本文来自微信公众号： 底线思维 ，作者：岳汉（旅泰中国媒体人），原文标题：《佩通坦，到底栽 在谁手里？》，题图来自：视觉中国 佩通坦，被停职了。 一门三总理，代代无善终。泰国岗位的风险系数，快要和韩国坐一桌了。 "停职"是什么意思，接下来要上演什么剧情？害她的人到底是谁？网上关于佩通坦、泰国政治的解 读，哪些是扯淡，哪些是纯扯淡？泰国当代历史，为啥老是不断上演一模一样的狗血剧情，背后究竟 卡在哪儿了？ 以下文章来源于底线思维 ，作者岳汉 底线思维 . 观察者网时评专栏 停职：凶多吉少的政变替代品 首先，佩通坦这个"停职"，是怎么回事。 大家应该都听说了，前段日子泰柬互啄，佩通坦给洪森打了个电话，称叔道舅拉家常，并对洪森说了 泰国军方的一些坏话，结果反手就被洪森给卖了。 本来，佩通坦位子坐得就不是很稳，这事儿一出，声望更加跌落谷底。 各方政敌"趁虚夺命"，落井 下石，发动示威、煽动民意、将佩通坦告上公堂。 泰国，有一个神奇的东西，叫"宪法法院"。 这个法院由非民选的九个老法官组成，具有罢免总理、解散政党、推翻政府的权力。这次，上议院的 一群老议员 （上议院是佩通坦政敌，副总理阿努廷的势力范围） 将佩通坦告到了宪 ...

毫无疑问，自从特朗普第二任期以来，世界局势正在极剧加速变化。也因为这种变化，让不管中国还 是整个世界都在承受着巨大的压力。 值此大争之世，我们有困苦，有迷茫，有很多急切的期盼，以及很多要做的事情；有很多老问题，也 有很多新问题，有国内外各种复杂的关系在等待我们去辨析，去处理，去定性。最为关键的，是我们 要明确并坚持正确的立场，正确的道路，万不可行百里而怠于九十。 今天，我们通过几个方面的讨论，来说说在当下这个大争之世下，在这个纷乱时代中，我们该如何独 善其身，又该如何兼济天下。 一 前不久，环保少女格蕾塔·通贝里女士带着一批进步人士，试图强行冲破以军封锁，为加沙难民送去 人道主义物资。像格蕾塔·通贝里这样的西方环保人士，过去普遍被西方"正道世界"塑造成进步的存 在，是颇受人们尊敬的。但对如今国内比较关心时事的人来说，早就不太把这些人的言行当一回事 了。 以下文章来源于新潮沉思录 ，作者潮思 新潮沉思录 . 新潮沉思录 本文来自微信公众号： 新潮沉思录 ，作者：刘梦龙，题图来自：AI生成 尤其是格蕾塔·通贝里本人，作为一个典中之典的西方环保活动家，更是长期被国人当作戏谑的对 象。如今，她用实际行动证明，她是真的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges of college entrance examination (Gaokao) application processes in China and highlights how Quark's generative AI technology has transformed this complex decision-making scenario into a more structured and user-friendly experience [1][2]. Group 1: Quark's AI Technology - Quark has launched the "Gaokao Volunteer Model" and the "Volunteer Report Agent" product, which utilizes its "Deep Research" technology to assist students in making informed decisions about their college applications [1][2]. - As of June 30, Quark has generated over 10 million volunteer reports, making it the largest application of deep research technology in China [1]. - The deep research capability allows AI to participate in decision-making and structural reasoning, moving beyond mere information retrieval [2][6]. Group 2: Evolution of Quark's Services - Quark's vision since its inception in 2018 has been to create a "personal AI assistant" that understands user intent and aids in decision-making, particularly in complex scenarios like college applications [4][5]. - The company has built a comprehensive knowledge base covering over 2,900 universities and 1,600 undergraduate programs, achieving nearly 100% coverage of Gaokao-related data [5]. - The transition from providing information to assisting in decision-making was catalyzed by advancements in AI technologies post-2022 [5][6]. Group 3: User Interaction and Feedback - The deep research technology emphasizes structured reasoning, causal modeling, and strategy inference, allowing users to clarify their true needs through interaction [6][8]. - Users are actively engaged in the decision-making process, leading to more precise volunteer plans as they refine their preferences through multiple interactions [6][8]. - The number of generated volunteer reports continues to rise, indicating strong user acceptance and demand for this service [9]. Group 4: Future Implications - Quark's approach to deep research in the Gaokao context may serve as a foundational step towards developing a comprehensive AI agent capable of assisting in various life decisions [11]. - The technology is being expanded into other fields such as education and health, showcasing its versatility and potential for broader applications [11].

Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes the changes in the news and media industry from a macro perspective, emphasizing that the essence of media is content, regardless of the era, whether traditional or internet-based [1]. Group 1: Types of Content - Content can be categorized into three types: serious professional news, conversational news, and non-news content. Serious professional news includes finance, technology, and public policy, represented by entities like Bloomberg, but it has a high understanding threshold and limited consumer base [2]. - Conversational news, which includes social news and entertainment news, has a lower understanding threshold and satisfies public curiosity, making it a staple in content consumption from traditional to internet media [3]. - Non-news content encompasses various forms such as films, literary works, and entertainment programs, which often dominate media offerings due to their broad appeal and lower production costs [4][5]. Group 2: Historical Context and Media Dynamics - The traditional media era was characterized by a "golden age" for institutional media, where media outlets relied heavily on non-news content for revenue, despite being classified as news organizations [6][7]. - The internet has disrupted this model by decoupling media licenses from content distribution, shifting the power to platforms like WeChat and Douyin, which now serve as primary content containers [8][9]. Group 3: Challenges in the Internet Era - The internet has significantly reduced the physical costs of content distribution, allowing anyone to become a media producer, which poses a challenge to traditional media institutions [9]. - The production of conversational news has increasingly moved away from institutional media, with independent creators often outperforming traditional outlets in both quality and engagement [10]. - The shift to a decentralized distribution model has led to a situation where high-traffic content overshadows lower-traffic news, exacerbating the challenges faced by serious professional news [11][12]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Content Consumption - The article highlights that even in the pre-internet era, serious professional news constituted a small fraction of overall media content, with non-news content being essential for media's mass appeal [13]. - The disparity in revenue between non-news and news content has widened, reflecting market mechanisms and consumer preferences for more engaging, less formal content [14].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emerging market for emotional companion robots, particularly targeting Generation Z women, highlighting the potential for significant business opportunities in this sector [5][17]. Group 1: Company Overview - Luobo Intelligent, founded by Sun Zhaozhi, focuses on developing emotional companion robots, with its first product, Fuzozo, launched on JD.com, selling over 1,000 units within the first ten minutes [6][9]. - The company received its first market investment of several tens of millions of RMB from prominent investors, indicating strong confidence in its business model and execution capabilities [5][6][33]. Group 2: Market Potential - The emotional companion robot market is seen as a blue ocean, with significant competition expected to emerge as larger companies prepare to enter the space [9][35]. - The emotional value created by AI is considered a reliable direction for large model applications, with the emotional companionship sector projected to gain traction in the coming years [5][9]. Group 3: Product Development - The Fuzozo robot is designed to provide emotional support and companionship, leveraging advanced AI technologies to create a more immersive user experience [17][18]. - The company emphasizes the importance of understanding user needs and creating a product that resonates emotionally, which is crucial for long-term user engagement [19][25]. Group 4: Target Audience - Research indicates that Generation Z women are the primary target demographic for emotional companion robots, as they often experience loneliness and seek emotional connections [17][19]. - The company aims to build a product that not only attracts users but also fosters a lasting emotional bond, addressing the unique needs of this demographic [17][19]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is expected to intensify as established companies with strong IP and distribution channels prepare to enter the emotional companion robot market [35][37]. - Luobo Intelligent believes that while initial competitors are primarily startups, significant players are still in the background, ready to enter the market [35][37]. Group 6: Future Plans - The company plans to expand internationally, targeting East and Southeast Asia first, aligning with cultural aesthetics similar to those in China [40]. - There is a focus on ensuring product quality and optimizing production capacity as the company scales [43].