分类施策，共同破解未来产业"谁来投"的问题。其中，政府资 金要解决"耐心投"问题，发挥财政资金杠杆，推动面向投早、投小、投长期、投硬科技的科技金融创 新。社会资本要解决"放心投"问题，盘活创投资金和民营资本。金融机构要解决"联动投"问题，用好银 行信贷、资本市场、科技保险、债券发行等多种渠道，畅通政府投资基金的金融全生命周期。 随着科技创新和产业创新深度融合，赛迪研究院近日发布的《2026年我国未来产业发展形势展望》认 为，2026年我国未来产业多赛道有望实现从技术突破到产业化落地的关键跨越。如，量子科技逐步从实 验室走向特定场景应用，在金融风控、药物研发等领域开展试点示范；生物制造技术路线持续成熟，在 医药研发、农业育种等领域的应用深度不断拓展；可控核聚变进入工程可行性验证关键阶段，商业化落 地加速。 北京市日前宣布，计划每年投入1亿元，发现培育100家以上"创赢未来"企业。广东省发布政策指引，设 立总规模1000亿元的广东省战略性新兴产业投资引导基金，首期5 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" marks a significant starting point for energy development in China, emphasizing the importance of building a strong energy nation and establishing a new energy system to support national modernization efforts [1] Group 1: Energy Development Strategy - The "15th Five-Year Plan" outlines strategic tasks for building an energy powerhouse, focusing on high-quality development and technological self-reliance [2][3] - The plan aims to establish a new energy system by the end of the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, which is crucial for the overall development of the country [3] Group 2: Technological Innovation - The emphasis is placed on enhancing the overall effectiveness of the energy technology innovation system, integrating various innovation elements and organizations [5] - The plan highlights the need for original innovation and tackling key core technologies to support the construction of a new energy system [3][4] - The integration of technological and industrial innovation is crucial, with a focus on developing new industries such as artificial intelligence and hydrogen energy [4][5] Group 3: Implementation and Goals for 2026 - Key areas of focus for 2026 include strengthening the energy technology innovation system and advancing major technological equipment demonstrations [6] - The plan includes the implementation of national technology major projects and enhancing energy efficiency while promoting green development [5][6] - The cultivation of new industries and business models in the energy sector is prioritized, particularly in areas like artificial intelligence and new energy storage [6]

Group 1: Biomass Gasification Project - The "Donghua Furnace," developed by Donghua Engineering Technology Co., is a biomass gasification device that successfully converts agricultural waste into synthesis gas, significantly reducing carbon emissions by 70% to 90% compared to fossil fuels [4][6] - The project aims to enhance the value of agricultural waste and promote local economic development while ensuring ecological protection [6][7] - The team is focused on continuous optimization of the gasification process and aims to replicate the technology in other regions [7] Group 2: Hydrogen Production Project - The "Hydrogen Boat" project in Panzhihua, utilizing "concentrated solar water splitting" technology, is set to produce approximately 200 tons of hydrogen annually by December 2025 [8][10] - The technology boasts a hydrogen production efficiency significantly higher than current global standards, with a cost projection of 8 to 12 yuan per kilogram for large-scale production [10][11] - The project has garnered interest from multiple government entities and enterprises, indicating strong market potential for green hydrogen applications in industries such as metallurgy and chemicals [9][12] Group 3: Geothermal Heating in Xiong'an - Xiong'an New Area has implemented geothermal heating, replacing traditional coal heating and achieving significant reductions in carbon emissions, with one heating season replacing 4,847 tons of standard coal [15][16] - The geothermal system utilizes underground heat sources and has expanded to cover the entire urban area, with over 100 geothermal stations operational [16][19] - The integration of geothermal energy with other renewable sources is being explored to create a smart energy microgrid, enhancing energy efficiency and sustainability [18][19] Group 4: Controlled Nuclear Fusion Research - New Hope Group has made significant advancements in controlled nuclear fusion, with the "Xuanlong-50U" device achieving several world-first milestones in fusion technology [22][23] - The project aims to make fusion energy a viable and clean energy source within the next two decades, addressing the growing global energy demand [21][22] - The team emphasizes the importance of talent development and collaboration with various research institutions to support the long-term goals of fusion energy commercialization [23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the defense and military industry, recommending continued focus on commercial aerospace and large aircraft sectors [4][5]. Core Insights - The defense and military industry is expected to see a recovery in