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小米汽车Q1总结
数说新能源· 2025-05-28 07:04
经营表现 财务表现 Q:YU7对SU7销量产生影响吗? A:现在产能还是严重不足,交付周期还很长,此外,两个汽车是同一个平台,有高复用性。公司现在也没法预 估未来SU7和YU7的占比结构,特斯拉Model3和ModelY可以作为参考。 Q:智能工厂对盈利能力的影响? A:很多制造工厂都是共用平台的,大的工程的逻辑也是可复用的,小米已经跑通了不同品类的通用性和差异 性。 Q:YU7全息激光雷达,对定价的影响? 家电方面收入增长很快,且高于出货量,这也能看出ASP的提升 季度出货量75869辆(QoQ+8.9%) ASP 23.83万元(QoQ+1.7%) 季度出货量7.5869万辆,SU7累计出货量25.8万辆; 5月YU7正式亮相; 销售网络:已在65个城市开业235家门店。 A:现在还不方便谈价格,但首先,如果产品力不好,那么也是很难有定价能力的,如果产品好,那么盈利不用 担心。 以SU7为例,SU7竞争力很强,在盈利上就很好。 Q:毛利率展望? A:SU7产品力很强,不像其他竞品卖不好很快就降价了,此外,公司单品出货量很高,有规模经济,最后,公 司内部费用率和外部的渠道效率,都是行业最高的。 此外,公司每 ...
小鹏汽车
数说新能源· 2025-05-27 03:32
Group 1: Core Data - In Q1, the company delivered 94,008 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 331%, achieving a record high for a single quarter and ranking first among new car manufacturers in both domestic and global markets [1][11] - The automotive gross margin has increased for seven consecutive quarters, reaching 15.6% in Q1, with a net loss narrowing quarter-on-quarter and free cash flow exceeding 3 billion yuan [1][20] Group 2: Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on three growth curves: AI vehicles (core), globalization (second curve), and humanoid robots (third curve) [2][12] Group 3: Product Performance - The Mona 03 has delivered over 100,000 units in 8 months, becoming the champion of A-class pure electric sedans; the P7 has completed 50,000 units in 5 months; the 2025 models G6/G9 delivered over 7,500 units in the first month, maintaining a monthly delivery of over 30,000 units for six consecutive months [3][11] Group 4: Globalization Strategy - To address EU tariffs, the company is localizing partnerships, adjusting product mix, and considering potential local investments to mitigate impacts [4] - The company aims to enter global markets as a high-tech company, focusing on R&D, manufacturing, and localized services to create a differentiated mid-to-high-end brand [4][14] Group 5: Intelligent Technology - The Turing chip is expected to achieve successful tape-out in 2024, with effective AI computing power 3-7 times that of mainstream industry chips, and mass production of certain models in Q2 2025 [5][16] - The Eagle Eye pure vision solution will enable intelligent driving assistance without relying on LiDAR, enhancing safety and experience in complex scenarios [5][15] - The cloud-based model has reached 72 billion parameters, with a fleet efficiency exceeding 90%, and the physical world model will be fully applied to vehicles by 2025 [5][17] Group 6: Future Plans - The company plans to launch the Mona M03 Max on May 28, bringing Turing AI-assisted driving to models priced at 150,000 yuan; new models G7 SUV and the next-generation P7 will be delivered in Q3 [6][12] - The company expects overseas sales to grow over 370% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with 40 new overseas stores opened in key markets like the UK and Indonesia [6][14] Group 7: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, total revenue was 15.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 141.5%, with automotive sales revenue at 14.37 billion yuan, up 159.2% year-on-year [20] - The company anticipates Q2 2025 deliveries of 102,000 to 108,000 units, with revenue projected at 17.5 billion to 18.7 billion yuan, and expects to achieve profitability in Q4 [7][19] Group 8: R&D Investment - The total R&D expenditure for 2025 is projected to be 8.5 billion yuan, focusing on AI, chips, large models, and robotics [10][32]
周度销量 | 5.19-25
数说新能源· 2025-05-27 03:32
往期推荐 比亚迪出海:发力东南亚 CATL :储能 市场增长高于动力 加入社群 添加半仙微信,备注"进群",邀请你加入锂电行业社群,获得行业最新动态、行业干货 报告和精准人脉。 本公众号基于分享的目的转载,转载文章的版权归原作者或原公众号所有,如有涉及侵权请及时告知,我们将予以核实并删除 主机厂电芯采购:兼顾性能和成本 ...
