Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the digital currency sector compared to the overall market performance [8]. Core Insights - The People's Bank of China has introduced an action plan to enhance the management and service system for digital currency, set to be implemented on January 1, 2026. This plan redefines digital currency from M0 to M1, integrating it into the reserve system and allowing interest payments on digital currency wallet balances [2]. - The action plan emphasizes a hybrid model combining account-based management and blockchain efficiency, highlighting the importance of compliance and regulation [2]. - With the M1 positioning, both individuals and commercial banks are incentivized to adopt and promote digital currency, enhancing its security and convenience compared to traditional electronic payments [2]. - The government is actively promoting cross-border digital currency payments, with initiatives such as the establishment of an international operation center in Shanghai and the launch of a cross-border digital payment platform [2]. - Various local governments are implementing measures to encourage the use of digital currency, such as issuing coupons and integrating it with cultural activities, indicating a strong push towards building a digital currency ecosystem [2]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Developments - The central bank's action plan includes integrating digital currency into the reserve system, allowing banks to pay interest on digital currency wallet balances, thus treating it similarly to deposits [2]. Market Dynamics - The shift to M1 is expected to motivate banks and individuals to engage more with digital currency, enhancing its usability and attractiveness [2]. Government Initiatives - The government is focusing on cross-border payment solutions and has launched several platforms to facilitate digital currency transactions, aiming to reduce transaction times significantly [2]. Related Companies - Companies involved in the digital currency ecosystem include those updating banking IT systems (e.g., Newland, Sifang Jingchuang), promoting payment solutions (e.g., Lakala), and hardware wallet providers (e.g., GDT, Feitian Integrity) [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The insurance sector is expected to undergo a value reassessment, with the company demonstrating significant advantages in managing liability costs and outperforming peers in interest spread performance [6][24] - The company has a strong focus on shareholder returns, with a consistent increase in dividends over the past 13 years, and a projected dividend yield of 4.0% for A shares and 4.5% for H shares in 2025 [8][12] - The company is expected to benefit from a stable long-term interest rate environment and ongoing asset allocation improvements, which will enhance investment returns [31][33] Summary by Sections 1. Insurance Sector Revaluation - Concerns over interest spread losses have become a core factor affecting the valuation of life insurance companies, with the average P/EV of A-share listed insurance companies dropping below 1.0x since 2021 [23] - The company has the lowest new liability cost among A-share insurers at 2.42% for 2024, and a stock liability cost of 2.50%, indicating strong management capabilities [25] 2. Fundamental Improvement and NBV Growth - The company's net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 11.5% year-on-year, driven by strong investment performance and improved operational metrics [7][37] - The company’s NBV (New Business Value) growth is robust, with a year-on-year increase of 28.8% in 2024 and 46.2% in the first three quarters of 2025 [53] - The company’s diversified channel strategy is yielding results, with the bancassurance channel expected to continue contributing significantly to NBV growth [60][71] 3. High Dividend Characteristics - The company is currently underweighted by public funds compared to the CSI 300 index, which may lead to increased capital inflows as market conditions stabilize [8][12] - The company’s dividend mechanism based on OPAT (Operating Profit After Tax) is expected to support a recovery in double-digit growth for OPAT in 2026 [8][12] 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to reach 1,468 billion, 1,612 billion, and 1,880 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.9%, 9.9%, and 16.6% [12] - The estimated company value for 2026 is projected at 1.70 trillion RMB, with a target price of 93.8 RMB per share, corresponding to a P/EV of 0.99x [12]

