Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the motorcycle sector, specifically for Kawasaki [1]. Core Insights - Kawasaki's motorcycle revenue is expected to grow steadily, with a CAGR of approximately 4.6% from FY2014 to FY2024, increasing from 220.6 billion JPY to 344.5 billion JPY [10][16]. - The sales volume for Kawasaki motorcycles is projected to stabilize at 480,000 units for FY2024, down from 523,000 units in FY2014 [22][28]. - The average price of Kawasaki motorcycles is anticipated to rise, with a CAGR of about 5.5% from FY2014 to FY2024, increasing from 421,800 JPY to 717,700 JPY [27]. Summary by Sections Kawasaki Motorcycle Revenue - Revenue growth is primarily driven by developed markets, with a CAGR of 8.6% in developed countries, while revenue in emerging markets is expected to decline at a CAGR of -1.3% [10][16]. Kawasaki Motorcycle Sales Volume - Sales in developed countries are projected to increase from 127,000 units in FY2014 to 234,000 units in FY2024, while sales in emerging markets are expected to decrease from 396,000 units to 246,000 units during the same period [22][31]. Kawasaki Motorcycle Average Price - The average price in developed countries is expected to grow from 848,800 JPY to 1,048,300 JPY, while in emerging markets, it is projected to rise from 284,800 JPY to 403,300 JPY [27]. Market Share - Kawasaki's global market share for FY2023 is estimated to be approximately 1%, with sales distribution across developed and emerging markets [28][31]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that domestic brands have significant potential for growth, with a focus on Kawasaki's stable sales and the increasing competitiveness of domestic brands. Key recommendations include Chuanfeng Power and Longxin General, with a suggestion to pay attention to Qianjiang Motorcycle [33].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown steady growth in online subscription revenue and is actively developing AI features to enhance user experience [2][6] - The adjusted operating profit has increased by over 30% year-on-year, indicating a continuous improvement in profitability [5] - The company is focusing on expanding its music copyright and has introduced several AI functionalities to enrich the music experience [11] Financial Performance Summary - In 2025, the company reported revenue of 77.59 billion, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a more cautious approach to social entertainment services [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 27.48 billion, reflecting a significant increase of 76.0% year-on-year [8] - The adjusted net profit reached 28.60 billion, up 68.2% year-on-year, with a notable reduction in tax expenses [8] - The gross margin for 2025 was 35.7%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the adjusted operating profit margin was 22.34%, up 5.9 percentage points [8] - The company ended 2025 with cash reserves of 121.75 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.2% [8] Revenue and User Growth - The online music business revenue for 2025 was 59.94 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.0%, driven by an increase in paid users and enhanced user experience [8] - The number of paid users has increased, contributing to the growth in subscription revenue, which reached 50.53 billion, up 13.3% year-on-year [8] - The company’s monthly active users (MAU) have shown stable growth, maintaining a daily active users (DAU) to MAU ratio of over 30% [8] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2026 to 2028 are 84.79 billion, 91.16 billion, and 96.99 billion respectively, with expected growth rates of 9.27%, 7.52%, and 6.39% [10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to decline to 20.59 billion in 2026, followed by a gradual recovery in subsequent years [10] - The adjusted net profit is expected to be 21.79 billion in 2026, with a corresponding adjusted P/E ratio of 14 [10]

Group 1: Transportation Industry Insights - The Spring Festival travel peak has shown a significant increase in passenger volume and ticket prices, indicating an industry turning point. The total inter-regional passenger flow reached 5.08 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 5.5% [3][4] - During the first 20 days of the Spring Festival, the civil aviation passenger volume increased by 6.0% year-on-year, with an average ticket price of 943 yuan, up 3.5% year-on-year [3][4] - The civil aviation industry is expected to maintain a growth rate of over 5% in passenger volume for 2026, supported by a recovery in business travel and a high seat occupancy rate [5] Group 2: Chemical Industry Outlook - The chemical industry is entering a favorable cycle with rising prices due to the upcoming peak season and a global trend of reducing