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“翻倍基”乍现背后 基金经理依然相信港股繁荣刚刚开始
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a prolonged consolidation phase, with significant challenges in liquidity and performance, particularly in sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and technology, which previously showed strong growth [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - In early 2026, the A-share market is performing well, while the Hong Kong stock market continues to struggle, particularly in sectors that previously led the market [1] - By the end of 2025, the performance of Hong Kong-themed funds, especially in innovative pharmaceuticals, has declined significantly, with only one fund showing over 112% growth [2] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index remain in a consolidation phase, contributing to the underperformance of related thematic funds [2] Group 2: Liquidity Issues - Liquidity is identified as a critical factor restraining the Hong Kong market, with a significant drop in net inflows from southbound funds, which were only 23 billion HKD in December 2025 [3] - The IPO market in Hong Kong is expected to remain active, with total fundraising projected to exceed 300 billion HKD in 2026, posing challenges for liquidity [3] - There is a structural liquidity issue in the Hong Kong market, characterized by concentrated trading in large-cap stocks while small-cap stocks experience very low trading volumes [3] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment in Hong Kong stocks should prioritize "winning rate over odds," emphasizing value investing and risk diversification to mitigate liquidity risks [6] - Investors are advised to maintain a cautious approach, focusing on high-quality companies with strong fundamentals and historical integrity, as these are likely to enjoy valuation premiums [6] - The current appreciation of the RMB is seen as a potential driver for increased capital inflows into the Hong Kong market, enhancing its attractiveness [4] Group 4: Sector Focus - Fund managers express optimism about technology and consumer sectors, highlighting the relative undervaluation of Hong Kong stocks compared to global markets [7] - There is a growing interest in high-end manufacturing and innovative consumer sectors, with a focus on companies that leverage supply chain advantages and product innovation [8] - The tea beverage industry is noted for its improving competitive landscape, with leading companies expected to achieve stable long-term growth due to their cost advantages [8]
九十一只基金竞逐一月发行市场 权益资产领跑“小爆款”频现
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a strong start in January 2026, with a significant increase in public fund issuance, totaling 91 new funds, marking a record high for the period [1] - Equity funds led the issuance with 36 new products, reflecting institutional optimism towards equity assets [1][3] - FOF funds showed remarkable performance, with three newly established products raising over 60 billion yuan, accounting for more than 70% of the total issuance for the month, indicating strong demand for asset allocation products [1][2] Fund Distribution - In January 2026, the distribution of newly issued funds included 36 equity funds, 27 mixed funds, 13 bond funds, 13 FOFs, and 2 QDII funds, catering to various investor needs [2] - The total issuance scale of 11 newly established funds reached 81.91 billion yuan, with FOF funds contributing significantly to this figure [2] Performance of FOF Funds - The three FOF funds raised a total of 60.32 billion yuan, representing 73.64% of the total new fund issuance for the month, with the largest being Guangfa Yueying Stable Three-Month Holding A at 32.88 billion yuan [2] - High subscription efficiency was noted, with several funds completing their fundraising in just one day [2] Focus on Technology Innovation - The issuance of technology-themed funds, particularly those related to the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, emerged as a highlight in January, with multiple companies launching index funds tracking various dimensions of the board [4] - Institutions are recognizing the long-term investment value in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and are creating more refined tools to capture growth opportunities across different sectors [4] Diverse Product Offerings - New fund products displayed a diverse range, catering to different risk preferences, with several major fund companies launching mixed equity or ordinary equity funds [4] - The trend indicates a growing emphasis on active management to generate excess returns [4] Global Asset Allocation Trends - In response to global asset allocation trends, several fund companies launched QDII or Hong Kong stock-themed funds, enabling investors to seize opportunities in quality Hong Kong assets [5] - Mixed bond funds and bond-mixed funds were also introduced to provide options for investors seeking stable returns [5] Strong Fund Company Performance - Leading public fund companies showcased robust product development capabilities, with several launching multiple new products across various categories [6][7] - Major banks are serving as custodians for many of these products, indicating strong support from distribution channels for the new fund issuance [7] Market Outlook - The public fund market in January 2026 had a promising start, reflecting fund managers' positive expectations for structural opportunities in the market [7] - The trend of innovation and depth in public fund services is expected to continue, providing investors with new tools to strategically position themselves for investment opportunities in 2026 [7][8]