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing conflict between Elon Musk and Donald Trump highlights the complexities of political and business relationships, particularly regarding government subsidies and support for Musk's companies [3][4]. Group 1: Musk and Trump's Conflict - Musk has criticized Trump's "big and beautiful" plan, suggesting that if it passes, a new political party should be formed [3]. - Trump retaliated by stating that Musk has received more government subsidies than anyone else, implying that without these, Musk's businesses would fail [3]. - The relationship between Musk and Trump has cooled after Musk's previous apology, indicating a complicated dynamic where both parties have vested interests [3][4]. Group 2: Implications for Business - Musk's businesses, particularly Tesla, have historically benefited from bipartisan government support, making a complete fallout with Trump potentially detrimental [4]. - The narrative that Trump cannot operate without Musk is challenged, as both parties have their own political and financial motivations [5][6]. - Speculation exists that their public disputes may be a strategic maneuver to influence stock prices, although the risks involved are significant [7].

本文来自微信公众号： 时代周报 （ID：timeweekly） ，作者：马欢，编辑：梁励，原文标题： 《他信家族的"生死之战"：小女儿佩通坦被暂停总理职务，后续还能推选谁？》，题图来自：视觉中 国 7月1日，据新华社报道，泰国宪法法院宣布，受理有关调查总理佩通坦是否存在违宪行为的请愿 书，并决定即日起暂停佩通坦行使总理职权，直到作出裁决。 佩通坦被停职后，泰国副总理兼交通部长素里亚·庄龙琅集出任看守政府总理。 现年38岁的佩通坦是泰国前总理他信的小女儿，2024年8月16日，她当选为泰国历史上最年轻的总 理。 然而， 上任不到一年，她就因与柬埔寨参议院主席、前首相洪森的通话外泄事件，而陷入执政危 机。 中国社科院亚太与全球战略研究院研究员、东南亚研究中心主任许利平在接受时代周报记者采访的时 候表示，目前综合来看，佩通坦的处境不妙，无论是个人民调还是政党支持率都处于暴跌的状态。 以下文章来源于时代周报 ，作者马欢 时代周报 . 记录大时代，深读全商业。互联网新闻信息服务许可证编号：44120230006 据环球时报报道，泰国国立发展管理学院6月29日公布的第二季度民调显示，佩通坦的支持率暴跌至 9.2%。此前， ...

Core Viewpoint - Douyin's e-commerce strategy has shifted significantly, focusing on quality and service rather than just data metrics, leading to a notable increase in GMV during the 618 shopping festival [3][10][14]. Group 1: Douyin's E-commerce Performance - During the 618 event, Douyin set a GMV target of 400 billion, ultimately achieving over 440 billion, a 32% year-on-year increase [3][10]. - Over 60,000 brands saw their transaction volumes double, with 236 brands achieving over 100 million in sales through live streaming [8][10]. - The overall GMV for Douyin's e-commerce in 2024 is projected to reach approximately 3.43 trillion, a 35% increase from 2023 [10]. Group 2: Strategic Shifts and Trends - Douyin has transitioned from a focus on live streaming to integrating shelf-based e-commerce, with shelf sales accounting for 45% of total purchases during the 618 event, growing over 70% year-on-year [11][13]. - The platform has implemented a 37-day promotional period for the 618 event, allowing for better inventory management and brand communication [7][11]. - Douyin's e-commerce strategy now emphasizes brand partnerships and personalized marketing, moving away from a generalized approach [8][22]. Group 3: Supportive Policies and Market Dynamics - Douyin has introduced various merchant support policies, saving businesses over 11 billion in operational costs by May 2025 [17]. - The platform capitalized on national subsidy policies, with over 30,000 live sessions promoting subsidized products during the 618 event [14][15]. - Douyin's marketing budget for brands has increased, with a significant shift towards the platform for advertising, particularly in the beauty sector [18][35]. Group 4: E-commerce Ecosystem Development - The rise of "red person store broadcasting" has become a new trend, with over 20 red person stores achieving over 100 million in sales during the 618 event [33]. - The integration of live streaming and shelf-based sales is becoming a key feature of Douyin's e-commerce model, with a notable increase in the proportion of store broadcasts [34][36]. - Douyin's e-commerce ecosystem is evolving to provide a more diverse shopping experience, enhancing user engagement and loyalty [37].