日研究 /公司深 2025 年 12 月 30 日 报告原因: 首次覆盖 (首次评级) | 市场数据: 2025 年 12 月 29 日 | | --- | | 收盘价（元） 100.65 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） 122.00/19.59 | | 市净率 16.2 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） 0.55 | | 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) 83,723 | | 上证指数/深证成指 3,965.28/13,537.10 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 . | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 6.20 | | 资产负债率% | 54.02 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 832/832 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势: 沪深300指数 相关研究 杨海晏 A0230518070003 yanghy@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈俊兆 A0230124100001 chenjz@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 生益电子 受益 AI ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a positive investment rating for the company, indicating a favorable outlook based on its growth potential and market positioning [2]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a national-level "little giant" in passive optical devices, leveraging the AI data center boom to accelerate its expansion [5]. - The demand for passive optical devices is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing capital expenditure in global data centers and the rising need for high-speed optical communication [5]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major clients such as Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, which enhances its revenue growth prospects [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview and Market Positioning - The company specializes in manufacturing passive optical devices, focusing on applications in data centers and telecommunications, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from overseas clients [11][12]. - The company has achieved substantial revenue growth, with a reported revenue of 16.25 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.24 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 91.38% and 123.75%, respectively [26]. 2. Technology and Market Trends - The report highlights the transition of passive optical devices into critical components for AI computing networks, driven by the need for high-speed, low-loss transmission in data centers [44]. - The demand for passive optical devices is being propelled by the rapid advancements in AI technology and the shortening of technology iteration cycles, with a shift towards higher-speed optical modules [46][50]. 3. Growth Barriers and Competitive Advantages - The company is investing heavily in R&D to build technical barriers and expand its production capacity, focusing on high-end products such as 800G and 1.6T optical modules [5][58]. - The company has established a stable customer base with major international clients, which enhances its competitive position in the market [5][22]. 4. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is expected to see continued profit growth, with projected net profits of 3.05 billion yuan, 4.52 billion yuan, and 5.95 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5]. - The report estimates a target market capitalization of 17.7 billion yuan based on a projected PE ratio of 39 times for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [5].

市公司 相关研究 证券分析师 韩强 A0230518060003 hangiang@swsresearch.com 武雨桐 A0230520090001 wuyt@swsresearch.com 穆少阳 A0230524070009 musy@swsresearch.com 年内最高/最低（元） 94.83/56.50 市,争客 5.1 股息率% (分红/股价) 0.27 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) 66.947 上证指数/深证成指 3.965.28/13.537.10 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 15.45 | | 资产负债率% | 27.02 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 850/849 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | /- | 年内股价与大盘对比定势： 叶叫分/外력凹 市场数据 · 收盘价 (元) 研究支持 公司公布全资子公司与关联方共同投资暨关联交易公告。根据公司公告，公司全资子公司紫 ● 光同芯拟与志成高远等五个关联方，以及非关联方宁德时代全资子公司共同设立紫 ...

Investment Rating - The report emphasizes a focus on high-dividend safety margin assets in the packaging and home furnishing sectors, indicating a stable industry landscape for leading companies like Yongxin Co., Yutong Technology, Huawang Technology, and Meiyingsen [3][4][5][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential benefits from the appreciation of the RMB, which is expected to lower paper procurement costs and support paper prices due to increased wood pulp prices and traditional peak seasons. It also suggests a medium to long-term focus on anti-involution policies in the paper industry [3][10]. - The home furnishing sector is anticipated to see valuation recovery driven by stable real estate policies and improving second-hand housing conditions, which will support demand for renovation and expansion [8][21]. - The report identifies opportunities in the export sector, particularly in furniture, as the U.S. interest rate cuts may boost consumption, and emphasizes the importance of supply chain and brand internationalization for companies like Jiangxin Home and Yongyi Co. [3][12]. - The pet products sector is noted for its robust export business and potential for synergistic growth through acquisitions, with companies like Yiyi Co. and Yuanfei Pet being highlighted [3][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Packaging Industry - The packaging industry is characterized by a mature competitive landscape, with leading companies reducing capital expenditures and demonstrating advantages in overseas layouts and customer resources. Companies like Yongxin Co. and Yutong Technology are noted for their stable high-dividend policies and growth potential [4][5][7]. 2. Home Furnishing Industry - The home furnishing sector is experiencing accelerated consolidation, with valuation recovery expected due to supportive real estate policies. Companies such as Kuka Home and Sophia are highlighted for their strong dividend yields and potential for market share recovery [8][21][29]. 3. Paper Industry - The paper industry is seeing a gradual recovery in demand, with prices expected to stabilize and rise due to strong production control from overseas pulp mills. Companies like Sun Paper and Nine Dragons Paper are recommended for their potential to benefit from these trends [10][11]. 4. Export Sector - The export sector is influenced by currency fluctuations, with a focus on companies that are well-positioned for international operations. Jiangxin Home and Yongyi Co. are noted for their strong product offerings and international market strategies [12][13]. 5. Pet Products Sector - The pet products sector is highlighted for its growth potential, with companies like Yiyi Co. and Yuanfei Pet showing strong performance in exports and brand development [16][17]. 6. Light Industry Enterprises - Light industry companies are undergoing significant changes, with firms like Anfu Technology and Jianlin Home focusing on strategic acquisitions and technological advancements to enhance their market positions [3][18].