performance and orders, with a trend of acceleration anticipated in the second quarter of 2026. Increased military spending intentions from Europe and the US, along with potential catalysts from the upcoming Two Sessions military budget, suggest a sustained interest in the military sector [4]. - The report indicates that the military industry is entering a new cycle of quality improvement and growth, driven by the 14th Five-Year Plan and ongoing geopolitical tensions [4]. - The commercial aerospace sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with significant developments expected in reusable spacecraft technology and a focus on nearly 30 launch missions in 2026 [4]. - The report emphasizes investment opportunities driven by domestic demand growth and technological advancements in the military sector, including areas such as smart technology, unmanned systems, and military trade [4]. Market Performance - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rose by 0.21%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index increased by 0.6%. In contrast, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.27%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 3.28%, indicating that the defense sector outperformed the broader market indices [5][12]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense sector included Shenjian Co. (up 28.07%), Galaxy Electronics (up 21.58%), and TeFa Information (up 20.17%), while the bottom five performers included Tongyou Technology (down 18.37%) and Chunxing Precision (down 13.65%) [12][13]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan military sector is 95.29, indicating it is in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 74.63% since January 2014 [12][21]. - The report notes a differentiation in valuations among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment showing relatively high PE valuations since 2020 [12][21].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the "Lingang Innovation City" aims to transform Lingang from an "industrial highland" to an "innovation and entrepreneurship highland," supporting Shanghai's development as an international technology innovation center [1][2]. Group 1: Development Goals - By the end of 2027, Lingang aims to establish at least 7 world-class research institutions, over 2,000 high-tech enterprises, and attract more than 40,000 innovative talents [3]. - By 2030, Lingang seeks to solidify its strategic technological capabilities and significantly enhance its technology transfer capabilities, becoming an important base for Shanghai's international technology innovation center [3]. Group 2: Unique Advantages - Lingang's strengths lie in its robust industrial foundation and open institutional environment, making it an ideal area for the transformation of results from "1 to 10" and the industrial expansion from "10 to 100" [2]. - The region contributes over 1/9 of the city's industrial output value, gathers about 1/5 of manufacturing fixed asset investment, and accounts for 2/5 of major advanced manufacturing projects [2]. Group 3: Solutions for Technology Transfer - Lingang proposes a solution characterized by "low cost, supportive environment, and practical scenarios" to facilitate technology transfer [4]. - The area offers attractive low-cost entrepreneurial spaces, with 100,000 square meters of "zero rent" incubation space and 200,000 square meters of low-cost development space [4]. Group 4: Financial Support and Ecosystem - A comprehensive financial support system covering the entire lifecycle of enterprise development has been established, including the Lingang Qihang Fund and various specialized support programs [4]. - The region encourages major enterprises to open application scenarios and engage in "challenge-based" initiatives to help startups quickly secure initial orders [4]. Group 5: Future Industry Layout - Lingang Innovation City has outlined five major action plans focusing on technology transfer, leading edge industries, talent aggregation, capital acceleration, and innovation ecosystem construction [6]. - The region aims to leverage its strengths in integrated circuits, civil aviation, smart vehicles, and high-end equipment to foster future industry sectors such as fourth-generation semiconductors and controlled nuclear fusion [6][7]. Group 6: Support for Emerging Technologies - Lingang will support existing successful models like the "photovoltaic hydrogen production and hydrogen integration" demonstration project to accelerate the application and commercialization of new technologies [7]. - A collaborative approach will be taken in the fourth-generation semiconductor field to establish specialized transformation platforms and industry clusters [8].

