证券研究报告 | 2025年12月22日 2025年12月23日 制造成长周报（第 39 期） 优于大市 何小鹏称人形机器人是巨头竞争，持续关注 AI 基建燃机及液 冷投资机会 重点事件点评&重点关注：人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-何小鹏：人形机器人将是巨头的竞争：2025 年 12 月 17 日，小鹏汽 车 CEO 何小鹏在微博发文称，人形机器人将来会是巨头的竞争，而不同的专 用机器人则会有大量不同领域的选手，且会有非常多的成功机会。 事件 2-万泽航空荣获广瀚燃机"金牌供应商"称号：2025 年 12 月 19 日， 万泽航空在广瀚燃机年度供应商评价中荣获"金牌供应商"称号。 人形机器人点评：人形机器人通用化难度大，我们认为未来一段时间机器人 可能会以专用机器人为主，各细分领域均有望出现龙头；同时各产业链也将 出现各自的领先企业。未来在大模型等技术逐步成熟后通用机器人有望在消 费领域和部分工业领域取代专用机器人。我们持续看好人形机器人的长期投 资机会，建议从价值量和卡位上把握空间&确定性，从股票弹性上寻找增量 环节。1）确定性：特斯拉产业链核心供应商或者实力强、卡位好的公司， 重点关注【飞荣达】【龙溪 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Neutral" [2][15]. Core Insights - The company signed a significant contract worth 815 million yuan with its controlling shareholder, Huadian Group, to supply core equipment for a green methanol project in Liaoning, marking a new growth opportunity [3][7]. - The green methanol production capacity in China is expected to reach 10 million tons by 2030, with an average annual increase of 2 million tons [4][11]. - The market for green methanol equipment is projected to exceed 13 billion yuan annually, with the company positioned to benefit from this growth [4][9]. Summary by Sections Contract Details - The contract includes the supply of electrolyzers, CO2 compression and purification, methanol synthesis and processing, and storage tanks for the integrated demonstration project [3][7]. - The contract structure consists of three main components: hydrogen system equipment (649 million yuan), CO2 treatment and methanol system equipment (124 million yuan), and storage tank equipment (42 million yuan) [8]. Market Potential - The annual investment in green methanol equipment is estimated at 13 billion yuan, with specific allocations for CO2 treatment and methanol synthesis equipment (2.1 billion yuan), hydrogen and CO2 storage tanks (800 million yuan), and hydrogen system investments (10.1 billion yuan) [4][10]. - The company’s full-chain equipment for electro-methanol production is applicable to all green methanol projects, enhancing its market position [9]. Company Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.534 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.6%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 11.6% [6][14]. - The gross margin for the same period was 11.0%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.8 percentage points [14]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downward, with expected net profits of 205 million yuan, 296 million yuan, and 326 million yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 78%, 44%, and 10% [15].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Neutral" [2][6][15] Core Insights - The company signed a significant contract worth 815 million yuan with its controlling shareholder, providing core equipment for a green methanol project, which is the first large-scale "CO2 + green hydrogen" methanol production project in China [3][11] - By 2030, China's green methanol production capacity is expected to reach approximately 10 million tons, with an annual increase of 2 million tons [4][10] - The green methanol equipment market is projected to exceed 13 billion yuan annually, with the company positioned to benefit from the large-scale construction of green methanol capacity [4][9] Summary by Sections Contract Details - The contract includes the supply of electrolysis systems, CO2 compression and purification, methanol synthesis, and storage tanks for the Liaoning project [3][7] - The contract structure consists of three main parts: hydrogen system equipment (649 million yuan), CO2 treatment and methanol system equipment (124 million yuan), and storage tank equipment (42 million yuan) [8] Market Potential - The annual investment in green methanol equipment is estimated to reach 13 billion yuan, with specific allocations for CO2 treatment and methanol synthesis equipment (2.1 billion yuan) and hydrogen, CO2, and methanol storage equipment (800 million yuan) [4][10] - The demand for electrolyzers in the green methanol industry is projected to be 2 GW annually, corresponding to an investment of 10.1 billion yuan for hydrogen systems and supporting facilities [4][10] Company Development - The company is actively developing strategic emerging industries represented by green hydrogen, with various equipment for green hydrogen and methanol production [5][12] - The company has launched the "Huazhen" and "Huahan" series of electrolyzer products, achieving domestic substitution of core materials and establishing large-scale production capabilities [5][13] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.534 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.6%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 11.6% year-on-year [6][14] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downward, with expected net profits of 205 million yuan, 296 million yuan, and 326 million yuan, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 78%, 44%, and 10% [6][15]