overcapacity. The focus is on the recovery of demand and the potential for increased dividend yields from leading companies [6][8] - Key sectors to watch include coal chemical, oil refining, and agricultural chemicals, with specific companies highlighted for their strong performance potential [8][9] - The industry is expected to benefit from a reduction in supply and increased demand, particularly in sectors like PTA and tire manufacturing, as well as in the context of AI-driven demand [8][9] Group 3: Coal Market Dynamics - The price of thermal coal has risen to 718 yuan per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 23 yuan, driven by supply constraints and increased demand from power plants [45][46] - The competitiveness of imported coal has diminished, leading to a favorable outlook for domestic coal prices as supply tightens and demand remains stable [45][46] - The overall coal mining industry is expected to see a long-term upward trend in prices due to rising operational costs and regulatory pressures, with a focus on maintaining high-quality assets and cash flow [47]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the motorcycle sector [1] Core Insights - Yamaha's motorcycle revenue has shown steady growth, increasing from 930.1 billion JPY in FY2016 to 1,578.1 billion JPY in FY2025, with a CAGR of approximately 6.1%. However, motorcycle sales decreased from 5.154 million units to 4.999 million units during the same period, reflecting a CAGR of approximately -0.3% [9][27] - The average price of Yamaha motorcycles is projected to rise from 50,000 RMB to 69,700 RMB from FY2021 to FY2025, with a CAGR of approximately 8.7% [9][27] - The global motorcycle demand is estimated at 49.94 million units in 2023, with a projected CAGR of approximately 2% from 2024 to 2027 [11][15] - Yamaha aims to achieve a market share of 9.7% in FY2023, with specific targets of 31% in the high-end market by 2024 and 42% by 2027 in ASEAN and emerging markets, as well as 13% in Europe by 2027 [11][23] Summary by Sections Global Motorcycle Market and Yamaha's Share - The global motorcycle demand for 2023 is 49.94 million units, with a projected CAGR of approximately 2% from 2024 to 2027 [11][15] - Yamaha's target market share for FY2027 includes 31% in the high-end market by 2024 and 42% by 2027 in ASEAN and emerging markets, along with a 13% share in Europe [11][23] Yamaha Motorcycle Revenue and Sales Breakdown - Yamaha's motorcycle revenue is expected to grow steadily, with FY2025 projections showing sales of 76,000 units in Japan, 79,000 units in North America, 210,000 units in Europe, 3,903,000 units in Asia, and 73,100 units in other regions [12][34] - The average price of Yamaha motorcycles in FY2025 is projected to be 55.7 million JPY in Japan, 111.3 million JPY in North America, 112.6 million JPY in Europe, 22.8 million JPY in Asia, and 44.1 million JPY in other regions [34][28] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that domestic brands have significant potential for overseas expansion, as their export prices still lag behind those of Japanese motorcycle companies. The motorcycle sector maintains a "Recommended" rating, with key recommendations including Chunfeng Power and Longxin General, and a suggestion to pay attention to Qianjiang Motorcycle [12][40]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report about the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Since the beginning of the year, the buying force of allocation portfolios for bonds has remained strong. Before the Spring Festival, the yield to maturity of 10-year Treasury bonds fell below 1.80% and stayed below this level. There were some subtle changes in this decline [6][11]. - One change is that trading portfolios took over in the second half of the interest rate decline. From February 9th to 13th, when the 10-year Treasury bond yield broke below 1.80%, securities companies bought 14.2 billion yuan and 25.3 billion yuan worth of 5 - 7Y and 7 - 10Y Treasury bonds respectively, with their buying power exceeding that of large banks, indicating that the marginal buying power of banks decreased below 1.80%, and trading portfolios started to buy [6][11]. - Another change is that the buying behavior of trading portfolios may be related to the basis strategy. The short - selling intensity of securities companies for 10-year Treasury bonds is not strong, and the current net bond borrowing volume is not high. From February 9th to 13th, the basis of the 10-year Treasury bond futures main contract rose from 0.0248 yuan to 0.0655 yuan, corresponding to the positive arbitrage strategy of long cash bonds + short futures. Currently, there is still some room for the basis to recover, and the 10-year Treasury bond is likely to continue to fluctuate [6][11]. - The third change is that funds are "avoiding" 10-year Treasury bonds, and there is room for the tax spread to compress. According to the latest spot bond trading data, funds' net purchases of 10Y policy financial bonds and 30-year Treasury bonds were 56.1 billion yuan and 28.4 billion yuan respectively, while only 3.7 billion yuan of 10Y Treasury bonds were bought. Under the structural change of buying power, the spread between China Development Bank bonds and Treasury bonds may compress [6][12]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 This Week's Bond Market Review - Since the beginning of the year, the buying force of allocation portfolios for bonds has remained strong. Before the Spring Festival, the yield to maturity of 10-year Treasury bonds fell below 1.80% and stayed below this level. There were changes in trading portfolios taking over, basis - related buying, and funds avoiding 10-year Treasury bonds [6][11]. 3.2 Bond Yield Curve Tracking 3.2.1 Key Maturity Interest Rates and Spread Changes - As of February 13th, compared with February 9th, the 1Y Treasury bond yield rose 0.15bp to 1.32%; the 10Y Treasury bond yield fell 1.86bp to 1.79%; the 30Y Treasury bond yield fell 0.40bp to 2.24%. The spread between 30Y and 10Y Treasury bonds rose 1.46bp to 45.12bp, and the spread between 10Y China Development Bank bonds and 10Y Treasury bonds rose 1.21bp to 15.32bp [13]. 3.2.2 Treasury Bond Maturity Spread Changes - As of February 13th, compared with February 9th, the 3Y - 1Y Treasury bond spread fell 0.42bp to 5.93bp, the 5Y - 3Y spread fell 0.66bp to 16.79bp, the 7Y - 5Y spread rose 0.78bp to 11.11bp, the 10Y - 7Y spread fell 1.71bp to 13.77bp, the 20Y - 10Y spread rose 1.11bp to 43.65bp, and the 30Y - 20Y spread rose 0.35bp to 1.47bp [14]. 3.3 Bond Market Leverage and Funding Conditions 3.3.1 Balance of Inter - bank Pledged Repurchase - As of February 13th, 2026, compared with February 9th, the balance of inter - bank pledged repurchase decreased by 1.01 trillion yuan to 11.86 trillion yuan [19]. 3.3.2 Changes in Inter - bank Bond Market Leverage Ratio - As of February 13th, 2026, compared with February 9th, the inter - bank bond market leverage ratio decreased by 0.67 percentage points to 106.99% [20]. 3.3.3 Pledged Repurchase Turnover - From February 9th to 13th, the average daily turnover of pledged repurchase was 7.67 trillion yuan. The average overnight turnover was about 5.99 trillion yuan, and the average overnight turnover ratio was 74.78% [24][27]. 3.3.4 Operation of Inter - bank Funding Conditions - From February 9th to 13th, the net capital outflow of large banks was 4.53 trillion yuan, the net capital inflow of small and medium - sized banks was 0.47 trillion yuan, and the net capital outflow of the banking system was 4.06 trillion yuan. As of February 13th, DR001 was 1.2645%, DR007 was 1.4259%, R001 was 1.2835%, and R007 was 1.5378% [30]. 3.4 Duration of Medium - and Long - Term Bond Funds 3.4.1 Median Duration of Bond Funds - As of February 13th, the estimated median duration of medium - and long - term bond funds (de - leveraged) was 2.76 years, up 0.01 years from February 9th; the median duration (including leverage) was 2.97 years, up 0.06 years from February 9th [41]. 3.4.2 Median Duration of Interest - Rate Bond Funds - As of February 13th, the median duration of interest - rate bond funds (including leverage) was 3.73 years, up 0.04 years from February 9th; the median duration of credit - bond funds (including leverage) was 2.75 years, up 0.04 years from February 9th. The median duration of interest - rate bond funds (de - leveraged) was 3.35 years, with no significant change from February 9th; the median duration of credit - bond funds (de - leveraged) was 2.54 years, up 0.02 years from February 9th [43]. 3.5 Changes in Bond Lending Balance - As of February 13th, compared with February 9th, the borrowing volume of 10Y China Development Bank bonds decreased [46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [1] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector has shown a decline of 0.81% in the past week, ranking 21st among 31 primary sub-industries, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 0.36% [11][34] - Recent developments include a partnership between Heptares Therapeutics and Solstice Oncology, granting exclusive rights for HBM4003 outside Greater China, with a total upfront payment exceeding $105 million [5][12] - The report highlights the promising clinical data for HBM4003 in treating metastatic colorectal cancer, showing an objective response rate (ORR) of 34.8% and a disease control rate (DCR) of 60.9% [5][12] - Nektar Therapeutics announced positive results from the REZOLVE-AD study for moderate to severe atopic dermatitis, demonstrating sustained