Investment Rating - The investment rating for the cross-border e-commerce industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The 2025 Amazon Prime Day sales reached a record high of $24.1 billion in the U.S., representing a 30% year-on-year growth, exceeding the previous forecast of 28% [3][5] - The promotional period for Prime Day was extended from 2 days to 4 days, with overall discounts among U.S. retailers ranging from 11% to 24% [3][5] - Chinese sellers have capitalized on this opportunity by increasing investments in promoting new products and expanding brand influence, resulting in significant sales growth [3][5] - Emerging markets are expected to contribute additional growth, with Prime Day events planned for Brazil, Egypt, India, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE later in the summer [6][9] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - Amazon's Prime Day in 2025 achieved sales of $24.1 billion, a 30.3% increase from the previous year, with sales and volume hitting historical highs [5] - A specific kitchenware company saw a 230% year-on-year increase in sales on the first day of Prime Day, while an outdoor apparel brand experienced a 140% year-on-year increase in sales volume [5] Market Opportunities - The overseas e-commerce market still has room for penetration, with strong consumer demand for quality Chinese products [4][9] - Cross-border brands are enhancing their product capabilities and diversifying regions to improve resilience against risks, benefiting from an optimized competitive landscape [4][9] Emerging Markets - The international business revenue for Amazon is projected to reach $142.9 billion in 2024, with a 9% year-on-year growth [7] - Chinese cross-border brands are actively expanding into emerging markets, with Anker Innovations increasing its revenue share from non-European and American markets from 26.84% in 2020 to 31.17% in 2023 [7]

Group 1: Company Overview - YingShi Innovation (688775.SH) is a global leader in panoramic cameras, with a strong focus on the development, production, and sales of smart imaging devices, including action cameras and panoramic cameras [9][11] - The company's revenue is primarily driven by consumer-grade cameras, which accounted for over 86% of its income in 2024, with nearly 80% of revenue sourced from overseas markets [9][10] - From 2017 to 2024, YingShi Innovation's revenue is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 66.2%, reaching 5.57 billion, while net profit is expected to grow at a CAGR of 106.5% to 990 million [9][10] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The smart portable imaging device industry, which includes action cameras and drones, is experiencing a product cycle upswing, with a projected CAGR of 41% in China from 2024 to 2027, and over 800,000 units expected to be sold in overseas markets during the same period [10][11] - The global market for consumer-grade panoramic cameras is highly concentrated, with YingShi Innovation holding a market share of 67.2% in 2023, while major players in the action camera segment include DJI, YingShi, and GoPro, collectively accounting for over 80% of the market [10][11] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - YingShi Innovation's competitive edge stems from its strong focus on technological innovation, product development, and a comprehensive marketing strategy, which includes advanced features such as AI smart editing and anti-shake technology [11][12] - The company has established a balanced global sales network, utilizing both online platforms like Amazon and Tmall, and offline channels across over 60 countries, enhancing its brand influence [11][12] Group 4: Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profit growth of 16%, 44%, and 42% from 2025 to 2027, reaching 1.15 billion, 1.65 billion, and 2.34 billion respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 2.87, 4.12, and 5.84 [12] - The estimated reasonable valuation for YingShi Innovation is between 183.47 and 207.93 per share, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 45-50 for 2026 [12]

市场表现：今日(20250714) 规模指数中中证 2000 指数表现较好，板块指数 中北证 50 指数表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 价值指数表现较好。机械、 石油石化、电力公用事业、家电、银行行业表现较好，综合金融、房地产、 传媒、非银、消费者服务行业表现较差。PEEK 材料、宇树机器人、超级细菌、 减速器、猴痘等概念表现较好，炒股软件、信托、金控平台、稳定币、金融 科技等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：今日收盘时有 72 只股票涨停，有 20 只股票跌停。昨日涨停股票 今日收盘收益为 2.32%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为-3.26%。今日封板率 71%，较前日提升 5%，连板率 30%，较前日提升 2%。 市场资金流向：截至 20250711 两融余额为 18758 亿元，其中融资余额 18626 亿元，融券余额 132 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.2%，两融交易占市 场成交额比重为 9.8%。 折溢价：20250711 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是稀土 ETF，ETF 折价较多的是中证 500ETF 平安。近半年以来大宗交易日均成交金额达到 12 亿元，20250711 当 日大宗交易成交金额为 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][4] Core Views - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a range of 5.4 billion to 5.9 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year increase of 2.095 billion to 2.595 billion yuan, or a growth of 63.39% to 78.52% [2][3] - The main driver for this performance is the production ramp-up of the Inner Mongolia 3 million tons/year olefin project, leading to a significant increase in olefin product sales [2][3] - The decline in coal prices has reduced the cost of coal-to-olefin production, maintaining a significant cost advantage for the company [9] - The company is steadily advancing its projects in Ningdong Phase IV and Xinjiang, continuing to expand its main product capacity in polyolefins [2][7] - The company has repurchased shares to enhance investor confidence, having repurchased 60.59 million shares, accounting for 0.83% of the total share capital [15] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 2.963 billion to 3.463 billion yuan for the second quarter of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 57.3% to 83.