债市持续调整 机构看好“类固收”策略产品机会
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Group 1 - The A-share market is strengthening while the bond market is experiencing continuous adjustments, with the 10-year government bond yield rising to around 1.90% [1] - Private equity institutions believe that the bond market's acceptance of recession narratives has significantly decreased, indicating a shift away from the previous "lying win" investment strategy based on declining interest rates [1][6] - The recent increase in CPI and PPI suggests a warming domestic economy, leading to heightened inflation expectations and a reversal in the bond market's attitude towards recession narratives [2] Group 2 - The 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yield remains relatively high at around 4.8%, despite a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points by the Federal Reserve [3] - The "see-saw effect" between stocks and bonds is becoming more pronounced, with the 10-year government bond yield reaching a high point not seen since September 2024 [4] - Analysts expect limited upward momentum for the 10-year government bond yield in the short term, suggesting that investors should seize opportunities for increased allocations at the beginning of the year [4] Group 3 - The net supply of interest rate bonds is projected to reach 17.4 trillion yuan in 2026, indicating a significant increase compared to 2025 [5] - Despite the anticipated increase in bond supply, the demand for bonds may not improve significantly due to challenges in real financing needs and a downward trend in loan rates [5] - The current low interest rate environment is leading to a shift in asset allocation strategies, with a growing opportunity for "class fixed income" strategy products [6][7]
金价持续走高 国有大行筑牢交易安全线
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 17:00
Core Viewpoint - The recent rise in gold prices has led to increased trading risks, prompting major Chinese banks to issue warnings and adjust trading rules to protect investors [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Trading Risks - Since January 2026, major state-owned banks in China, including Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, have issued warnings regarding gold trading risks [1]. - The COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $4,518.4 per ounce last Friday, with a weekly increase of 4.34% [1]. - Illegal trading platforms are attracting investors with promises of "low thresholds, high returns, and quick paybacks," which are essentially scams disguised as gold investment opportunities [1]. Group 2: Regulatory Adjustments - Bank of China has warned about illegal platforms that simulate futures trading, allowing investors to bet on price movements while requiring margin payments [1][2]. - The Shenzhen Municipal Office for the Prevention and Control of Illegal Financial Activities has issued risk alerts, stating that various gold and jewelry dealers are not licensed financial institutions and lack the qualifications to engage in gold asset management or public deposit solicitation [2]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China has raised the minimum investment for its gold accumulation business from 1,000 yuan to 1,100 yuan, effective January 8 [2]. Group 3: Risk Assessment Changes - Starting January 12, 2026, personal clients must undergo a risk assessment to engage in gold accumulation services, requiring a minimum risk tolerance rating of C3 - Balanced or higher [3]. - Previously, clients only needed a C1 - Conservative rating to participate in gold accumulation services [3]. - The adjustments reflect the need for investors to have a higher risk tolerance due to increased volatility in gold prices [3].
多重利好叠加释放 脑机接口板块“带飞”持仓基金净值
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
板块热度飙升 Wind数据显示,上周,万得脑机接口概念指数(8841700)大涨18.95%。相关概念股中,创新医疗收获 涨停五连板,南京熊猫、普利特分别录得涨停四连板,美好医疗、三博脑科等也连续4个交易日大涨。 脑机接口板块大涨的背后,是政策、技术、产业与资本的多重利好叠加释放。 2026年开年,脑机接口一跃成为全球科技与资本市场的焦点之一。 近日,特斯拉CEO马斯克宣布,旗下Neuralink公司将于2026年启动脑机接口设备的"大规模生产",并将 转向"更加精简和几乎完全自动化的外科手术流程",这一表态也迅速点燃了市场热情。几乎前后脚,国 内脑机接口独角兽企业强脑科技宣布完成了约20亿元融资,规模位居全球第二。 在海外量产预期、国内政策支持与临床突破的多重共振下,A股脑机接口板块掀起了涨停潮。在板块大 涨的这波行情中,提前埋伏其中的基金也明显受益,净值大幅攀升。 脑机接口,这个一度只存在于科幻作品中的概念,正加速走进现实。 政策、技术与资本共振 1月5日,华银健康生活主题灵活配置单日涨幅达11.8%,领跑全市场基金;长城消费增值混合、国泰创 新医疗混合等单日涨幅也超过10%,位居市场前十。根据2025年 ...
