1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report From June 16 to June 20, 2025, the secondary - market prices of listed public REITs in China showed an overall upward trend, with the weighted REITs index closing at 145 and a weekly return of 1.06%. Compared with other mainstream asset classes, REITs performed well. The price trends of different types of REITs varied, and there were also differences in trading volume, turnover rate, and capital inflow. No new REITs were listed this week, but the status of some REITs' initial projects was updated [1][11]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market 3.1.1 Price Trend - **At the large - scale asset level**: The secondary - market prices of listed public REITs in China showed an upward trend. The REITs return rate was 1.06%, ranking second among mainstream asset classes after crude oil. The return rates of mainstream asset classes from high to low were: crude oil > REITs > US stocks > pure bonds > A - shares > convertible bonds > gold [11][15]. - **At the underlying asset level**: This week, the secondary - market prices of equity - based REITs showed an upward trend with a return of 2.15%, while those of concession - based REITs declined slightly with a return of - 0.43%. Among different underlying asset types, municipal facility - based REITs had the largest increase with a return of 8.1%, and transportation infrastructure - based REITs had the largest decline with a decline of 1.09% [17][20]. - **At the single - REIT level**: This week, public REITs showed mixed performance, with 49 rising and 17 falling. The top three in terms of increase were Guotai Junan Jinan Energy Heating REIT, Huaxia Fund Huarun Youchao REIT, and CICC Xiamen Anju REIT, with increases of 8.1%, 7.77%, and 7.72% respectively. The top three in terms of decline were Huaan Bailian Consumption REIT, Zheshang HuHangYong REIT, and Ping An Ningbo Jiaotou REIT, with declines of 4.59%, 3.53%, and 2% respectively [24]. 3.1.2 Trading Volume and Turnover Rate - **At the underlying asset level**: The trading volume of public REITs this week was 2.84 billion yuan, and the municipal facility - based REITs led in the average daily turnover rate. The top three in terms of trading volume were transportation infrastructure - based, affordable rental housing - based, and park infrastructure - based REITs, with trading volumes of 744 million, 465 million, and 449 million yuan respectively. The top three in terms of average daily turnover rate were municipal facility - based, affordable rental housing - based, and ecological environmental protection - based REITs, with rates of 1.24%, 0.96%, and 0.80% respectively [26]. - **At the single - REIT level**: The trading volume and turnover rate of single REITs continued to show differentiation. The top three in terms of trading volume were Huaan Bailian Consumption REIT, Huaxia Hefei High - tech REIT, and Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT, with trading volumes of 260 million, 260 million, and 240 million shares respectively. The top three in terms of trading amount were CICC Anhui Expressway REIT, Huaxia China Communications Construction REIT, and Penghua Shenzhen Energy REIT, with trading amounts of 144 million, 138 million, and 127 million yuan respectively. The top three in terms of turnover rate were Huatai Suzhou Hengtai Rental Housing REIT, Huaan Bailian Consumption REIT, and Huaxia Shenzhen International REIT, with rates of 12.28%, 9.75%, and 8.84% respectively [29]. 3.1.3 Main Force Net Inflow and Block Trading Situation - **Main force net inflow situation**: The total net inflow of the main force this week was 91.186 million yuan, and the market trading enthusiasm recovered. Among different underlying asset REITs, the top three in terms of net inflow were energy infrastructure - based, transportation infrastructure - based, and warehousing and logistics - based REITs, with net inflows of 39.94 million, 26.45 million, and 13.33 million yuan respectively. The top three single - REITs in terms of net inflow were Penghua Shenzhen Energy REIT, Ping An Guangzhou Expressway REIT, and Huaxia Huarun Commercial REIT, with net inflows of 25.91 million, 22.43 million, and 15.8 million yuan respectively, and the number of consecutive inflow days was 5 days for all [32]. - **Block trading situation**: The total block trading amount this week reached 706.2 million yuan, a significant increase compared with last week. There were block trading transactions on 5 trading days this week, with a total block trading amount of 201.54 million yuan. The block trading amount on Thursday (June 19, 2025) was the highest in the week, reaching 104.31 million yuan. The top three single - REITs in terms of block trading amount were CICC Shandong Expressway REIT, Huaan Zhangjiang Industrial Park REIT, and Guotai Junan Dongjiu New Economy REIT, with trading amounts of 103.51 million, 20.94 million, and 20.31 million yuan respectively, and the corresponding average discount - premium rates were - 1.56%, - 0.68%, and - 1.21% respectively [33]. 