行 业 及 产 业 机械设备/ 通用设备 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证券分析师 王珂 A0230521120002 wangke@swsresearch.com 李蕾 A0230519080008 lilei@swsresearch.com 研究支持 刘建伟 A0230521100003 liujw@swsresearch.com 联系人 何佳霖 A0230523080002 hejl@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 22 日 3D 打印机出口持续高增长，11 月 出口金额 yoy136% 看好 ——消费级设备系列报告之六 核心要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证 券 研 究 报 告 - ⚫ 行业持续高增，出口表现积极。1）数量： 2025 年 1-11 月我国出口 3D 打印机出口数 量为 448 万台，yoy29.60%，其中 11 月出口数量为 52 万台，yoy89.10%。南极熊预 估，2025 年全年我国出口 3D 打印机的总量将达到 500 万台左右。2）金额：2025 年 1-11 月我国出口 ...

行 业 及 产 业 国防军工 2025 年 12 月 22 日 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 韩强 A0230518060003 hanqiang@swsresearch.com 武雨桐 A0230520090001 wuyt@swsresearch.com 穆少阳 A0230524070009 musy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 联系人 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 基本面筑底，行业进入配置周期 看好 ——国防军工行业周报（2025 年第 52 周） 本期投资提示： ⚫ 上周申万国防军工指数上涨 1.53%，中证军工龙头指数上涨 4.05%，同期上证综指上 涨 0.03%，沪深 300 下跌 0.28%，创业板指下跌 2.26%，申万国防军工指数跑赢创业 板指、跑赢沪深 300、跑赢上证综指、跑输军工龙头指数。1、从细分板块来看，上周 国防军工板块 1.53%的涨幅在 31 个申万一级行业涨跌幅排名第 11 位。2、从我们构建 的军工集团指数变化来 ...

市公司 其础化工 2025 年 12 月 22 日 百资源 (603505) 参股浙江诺亚氟化工,拓展下游高端精细氟化品 报告原因: 有业绩公布需要点评 撸诗(维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 12 月 19 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元) | 18.27 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 26.40/15.43 | | 市净率 | 8.5 | | 股息率% (分红/股价) | 0.66 | | 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) | 15,377 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,890.45/13,140.21 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | --- | | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 2.14 | | 资产负债率% | 66.61 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 842/842 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | | 年内股价与大盛对比走势： 相关研究 证券分析师 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A023051 ...

Group 1 - The market sentiment score has slightly decreased to 1.1 as of December 21, down from 1.35 the previous week, indicating a neutral outlook despite a recent rebound on Friday [1][6] - The overall sentiment index has shown significant improvement this week, with signs of a rebound in market trading activity [1][6] - The price-volume consistency indicator has improved, suggesting a better correlation between capital attention and stock price increases, although the risk appetite remains insufficient as indicated by the declining proportion of the STAR 50 index's trading volume [1][9] Group 2 - The total trading volume for the entire A-share market decreased by 9.86% week-on-week, with an average daily trading volume of 17,604.84 billion yuan, reflecting a decline in market activity compared to the previous week [1][12] - The short-term scores for industries such as beauty care, pharmaceuticals, non-bank financials, agriculture, and retail have shown upward trends, with the communication sector having the highest short-term score of 79.66 [1][33] - The correlation between trading congestion and weekly price changes is strong, with high congestion sectors like retail and light manufacturing leading in gains, while sectors with lower congestion such as power equipment and computers lag behind [1][38] Group 3 - The current model indicates a preference for small-cap and growth styles, with the 5-day RSI showing a decline relative to the 20-day RSI, suggesting potential weakening of signals [1][42] - The financing balance ratio continues to rise, reaching a new high for the phase, indicating increased risk appetite and active capital utilization in the market [1][22] - The main capital inflow has broken through the fluctuation range, reflecting a stronger willingness of institutional funds to enter the market, which supports a bullish momentum [1][28]

2025 年 12 月 22 日 对冲基金 Man Group 发行主动 ETF ——海外创新产品周报 20251222 相关研究 证券分析师 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 权 益 量 化 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 ETP 研 究 - ⚫ 美国 ETF 创新产品：Man Group 发行主动 ETF。上周美国共 35 只新发产品，新发数量 维持高位。知名对冲基金 Man Group 上周发行 2 只主动 ETF，1 只为新兴市场选股产 品，主要采用基本面量化结合的方式选择长期有价值的股票并采用量化模型优化组合，产 品可同时选择多头、空头方向；另 1 只为趋势跟踪+股票产品，产品在 100%投资于美国 股票的同时，另有 100%的头寸投资于量化驱动的趋势跟踪策略，该策略通过国内外股 票、债券 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company plans to acquire a 15.71% stake in Zhejiang Noah Fluorochemical for 257 million yuan, becoming its second-largest shareholder, which will help expand into the high-end fine fluorochemical sector [7] - The acquisition is strategically aimed at leveraging the company's upstream resources in fluorite and hydrogen fluoride to enhance its position in the downstream fine fluorochemical market [7] - The server liquid cooling market is expected to grow rapidly, with projections indicating that the market size in China will increase from approximately 16 billion yuan to over 100 billion yuan from 2024 to 2030 [7] - The company anticipates significant growth in its fluorite production and profitability from its ongoing projects, including the Baogang Jinshi project and the Mongolian fluorite resource project [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,752 million yuan in 2024 to 5,003 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 36.1% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 257 million yuan in 2024 to 763 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.28 yuan in 2025 to 0.91 yuan in 2027, indicating strong profitability potential [6]