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月23日 云图控股（002539.SZ） 磷酸铁景气度有望回升，硫铁矿制酸优势突出 |  | 公司研究·公司快评 | |  | 基础化工·农化制品 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 杨林 | 010-88005379 | | yanglin6@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520120002 | | 证券分析师： | 董丙旭 | 0755-81982570 | | dongbingxu@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524090002 | 事项： 近期磷酸铁厂家纷纷提价，截止 2025 年 12 月 19 日，据百川盈孚，磷酸铁市场均价为 10830 元/吨，同比 上涨 3.14%；2025 年 12 月 19 日，国内固态硫磺现货价为 3950 元/吨，同比去年上涨 157.32%，硫铁矿市 场均价为 1024 元/吨，同比去年上涨 55.86%，硫铁矿制酸工艺优势明显。 国信化工观点：1）在锂电行业需求高增背景下，磷酸铁景气 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月22日 2025年12月23日 制造成长周报（第 39 期） 优于大市 何小鹏称人形机器人是巨头竞争，持续关注 AI 基建燃机及液 冷投资机会 重点事件点评&重点关注：人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-何小鹏：人形机器人将是巨头的竞争：2025 年 12 月 17 日，小鹏汽 车 CEO 何小鹏在微博发文称，人形机器人将来会是巨头的竞争，而不同的专 用机器人则会有大量不同领域的选手，且会有非常多的成功机会。 事件 2-万泽航空荣获广瀚燃机"金牌供应商"称号：2025 年 12 月 19 日， 万泽航空在广瀚燃机年度供应商评价中荣获"金牌供应商"称号。 AI 基建-燃机点评：以万泽股份、应流股份为代表的企业卡位核心，在燃气 轮机客户的认可度持续提升，未来有望显著受益于数据中心缺电带来的发展 机遇。我们认为 AI 算力仍然是需求确定性高增长的投资主线，持续看好 AI 基建相关产业链，电力将逐渐成为 AI 发展瓶颈环节，需重点把握 AI 缺电相 关投资机遇。燃气轮机作为海外数据中心主用电源与备用电源将深度受 益 AI 数据中心供电需求，GEV 超预期上修燃机订单与扩产也表明行业是 ...

Macro and Strategy - Silver prices have reached historical highs, driven by its dual industrial and financial attributes, with over 60% of silver used in industrial applications as of December 2025 [6][7] - The recent surge in silver prices was triggered by significant physical deliveries at the New York COMEX, with registered inventories dropping over 70% from their peak in 2020 [6] - Long-term demand for silver is expected to grow due to industrial applications in solar energy, AI, and electric vehicles, alongside continued global monetary easing [6] Industry and Company - The agricultural sector is witnessing a bullish trend in livestock prices, particularly for beef and milk, with expectations of a cyclical recovery in the meat and dairy markets [24][26] - The price of live pigs has increased to 11.57 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 2.03%, while beef prices are also on an upward trajectory [24][26] - The media and internet industry has shown resilience, with a 0.54% increase in the sector, outperforming major indices, driven by upcoming IPOs and strong box office performances from films like "Avatar 3" [27][28] - The copper industry is facing a significant shift as long-term processing fees for copper concentrate have been set to zero, indicating a potential improvement in the industry structure [31] - The home appliance sector is experiencing a downturn, with retail sales down 19% year-on-year in November, although there are signs of recovery in exports for certain categories like refrigerators and washing machines [32][33]

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月22日 医药生物周报（25 年第 49 周） 优于大市 政策端支持服务消费力度提升，关注医疗服务相关机会 本周医药板块表现弱于整体市场，化学制药跌幅居前。本周全部 A 股下 跌 0.07%（总市值加权平均），沪深 300 下跌 0.28%，中小板指下跌 0.80%，创业板指下跌 2.26%，生物医药板块整体下跌 0.14%，生物医 药板块表现弱于整体市场。分子板块来看，化学制药下跌 1.74%，生物 制品下跌 0.67%，医疗服务上涨 0.55%，医疗器械上涨 1.16%，医药商 业上涨 4.94%，中药上涨 0.17%。医药生物市盈率（TTM）37.07x，处 于近 5 年历史估值的 79.04%分位数。 近两年我国密集出台支持服务消费的政策，围绕"稳增长、扩内需、提 质量"，持续释放服务消费潜力。政策一方面从供给侧入手，通过扩大 和优化服务供给、放宽准入、提升服务质量与效率，推动医疗、养老、 文旅等重点领域升级；另一方面通过财政、金融和价格等工具，加大对 居民消费和服务业主体的支持，降低成本、激发需求。在此背景下，"犒 赏经济"成为新亮点，居民在满足基本需求后，更愿为健康 ...