最高增长28倍 投资者回报“浙江样本”这样炼成
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
Core Viewpoint - The capital market serves as a "barometer" for the real economy, with listed companies in Zhejiang actively fulfilling social responsibilities and enhancing investor returns, thereby contributing to a healthy capital market ecosystem [1] Investor Return Initiatives - During the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025), listed companies in Zhejiang achieved significant growth in investor return measures, with total dividends reaching 443.901 billion yuan, a 115.29% increase compared to the previous five-year period [1] - Share buybacks increased dramatically, with 396 companies repurchasing shares worth 74.819 billion yuan, a 28-fold increase from the previous period [1] - Important shareholders in 343 companies increased their holdings by nearly 34.5 billion yuan, a 16.73% rise compared to the previous five-year period [1] Dividend and Buyback Trends - Cash dividends and share buybacks are the most direct ways for listed companies to return value to investors, with Zhejiang companies distributing a total of 443.901 billion yuan in dividends during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The average dividend payout ratio has been increasing annually, reaching 46.71% in 2024, surpassing the national average [2] - By the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, 111 listed companies had cumulatively paid dividends exceeding their total capital market financing, accounting for nearly one-fifth of the total number of companies in the region [1] Leading Companies and Their Contributions - Notable companies such as Hikvision, Zheshang Bank, and Hangzhou Bank have cumulatively distributed over 100 billion yuan in dividends during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - In 2025, the total cash dividends from listed companies in Zhejiang are expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan, nearly doubling from 2020 [2] - Companies like Hikvision have maintained a high actual dividend payout rate of over 50%, with cumulative cash dividends reaching 68.5 billion yuan since its IPO [3] Shareholder Confidence and Buyback Strategies - Important shareholders in 343 companies executed 2,849 buyback transactions, totaling nearly 34.5 billion yuan, indicating strong market confidence [5] - Companies like Rongsheng Petrochemical have initiated significant buyback plans, with total investments nearing 10 billion yuan [5] - Hikvision's share buyback efforts have been complemented by shareholder increases, with significant purchases made by its controlling shareholder [6] Investor Relations Management - Effective investor relations management is crucial for maintaining communication between listed companies and investors, enhancing transparency and governance [8] - Companies in Zhejiang have improved their investor relations frameworks, with the number of companies receiving investor research increasing from 197 to 519 during the 14th Five-Year Plan [8] - Innovative communication methods, such as cloud tours and online meetings, have been adopted to enhance investor engagement [9]
两类权益基金发力 超450亿元资金新年入市
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
Core Viewpoint - The public fund market is experiencing a significant influx of capital at the beginning of the year, with over 45 billion yuan expected to enter the market, driven by new ETF listings and active funds entering their investment phases [1][4]. Group 1: Public Fund Inflows - As of January 9, 2026, the public funds entering the market include 22 newly listed stock ETFs with a total scale of 6.345 billion yuan and approximately 40 billion yuan from actively managed funds that have recently been established [1][2]. - The trend of "deposit migration" is evident, with individual investors becoming the main force in ETF investments, holding over 90% of shares in many products [1][3]. - The rapid increase in stock positions is notable, with ETFs like the Guotai Zhongzheng Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet ETF increasing their stock holdings from 4.8% to 96.59% shortly after listing [3]. Group 2: Active Fund Developments - Since November 2025, 72 new actively managed funds have been established, raising approximately 39.208 billion yuan, with 14 of these funds exceeding 1 billion yuan in size [4][5]. - The fundraising success of these funds is attributed to favorable market conditions and the reputation of well-known fund managers [4]. - The average return of these newly established funds is 3.08%, indicating a stable early-stage performance as they begin to deploy their capital [5]. Group 3: Future Capital Inflows - There is potential for a significant influx of capital into the investment market, estimated to be in the trillions, as excess savings from residents are poised to enter the market [6][7]. - The projected maturity of a substantial amount of fixed-term deposits in 2026 suggests that a portion of these funds may transition into equity markets, particularly in a low-interest-rate environment [6]. - The overall trend indicates a shift in investor confidence towards equity investments, with expectations of continued growth in the stock market driven by improving corporate earnings and valuation recovery [7].
