Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" [6] Core Viewpoints - The retail pharmacy industry is experiencing a decline in sales at physical stores, with a year-on-year decrease noted in May 2025. However, the structure of listed pharmacy stores is gradually optimizing, which is expected to lead to stable growth in performance [3][13] - In May 2025, the average daily sales per store in physical pharmacies were 2,769.8 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 3.09%. The average order volume per store increased by 4.57%, while the average transaction value decreased by 7.21% [4][15] - The retail pharmacy sector has seen a concentration increase, with the top six listed pharmacies holding a market share of approximately 17.94%. Despite a year-on-year revenue decline of 1.77% for the overall retail pharmacy market in 2024, these pharmacies are expected to achieve growth due to steady store expansion [20][21] Summary by Sections Macro Dimension - The market size of domestic physical pharmacies in 2024 was 611.9 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 1.77% due to factors such as declining transaction values and reduced product offerings [14] - In May 2025, the average daily sales per store in physical pharmacies were 2,769.8 yuan, which is a 3.09% year-on-year decline. The average order volume per store increased by 4.57%, while the average transaction value decreased by 7.21% [15] Micro Dimension - The structure of listed pharmacy stores is gradually optimizing, with several companies maintaining a high proportion of new store openings. In 2024, the proportion of new stores for major pharmacies was as follows: Yifeng Pharmacy (31%), Dazhenglin (25%), Laobaixing (31%), Yixintang (15%), Jianzhijia (38%), and Shuyupingmin (34%) [5][25] - The retail pharmacy industry is witnessing a further increase in concentration, with the top six listed pharmacies expected to achieve better-than-industry growth due to their steady expansion [20][21]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The construction industry is experiencing operational pressure due to declining real estate demand and local fiscal constraints, with a projected revenue decline of 3.81% year-on-year for 2024 and a net profit decline of 14.59% [2][16] - Non-traditional construction sectors, such as chemical engineering and international engineering, are showing resilience and growth, with chemical engineering revenue increasing by 4.43% year-on-year in 2024 [2][25] - The eight major state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in the construction sector have seen a slight decrease in revenue and profit, but their overseas business is performing well, with a 10.05% increase in overseas revenue in 2024 [3][41] Summary by Sections Revenue and Performance - The construction industry is under pressure, with a total revenue of 8.71 trillion yuan in 2024, down 3.81% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.83 trillion yuan, down 14.59% [2][19] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 6.17% year-on-year, attributed to seasonal factors and delayed project commencement [2][17] - The eight major SOEs accounted for approximately 80.31% of the construction sector's revenue, with a total revenue of about 7 trillion yuan in 2024, down 3.55% year-on-year [3][33] Profitability - The overall gross margin for the construction industry remained stable at 10.92% in 2024, with improvements noted in international engineering and chemical engineering sectors [4][42] - The net profit margin decreased to 2.62% in 2024, primarily due to increased expense ratios and impairment losses [4][19] - Return on equity (ROE) for the industry fell to 7.29%, with international engineering leading at 10.78% [7][19] Cash Flow and Debt - The operating cash flow for the construction industry decreased by 31.60% year-on-year in 2024, totaling 1.12 trillion yuan [8][19] - The debt ratio for the industry increased to 76.84% in 2024, indicating rising financial leverage [19][42] Investment Outlook - The fiscal policy for 2025 is expected to be positive, with significant government investment planned, including a deficit target of 5.66 trillion yuan and new special bonds totaling 4.4 trillion yuan [24][25] - The concentration of the industry is increasing, with major SOEs expected to enhance their competitive edge [9][24] - The overseas business of construction SOEs is anticipated to continue growing, with a focus on international projects along the Belt and Road Initiative [10][41]

