吴晓波频道
Search documents
云、AI与制造,中国出海的新三要素
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-11 00:20
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the combination of the global wave and the artificial intelligence revolution presents significant opportunities for Chinese entrepreneurs, marking a new era of "AI+ going global" as a crucial theme for the future [3][5]. Group 1: AI and Global Expansion - The popularity of generative AI in China surpassed 35% in early 2024, indicating a significant breakthrough in AI technology adoption [3]. - The emergence of humanoid robots during the Spring Festival has brought attention to embodied intelligence, which is expected to become a trillion-dollar industry in China, succeeding the electric vehicle sector [3]. - The demand for cloud services has surged as Chinese companies increasingly view international expansion as a necessity rather than an option, with Alibaba Cloud projected to surpass AWS in growth index by 2025 [5]. Group 2: Stages of Chinese Companies Going Global - Chinese companies have undergone four waves of international expansion, with the current phase being characterized as "full-factor going global," where companies are not just exporting products but also relocating equipment, technology, talent, and capital [11][14]. - The first wave in the mid-1990s involved component manufacturers, followed by the second wave in the late 1990s with "Made in China" products. The third wave in the mid-2010s was marked by the rise of cross-border e-commerce [12][13]. - The current fourth wave sees AI companies inherently designed for global markets, diverging from previous models of internationalization [15]. Group 3: New Challenges for AI Companies - AI companies face unique challenges in their global expansion, as their initial setup is already geared towards international markets, unlike previous generations of companies [15]. - New entrepreneurs are leveraging AI technology to create products aimed at global markets from the outset, with companies like MiniMax achieving rapid success in overseas markets [16][18]. - Established companies like Meitu are also accelerating their international presence, with significant user growth driven by AI features [21][22]. Group 4: Complexities of Global Operations - Companies expanding internationally must navigate a complex landscape characterized by geopolitical tensions and a shift towards a multi-core world, which complicates standardization and compliance [28][29]. - The operational challenges include adapting to diverse regulatory environments and cultural differences across regions, necessitating flexible and adaptive strategies [30][35]. - AI companies require robust cloud infrastructure to support their global operations, with a focus on seamless deployment and compliance with local regulations [36][38]. Group 5: Role of Cloud Services - Alibaba Cloud has emerged as a leading choice for over 80% of Chinese companies going global, providing standardized global technology architecture and support [42]. - The company is investing significantly in AI infrastructure, with plans to establish data centers in multiple countries to support international operations [44]. - The future of cloud services will be critical for AI companies as they seek to establish a competitive edge in global markets, with a focus on operational efficiency and technological support [45][50].
跨境电商退运税收优惠延期,周大福拟年后上调价格 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-11 00:20
Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook - The central bank conducted a 3,114 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation, with a net injection of 2,059 billion yuan, indicating a proactive approach to manage liquidity ahead of the Spring Festival [2] - The central bank is expected to accelerate interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions due to ongoing economic challenges, with January's manufacturing PMI falling into contraction territory [3] Logistics and Economic Activity - The total social logistics in China reached 368.2 trillion yuan, growing by 5.1% year-on-year, with logistics costs as a percentage of GDP decreasing to 13.9% [4] - Industrial logistics contributed significantly to growth, with high-tech manufacturing logistics demand increasing over 9%, particularly in industrial robots and new energy vehicles [4][5] Cross-Border E-Commerce Policies - The Ministry of Finance extended tax incentives for cross-border e-commerce export return goods until the end of 2027, with the 2025 export-import scale reaching 2.75 trillion yuan, a 69.7% increase since 2020 [6] - The policy aims to alleviate financial burdens on businesses facing challenges due to international market conditions [6] Ride-Hailing Industry Regulation - The Ministry of Transport held discussions with Gaode Dache regarding management issues and pricing practices, emphasizing the need for improved operational safety and compliance [8][9] - The regulatory focus aims to foster a transparent and fair competitive environment in the ride-hailing market [9] Corporate Financing and Investment Trends - Alphabet plans to issue a rare 100-year bond, marking a significant move in corporate financing amidst substantial capital expenditures aimed at AI development [10][11] - Microsoft faced a downgrade in ratings due to concerns over capital expenditures and the performance of its AI products, despite a majority of analysts still recommending the stock [12][13] Gold Market Dynamics - Chow Tai Fook plans to raise gold product prices by 15%-30% due to rising international and domestic market factors, marking its fourth price adjustment in a year [14][15] - The shift in consumer demand from gold jewelry to investment products reflects changing market dynamics, with leading brands innovating to add value beyond weight [15]