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.6% to 42.1% [3] - The total coal-to-olefin production capacity has increased from 2.2 million tons to 5.2 million tons per year following the commissioning of the Inner Mongolia project [7] Cost Structure - The average cost of coal-to-olefin production is projected to be 6,082 yuan/ton, compared to 7,415 yuan/ton for oil-to-olefin production, maintaining a cost advantage of approximately 1,334 yuan/ton [9] Project Development - The Ningdong Phase IV project will add 250,000 tons/year of ethylene-vinyl acetate copolymer and 300,000 tons/year of polypropylene, with construction progressing as planned [14] - The Xinjiang 4 million tons olefin project has received necessary environmental assessment approvals and is set to include multiple production units for methanol and olefins [14] Investment Recommendations - The company’s main product, polyolefin capacity expansion, is expected to contribute significantly to profit growth, with projected net profits of 12.206 billion, 12.413 billion, and 13.267 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [16]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in its performance for the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders ranging from 250 to 300 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 78% to 114% [1] - The company has seen a 50% year-on-year increase in new orders from January to May 2025, with a notable improvement in the order structure, particularly in large-load elevators and gear rack elevators, which now account for approximately 40% of the total order value [2] - The company is enhancing its international presence, with overseas revenue reaching 650 million yuan in 2024, a 19% increase year-on-year, and accounting for 50% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 56% from international sales, significantly higher than domestic margins [2] - The company is actively innovating its product offerings in the wind power sector, introducing new products that align with the trend of larger wind turbines, while also expanding into non-wind sectors such as industrial and emergency rescue applications [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of 492 million yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 56.4%, and an EPS of 2.32 yuan, translating to a PE ratio of 12.9 [4] - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 1.915 billion yuan, reflecting a 47.5% increase compared to 2024 [4] Order and Market Dynamics - The company has optimized its order structure, with a focus on high-value products, leading to improved customer recognition and market coverage [2] - The company has established wholly-owned subsidiaries in key international markets, enhancing its ability to provide comprehensive services to overseas clients [2] Product Development - Continuous product innovation is a priority, with new solutions being developed to increase the value and profitability of wind power products [3] - The company is also diversifying its product applications beyond wind power, targeting various industries [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][15][19] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 234-255 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 51%-65% [1] - The growth is primarily driven by the performance of the new energy control business, which has shown significant year-on-year growth [1] - The company has successfully expanded its overseas business, with revenue from overseas operations reaching 260 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 123% [2] - The implementation of a divisional system has improved operational efficiency, enhancing market responsiveness and business development [2] - The company is expected to open a second growth curve through its AIDC power equipment products, benefiting from the surge in demand for AI computing power [3] Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve operating revenues of 4.51 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 20.9% [4][12] - The net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be 603 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 37% [4][12] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.33 yuan, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 24.0 [4][12] - The EBIT margin is expected to improve to 15.2% by 2025, indicating enhanced profitability [4][12] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 13.2% in 2025, showing a positive trend in shareholder returns [4][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The company operates under exclusive licenses and is positioned as a resource integrator under a franchise framework, with a focus on global expansion [2][6] - The company is the only publicly listed tobacco company within the China Tobacco system, benefiting from strong exclusive operating barriers and actively pursuing both organic and external growth [4][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Business Overview - The company is designated as the overseas platform for China Tobacco International, responsible for capital market operations and international business expansion [4][8] - The business model is characterized by light assets, monopoly, and planned operations, leading to stable profitability [4][8] Revenue and Growth - Revenue from 2018 to 2024 is projected to grow from HKD 70.3 billion to HKD 130.7 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.9% [19] - The company’s revenue is primarily driven by the import and export of tobacco leaves, with significant contributions from cigarette exports and new tobacco products [19][22] Profitability - Net profit is expected to increase from HKD 2.6 billion in 2018 to HKD 8.5 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 21.8% [22] - The company’s profitability is enhanced by a high-margin business structure, particularly in the Brazilian operations and cigarette exports [22] Market Position - The company holds a unique position in the global tobacco market, with over 40% of the world's tobacco production and consumption occurring in China, yet the internationalization of China Tobacco remains relatively low, indicating significant growth potential [4][8] Future Outlook - The company anticipates net profits of HKD 9.0 billion, HKD 9.8 billion, and HKD 10.6 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of HKD 1.30, HKD 1.41, and HKD 1.53 [4][22] - The expected reasonable valuation range for the company is between HKD 29.83 and HKD 36.24, corresponding to a market capitalization of HKD 206 billion to HKD 251 billion [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company for the first time, with a reasonable valuation range of 183.47 to 207.93 CNY per share [4][6]. Core Insights - The company, Yingshi Innovation, is a global leader in panoramic cameras and ranks among the top three in the action camera market, driven by technological advancements in smart imaging devices [1][12]. - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 66.2% from 2017 to 2024, reaching 5.57 billion CNY in revenue and a net profit of 9.9 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 106.5% [1][19]. - The smart portable imaging device industry is in an upward product cycle, with expected sales growth in China at a CAGR of 41% from 2024 to 2027, and overseas markets projected to grow at 35% during the same period [2][30]. Company Overview - Yingshi Innovation specializes in the research, production, and sales of smart imaging devices, including panoramic and action cameras, with over 86% of its revenue coming from consumer-grade cameras in 2024 [1][21]. - The company generates nearly 80% of its revenue from overseas markets, with significant contributions from North America, Europe, and other regions [22]. Competitive Advantages - The company has established strong competitive advantages through technological innovation, product development, and a comprehensive marketing system, including features like AI smart editing and advanced stabilization technology [3][19]. - Yingshi Innovation's market share in the global consumer panoramic camera market is 67.2%, and it ranks among the top three in the action camera sector [2][12]. Financial Performance - The company is expected to maintain robust growth, with projected net profits of 11.5 billion CNY, 16.5 billion CNY, and 23.4 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, corresponding to earnings per share (EPS) of 2.87, 4.12, and 5.84 CNY [4][5]. - The company's revenue is primarily driven by consumer-grade imaging devices, which accounted for 86.6% of its main business revenue in 2024 [21][22]. Market Dynamics - The smart portable imaging device market is characterized by a concentration of major players, with Yingshi Innovation, DJI, and GoPro dominating the action camera segment [2][30]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards higher sales volumes, with domestic sales expected to exceed 314 million units by 2024, driven by increasing demand from social media creators [32][39].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [5][41]. Core Viewpoints - The media sector has shown a positive performance with a 3.22% increase, outperforming both the CSI 300 (0.82%) and the ChiNext Index (2.36%) during the week of July 7 to July 13 [12][41]. - The report highlights the ongoing advancements in AI applications and the potential for growth in the gaming, advertising, and film sectors, driven by improving fundamentals and market conditions [4][41]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media industry rose by 3.22% during the week, ranking 6th among all sectors [12][14]. - Notable gainers included Huamei Holdings (47%), Fengshang Culture (22%), and Shining Star Technology (15%) [13][12]. Key Developments - OpenAI announced the upcoming release of GPT-5, which will integrate multiple models into a unified version [2][16]. - The launch of Grok 4 by xAI, with API pricing set at $3 for input and $15 for output per million tokens, marks a significant development in AI technology [2][17]. - The Kimi K2 model, released by Moonlight Dark Company, boasts 1 trillion parameters and excels in various benchmark tests [2][18]. Box Office and Content Performance - The total box office for the week was 575 million yuan, with "Jurassic World: Rebirth" leading at 145 million yuan [19][21]. - Popular TV shows included "Running Man Season 13" and "Singer 2025," while the gaming sector saw "Whiteout Survival" topping the mobile game revenue charts [3][30]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on gaming, advertising media, and film sectors, with specific stock recommendations including Kaiying Network, Giant Network, and Bilibili [4][41]. - The report emphasizes the potential of AI applications and IP-driven products, recommending companies like Pop Mart and Zhejiang Digital Culture [4][41].

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月14日 社会服务行业双周报（第 110 期） 优于大市 社服板块二季报业绩前瞻：预计延续分化表现 社服板块二季报前瞻：预计延续分化表现。出行链，酒店龙头 RevPAR 降幅 收窄，高势能品牌扩张领先，亚朵零售与酒店双轮驱动，首旅强化成本管控； OTA 平台 Q2 竞争扰动预计相对有限，同程优化补贴，利润率有望提升，携程 加码海外投入；祥源文旅外延扩张、九华旅游客流有望增长支撑景区表现。 海南免税降幅预计环比收窄。餐饮连锁，茶饮、快餐、大部分大众餐饮同店 有望逐步企稳，同时也有望受益于头部平台补贴。教育人服，新东方-S 降本 增效，预计推动核心业务利润率同比提升；学大教育依托考前冲刺旺季需求 与新网点爬坡，利润率有望环比改善；中国东方教育春季招生表现突出&预 计区域中心建设效能持续释放；科锐国际 AI 赋能预计持续降本增效。 风险提示：政策变动、行业竞争加剧、消费环境修复不及预期等。 板块复盘：消费者服务板块报告期内上涨 2.49%，跑赢大盘 0.12pct。国信 社服板块涨幅居前的股票为奈雪的茶（37.50%）、新濠国际发展（33.00%）、 粉笔（27.56%）、新高教集团 ...