Export and Trade - In May, exports decreased by 4.8% year-on-year, a decline of 3.3 percentage points from April, indicating weakened trade momentum[4] - Exports to the US fell sharply from -21.0% in April to -34.5% in May, while exports to ASEAN and India also declined significantly[5] - Exports to the EU increased from 8.3% in April to 12.0% in May, suggesting a growing reliance on the European market amid tariff impacts[5] Inflation and Price Pressure - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in May showed a year-on-year decline of 3.3%, continuing a downward trend[8] - Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained flat at -0.1% year-on-year in May, indicating persistent weak demand and price pressures[11] - Industrial product prices are experiencing deeper declines due to insufficient terminal demand and strong manufacturing supply[14] Economic Outlook - The overall economic growth rate may experience a slight slowdown in Q2, influenced by diminishing export momentum and increasing price pressures[14] - The risk appetite in the equity market is rising, supported by potential tariff reductions in US-China negotiations and stable domestic economic performance[17] - The central bank's recent actions, including a 1 trillion yuan reverse repo operation, reflect a strong intention to stabilize liquidity in the financial system[18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" [7] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a slowdown in sales recovery, with urban renewal policies gaining momentum. The Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development announced over 20 cities, including Beijing and Tianjin, will receive more than 20 billion yuan in central financial support for urban renewal projects in the coming years [1] - The report suggests that the sales growth of new and second-hand homes in core cities has further slowed down, necessitating stronger real estate control policies to stabilize the market [1] - It recommends focusing on distressed real estate companies that may experience a turnaround, such as China Vanke and New Town Holdings, as well as leading companies maintaining land acquisition intensity like China Merchants Shekou and Poly Developments [1] Sales Review (5.31-6.6) - A total of 13,000 units were sold across 32 monitored cities, a week-on-week decrease of 37.3%. Cumulatively, 349,000 units have been sold in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8% [2][13] - In first-tier cities, 3,744 units were sold, down 41.5% week-on-week, with a cumulative total of 101,000 units sold in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.6% [2][13] - Second-tier cities saw 7,820 units sold, down 35% week-on-week, with a cumulative total of 207,000 units sold in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.2% [2][13] - Third-tier cities recorded 1,256 units sold, down 37.6% week-on-week, with a cumulative total of 42,000 units sold in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8% [2][13] Land Supply (5.26-6.1) - The planned construction area for residential land supply across 100 cities is 9.14 million square meters, with a cumulative supply of 89.1 million square meters in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 11.6% [3][21] - The average floor price for land supply across 100 cities is 7,119 yuan per square meter, with a recent four-week average of 6,092 yuan per square meter, showing a week-on-week decrease of 4% and a year-on-year increase of 20.1% [3][21] Land Transaction (5.26-6.1) - The planned construction area for residential land transactions across 100 cities is 4.26 million square meters, with a cumulative total of 73.97 million square meters sold in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [4][46] - The average transaction floor price for residential land across 100 cities is 5,455 yuan per square meter, down 16.6% week-on-week but up 5.1% year-on-year, with an overall premium rate of 5.5% [4][46]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" [5] Core Insights - Stablecoins are positioned as the cornerstone of a new financial system centered around blockchain technology, addressing limitations of traditional financial services such as high costs, inefficiencies, and lack of inclusivity [11][12] - Circle is the second-largest stablecoin issuer globally, with a circulating supply of nearly $60 billion for USDC, capturing a market share of 29% as of March 31, 2025 [2][17] - The future applications of stablecoins are primarily in two areas: payment scenarios focusing on cross-border payments and trading scenarios centered on decentralized finance (DeFi) and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization [16][39] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Traditional financial systems face challenges including high transaction costs, inefficiencies in fund transfers, regulatory constraints, and limited access for underserved populations [11] - Blockchain technology offers a decentralized, transparent, and efficient alternative, enabling rapid transactions and significantly lower costs [12] Circle's Position - Circle's USDC has seen