吴晓波频道
Search documents
一堂给企业家的心理工具课
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-30 00:30
点击按钮▲立即预约 " 幸福不是一种飘忽不定的感觉,而是一种可以自我建构的能力。 " 文 /巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) "有没有一门给企业家的'幸福课'呢?" 第一次见到李文超时,吴老师就迫不及待地提出了这个问题。 那时企业界刚发生了令人心惊的"四连跳",余震不绝。作为对中国企业家这一群体保持了四十余年密切接触的观察者,吴老师第一次发现,自己竟 然从来没有关注过企业家的心理层面。 "我甚至也没问过自己这个问题:你幸福吗?我相信很多中国男性都和我一样。" "但文超这个人很奇怪,他天天研究这个问题。" 从某种角度来说,李文超就像是吴晓波的"反义词"。 在决定合作出品一门"企业家幸福课"后,我们相互体验了对方的课程。听完吴老师的激荡讲堂,他当面"发弹幕":"吴老师,您这一口气讲2—3个 小时,实在是太辛苦了,我们坐在下面记笔记都累死。" 而在李文超的心理课上,导师讲课时间基本只占40%,60%则全交给学员组队练习。 在40%的讲课时间,学员可以看手机,困了也可以睡觉。他鼓励大家做"叛逆的学生",抽烟、喝酒、烫头。甚至隐隐之中,你觉得他在期待发生一 些更爆炸的事件,摧毁一切限制性信念。 但在60%的练习时间,学 ...
部分房企不再报三条红线,美元指数急跌至低位 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-29 00:42
点击图片▲立即购买 三部门要求新建住宅配建养老设施 1月28日消息,自然资源部、民政部、国家卫生健康委等三部门近日联合印发《关于深化自然资源要素保障 支持养老服务改革发展的若干措 施》,着力减轻市场主体负担,释放服务供给潜力。三部门表示,新建城区、居住(小)区、新建住宅项目要按照规划标准要求同步配套养老服 务设施。 此外,三部门还明确,将推动创新资源组合供应模式,精准匹配温泉康养、森林康养等新业态需求。同时将养老服务设施用地纳入自然资源管理 和国土空间规划"一张图",实施动态监管,明确未经法定程序不得擅自改变用地用途。(央视新闻) |点评| 中国社会老龄化程度不断加深,养老服务资源配置短缺与失衡日益凸显。养老服务设施具备一定公共服务性质,投资回报周期较长, 市场在短期内对相关设施的投资力度偏弱。三部门发文做出要求,起到引导与统筹作用。降低养老服务用地成本,推动新建住宅配建养老服务 设施,能激活银发经济需求,培育社区养老消费场景,也能倒逼房地产模式优化,提升住宅品质。目前,已有不少地方落实相关举措。 需要注意的是,部分养老服务设施建成后,由于权责划分不清,陷入运营困境甚至长期闲置。要形成可持续的养老服务生态,还 ...
“港女北嫁”激增,风向变了
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-29 00:42
汤可怡是一位原居香港、现居佛山的女性。她自小在香港接受教育,但高考成绩不理想,只能跑去广州暨南大学,期间在学生聚会中结识了广东工 业大学在读的丈夫,相恋两年后结婚。 点击按钮▲立即收听 " 2024 年, " 港女北嫁 " 的数量攀升至 10712 宗,占比增长至 40% 。也就是说,在每十对跨境新人中,就有四对是香港女性牵手内地男性。 " 文 /巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 双方均以粤语沟通,"同声同气",交流顺畅;更关键的是, 汤可怡丈夫的 家庭高度认同香港文化,欣赏港人守秩序、讲礼仪等习惯,俩人在教育 子女等价值观上高度契合。 34岁港生港长的裴恩悦,于广州修读会计后加入家族在深圳的出口公司,工作中她认识了比自己小四岁、从事供应链工作的丈夫。她眼中的丈夫 处事成熟、有商业头脑、为人诚恳,是"值得托付终身的人"。 不仅是普通人,港姐和艺人嫁给内地男性,近几年也成为现象级谈资。 港姐钟丽缇,于2015年参加内地综艺节目时,与小她12岁的内地艺人张伦硕相识相恋,次年结婚;另一位港姐蔡少芬,很早便北上发展,在拍摄 电视剧期间与内地男演员张晋相识,两人在2008年结婚。这两段婚姻均由工作结缘,当时女方的成名时 ...