Core Insights - The recently released "Suggestions for Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of Shanghai" outlines a clear roadmap for Shanghai to become a "world-class socialist modern international metropolis" by 2035, with a focus on future industries [1] - The document emphasizes six key areas: future manufacturing, future information, future materials, future energy, future space, and future health, aiming to strengthen agile layouts in quantum technology, brain-computer interfaces, controlled nuclear fusion, biomanufacturing, and 6G [1][4] Group 1: Alignment with National Strategy - The classification of future industries into six categories aligns closely with the national strategy outlined in the "Implementation Opinions on Promoting Future Industry Innovation Development" released in January 2024, indicating Shanghai's top-level design is increasingly in sync with national priorities [2] - Shanghai had previously introduced a plan in 2022 focusing on five major directions, which has now evolved to include a sixth category, reflecting a shift from directional layout to priority management and accelerated industrialization [2][3] Group 2: Industrialization and Technological Maturity - The document identifies specific technologies that are nearing industrialization, such as brain-computer interfaces, which are entering a "window of industrialization," while quantum computing and controlled nuclear fusion are still in early stages of development [4][5][6] - Biomanufacturing is positioned at a critical juncture for technological breakthroughs and initial industrialization, indicating significant potential across various sectors [5] Group 3: Shanghai's Competitive Advantages - Shanghai's competitive edge lies not only in technological advancements but also in a comprehensive industrial ecosystem that includes leading enterprises, research platforms, and high-end talent across the identified fields [7] - The city ranks second nationally in future industry potential, just behind Beijing, showcasing a "dual-city leadership" dynamic [7] Group 4: Future Development Strategies - Shanghai has established a "four-in-one" cultivation mechanism centered on project management teams, key task lists, future industry funds, and industry clusters, which will be continuously optimized through dynamic assessments of global frontier technologies [8] - Future industry development will require simultaneous strengthening in three areas: proactive layout in frontier technologies, exploration of pathways from technology to industrialization, and innovation in governance and service models to accommodate the uncertainties of new technologies and market dynamics [8]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Future Industries New Materials Expo (FINE 2026) aims to lead global innovation in new materials, emphasizing their critical role in the transformation of high-tech industries and the future economy [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - FINE 2026 will take place from June 10 to June 12, 2026, at the Shanghai New International Expo Center, featuring a total exhibition area of 50,000 square meters and over 800 exhibitors [12][34]. - The expo will include more than 300 strategic and cutting-edge technology reports, showcasing innovations applicable to various industries such as AI, aerospace, smart vehicles, and renewable energy [2][20]. Group 2: Focus Areas - The event will focus on five common needs of future industries: advanced semiconductors, advanced batteries, lightweight functional materials, low-carbon sustainability, and thermal management [2][10]. - Six thematic exhibition areas will be established, including advanced semiconductors, advanced batteries and energy materials, thermal management, lightweight and sustainable materials, new materials technology innovation, and future smart terminals [12][15]. Group 3: Participation and Audience - FINE 2026 is expected to attract over 100,000 professional visitors, including industry leaders and investors, facilitating precise connections between enterprises and industry resources [34][35]. - The event will invite over 5,000 industry investors to support quality startups and enhance collaboration opportunities [10][35]. Group 4: Supporting Organizations - The expo is organized by DT New Materials, in collaboration with various associations and institutions, including the China Productivity Promotion Center and the Ningbo New Materials Industry Association [4][5]. - The event will also feature participation from numerous well-known companies and investment institutions, enhancing its credibility and outreach [35][37]. Group 5: Historical Context and Expectations - FINE 2026 builds on the success of previous expos, including the 2025 International Carbon Materials Expo and the 2025 Thermal Management Expo, which collectively attracted over 35,000 professional visitors from 27 countries [7][34]. - The event is positioned as a pivotal opportunity for businesses to engage in technology transfer and innovation in the new materials sector, aiming to solidify China's position in the global high-tech industry [2][10].