substantial growth, with the number of active wallets increasing from 1.3 million in Q1 2022 to 4.883 million in Q1 2025 [2][20] - The company maintains a strong compliance framework, with its stablecoin redeemable 1:1 with USD and backed by reserve assets [21][22] Revenue Generation - Circle's primary revenue source is derived from reserve income, which accounted for 95%-99% of total revenue from 2022 to 2024, closely tied to the size of reserve assets and macro interest rates [2][24] - The company is diversifying its revenue streams through on-chain developer services, tokenized funds, and other innovative financial products [3][25] Future Growth Opportunities - Circle is expanding its product offerings, including Circle Wallets, Circle Contracts, and Circle Paymaster, to enhance user experience and facilitate seamless transactions across different blockchain networks [26][29][32] - The acquisition of Hashnote and the launch of the USYC tokenized multi-asset fund represent strategic moves to enhance interoperability and liquidity in the digital asset space [33] Market Trends - The report highlights the potential for stablecoins to disrupt traditional financial systems and emphasizes the importance of partnerships with entities like Coinbase to drive growth and market penetration [36][39] - The overall performance of the computer industry, including segments like fintech and AI, has shown resilience and growth, indicating a favorable environment for companies like Circle [40][44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market-B" for the construction industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - The launch of the Three Gorges Waterway New Channel project marks a significant step forward, with an estimated static total investment of approximately 76.6 billion yuan and a total construction period of 100 months, excluding a 12-month preparatory period [1][15]. - The project includes two main components: the Three Gorges Hub New Channel Project and the Gezhouba Navigation Capacity Expansion Project, which are expected to stimulate demand across the upstream and downstream industrial chains [2][17]. - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in water conservancy construction, particularly in companies like China Communications Construction, China Electric Power Construction, and China Energy Construction [9][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The Three Gorges Waterway New Channel project has initiated its bidding process, indicating a substantial release of demand in the upstream and downstream industrial chains [15][17]. - In the first four months of the year, national water conservancy construction investment reached 294.36 billion yuan, with 26,800 projects implemented, including 11,149 new projects [2][17]. Market Performance - The construction industry saw a weekly increase of 1.25%, underperforming the Shenzhen Composite Index but outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 [18]. - The report highlights that 121 companies in the construction sector recorded increases, with 73.78% of companies showing positive performance [20]. Key Focus Stocks - The report identifies key stocks to watch, including China Communications Construction, China Electric Power Construction, and China Energy Construction, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing projects [9][26]. - The report also emphasizes the importance of state-owned enterprises in the construction sector, suggesting that their fundamentals are likely to improve due to macroeconomic policies [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" for the environmental and public utility sector [5]. Core Insights - The recent national policy on direct green electricity connection promotes "source-load coordination," allowing market participants to choose their green electricity connection model, enhancing the consumption of renewable energy and reducing transmission losses [14][16]. - The policy is expected to benefit high-energy-consuming enterprises by providing more options for green electricity and potentially lowering electricity costs, particularly for data centers [20][17]. Summary by Sections 1. National Green Electricity Direct Connection Policy - The policy allows renewable energy sources like wind and solar to connect directly to single electricity users, bypassing the traditional grid system, which enhances the physical traceability of electricity supply [14]. - It aims to balance interests among stakeholders and ensure sustainable development, improving local consumption of renewable energy [14][15]. 2. Market Review - From May 24 to June 6, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.1%, while the public utility index fell by 0.31%, underperforming the overall market [21]. - The environmental index increased by 3.9%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.8 percentage points [21]. 