4. Primary Market 4.1 Listed Projects As of June 20, 2025, there were 66 public REITs in China, with a total issuance scale of 17.4393 billion yuan. Among them, transportation infrastructure - based REITs had the largest issuance scale, reaching 6.8771 billion yuan, followed by park infrastructure - based REITs with an issuance scale of 2.7062 billion yuan. No new REITs were listed this week [37][38]. 4.2 Projects to be Listed There were 28 REITs in the state of being to be listed, including 16 initial REITs and 12 REITs to be expanded. The status of the initial projects of "Chuangjin Hexin Shounong Industrial Park Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" and "Southern Runze Technology Data Center Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" was updated to "passed", and the status of the initial projects of "Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" and "Southern Wan Guo Data Center Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund" was updated to "accepted" [41].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The document does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View From June 16 to June 20, 2025, the convertible bond market slightly adjusted. The weekly change rate of the CSI Convertible Bond Index was -0.2%, and the CSI All-Share Index changed by -1.2%. Since the beginning of 2025, the convertible bond market has outperformed the equity market. The current valuation level of convertible bonds is not low. Looking ahead, trade negotiations, fundamentals, and macro policies remain important influencing factors for the convertible bond market. Investors can continue to focus on convertible bonds with excellent performance in the underlying stocks in areas such as boosting domestic demand and domestic substitution [1][4]. 3. Summary by Directory Market Conditions - From June 16 to 20, 2025, the convertible bond market slightly adjusted. The weekly change rate of the CSI Convertible Bond Index was -0.2% (0% in the previous trading week), and the CSI All-Share Index changed by -1.2%. Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by +4.5%, and the CSI All-Share Index has risen by +0.1%, indicating that the convertible bond market has outperformed the equity market [1][4]. - By rating, high-rated bonds (AA+ and above), medium-rated bonds (AA), and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) had weekly change rates of -0.08%, -0.57%, and -0.27% respectively, with high-rated bonds having the smallest decline. By convertible bond size, large-scale convertible bonds (bond balance greater than 5 billion yuan), medium-scale convertible bonds (balance between 500 million and 5 billion yuan), and small-scale convertible bonds (balance less than 500 million yuan) had weekly change rates of -0.15%, -0.30%, and -0.44% respectively, with large-scale convertible bonds having the smallest decline. By conversion parity, ultra-high parity bonds (conversion value greater than 130 yuan), high parity bonds (conversion value between 110 and 130 yuan), medium parity bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan), low parity bonds (conversion value between 70 and 90 yuan), and ultra-low parity bonds (conversion value less than 70 yuan) had weekly change rates of -1.64%, -0.81%, -0.79%, +0.50%, and +0.10% respectively, with ultra-high parity bonds having the largest decline. By industry, the top 30 convertible bonds in terms of increase were mainly from the chemical (4) and electronics (4) industries; the top 30 convertible bonds in terms of decline were mainly from the chemical (6), non-ferrous metals (3), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (3), and building decoration (3) industries [2]. Convertible Bond Valuation Level - As of June 13, 2025, there were 470 outstanding convertible bonds (472 at the end of last week), with a balance of 660.951 billion yuan (662.041 billion yuan at the end of last week). - The average convertible bond price was 120.82 yuan (121.63 yuan last week), and the quantile was 75.9% (81.0% last week). - The average convertible bond parity was 91.32 yuan (93.35 yuan last week), and the quantile was 50.7% (66.9% last week). - The average convertible bond conversion premium rate was 31.3% (30.0% last week), and the quantile was 63.2% (60.3% last week). Among them, the conversion premium rate of medium-parity convertible bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan) was 23.8% (24.3% last week), higher than the median conversion premium rate of medium-parity convertible bonds since 2018 (19.8%) [3]. Convertible Bond Performance and Allocation Direction - The