- The report discusses the market performance on December 22, 2025, highlighting that most indices were in an upward trend, with the CSI 500 Index performing particularly well among scale indices, and the ChiNext Index performing well among sector indices[2][7] - The market sentiment was high, with 104 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 8 stocks hitting the daily limit down at the close of trading[2][14] - The financing balance as of December 19, 2025, was 24,871 billion yuan, and the securities lending balance was 167 billion yuan, with the total margin balance accounting for 2.6% of the market's circulating market value[2][20][23] - The report also provides data on ETF premiums and discounts, noting that the Sci-Tech Growth ETF from Southern Fund had the highest premium at 1.49%, while the Creation 50 ETF from ICBC had the highest discount at 0.51% on December 19, 2025[3][24][26] - The report includes information on block trading, indicating that the average daily transaction amount of block trades in the past six months was 2.1 billion yuan, with a discount rate of 5.21% on December 19, 2025[3][27][29] - The annualized discount rates for the main contracts of stock index futures for the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices were 0.27%, 4.53%, 8.15%, and 12.34%, respectively, on December 22, 2025[3][29][32] - The report lists the top stocks in terms of net inflow and outflow from institutional seats and Northbound funds, with Sannong Seed Industry, Snowman Group, and Aisen Co., Ltd. among the top net inflow stocks[4][37][38]

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月22日 金融工程日报 沪指四连阳重上 3900 点，海南自贸港概念持续发酵 核心观点 金融工程日报 市场表现：20251222 大部分指数处于上涨状态，规模指数中中证 500 指数 表现较好，板块指数中创业板指表现较好，风格指数中中证 500 成长指数表 现较好。通信、有色金属、电子、消费者服务、综合金融行业表现较好，传 媒、银行、纺织服装、轻工制造、电力公用事业行业表现较差。海南自贸港、 海航系、钨矿、半导体设备、光通信等概念表现较好，SPD、降落伞、家纺、 银行精选、胶原蛋白等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：20251222 市场情绪较为高涨，收盘时有 104 只股票涨停，有 8 只股票跌停。昨日涨停股票今日收盘收益为 2.28%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘 收益为 1.06%。今日封板率 71%，较前日下降 2%，连板率 25%，较前日 下降 2%。 市场资金流向：截至 20251219 两融余额为 25038 亿元，其中融资余额 24871 亿元，融券余额 167 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.6%，两融 交易占市场成交额比重为 10.1%。 折溢价：20251219 当日 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the copper industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][7]. Core Views - The benchmark processing fee for copper concentrate long-term contracts has been set to zero for 2026, down from $21.25 per ton in 2025, indicating a significant shift in the copper smelting industry dynamics [3][4]. - The reduction to zero processing fees is attributed to a mismatch in supply and demand between copper mines and smelting, as well as historically high levels of by-product and recovery rate revenues [3][8]. - The competitive advantage of Chinese copper smelting plants is highlighted by their leading technology and cost control, which is expected to improve the industry landscape as capacity control measures are likely to be implemented [21]. Summary by Sections Processing Fees and Market Dynamics - The processing fee for copper concentrate long-term contracts has dropped to $0 per ton for 2026, compared to $21.25 per ton in 2025, reflecting a challenging negotiation environment this year [3][4]. - The long-term contract processing fee is crucial for smelting profitability, with many large smelting plants seeing a decline in the proportion of long-term contracts due to tight copper concentrate supply [6][8]. Recovery Rates and By-Product Revenues - The recovery rate for copper smelting in China is significantly higher than the industry standard, leading to additional revenue from copper prices [8][9]. - Sulfuric acid by-product revenues have surged, with current prices nearing historical highs, contributing to the overall profitability of smelting operations [8][9]. Industry Outlook and Recommendations - The zero processing fee scenario is expected to prompt regulatory measures to control copper smelting capacity, potentially leading to a more favorable industry structure [13][21]. - Key companies in the copper smelting sector include Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Jiangxi Copper, and Yunnan Copper, which are well-positioned to benefit from these industry changes [21][16][17].