efficacy with the new Treg-targeting agent Rezpeg [16][19] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The pharmaceutical sector's performance over the past month shows a decline of 0.81%, with specific sub-sectors like traditional Chinese medicine and medical devices experiencing significant drops [34] Market Dynamics - Year-to-date, the pharmaceutical sector has outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.79 percentage points, with a total return of 2.44% [34] Valuation - As of February 13, 2026, the pharmaceutical sector's valuation stands at 33.2 times PE, representing a 30% premium over the overall A-share market (excluding financials) [37] Key Companies to Watch - The report emphasizes companies such as Aidi Pharmaceutical, WuXi Biologics, and Innovent Biologics as key players to monitor in the current market environment [5][39]

证券分析师： 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 社融同比增速放缓，权益基金发行回暖 ——流动性周报 2 月第 3 期 2026 年 02 月 24 日 策略周报 研究所： 风险提示：历史数据仅供参考，样本代表性不足的风险，数据处理统计 方法可能存在误差，基于主观认知划分产生的偏差，外部环境变化影响 结论适用性，指标选取不全面风险。 相关报告 《年报预报落地后，市场如何演绎？*赵阳》—— 2026-02-01 《流动性周报 1 月第 3 期：宏观资金均衡偏松，ETF 继续大幅净流出*赵阳》——2026-01-28 袁野》——2026-01-26 1. 本周（2026/02/09-2026/02/13，下同）宏观资金面均衡偏松，央行通 过公开市场操作开展逆回购净投放 12089 亿元，开展 10000 亿元 6 个月 买断式逆回购操作。资金价格方面，短端利率、长端利率均小幅下行， 期限利差有所走阔。2026 年 1 月社融规模增量大幅上升至 72208 亿元， 存量同比增长 8.2%，较 2025 年 12 月增速下降 10BP。结构上，新增人 ...

Group 1: Weichuang Electric / Automation Equipment - The company is strengthening collaborations to promote technological innovation and market expansion in the robot-driven component business [4] - Plans to establish a joint venture in Thailand with Zhejiang Rongtai to expand the smart robot electromechanical integration market, with both parties holding 50% shares [4] - The company aims to deepen industry demand and continue global expansion, focusing on regions like Asia, Africa, and Latin America while enhancing product offerings [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.977 billion, 2.444 billion, and 3.108 billion yuan, with net profits of 288 million, 346 million, and 419 million yuan respectively [6] Group 2: Lenovo Group / Computer Equipment - Lenovo reported FY2026Q3 revenue of approximately 22.204 billion USD, an 18% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 546 million USD, down 21% year-on-year [7][8] - The adjusted net profit increased by 36% year-on-year, driven by efficiency optimization and a high-end product mix [8] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) is undergoing strategic restructuring, expected to accelerate the return to profitability in FY2027 [9] Group 3: Shipping and Ports Industry - National import and export total reached 45.47 trillion yuan in 2025, with a 3.8% year-on-year growth [13] - Container throughput at major coastal ports reached 31.198 million TEUs, a 7% year-on-year increase [15] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose by 135.95% year-on-year, indicating a significant increase in dry bulk shipping rates [19] Group 4: Google-A / Overseas - Google reported Q4 2025 revenue of 113.828 billion USD, an 18% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 33.455 billion USD, up 30% year-on-year [25] - Search advertising revenue grew by 17% year-on-year, driven by AI innovations enhancing user experience and monetization efficiency [26] - Google Cloud revenue surged by 48% year-on-year, reaching 17.7 billion USD, with a significant increase in annual recurring revenue [27] Group 5: Yutong Technology / Packaging Printing - The company plans to acquire 51% of Huayan Technology for 449 million yuan, aiming to enhance its capabilities in precision manufacturing [32][34] - The acquisition is expected to leverage industry synergies and empower the second growth curve, focusing on high-profile clients like Google and Samsung [34] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 19.069 billion, 21.001 billion, and 23.077 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.608 billion, 1.798 billion, and 1.980 billion yuan respectively [34] Group 6: NetEase-S / Gaming - NetEase reported Q4 2025 revenue of 27.5 billion yuan, a 3% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 6.2 billion yuan, down 28.8% year-on-year [36][37] - The gaming segment showed resilience with a revenue of 22 billion yuan, driven by strong performance from popular IPs and new game launches [38] - The company is focusing on AI-driven strategies to enhance operational efficiency and optimize its business structure [39] Group 7: Aidi Pharmaceutical / Biopharmaceuticals - The company is advancing its international product launch and received GMP certification from Tanzania, facilitating entry into the African market [43] - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 721 million yuan, a 