AI创业新窗口:2026年哪些趋势值得跟?| 今日直播
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-28 00:29
当科技变革的浪潮不再只是新闻头条,而成为每个人职业与生活必须面对的"气候",我们如何在风眼中看清方向,在不确定中锚定机遇? 从"生存线"到"增长线",从宏观格局到个人路径,从上期"科技变革下,普通人的机会在哪里?"对话继续追问,行至第十期,亦是年度思想收官 之场。这一次,我们锁定更具体、更迫近的未来。 2025年,由蓝狮子与吴晓波频道联合打造的"百万粉丝博主年度书单"系列直播持续聚焦各领域具有影响力的博主。我们邀请他们走进直播间, 畅谈个人见解、推荐精选书单,与观众共享阅读的乐趣与智慧启迪。 那么,面对刚刚到来的2026年,科技又将催生哪些真正的创业新窗口? 1月28日18:00,我们邀请了三位来自产业、科普与战略研究一线的"风向观察者"。从技术落地、文明演进与大国博弈三个维度,用四个小时 的"长时间",为各位做一次丰富详实的科技开年展望。 津津乐道播客网络创始人朱峰 将探讨AI如何超越工具属性,释放业务新活力。他将解析从效率优化到潜能释放的范式转变,分享AI如何攻 克"不值得定律"下的开发困境、助力创意极速原型化,并填平传统行业的数字鸿沟,为管理者提供一份从认知到行动的落地指南。 央视科学顾问、"Alex包 ...
社保基金累计结余10万亿,安踏收购彪马29%股权 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-28 00:29
点击图片▲立即报名 2025年全年工业企业利润实现正增长 1月27日,国家统计局发布数据显示,2025年,全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额73982.0亿元,比上年增长0.6%,扭转了连续三年下降态 势。12月份,规模以上工业企业利润同比增长5.3%。2025年,采矿业实现利润总额8345.1亿元,比上年下降26.2%;制造业实现利润总额 56915.7亿元,增长5%;电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业实现利润总额8721.2亿元,增长9.4%。 2025年末,规模以上工业企业每百元资产实现的营业收入为75.9元,比上年末减少2.7元;人均营业收入为188.9万元,比上年末增加5.5万元; 产成品存货周转天数为19.9天,比上年末增加0.6天;应收账款平均回收期为67.9天,比上年末增加3.6天。(国家统计局官网) 据悉,中国正在扩大新就业形态人员职业伤害保障试点,社保基金监管和投资运营以及便民服务不断加强。截至2025年底,职业伤害保障试点 累计参保人数2510万人;基本养老保险基金委托投资规模超过2.98万亿元;全国社保卡持卡人数13.9亿人,其中11.04亿人领用电子社保卡。 (新华社) |点评| 202 ...
越南,正在进行一场豪赌
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-28 00:29
点击图片▲立即收听 " 四个词反映了越南快速崛起的关键,也拆解了 10% 增速的深层代码:精简、开放、私营、基建。 " 文 /巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 越南,增速10 % 越南,最近宣布了两件大事。 ◎ 其一,越南国家统计局公布2025年的经济数据:越南GDP增速高达8.02%,是15年来第二高增速,亚洲第一。 图源: 驻越南社会主义共和国大使馆经济商务处 ◎ 其二,刚刚结束的越共十四大,诞生了新一届领导班子,高级干部更替接近一半,其中不乏有中国留学经历的专业经济官员。 大会期间,越共总书记苏林发表了40分钟的演讲,流露出一股"一万年太久,只争朝夕"的急迫感,他承诺未来五年越南要实现年均至少10%的超 高经济增长,并呼吁通过"新模式"重塑国家治理。 | | | | 1978年 | | | 2017年 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 国家 | | 位次 | 国内生产总值 | 占世界比重 | 位次 | 国内生产总值 | 占世界比重 | | | | | (亿美元) | (%) | | (亿美元) | (%) | | キ | 晶 ...