固态电池近期进展
数说新能源· 2025-05-22 08:50
Group 1 - BMW Group collaborates with Solid Power to develop all-solid-state batteries, which are being tested in the BMW i7, utilizing sulfide electrolyte prismatic batteries and redesigned battery modules to fit the existing fifth-generation electric drive platform [1] - Jinlongyu signed a procurement order for high-energy density solid-state battery cells for drones, specifically the EC01 series with an energy density of 500Wh/kg, with an agreement to purchase 100,000 cells within a year [1] - Guoxuan High-Tech currently has a pilot production line for all-solid-state batteries with a capacity of 0.2GWh, and a 2GWh mass production line is expected to be operational in the second half of 2026, with small-scale production anticipated in 2027 [1]
行业探讨|动力电池哪家强?
数说新能源· 2025-05-22 08:50
有朋友转发给我一段国内动力电池排行点评,我觉得梳理得很全面,也学习到了不少,这里再加上一些个人观点,一起分享给朋友们。 1.宁德时代: 大哥就是大哥。(全球巨头,我觉得是国内制造业的对外标签,加之港股融资,相比国内二线电池厂,资金和技术的投入规模都比较大,如 果单纯拼成本,其他家都玩不过) 2.比亚迪: 迪子自己有车,怕啥子哦,车卖的好。(有人问我怎么看比亚迪的电池,单论规模和技术投入,可以和宁王掰手腕的存在) 3.中创新航: 或多或少还是有国企的一些背书,订单还好,上市公司轻易不会倒。(还是有些新势力车企订单的,活着应该不难) 4.国轩高科: 海外资本+当地政府背景,海外出口做的好,订单可以,上市公司轻易不会倒。(比较简单,就看大众) 5.亿纬锂能: 多方位开花,目前商用动力超过比亚迪,乘用车动力受哪吒以及一些竞争对手的抢单,业务开发稍显不足(4680电池对亿纬是蛮伤的,国内 主机厂不愿意买单大圆柱) 6.欣旺达: 资本推动,多方位抢订单,订单暂时还可以。(理想和小米的定点,高配宁德低配欣旺达,似乎是潜规则) 7.蜂巢能源: 押宝短刀,目前看技术路线经过多次失败后终于走向正轨,( 做了理想之后,希望未来能起 ...
零跑汽车 | 毛利率大幅改善
数说新能源· 2025-05-20 03:36
【要点提示】 25Q1公司实现收入100.2亿,同比增长187%;毛利率实现14.9%,较去年同期的-1.4%大幅改善,毛利率提升主要系战略合作 影响,整车毛利率环比2024Q4略有回调;归母净亏损为1.3亿元。 业绩会指引: 25Q2销量13-14万、毛利率环比出现一定幅度的回落、全力推动Q2盈亏平衡; 2025全年销量50-60万,毛利率10%-12%,全年盈亏平衡。 Q2车型改款:预计6月上市C16改款车型;7月推出C11改款。产品将实现更好的平台化,LEAP3.5较LEAP3.0,智能化方面从 LEAP3.0的8295+OrinX的方案调整到了LEAP3.5的8295+8650的方案,整体上保证了功能强大的基础上达到成本下降 30%-40%。 海外:4月终端销量是3000台。预计2025年底前启动零跑C10在马来西亚的本地制造项目、2026年中实现欧洲本地化生产(已 进入启动前期)。 智能化:计划在25H2及26H1分别推出城市记忆通勤和城市NOA等智能辅助驾驶功能。 门店:截至2025年3月31日,公司已在全国布局销售门店756家、服务门店449家。预计2025年实现1000门店。 2. 持续推进的 ...