convertible bond market slightly adjusted from June 16 to 20, 2025. The weekly change rate of the CSI Convertible Bond Index was -0.2%, and the CSI All-Share Index changed by -1.2%. Since the beginning of 2025, the convertible bond market has outperformed the equity market. The current valuation level of convertible bonds is not low. Looking ahead, trade negotiations, fundamentals, and macro policies remain important influencing factors for the convertible bond market. Investors can continue to focus on convertible bonds with excellent performance in the underlying stocks in areas such as boosting domestic demand and domestic substitution [4]. Convertible Bond Increase Situation - The top 15 convertible bonds in terms of increase this week include Hengshuai Convertible Bond, Jingrui Convertible Bond, Liande Convertible Bond, etc. The industries involved include automotive, chemical, electronics, etc. [22].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report conducts a comprehensive analysis of the convertible bond market, issuer financial performance, and credit risk based on the 2024 annual reports and Q1 2025 reports. With convertible bonds entering the peak redemption and repayment period in 2025, the importance of credit risk research has become prominent. Some industries face challenges such as price pressure, demand shortfalls, and supply - demand mismatches, leading to increased operating pressure, weakened profitability, and cash flow issues for some issuers, thus highlighting the need to focus on their credit risks [1][20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Convertible Bond Market Development Overview - **Issuance and Stock Situation**: In 2024, China's convertible bond issuance scale decreased year - on - year, with a total issuance of 38.757 billion yuan, a 72.78% decline. From January to May 2025, the issuance scale increased compared to the same period in 2024, reaching 25.923 billion yuan, a 156.40% increase. As of June 13, 2025, there were 484 outstanding convertible bonds, with a balance of 668.343 billion yuan. Private enterprises were the main issuers, with 383 convertible bonds and a balance of 388.428 billion yuan. Convertible bonds with lower credit ratings accounted for a relatively high proportion, indicating that some issuers had relatively weak creditworthiness [1][11][12]. - **Importance of Convertible Bond Credit Risk Research**: In recent years, the number of convertible bond credit risk events has increased. Since 2023, credit risk events have occurred in bonds such as Soute Convertible Bond, Hongda Convertible Bond, etc. With convertible bonds entering the peak redemption and repayment period in 2025, the importance of credit risk research has become more prominent [20]. 3.2 Financial Performance of Convertible Bond Issuers - **Profitability**: In 2024, the overall operating income and net profit of convertible bond issuers decreased year - on - year, but showed improvement in Q1 2025. In 2024, industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery turned from losses to profits, while industries like power equipment and building materials saw significant net profit declines. In Q1 2025, industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery continued to perform well, but industries like power equipment and coal had significant net profit declines [23][29]. - **Cash Flow**: In 2024, the overall operating net cash flow of convertible bond issuers decreased year - on - year. Industries such as communication, media, and construction decoration saw significant improvements, while industries like national defense and military industry and power equipment weakened significantly. In Q1 2025, the net outflow of operating cash flow decreased. In 2024, the overall net outflow of investment cash flow decreased, and the net inflow of financing cash flow decreased year - on - year. Industries such as power equipment, electronics, and basic chemicals had large net inflows of financing cash flow and were more dependent on external financing [2][3][49]. - **Debt Burden and Solvency**: At the end of 2024, the overall asset - liability ratio of issuers was 60.93%, an increase of 1.29 percentage points from the end of 2023. The total debt scale increased, and the short - term debt ratio decreased compared to the end of 2023. The overall solvency weakened at the end of 2024 [3]. 3.3 Summary of the Current Credit Risk Status of Outstanding Convertible Bonds - Some industries, including coal, steel, construction materials, and power equipment, face challenges such as price pressure, demand shortfalls, and supply - demand mismatches. Some issuers in these industries have increased operating pressure, weakened profitability, cash flow problems, increased debt burdens, and weakened solvency, requiring close attention to their credit risks [4][63][66].