谁能接住马化腾的红包?
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-27 01:26
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming changes in the domestic AI industry in 2026, highlighting significant investments in technology, increased competition among major players, and market segmentation [3][40]. Group 1: Major Players and Their Strategies - Tencent announced a cash giveaway of 1 billion yuan for the Spring Festival, aiming to replicate the success of its previous marketing campaigns [4][12]. - Baidu is also participating by offering 500 million yuan in cash for the Spring Festival and collaborating with Beijing TV for the event [12]. - ByteDance has secured a partnership with CCTV for the Spring Festival, focusing on its AI cloud service platform, Volcano Engine, although the exact sponsorship amount remains undisclosed [12][21]. - Alibaba is integrating its applications to create a super app, Qianwen, which will serve as a comprehensive platform for various services, including food delivery and navigation [12][29]. Group 2: Investment Trends - ByteDance's capital expenditure for 2025 is projected to be around 160 billion yuan, with plans to increase it to 300 billion yuan for 2026 [21]. - Alibaba announced a three-year investment plan of 380 billion yuan for AI development, which may be conservative according to their estimates [22]. - Tencent's AI capital expenditure for 2025 is expected to approach 100 billion yuan, focusing primarily on AI investments [22]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The current competitive landscape is likened to the Warring States period, with major players like ByteDance, Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu each having distinct strengths [23][28]. - The article identifies a structure of "3+1" for the leading companies, with ByteDance, Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu as the primary players, while other smaller firms are categorized under "5" and "N" for niche markets [24][25]. - The competition is shifting from pure model capabilities to application and entry point competition, indicating a broader strategic focus among the giants [13]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The year 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for AI, characterized by significant technological investments, competitive differentiation, and market segmentation [40]. - The article suggests that while the current competition is intense, the ultimate winners remain uncertain, with potential for various companies to emerge as leaders [39][40]. - The need for a sustainable business model is emphasized, as many companies are currently relying on subsidies and user acquisition strategies that may not be viable long-term [39].
金价首次站上5000美元,公募去年四季度亏损超千亿 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-27 01:26
点击图片▲立即报名 2025年广东省GDP增长3.9% 1月26日,广东省十四届人大五次会议在广州召开。省政府工作报告显示,2025年广东地区生产总值增长3.9%,总量连续37年居全国首位。地 方一般公共预算收入增长3%。货物进出口总额9.5万亿元,增长4.4%,贡献了全国24.1%的增量。服务贸易增长12.5%。实际使用外资增长 11.3%,农林牧渔业总产值增长4.9%。规上工业企业达7.6万家、增加值增长3%。 报告指出,2026年经济社会发展的主要预期目标是:地区生产总值增长4.5%—5%,地方一般公共预算收入增长3%左右,居民收入增长与经济 增长同步。(广州日报) |点评| 作为全国经济第一大省,在高基数下,去年广东GDP还能实现3.9%的正增长,表现出较强韧性。去年全年,广东继续发挥全国外 贸"压舱石"作用,贡献了近四分之一的外贸增量。实际使用外资增长显著,构成其创新与开放的根基。不过,3.9%的增速略低于全国水平以及 年初预期,广东省经济增长仍面临一定挑战。 当前,广东处于新旧动能转换的关键期,转型阵痛客观存在。房地产深度调整,波及上下游关联行业;全球产业链重构,部分出口加工业面临 下行压力,都对 ...