72.57% year-on-year increase, with a focus on HIV innovative drug sales [43] - Multiple new drug pipelines are actively progressing, with significant clinical trial approvals received [44] Group 8: Meituan-W / Local Life Services - Meituan is projected to achieve total revenue of 916 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a core local business revenue of 648 billion yuan, reflecting a competitive landscape [45][46] - The company is strategically increasing investments in marketing and rider incentives to enhance operational efficiency amid fierce competition [46] - Long-term growth potential is anticipated through refined operations in instant delivery and overseas expansion [49] Group 9: Huahong Semiconductor / Semiconductors - Huahong Semiconductor reported Q4 2025 revenue of 660 million USD, a 22.4% year-on-year increase, with a wafer shipment of 1.45 million pieces [50]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group (0992.HK) [1][11] Core Insights - The strategic restructuring is expected to accelerate the ISG business back to profitability, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future development [2] - In FY2026Q3, Lenovo achieved revenue of approximately $22.204 billion, representing an 18% year-over-year increase and an 8.6% quarter-over-quarter increase. The gross margin was around 15%, with a net profit of $546 million, down 21% year-over-year but up 60% quarter-over-quarter [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In FY2026Q3, Lenovo's adjusted net profit was approximately $589 million, a 36% year-over-year increase, reflecting operational leverage improvements and a higher contribution from high-end product offerings [6] - The smart devices business group saw a 14% year-over-year revenue increase, with operating profit rising by 15%, driven by higher average selling prices and improved product mix [6] Business Segments - The infrastructure solutions group reported record revenue of $5.2 billion, a 31% year-over-year increase, aided by an expanding customer base in cloud infrastructure [7] - The solutions services group achieved an 18% year-over-year revenue growth, marking 19 consecutive quarters of double-digit growth, with operating profit margin reaching 22.5% [8] Profitability Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2026 to FY2028 are estimated at $80.144 billion, $87.600 billion, and $93.235 billion, respectively, with non-HKFRS net profits of $1.796 billion, $1.973 billion, and $2.111 billion [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the shipping and port sector [1][12] Core Insights - The report addresses key issues by tracking core high-frequency data in the shipping and port sector [5][18] - The overall performance of cargo throughput remains stable, with a notable recovery in iron ore throughput and steady growth in container throughput [12] Summary by Sections 1. Overview: National Import and Export Total and Cargo Throughput - In 2025, the national import and export total reached 45.47 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.8%. The import total was 18.48 trillion yuan, up 0.5%, while the export total was 26.99 trillion yuan, up 6.1% [6][19] - Coastal major ports achieved a cargo throughput of 116.34 billion tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, with foreign trade cargo throughput reaching 50.66 billion tons, up 4.7% [7][32] 2. Container: Shipping Rates and Container Throughput - As of February 6, 2026, the China Container Freight Index (CCFI) was at 1122.15 points, down 20.7% year-on-year and 4.55% month-on-month. The Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) was at 1266.56 points, down 33.22% year-on-year and 3.81% month-on-month [9][36] - In 2025, the container throughput at coastal major ports reached 31.198 million TEUs, a year-on-year increase of 7% [9][41] 3. Liquid Bulk: Oil Shipping Rates and Crude Oil Throughput - The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) was at 1691 points on February 6, 2026, up 87.26% year-on-year and 4% month-on-month. The Baltic Clean Tanker Index (BCTI) was at 917 points, up 29.89% year-on-year and 7% month-on-month [10][42] - In 2025, crude oil imports totaled 578 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%, while the throughput at major crude oil receiving ports was 389 million tons, down 3.4% year-on-year [10][47] 4. Dry Bulk: Shipping Rates and Iron Ore, Coal Throughput - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was at 1923 points on February 6, 2026, up 135.95% year-on-year and 9.14% month-on-month [11][51] - In 2025, iron ore throughput at major receiving ports reached 1.399 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.39%, while coal throughput was 688 million tons, down 1.07% year-on-year [11][64]