Group 1: Internet Media Industry - The report highlights that the demand for AI-driven inference is propelling the growth of network security, with traditional leaders like CrowdStrike enhancing their competitive edge through continuous technological iterations [1] - Cloud-native and AI-native architectures of companies like Cloudflare, Rubrik, and Zscaler are leading to accelerated growth rates, suggesting a focus on vendors with AI and cloud security product capabilities to capture the incremental demand in network security during digital transformation [1] - Recommendations include a buy rating for CrowdStrike and a watch on Rubrik, Cloudflare, and Zscaler [1] Group 2: Low Earth Orbit Satellite Industry - The report indicates that China's commercial space industry is gaining momentum, with significant satellite launch plans like "StarNet" and "Qianfan" underway, which are expected to accelerate the development of low Earth orbit satellites [2] - Cost reduction in commercial space operations is critical, with perovskite technology identified as a potential breakthrough for lowering costs in satellite energy systems [2] - Shanghai Port Bay is noted for its proactive positioning in the satellite sector and perovskite-related businesses, having successfully supported the launch of 15 satellites and maintaining over 40 satellite power systems and solar sails in stable operation [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by over 15% in the next 6-12 months [7]. Core Insights - The North American market is experiencing strong demand for AI inference, leading to significant stock performance among cybersecurity companies closely associated with AI and cloud security. From April 8, 2025, to June 16, 2025, the Nasdaq index rose by 26.3%, with stock price increases for Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, Zscaler, Rubrik, and Cloudflare reaching 30.0%, 47.8%, 69.4%, 73.5%, and 82.3% respectively [2]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - CrowdStrike is leveraging platformization and AI-native capabilities, reporting a transaction value exceeding $3.2 billion in its Flex model, with next-generation SIEM ARR growth exceeding 100%. The AI-native XDR platform is projected to cover a market size of $116 billion [3]. - Palo Alto Networks has seen significant results from its AI security initiatives, with 60% of customers achieving a mean time to resolution (MTTR) of under 10 minutes, and an ARR growth of over 200% for its XSIAM platform. The Prisma AIRS platform targets a $15 billion AI security market [3]. - Cloudflare is successfully transitioning from a CDN to an AI security cloud service provider, with a 54% revenue growth in the Asia-Pacific region and a 27% increase in paid customers [4]. - Rubrik focuses on a rapid recovery engine, significantly reducing recovery time from weeks to hours, with a 60% ARR growth and a subscription ARR of $1.18 billion, up 38% year-over-year [4]. - Zscaler is advancing AI-driven network security, with significant ARR growth in its Zero Trust and data security initiatives, and a 70% year-over-year increase in ZDX Advanced bookings [5]. Investment Recommendations - The deep integration of AI and cloud security is reshaping the global cybersecurity landscape. Traditional leaders like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks are enhancing their competitive advantages through continuous technological iterations, while companies like Cloudflare, Rubrik, and Zscaler are achieving rapid growth through cloud-native and AI-native architectures. The report recommends focusing on vendors with AI and cloud security product capabilities to capture the increasing demand in the cybersecurity sector during digital transformation [6]. Recommended stocks include CrowdStrike, with a watch on Rubrik, Cloudflare, and Zscaler [6].

2025 年 6 月 19 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 总量研究 【宏观】耐用品消费转弱，美国消费显著降温——2025 年 5 月美国零售数据点评 对等关税生效前，3 月美国消费者抢先大量采购，透支未来的消费需求，导致 5 月零 售环比增速降至-0.9%。分项看，前期抢购较多的汽车、建材、家电等耐用品消费环 比增速降幅更为明显，也指向关税扰动下，美国家庭选择减少非必需品的支出。从降 息节奏看，5 月零售数据超预期转弱，增加了美联储降息紧迫性，但短期内美国的通 胀压力依然制约美联储货币政策空间，6 月美联储降息概率仍有限。 行业研究 【石化】IEA 下调原油需求预期，伊以、俄乌地缘政治冲突加剧——石化化工行业动 态跟踪第 81 期(增持) IEA 预计 2025 年全球原油需求增长 72 万桶/日，2026 年增长 74 万桶/日，25、26 年预测值较上月下调 2 万桶/日。欧盟委员会 17 日提出一项立法提案，欧盟将在 2027 年底前逐步停止进口俄罗斯的天然气和石油。油价有望在地缘政治前景的不确定性影 响下震荡上行。风险分析：地缘政治风险，上游资本开支增速不及预期，原油和天然 气价格大幅波动。 