松弛感创业开超市,95后砸4千万出海大马 | 卓立出海谈
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-11 00:20
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by a Chinese entrepreneur, Mandy, in opening a supermarket in Malaysia, highlighting the complexities of market entry, cultural differences, and operational hurdles [2][3]. Group 1: Entry Barriers - The supermarket required an investment of 25 million Malaysian Ringgit (approximately 40 million RMB) for a space over 3000 square meters, which poses a significant entry barrier for foreign investors [5][6]. - Foreign companies face additional challenges, such as high rental deposits and local ownership requirements, which complicate the startup process [7][10]. - The perception that local businesses should primarily serve the market leads to increased barriers for foreign trade and retail operations [11]. Group 2: Preparation Time - The entire process from the decision to open the supermarket to its actual launch took nearly one year, with significant time spent on site selection and legal preparations [13][14]. - Finding a suitable location was particularly challenging, as landlords require proof of successful business models and product offerings [15][18]. - The renovation process was prolonged due to local regulations, requiring detailed submissions and approvals for construction plans [20][21]. Group 3: Operational Details - The supermarket currently generates monthly revenues in the million RMB range, with average customer spending varying between 80 to 500 Malaysian Ringgit depending on the customer demographic [22][23]. - Pricing strategies align with domestic prices, but the costs are generally higher due to logistics and product loss, which are borne by the supermarket [24][27]. - Inventory management is complex, requiring adjustments based on sales data and market trends, with a current SKU count of less than 10,000 [35][36]. Group 4: Marketing Strategies - Marketing efforts leverage social media platforms like Xiaohongshu, which has a high usage rate among the local Chinese community, to promote the supermarket [38]. - Various promotional strategies, including customer referral programs and social media engagement, have been employed to attract customers [39][40]. - Cultural misunderstandings in marketing approaches have led to challenges, such as a failed prepayment promotion that was perceived as a scam by local consumers [41][43]. Group 5: Brand Naming Challenges - The initial choice of a name similar to a well-known Chinese brand led to legal disputes and confusion among local consumers, highlighting the importance of cultural relevance in branding [47][49]. - The entrepreneur is currently navigating legal issues related to the brand name while planning to launch a new brand to avoid further complications [50]. Group 6: Entrepreneurial Insights - The journey of opening the supermarket illustrates that international business does not always require large-scale operations; it can also be about pursuing personal passions and solving problems incrementally [52]. - The experience emphasizes the need for adaptability and understanding of local market dynamics to succeed in foreign ventures [52].
中国AI人,“三年没过好年”了|一线
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-10 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The article posits that the upcoming Spring Festival marks a pivotal moment for AI applications in China, indicating the beginning of a new era for AI integration into daily life and business practices [2][20]. Group 1: AI Application and Market Dynamics - Major tech companies are heavily investing in AI-related activities during the Spring Festival, with Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance launching various initiatives to attract user engagement, including significant red envelope campaigns totaling over 50 billion [4][10]. - The competition among these companies is not just about user engagement but also about leveraging AI capabilities to enhance their respective platforms, with a focus on integrating AI into social, entertainment, and e-commerce sectors [8][26]. - The article highlights the intense preparations by both large and small AI firms to capitalize on the increased traffic during the holiday, with many companies already in a state of readiness weeks in advance [17][18]. Group 2: Workforce and Operational Challenges - AI professionals are facing significant pressure during this period, with many required to work through the holiday to ensure system stability and performance amid high user demand [14][17]. - The article notes that the operational strain is not limited to major firms; smaller AI companies are also feeling the heat as they compete for resources and market share during this critical time [19][39]. - The demand for GPU resources is escalating, leading to a scramble among companies to secure necessary computing power, which is crucial for maintaining service quality during peak usage [18][32]. Group 3: Future Implications and Trends - The article suggests that the Spring Festival will serve as a significant testing ground for AI applications, potentially leading to transformative changes in how AI is utilized in consumer-facing scenarios [24][26]. - It anticipates that by 2025, the user base for generative AI in China will reach approximately 602 million, indicating a growing acceptance and integration of AI technologies in everyday life [27]. - The competitive landscape is expected to evolve, with established players likely dominating the market, while smaller firms may struggle to find their footing amidst the heightened competition [38][39].