越来越多的人跑去香港买保险
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-26 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector is becoming increasingly attractive to investors, with significant growth in both the A-share market and the Hong Kong insurance market, driven by lower interest rates and a shift of capital from traditional savings to higher-yielding insurance products [3][4][5]. Group 1: Insurance Market Performance - As of January 25, 2026, the A-share market's three-year return is 31.01%, while the insurance industry index has achieved a return of 51.75% [4]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the five major listed insurance companies in A-shares reported a total net profit of 426 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 33.5% [5]. - Major insurance companies such as China Life and Ping An have shown substantial growth in both revenue and net profit, with China Life's net profit increasing by 60.5% year-on-year [6]. Group 2: Hong Kong Insurance Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong insurance market has seen a surge in mainland Chinese investors, with 50.5% year-on-year growth in new policy premiums in the first half of 2025, and 29% of new policies purchased by mainland visitors [10]. - Hong Kong's insurance products offer greater flexibility and higher investment returns compared to mainland products, attracting more sophisticated mainland investors [10][11]. - The majority of new policies in Hong Kong are denominated in US dollars (79.8%), highlighting the preference for foreign currency products among investors [12]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities in Hong Kong Insurance - Hong Kong's dividend insurance products have a much higher expected return compared to mainland products, with potential returns reaching 4%-6% over 30 years [20][21]. - The advantages of Hong Kong's critical illness insurance include higher leverage, multiple payout options, and broader coverage compared to mainland offerings [26][30]. - Innovative financial strategies, such as leveraging loans to invest in high-yield insurance products, are being explored by investors, although they carry significant risks [32][33]. Group 4: Broader Investment Trends - The Hong Kong stock market is becoming a preferred destination for mainland companies, with a record IPO financing amount of 286.3 billion HKD in 2025, indicating a robust market environment [34][35]. - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market increased by 90% in 2025, reflecting heightened investor interest and market activity [38]. - The Hang Seng Index rose by 25.77% in 2025, showcasing strong performance amid favorable market conditions [39]. Group 5: Strategic Importance of Hong Kong - Nearly 80% of mainland enterprises are choosing Hong Kong as their global expansion starting point, benefiting from its financial services and strategic location [42]. - Hong Kong's unique position as a free trade port allows for flexible currency transactions, making it an attractive option for businesses looking to mitigate exchange rate risks [43]. - The presence of a large pool of professional service providers in Hong Kong supports mainland companies in navigating international markets effectively [46].
虚空价值、青年震荡文化、流体工作态…26个商业新词
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-25 00:21
点击上图▲立即收听 " 清单一出,被大量商业领袖引用分享,不少品牌和咨询机构亦将其列为年度创新指南。 " 文 /巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 吴老师曾说:"选择大于努力,但趋势大于选择。" 那么,2026年的趋势究竟在哪? 彼得·菲斯克(Peter Fisk),这位曾准确预测数字化转型等浪潮,为可口可乐、微软做战略的"商业趋势捕手",在其最新报告中指出了将重塑全球 未来商业的26个趋势,旨在帮助企业家捕捉"后AI时代"的战略信号。 这26个趋势涵盖了消费者⽂化、技术、商业模式、领导⼒、经济学、营销和品牌⾏为等多个维度,并呈现五大典型特征: ① 消费 从交易行为转向文化参与,包含趋势有:新兴富裕阶层、新中产阶层、青年震荡文化、小奢侈、悦己科技、身份消费; ② 技术 从工具演变为无形、智能的环境,包含趋势有:生物融合生活、量子就绪、优化健康、人类增强、绿色超级技术、动力城市; ③ 工作 趋于流动化、无界化与人机协同,包含趋势有:液态学习、流体工作态、错时生活、算法全覆盖; ④ 商业模式从 产品转向生态系统,包含趋势有:认知设计、市场融合、虚空价值、零摩擦体验、解绑选择; ⑤ 品牌 进化为社区、公民与文化参与者 ...