上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 市场数据： 2025 年 12 月 29 日 收盘价（港币） 189.00 恒生中国企业指数 8891.71 52 周最高/最低（港币） 191.00/86.25 H 股市值（亿港币） 4,282.20 流通 H 股（百万股） 2,265.71 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -6% 194% 12/30 01/30 02/28 03/31 04/30 05/31 06/30 07/31 08/31 09/30 10/31 11/30 HSCEI 渣打集团 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 郑庆明 A0230519090001 zhengqm@swsresearch.com 林颖颖 A0230522070004 linyy@swsresearch.com 冯思远 A0230522090005 fengsy@swsresearch.com 李禹昊 A0230525070004 liyh2@swsresearch.com 联系人 李禹昊 A0230525070004 liyh2@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 30 日 渣打集团 ...

2025 年 12 月 30 日 蘅东光 (920045) ——无源光器件国家级"小巨人"，布局 CPO 乘 AI 东风 加速扩张 投资要点： | 盈利预测 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2024 | 2025Q1-3 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业总收入 | 1,315 | 1,625 | 2,156 | 3,162 | 4,254 | | 同比增长率（%） | 114.4 | 91.4 | 63.9 | 46.7 | 34.6 | | 归母净利润 | 148 | 224 | 305 | 452 | 595 | | 同比增长率（%） | 128.7 | 123.8 | 106.5 | 48.3 | 31.7 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 2.55 | | 4.48 | 6.64 | 8.74 | | 毛利率（%） | 26.7 | | 26.8 | 26.8 | 26.7 | | ROE（%） | 29.1 | 31.0 | 26.8 | 28.4 | 27.2 | 发行上市资料： 发行价格（元） ...

上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 证 券 研 究 报 告 买入（首次评级） | 市场数据： 2025 年 12 月 29 日 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 100.65 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 122.00/19.59 | | 市净率 | 16.2 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.55 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 83,723 | | 上证指数/深证成指 3,965.28/13,537.10 | | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 6.20 | | 资产负债率% | 54.02 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 832/832 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： -200% 0% 200% 12-30 01-30 02-28 03-31 04-30 05-31 06-30 07-31 08-31 09-30 10-31 11-30 生益电子 沪深30 ...

上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 2025 年 12 月 30 日 牧原股份 (002714) ——领先成本助穿越周期，双擎共振启价值新程 朱珺逸 A0230521080004 zhujy@swsresearch.com 报告原因：强调原有的投资评级 投资要点： | 市场数据： | 2025 年 12 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 50.89 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 59.68/35.72 | | 市净率 | 3.7 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 2.95 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 193,921 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,965.12/13,604.07 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 13.89 | | 资产负债率% | 55.50 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 5,463/3,811 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势 ...