公 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the petrochemical industry [5] Core Views - The IEA has lowered its oil demand forecast, expecting OPEC+ to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day in 2025. The global oil demand is projected to grow by 720,000 barrels per day in 2025 and 740,000 barrels per day in 2026, with a downward revision of 20,000 barrels per day for both years due to weak demand in the US and China [1] - The EU plans to gradually stop importing Russian oil and gas by the end of 2027, which is expected to sustain oil prices due to geopolitical risk premiums stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict [2] - The ongoing Israel-Iran conflict poses a risk of escalation, which could further drive oil prices upward. Iran's current oil production is approximately 4.8 million barrels per day, with exports averaging 1.7 million barrels per day this year [3] Summary by Sections Oil Demand and Supply Forecast - IEA forecasts a global oil supply increase of 1.8 million barrels per day in 2025, reaching 104.9 million barrels per day, with non-OPEC+ countries contributing 1.4 million barrels per day and OPEC+ contributing 400,000 barrels per day [1] Geopolitical Risks - The report highlights that geopolitical tensions, particularly the Israel-Iran conflict and the Russia-Ukraine situation, are significant factors influencing oil prices. The potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for about 25% of global oil transport, could have a major impact on the oil market [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on major Chinese oil companies ("Three Barrel Oil") and their associated oil service firms, as well as leading oil transportation companies [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [3][5][13]. Core Insights - The company has experienced a significant increase in new orders, with Q1 2025 new orders reaching 585 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 89.38%. This growth is driven by the increasing domestic demand for laser technology across various industries [1]. - Revenue for Q1 2025 was reported at 343 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.07%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 36 million yuan, up 37.11% year-on-year [1]. - The company is actively expanding its product offerings in the optical module testing sector, with a strong order reserve and rapid revenue growth from mobile camera testing equipment [1][2]. - In the renewable energy sector, the company successfully delivered large quantities of 500W MOPA pulsed laser products, enhancing processing efficiency compared to previous models [2]. - The passive components industry is showing signs of recovery, and the company is launching new products to meet the growing demand [2]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 1.762 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 21.22%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 177 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 33.43% [4][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.86 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 36 [4][12]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase to 8.15% by 2025, indicating improved profitability [11].

2025 年 6 月 18 日 总量研究 耐用品消费转弱，美国消费显著降温 ——2025 年 5 月美国零售数据点评 作者 分析师：高瑞东 执业证书编号：S0930520120002 010-56513108 gaoruidong@ebscn.com 联系人：周欣平 010-57378026 zhouxinping@ebscn.com 相关研报 关税扰动显现，美国消费数据转弱—— 2025 年 4 月 美 国 零 售 数 据 点 评 （2025-05-16） 关税扰动导致美国消费节奏前置——2025 年 3 月美国零售数据点评（2025-04-17） 如何理解 2 月美国低于预期的消费数据？ — — 2025 年 2 月 美 国 零 售 数 据 点 评 （2025-03-18） 美国消费如期转弱，年内降息必要性增加 — — 2025 年 1 月 美 国 零 售 数 据 点 评 （2025-02-15） 美国消费转弱，年内仍存 2-3 次降息空间 — —2024 年 12 月 美 国零 售数据 点 评 （2025-01-17） 如何理解 11 月偏弱的美国核心消费数 据？——2024 年 11 月美国零售数据点 ...

Industry Research - OPEC+ increased production by 180,000 barrels per day in May, with voluntary cuts from 8 countries contributing 154,000 barrels per day, and Saudi Arabia increasing production by 177,000 barrels per day. The increase was below the planned 410,000 barrels per day [2] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between Iran and Israel, have led to attacks on each other's energy facilities, which may drive oil prices higher due to uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape [2] Company Research - The report highlights that the company, 澜起科技 (Lianqi Technology), is expected to benefit from the ongoing AI wave and the continued penetration of DDR5 technology, which will drive significant growth in net profit [3] - The net profit forecast for the company has been raised to 2.224 billion CNY for 2025 and 3.075 billion CNY for 2026, reflecting an increase of 15% from previous estimates. Additionally, a new forecast for 2027 projects net profit to reach 3.862 billion CNY [3] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 41, 30, and 24 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a positive long-term growth outlook and maintaining a "buy" rating [3]