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai aims to accelerate the construction of "five centers" to enhance its urban capability and core competitiveness, marking the "14th Five-Year Plan" period as crucial for becoming a globally influential socialist modern metropolis by 2035 [3][4]. Group 1: Five Centers - The "five centers" include international economic, financial, trade, shipping, and technological innovation centers, which are deemed essential for Shanghai's modernization efforts [4]. - The plan emphasizes innovation-driven development and the importance of a coordinated approach between central and local governments to enhance global resource allocation and technological innovation [4]. Group 2: Industrial Structure - Shanghai will implement a "2+3+6+6" industrial structure, focusing on the digital and green transformation of traditional industries and accelerating the development of integrated circuits, biomedicine, and artificial intelligence [4]. - The city aims to establish six emerging pillar industry clusters in electronic information, life health, automotive, high-end equipment, advanced materials, and fashion consumer goods [4]. Group 3: Regional Coordination - The plan calls for higher quality integration of the Yangtze River Delta region, emphasizing cross-regional collaboration in technological and industrial innovation [5]. - By 2035, the functions of the "five centers" are expected to be fully upgraded, with key development indicators reaching international leading levels, and per capita GDP projected to double compared to 2020 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 China Chief Economist Forum highlighted a significant shift in the perception of Chinese assets, transitioning from "overseas optional" to "globally unavoidable," driven by policy certainty, industrial innovation, and unprecedented support from capital markets [1] Policy Determination: Solidifying Development Foundations - High policy certainty is identified as the core support for Chinese assets, with a notable shift in foreign investors' perspectives towards viewing Chinese assets as indispensable [3] - The 2025 timeline is emphasized as a pivotal year for China's strategic goals, with successful implementation of the 14th Five-Year Plan and "Made in China 2025" initiatives [3] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is noted for its clearer direction and specific deployment across traditional and emerging industries, showcasing a robust modern industrial system [3] Industry Breakthrough: Activating Growth Momentum - A complete industrial ecosystem and efficient innovation conversion capabilities are seen as key factors for the optimism surrounding Chinese assets [6] - The strong traditional manufacturing base is crucial for nurturing emerging industries, with examples in robotics and AI demonstrating the interdependence of new and traditional sectors [6] - The AI sector is highlighted for its potential to create a virtuous economic cycle through a comprehensive industrial ecosystem that transforms technological potential into commercial value [8] Capital Focus: Investment Opportunities from Revaluation Waves - Investment opportunities in the context of the "15th Five-Year Plan" are summarized under three keywords: development, people, and security [10] - Emphasis is placed on developing new productive forces, which include both strategic emerging industries and the transformation of traditional sectors [10] - Key investment opportunities identified include mergers and acquisitions, overseas expansion of Chinese companies, technology innovation-related ventures, and opportunities in REITs and similar assets [10][11]

Group 1: Market Trends and Opportunities - A-shares continue to show a trend of oscillating upward, with a focus on structural investment opportunities as the market may experience increased short-term volatility [1] - Investors are encouraged to seize opportunities during market fluctuations, particularly before the Spring Festival, and to pay attention to the performance forecasts of listed companies as the reporting window opens in January [1] - Key sectors to watch include AI applications, robotics, controllable nuclear fusion, and quantum technology, along with a clear recovery path in manufacturing and resource sectors, particularly in non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, and power equipment [1][5] Group 2: Regulatory and Policy Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasizes the importance of deepening comprehensive reforms in investment and financing, focusing on risk prevention, strong regulation, and promoting high-quality development [2] - The Ministry of Commerce outlines key work for 2026, prioritizing actions to boost consumption, including the promotion of the "Buy in China" brand and the development of new growth points in service consumption [3] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - China Galaxy Securities highlights the potential for structural investment opportunities in AI, embodied intelligence, new energy, controllable nuclear fusion, quantum technology, and aerospace, as well as a clear recovery path in manufacturing and resource sectors [5] - Zhongtai Securities recommends focusing on the robotics sector, which has seen consistent capital inflow and remains a key area of interest [6] - Bank of China Securities notes that AI applications offer a high cost-performance ratio, with the AI industry experiencing various phases of market rotation since 2025 [7] - Yongying Fund anticipates that AI technology will continue to be a market driving force, with a shift in market narrative expected towards fundamental improvements [8] - Huaxia Fund observes an increase in the investment potential of Hong Kong stocks, with improved valuation compared to the U.S. Nasdaq index [9] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Fund reports a sustained high level of activity in the engineering machinery sector, with domestic demand and export growth contributing to an upward trend [10]