2025 年 12 月 22 日 市场情绪细分指标出现修复、改善 ——量化择时周报 20251221 相关研究 证券分析师 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 权 益 量 化 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 量 化 策 略 - ⚫ 市场情绪得分周内继续回落：截至 12 月 21 日，市场情绪指标得分为 1.1，较上周五的 1.35 小幅降低，但周五情绪得分出现回升，从情绪角度来看观点偏中性。从所有分项指 标分数之和的变化来看，本周情绪指数综合得分周内出现较明显改善，市场交易活跃度出 现反转回升迹象。 ⚫ 情绪出现修复改善，指标分化仍存：本周价量一致性指标较上周出现一定改善，市场价量 匹配程度回升，资金关注度与标的涨幅相关性增强，情绪端边际回暖；科创 50 相对全 A 成交占比仍处下行通道，风险偏好修复 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the oil and petrochemical industry, with specific recommendations for various companies based on their performance and market conditions [9]. Core Insights - The geopolitical tensions surrounding Venezuela and U.S. sanctions are expected to support international oil prices, despite recent declines [6]. - The downstream polyester sector is showing signs of tightening supply and improving demand, leading to positive expectations for companies like Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials [9]. - The report highlights the potential for refining companies to improve cost structures due to falling oil prices and competitive dynamics in the market [9]. Summary by Sections Oil Price Trends - As of December 19, Brent crude oil prices closed at $60.47 per barrel, down 1.06% from the previous week, while WTI prices fell 1.60% to $56.52 per barrel [16]. - The report notes a significant drop in Venezuelan oil production and exports due to U.S. sanctions, which may create upward pressure on oil prices [6][8]. Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - **Tongkun Co.** for polyester filament - **Wankai New Materials** for bottle-grade PET - **Hengli Petrochemical**, **Rongsheng Petrochemical**, and **Oriental Rainbow** for large refining operations [9]. - **China National Petroleum** and **CNOOC** for their high dividend yields [9]. - **CNOOC Services** and **Haiyou Engineering** for offshore oil services [9]. - **Satellite Chemical** for its competitive advantage in ethane-to-ethylene projects [9]. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the overall oil price is expected to stabilize at a neutral level for 2026, with improving operational quality for oil companies [9]. - The upstream exploration and production sector remains robust, with high capital expenditures anticipated for offshore services [9]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides valuation metrics for key companies in the oil and petrochemical sector, including market capitalization, EPS, PE, and PB ratios [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the industry, but it provides specific recommendations for various sectors within the energy industry, indicating a positive outlook for certain companies and sectors [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a slowdown in electricity generation growth in November 2025, with total generation at 779.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%. The growth was primarily driven by hydropower and wind power, while thermal power saw a decline [5][6]. - Natural gas prices in the U.S. and Europe have shown slight fluctuations, with U.S. Henry Hub spot prices at $3.58/mmBtu, reflecting a 12.1% weekly decline. Northeast Asia's LNG prices have also decreased, reaching $9.50/mmBtu, marking a 5% drop [18][19]. - The report emphasizes the increasing contribution of renewable energy sources, particularly wind and solar, to the overall electricity generation mix, with significant year-on-year growth rates [6][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Generation - November 2025 saw total electricity generation of 779.2 billion kWh, up 2.7% year-on-year. Thermal power generation decreased by 4.2% to 497.0 billion kWh, while hydropower increased by 17.1% to 96.7 billion kWh. Wind power grew by 22.0% to 104.6 billion kWh, and solar power rose by 23.4% to 41.2 billion kWh [5][7]. - From January to November 2025, total electricity generation reached 88,567 billion kWh, a 2.4% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from hydropower, nuclear, wind, and solar energy [12][13]. 2. Natural Gas Market - As of December 19, 2025, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices were $3.58/mmBtu, down 12.1% from the previous week. European gas prices showed slight increases, with the Dutch TTF price at €28.10/MWh, up 2.0% [18][19]. - The report notes that the supply of natural gas remains high, with U.S. production at historical levels, contributing to the downward pressure on prices [18][19]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For thermal power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their integrated coal and power operations. For hydropower, companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are highlighted for their potential in the upcoming winter and spring [16][38]. - In the nuclear sector, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested as key players due to their stable cost structures and growth potential [16][38]. - Renewable energy operators like Xinneng Green Energy and Longyuan Power are recommended as the market for green certificates and environmental values continues to grow [16][38].

行 业 及 产 业 石油石化 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 2025 年 12 月 22 日 委内瑞拉受美制裁油轮被全面封 锁，对国际油价形成支撑 看好 ——石油化工行业周报(2025/12/15—2025/12/21) 本期投资提示： ⚫ 风险提示：地缘政治影响；石油及化工品价格波动；经济下行风险。 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 联系人 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 评 - ⚫ 委内瑞拉受美制裁油轮被全面封锁，对国际油价形成支撑。截至 12 月 16 日，国际原油 连续四日下跌，创年内新低及 2021 年 2 月以来低点，核心诱因是俄乌和谈预期缓和地缘 风险，叠加全球供需转向宽松。在 ...