31省市披露去年财政收入,最严虚拟货币监管落地 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-10 00:29
Group 1: Fiscal Revenue Insights - In 2025, Guangdong's fiscal revenue is expected to approach 1.4 trillion yuan, maintaining the top position for 35 consecutive years, while Jiangsu's revenue surpasses 1 trillion yuan, ranking second nationally [2] - The overall growth of local fiscal revenue in China is 2.4% compared to the previous year, with regions like Tibet, Jilin, and Xinjiang showing double-digit growth rates [2][3] - The fiscal revenue growth reflects the resilience of economic development despite challenges such as insufficient domestic demand and ongoing adjustments in the real estate market [3] Group 2: Virtual Currency Regulation - The People's Bank of China, along with eight departments, has issued strict regulations on virtual currencies, declaring related activities as illegal financial activities and prohibiting the issuance of stablecoins linked to the yuan abroad [4] - A significant incident occurred in South Korea where a trading platform mistakenly distributed over $44 billion worth of Bitcoin, highlighting the risks associated with virtual currencies [4][5] - The regulatory stance from China indicates a commitment to maintaining financial stability while recognizing the need for balanced development and oversight of the virtual currency industry [5] Group 3: Semiconductor Market Forecast - The global semiconductor sales are projected to reach $791.7 billion in 2025, with a growth rate of 25.6% from 2024, and expected to approach $1 trillion by 2026 [8] - The fastest-growing segment within the semiconductor market is logic chips produced by companies like Nvidia and Intel, with a projected sales increase of 39.9% in 2025 [8] - The demand for semiconductors is being driven by strong growth in AI and data center sectors, indicating a shift in the traditional market cycles [8][9] Group 4: Solar Industry Developments - Aixin Co. and TCL Zhonghuan have signed a patent licensing agreement worth 1.65 billion yuan, marking the highest record for patent licensing fees in China's solar industry [10] - The agreement comes after a series of patent disputes, indicating a trend towards resolving conflicts through financial settlements rather than prolonged litigation [10][11] Group 5: AI Video Generation Technology - ByteDance has launched a new AI video generation model, Seedance 2.0, capable of creating high-quality videos from text or images in under 60 seconds [12] - The model significantly enhances the usability of AI-generated videos, addressing previous limitations in handling complex scenes and maintaining consistency [12][13] Group 6: SpaceX's Strategic Shift - SpaceX has shifted its focus from Mars to building a self-sustaining city on the Moon, aiming to achieve this goal within the next decade [14] - This strategic pivot aligns with NASA's plans for lunar exploration and reflects a pragmatic approach to securing funding and demonstrating viability in space projects [14][15] Group 7: Stock Market Performance - On February 9, the stock market saw significant gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by over 2% [16] - The market's performance was driven by strong interest in AI applications, chemical sectors, and solar concepts, indicating a recovery in investor sentiment [16][17]
除了低成本,柬埔寨还有什么?
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-09 00:30
一是综合成本低。 对制造业而言,"人"与"地"是成本的核心。柬埔寨在这两方面仍保持着相对周边国家的显著优势。 | 国家 | 最低月工资(美元) | 工业用地价格(美元/m²) | 电力成本(美元/千瓦时) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 柬埔寨 | 208 (2025年制衣业正式员工) | 45-180 (工业园区内) | 0.137(专线直供) | | | 210 (2026年最新标准) | 30-50 (偏远地区) | 0.15-0.35(园区转供) | | 越南 | 250-350 (2025年) | 133-189 (北部工业区) | 0.08-0.11 (工业用电) | | | 265-375 (2026年最新调整) | 179 (南部工业区) | | | 泰国 | 300-400(曼谷及周边) | 较高(曼谷及EEC区域约 | 0.07-0.15(工业用电. 高峰约0.13美元,低谷约 | | | | 15.000-30.000泰铢/m2. | | | | | 约420-840美元/m2) | 0.07美元) | 加入联盟会员▲免费领出海报告 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号 ...
牛市怎么过春节?
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-09 00:30
点击按钮▲立即预约 " 节前 5 个交易日胜率仅 33% , 10 个交易日胜率 25% ,而节后胜率高达 100% 。 " 文 /巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 各位,多久没有在牛市里过春节了? 打开行情软件,上一次经历"牛市+春节"的,还是在2015年,再上一次,就要追溯到2007年,是实打实的"十年一遇"。 考虑到如今的投资者里,有不少是95后、00后萌新,对他们而言,"牛市春节"显然是个陌生事物。 据 上交所最新的数据 : 2026 年 1 月 A 股新开户 491.58 万户 ,环比增长 89% ,同比和去年 1 月份的 157 万户相比,同比增长 213%——存款 搬家,新人入场,热闹的行情也到了个科普的节点:牛市怎么过春节? 今天的文章,我们就结合当前的一些机构判断,以及需要注意的交易常识,为大家接下来的决定做个参考。 在此之前,不妨先做个也能成为参考的调查:无论是炒股还是买基金等,这个春节,各位是准备"持股过节""空仓过节""半仓过节"? 需要了解的"规则差" 对投资们来说,未来一周,不仅是辞旧迎新,更是迎来了一个决定时刻。 原因首先在于"规则",据沪深北三大交易所发布的公告,2月14日 ( ...