3. Market Information Tracking - In June 2025, the average electricity transaction price in Jiangsu was 312.8 CNY/MWh, down 20% from the benchmark price, while in Guangdong, it was 372.7 CNY/MWh, down 17.73% [35]. - The price of thermal coal continued to decline, with domestic coal prices at 609 CNY/ton, down 2 CNY from the previous period [38]. 4. Investment Portfolio and Recommendations - For public utilities, the report suggests focusing on thermal power companies due to improved profitability from lower coal prices and seasonal demand increases [9]. - In the green electricity sector, companies that integrate generation, sales, and consumption are recommended, particularly those involved in virtual power plants and market trading [9]. - The report highlights the potential for waste incineration companies to improve cash flow and profitability through direct sales to high-energy consumers [10]. 5. Company Dynamics - The report notes various companies in the environmental sector, such as Weiming Environmental, Junxin Co., and Wangneng Environment, as key players to watch due to their operational stability and potential for increased dividends [10][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the industry, indicating an expected return that will exceed the performance of the CSI 300 Index by 10% or more over the next six months [4]. Core Insights - Broadcom reported a revenue of $15.004 billion for Q2 FY25, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.2% and slightly exceeding the company's guidance and market expectations. The adjusted EBITDA margin was approximately 67%, higher than the previous guidance of 66% [1]. - AI revenue for Broadcom exceeded $4.4 billion, accounting for over 52% of semiconductor revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 46%. Non-AI revenue was $4 billion, showing a decline of 5% year-on-year [1]. - The upcoming WWDC event by Apple is set to provide insights into the latest tools and technologies, with over 100 sessions planned for developers [2][20]. - The U.S. Trade Representative extended tariff exemptions on certain products from China, impacting nearly 200 items, including components relevant to the semiconductor and electronics sectors [3][9]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The electronic sector saw a relative return of -3.3% over one month, -9.8% over three months, and a positive 24.2% over twelve months. Absolute returns were -1.6% over one month, -11.9% over three months, and 32.0% over twelve months [6]. Financial Metrics - As of June 8, 2025, the electronic index PE ratio was 50.38, with a 10-year PE percentile of 65.84%. The semiconductor sub-sector had a PE of 81.96, while consumer electronics had a PE of 26.49 [10][37][38]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the computing power supply chain, such as Shenghong Technology and Huadian Technology, as well as storage companies like Zhaoyi Innovation and Bawei Storage [11].

Group 1 - The report highlights that the A-share market is currently in a "new victory over old" phase of the new and old kinetic energy conversion, with a focus on new consumption and new technology sectors [4][55] - The market is expected to experience a structural rotation similar to 2019, characterized by a dual momentum in consumption and technology, with new consumption and new technology showing a "seesaw" effect [2][57] - The report emphasizes the importance of external factors, such as the upcoming US tariff negotiations and significant financial policy announcements expected from the Lujiazui Forum on June 18 [1][3] Group 2 - The report notes that the A-share market has shown resilience, with a strong performance in small-cap stocks and a daily average trading volume of 1.2088 trillion yuan, indicating increased market activity [14][19] - It discusses the structural divergence in capital flows, particularly the slowdown in southbound capital inflows, which reflects a cautious sentiment among investors regarding the realization of previously priced-in benefits [19][22] - The report identifies key sectors for investment, including new consumption represented by the New Consumption 50 index and new technology sectors such as AI and robotics, which are expected to drive future growth [4][40]

2025 年 06 月 08 日 震荡偏强，科技板块仍具性价比 金融工程定期报告 证券研究报告 本期要点：震荡偏强，科技板块仍具性价比 正如上周所述，当前市场走势比 2024 年 6 月要强一些，结构上可以 考虑在均衡的基础上偏向低吸科技板块，目前来看基本符合预期。 上周市场表现相对较强，上证则是再度形成了向上一笔，有挑战 5 月 高点的迹象。但在有效突破 5 月高点之前，上证也有可能因存在日线 顶背离的压制而出现调整的可能性。因此，我们当下维持市场震荡偏 强的判断，但将密切关注在前高附近市场是否展现出有效突破的迹 象；而如果一旦确认突破失败，那么后续或将迎来真正的调整。 上周四盘后，我们的四轮驱动模型再次发出 TMT 方向的多个看多信 号。从相对于市场的低频温度计角度看，目前 TMT 板块仍处于相对低 位；而从拥挤度的角度看，TMT 板块在 5 月底下探两年来的低点之后， 又有再度小幅上行的迹象。这两个因素或使得至少未来一两周内 TMT 是一个值得认真关注的方向。 具体而言，行业上，除了电子、计算机、传媒等板块外，还可以关注 非银、食品饮料、纺织服饰、通信、机械、军工等板块的机会。 风险提示：根据历史数据构 ...