Group 1: Trade and Economic Policies - President Trump stated he does not plan to extend the July 9 deadline for trade negotiations with various countries, expressing skepticism about reaching an agreement with Japan. He mentioned the possibility of imposing tariffs as high as 30% or 35% on Japanese imports, significantly above the previously announced 24% [2] Group 2: Film Industry - The domestic film market in China achieved a record high in box office revenue for the first half of the year, totaling 29.226 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year growth of 22.89%. This marks the best performance for the first half of the year since 2020 and ranks third in the history of China's film industry for the same period [5] Group 3: Real Estate and Employee Welfare - Xiaomi Group launched a new employee apartment initiative in Beijing and Nanjing, offering 2,600 units at a monthly rent of 1,999 yuan, prioritizing recent graduates. This initiative aims to enhance employee satisfaction [4] Group 4: Automotive Industry - Tesla announced a price increase for the Model 3 Long Range and Model Y Long Range versions, with the Model 3 Long Range starting at 285,500 yuan, up from 275,500 yuan. The vehicle's range has been upgraded to 753 kilometers [16][17] - Li Auto reported delivering 36,279 vehicles in June 2025, with a total of 111,074 vehicles delivered in the second quarter. The company has achieved a cumulative delivery of 1,337,810 vehicles since its inception [19] - Several car manufacturers have initiated strategies to attract customers who pre-ordered the Xiaomi YU7, offering compensation for cancellation fees to encourage them to switch to their brands [18] Group 5: Solar Industry - Leading photovoltaic glass companies are planning to implement a new round of production cuts, with the expected reduction reaching 30% in July. This decision comes in response to a significant drop in prices, which have fallen over 70% [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of the "economic uptrend style" in fashion, contrasting it with the previously popular low-key aesthetic, emphasizing a vibrant and confident self-presentation in the context of economic optimism [3][4][10]. Summary by Sections Economic Uptrend Style - The "economic uptrend style" refers to a fashion trend from the millennium era, characterized by bold and expressive clothing choices that reflect a confident and lively spirit [4][6]. - This style encourages individuals to dress freely and expressively, moving away from the subdued "old money" aesthetic [4][6]. Social Media Influence - The rise of the economic uptrend style on social media has sparked debates about its perceived over-exaggeration, with some critics suggesting it may come off as overly flashy or "tacky" [6][9]. - Proponents argue that this style fosters a sense of self-empowerment and positivity, encouraging individuals to embrace their unique fashion choices without concern for others' opinions [6][7]. Personal Transformation - Individuals adopting the economic uptrend style often report a transformation in their self-perception and energy levels, viewing it as a way to uplift their spirits and enhance their daily lives [10][14]. - The style is seen as a rebellion against the mundane, allowing individuals to reclaim their identity and express their personality through vibrant clothing choices [19][22]. Accessibility and Cost - The economic uptrend style is noted for its low entry cost, as many young people can repurpose vintage clothing from previous generations, making it an accessible trend [21][22]. - This trend allows individuals to express themselves without the need for significant financial investment, promoting creativity and individuality [21][22]. Broader Implications - The article suggests that the economic uptrend style is not just about fashion but represents a broader mindset of optimism and resilience in the face of challenges [24][26]. - It emphasizes the importance of maintaining a positive outlook and self-confidence, regardless of external circumstances, encouraging individuals to find joy in their daily lives [26][27].