周度销量 | 5.12-18
数说新能源· 2025-05-20 03:36
Group 1 - The total number of passenger cars from May 12 to May 18 was 390,000 units, representing a month-on-month decrease of 13.93% [1] - The total number of new energy vehicles (NEVs) sold during the same period was 218,000 units, with a month-on-month decrease of 3.5% [1] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 55.88% [1] Group 2 - BYD is expanding its market presence in Southeast Asia [8] - CATL is focusing on energy storage, with market growth outpacing that of power batteries [8]
理想汽车的成功
数说新能源· 2025-05-19 10:22
Core Viewpoint - The success of Li Auto is not solely dependent on range-extended technology but rather a combination of precise positioning, technological iteration, user experience, and ecosystem collaboration, transforming the disadvantages of range extension into differentiated advantages [1] Group 1: Market Positioning - Li Auto focuses on the mid-to-high-end family market, positioning its products as "mobile homes" tailored to the needs of families with children, such as the six-seat SUV layout and features like refrigerators and TVs [2] - The company avoids direct competition in the mainstream market by targeting the range-extended technology segment, capturing 70% of the large SUV market with the Li L9 and securing the top two spots in the mid-large SUV segment with the L7 and L8 [3] Group 2: Technological Advantages - Range-extended vehicles address the core pain point of range anxiety for Chinese families, offering a "city electric, long-distance fuel" model that combines electric driving experience with extended range capabilities [4] - The simplicity of the range-extended structure (no transmission) provides a driving experience close to that of electric vehicles, with lower maintenance costs compared to plug-in hybrids [5] Group 3: Smart Technology and Service System - Li Auto's investment in R&D exceeds 10 billion yuan in 2024, with 50% allocated to AI, enhancing its smart driving technology to compete at the top tier [6] - The company operates 467 direct sales stores nationwide, providing standardized services and utilizing advanced AI models to enhance user engagement [7] Group 4: User Preferences and Cost Sensitivity - Users prefer range-extended vehicles over plug-in hybrids due to the consistent driving experience and the absence of the "fuel-electric switch" issue found in hybrids [8] - Li Auto's target demographic, primarily middle-to-high-income families, shows lower sensitivity to fuel prices, with 80% of driving scenarios being urban commutes, thus maintaining a cost advantage [8] Group 5: Supply Chain and Ecosystem Synergy - Li Auto supports local suppliers to build an ecosystem that achieves cost reduction through scale, with the L6 model expected to exceed a monthly production capacity of 20,000 units in 2024 [9]
CIBF固态电池企业进展
数说新能源· 2025-05-19 10:22
中科固能 硫化物电解质性能已满足要求、可以制备千米级的稳定大卷。建立全球首条百吨级硫化物生产线,采用湿法 成膜工艺,突破连续制备的成膜技术,硫化物固态电解质卷长最大长度可达1千米,膜厚度<20μm,硫化物 含量>97%,离子电导率>5mS/cm。公司制备电芯能量密度350Wh/kg,循环寿命达1000次,加压水平1- 2MPa,已达车用级水平,后续预计较快突破60Ah级电芯,能量密度预计突破400Wh/kg。 中科深蓝 采用原位聚合工艺、离子电导率接近液态。选用聚合物基全固态路线,电芯尺寸可达65Ah,目前在A样开发 阶段,主要应用于电动车、电动船和evtol,规划双版本产品:①高能量密度版本:能量密度360Wh/kg,循环 寿命1000次,倍率性能不理想;②综合性能版本:能量密度320Wh/kg,3C充电5C放电,循环寿命1000次,实 现无热扩散要求。量产进度看,公司规划1GWh产线(两期),预计25年底投产,26年中批量生产,成本比传 统液态电池高20-30%,未来具备较大降本空间。 国轩高科 硫化物开启装车测试、200MWh中试线已建成。公司发布准固态+全固态产品,整体量产进度超预期,全固态 已搭载星 ...
问界和理想的对比-价格篇
数说新能源· 2025-05-14 08:55
理想L6:24.98-27.98,理想L7:30.18-35.98,理想L8: 32.18-37.98, 理想L9: 40.98-43.98 问界m5:24.98-27.98,问界m7:24.98-32.98,问界m9:46.98-56.98 (1)m5价格和L6价格重合,但是销量只有L6的1/10,应该是产品定位不一样,这个区间要想实现L6的销 量,问界需要推出对标L6的产品或者对M5进行大改。 (2)m7的价格覆盖在L6和L7之间,问界应该是想用m7去打L6和L7,根据销售信息反馈,购买问界m7的基本 是顶配,因此在实际销售中问界m7只是对标L7,但是M7是油改电产品,其产品力还有很多消费者不认可, 因此只是实现了对L7的小幅度超越。所以2025年全新的问界m7改款推出后,应该会对L7和L6进行市场蚕食。 (3)2025年的拳头产品是m8,华为和赛力斯对m8极其重视。m8的价格应该覆盖了L8和L9,及m8定价在32.18- 43.98,理想的L8,L9目前稳态月销量在1.4万左右,m8发布会应该会抢占该市场份额,同时还有外部的市场, m8大概率是爆款,实现月销量1.5万到2万。 (4)在m8,m9,改款m ...