农信系统改革再扩围 三地明确筹建省级农商行
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
Core Viewpoint - The reform of the rural credit system in China is advancing with the establishment of provincial rural commercial banks in Ningxia, Yunnan, and Heilongjiang, adopting a unified legal person model, which is seen as a successful exploration of reform in the banking sector [1][3][4]. Group 1: Ningxia Reform - Huanghe Bank's reform plan for Ningxia Rural Commercial Bank has been approved, marking a significant step in the provincial rural commercial bank reform model [2]. - Huanghe Bank has increased its total share capital from 1.6 billion shares to 1.85 billion shares through two rounds of capital increases in 2024 and 2025, enhancing its capital strength and risk resistance [2]. - The reform aims to merge 19 city and county institutions into a single legal entity bank, which is a typical example of the "financial holding company model" [2]. Group 2: Yunnan Reform - Yunnan Province has approved the establishment of Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank through a new merger, with 122 rural credit cooperatives participating in the process [3]. - The Yunnan Rural Credit Cooperative system has a three-tier legal structure, with the provincial cooperative at its core, and aims to inherit all rights and obligations from the merged institutions [3]. Group 3: Heilongjiang Reform - Heilongjiang's rural credit system is set to initiate the unified legal person model in 2026, with a focus on reform and innovation [4][5]. - The Heilongjiang rural credit system consists of 84 legal entities, including one provincial cooperative and 78 county-level operating entities [5]. Group 4: Overall Reform Trends - Since 2022, a new round of deep reforms in the rural credit system has been launched, with various provinces adopting different reform models, including the unified legal person model and rural commercial bank model [6]. - The unified legal person model is becoming the mainstream choice for reform, as it helps integrate resources, enhance risk resistance, and improve operational efficiency [7].
全国商务工作会议部署今年八项重点任务 深入实施提振消费行动 推动零售业创新发展
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
Group 1 - The national business conference held on January 10-11 outlined eight key tasks for the national business system by 2026, focusing on consumption, trade innovation, foreign investment, and international economic cooperation [1] - The conference emphasized the implementation of a special action to boost consumption, aiming to create the "Buy in China" brand and enhance service consumption potential [1] - It was highlighted that there will be efforts to optimize the implementation of the old-for-new consumption policy and to develop an international consumption environment [1] Group 2 - The conference called for the promotion of trade innovation, including the launch of the "Export China" brand and the development of service trade and digital trade [2] - There is a focus on enhancing foreign investment attractiveness by expanding service sector openness and improving investment promotion levels [2] - The need for effective management of foreign investments was stressed, including the establishment of a comprehensive overseas service system and deepening cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative [2]
深化公积金制度改革 专家建议丰富住房消费支持路径
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-11 16:55
近年来,全国多地持续优化住房公积金政策。据中指研究院监测,2025年全国各地出台的优化公积金贷 款政策约280条,以提高公积金贷款额度、调整公积金贷款套数认定、优化"商转公"、拓宽提取公积金 使用范围(如支付首付、物业费、装修款、税款等)等为主要优化方向。 新年伊始,沈阳等多地优化了住房公积金贷款政策,公积金已成为各地提振住房消费的主要政策。作为 2025年底召开的中央经济工作会议首次提出的重要任务,如何"深化住房公积金制度改革"备受关注。接 受证券时报记者采访的业内人士认为,深化改革的首要任务是丰富公积金对居民住房消费的支持路径, 把各地好的经验上升到国家制度层面,让公积金在扩内需、稳市场中发挥更大的作用。 住房公积金是释放住房消费的重要举措之一。住建部的数据显示,"十四五"时期,全国累计发放住房公 积金个人住房贷款6.5万亿元,支持缴存人提取9.4万亿元住房公积金用于住房消费。中国人民银行行长 潘功胜此前表示,下调住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点,预计每年将节省居民公积金贷款利息支出超 过200亿元,有利于支持居民家庭刚性住房需求。 不过,现行的住房公积金制度仍面临额度不够用等问题。以北京为例,首套房公 ...