深圳们的“软法”
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-08 00:29
点击按钮▲立即预约 " 软法工具之 ' 软 ' ,并非仅指向形式上的非正式性,而更在于其核心内涵的尊重与宽容。 " 文 /巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) 在商场逛了大半天,刘彦的烟瘾悄悄犯了,看着墙上"禁止吸烟"的提示牌一块比一块醒目,他熟门熟路地想起了那个"灰色地带"——男厕所。 可刚走到门口,他的脚步一下刹住了,一块牌子醒目地贴在门上:"吸烟将使玻璃变透明!可别没忍住,被拍变成网红了!" 图源:小红书 被这行字拦下来的,不止刘彦一个人。前段时间,深圳罗湖商场里这扇特殊的男厕所门被网友拍下传到网上,很快登上了热搜。 据报道,这座商场经常收到顾客投诉有人在卫生间吸烟,但保洁人员口头劝阻效果甚微,一直缺乏有效的制止手段。去年8月,商场启用新装置, 一旦卫生间的烟感报警器检测到烟雾,门上的玻璃便会自动通电,随即切换为透明模式。 对此,网友们议论纷纷,有人称赞这是"用魔法打败魔法",成本低效果好;有人提出直接加装喷淋系统,一劳永逸;也有人担忧,这样的设计是否 存在隐私问题。 不论评价如何,这扇门的出现,本身就是一次对治理二手烟的有趣探索,这背后,其实有一个新名词——软法。 软法 所谓软法(Soft Law),就是 ...
吴晓波×杨龙昇:从跟随到领航,AI眼镜的中国底气|直播预告
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-08 00:29
点击按钮▲ 预约直播 文 / 巴九灵(微信公众号:吴晓波频道) "AI硬件的未来铁定在中国。" 这是吴老师最近发出的感慨。 从CES到阿里云的智能硬件展,他观察到,展会上最热闹的且中国企业扎堆的消费电子产品,是AI眼镜的展台。AI浪潮席卷全球,智能设备层 出不穷的背景下,吴老师认为AI眼镜或将成为一个现象级的智能硬件赛道。 2月9日18:00在吴晓波频道直播间,吴老师将邀请影目科技创始人杨龙昇 进行一场关于AI眼镜、创业坚守与中国硬科技底气的深度对话。 在吴老师看来,中国厂商的创新活力,让他看到了"群狼效应"背后的产业底气。 制造AI眼镜所需的摄像头、显示和光学模组、芯片、电池、镜架等零部件,除高规格产品对先进芯片有一定依赖之外,其余已完全可以实现国 产化。 他认为,如同智能手机和智能汽车一样,在未来的AI眼镜战场上,美国有两到三个品牌领跑,其余份额被中国公司瓜分。 与此同时,借由AI眼镜的发展,为我们提供了一个洞察和理解中国制造的新窗口:如何在高精尖硬件领域,完成从"零件组装"到"系统集成"的 自主进化。 这场直播将如何展开? 双重演讲 预见产业进化的刻度 ◎ 吴晓波:《一副眼镜的进化》 吴老师将结合他在C ...
吴晓波:杨龙昇的眼镜梦
吴晓波频道· 2026-02-07 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of AI glasses as a significant smart hardware trend, highlighting the journey of Yang Longsheng, who believes that smart glasses will replace smartphones as the next major interface for social interaction and technology [2][39]. Group 1: Yang Longsheng's Background and Journey - Yang Longsheng, a post-90s graduate from Dalian University of Technology, initially pursued finance but shifted his focus to computer science, developing various applications during the mobile internet boom [3][4]. - His interest in smart glasses was sparked by the TV series "Black Mirror," which featured a character using smart glasses to record and replay visual memories [7][8]. - After graduation, he worked in a maker space in Shenzhen, where he gained experience in VR technology and met key figures in the industry [12][13]. Group 2: Development of Smart Glasses - Yang Longsheng joined Coolpad in 2018, where he led the development of the first consumer-grade all-in-one AR glasses, focusing on social applications [19][21]. - The AR glasses, named Xview, were announced in July 2020 but did not enter mass production due to the company's financial struggles [26]. - In December 2020, Yang founded Yingmu, aiming to continue his vision for smart glasses, and invested heavily in acquiring core technologies [27][30]. Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Yingmu's first product, INMO Air, launched in April 2022, followed by INMO Air 2, which became the world's first mass-produced dual-lens full-color AR glasses [30]. - By 2024, Yingmu is projected to hold a 47.6% market share in AR glasses shipments and 39.7% in sales revenue in China, leading the industry [32]. - The article emphasizes the potential of AI glasses as a new human-computer interaction interface, with predictions of global shipments reaching 23.6 million units by 2026 [40]. Group 4: Technological Innovations and Competitive Edge - Yingmu's INMO Go, released in 2023, features advanced capabilities such as real-time translation and a lightweight design, setting a new standard in the industry [35][38]. - The company has positioned itself ahead of competitors by focusing on technology depth, iteration speed, and innovative application scenarios [43]. - The article notes that the supply chain for AI glasses is largely rooted in China, with the potential for domestic companies to dominate the market [41].