金 点 策 略 晨 报 2026 年 2 月 27 日 英大证券研究所证券研究报告 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 周四沪深三大指数涨跌不一。经历短期持续回升后，周四深成指率先创下阶 段新高，但沪指与创业板指表现略有疲软，未能同步跟进，其中创业板指走弱与 权重股的下跌直接相关，形成分化格局。 资金面的表现则基本符合节后回流预期，周二周三周四两市成交额连续回 升，显示节前离场避险的资金正有序回流市场，市场流动性得到有效补充。后市 继续关注增量资金进场情况。 展望后市，国内方面，重要会议临近，"十五五"开局之年的政策导向将逐 步明确，政策利好有望逐步落地，市场大概率将维持震荡上行格局。国外方面， 还需重点关注海外美伊局势演变。 操作上，在沪深三大指数震荡上行的慢牛格局下，逢低布局仍是占优策略。 后市可逢低关注"资源品+科技"双主线：一是受益于涨价逻辑和地缘政治催化的 周期板块，如石油化工、有色金属等；二是具备长期产业趋势的科技板块，如 AI 算力、半导体、人形机器人等，待估值回归合理区间后，择机逢低布局，兼顾安 全性与成长性。 请务必阅读最后一页的免责条款 1 指数震荡上行的格局下，逢低布局仍是占优策略 分析师：惠 ...

Market Overview - The report indicates that the A-share market is likely to maintain a fluctuating upward trend as policy guidance becomes clearer with the upcoming important meetings, particularly in the context of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][4][10] - The market is expected to focus on the sustainability of price increases in cyclical sectors and signs of stabilization in the technology sector [1][4][10] Sector Analysis Cyclical Sectors - The cyclical sectors, including chemicals and non-ferrous metals, have shown strong performance, driven by external factors such as geopolitical tensions and internal price increase logic [1][4][10] - The report highlights the potential for investment in cyclical sectors like oil and gas, coal, and construction materials, suggesting that economic recovery expectations could further boost these sectors [7][11] Technology Sector - The technology sector, particularly areas like AI computing and semiconductors, is noted for its long-term growth potential, with recommendations to consider investments once valuations return to reasonable levels [2][11] - Despite recent short-term profit-taking, the underlying industrial logic of the technology sector remains intact, with expectations for structural recovery opportunities as market sentiment stabilizes [1][10] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector has seen a rebound due to supportive government policies aimed at stabilizing the market, including relaxed lending and purchasing restrictions [8] - The report suggests that the sector's recovery will continue, with a focus on companies with strong land reserves and those returning to stable growth [8] Investment Strategy - The report recommends a dual focus on "resource products + technology" as key investment themes, emphasizing the cyclical sectors benefiting from price increases and geopolitical catalysts, alongside technology sectors with long-term trends [2][11] - Investors are advised to consider opportunities in sectors like rare earths, which are critical for various industries, and to prioritize leading companies with resource advantages [6][11]

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 行 业 研 究 2026 年 2 月 25 日 投资评级：强于大市 执业证书编号：S0990524110001 电话：0755-83007043 邮箱：lisy@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 最近一年走势 行业事件：2 月 11 日，国务院办公厅发布《关于完善全国统一电力市场体系 的实施意见》，全国统一电力市场顶层设计出台，电力市场化改革从区域试 点、机制探索，进入了全国一盘棋、系统化推进的新阶段。 指数表现：根据 iFind 数据，2026/2/9-2026/2/15 期间，沪深 300 上涨 0.36%， 电力设备指数上涨 1.13%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.77pct。 行业表现：根据 iFind 数据，2026/2/9-2026/2/15 期间，31 个申万一级行业 中，电力设备上涨 1.13%，排第 13 位。申万三级行业，电力能源相关子板块 中，输变电设备、其他电源设备Ⅲ、电网自动化设备涨幅位列前三位，分别 上涨 5.24%、5.22%、3.98%；光伏电池组件、光伏加工设备、锂电专用设备 跌幅位列前三位，分别下跌 4.08%、3.15%、2.77%。 数据来源 ...

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 2026 年 2 月 25 日 A 股马年开门红，逢低关注"科技+资源品"双主线 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 观点： 周二晨报提醒，节后随着资金回流、政策预期升温，市场活跃度有望提升， 行情值得期待。市场走势如我们预期，A 股马年首个交易日如期迎来"开门红"。 上证指数重新站上 4100 点整数关口，深证成指涨幅超 1%，为节后市场走势奠定 了初步向好的基调。 不过，虽实现开门红，但结构性分化特征明显。春节假期期间，AI 与人行机 器人相关话题持续升温，但周二人行机器人板块表现平淡，AI 板块则呈现高开低 走态势，与之形成对比的是，石油化工、有色金属等周期类品种领涨，背后既受 益于海外美伊局势升级的外部催化，也源于周期板块自身的涨价逻辑。 资金面的表现则基本符合节后回流预期，成为支撑市场走强的重要力量。周 二两市成交额显著回升，交投活跃度明显提升，显示节前离场避险的资金正有序 回流市场，市场流动性得到有效补充。但需要警惕的是，港股表现疲软，一定程 度上影响了 A 股 ...

Group 1 - The report anticipates an increase in market liquidity post-holiday, driven by expectations of capital inflow and policy guidance from important meetings that will take place after the Spring Festival [2][10] - The overall market is expected to become more active with the return of funds and rising policy expectations, creating potential investment opportunities in related sectors [2][10] - Investors are advised to focus on liquidity trends and policy developments, adopting a rational investment approach by considering opportunities in small-cap growth stocks and sectors with clear industrial catalysts [2][10] Group 2 - The last trading day before the Spring Festival saw a decline in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4082.07 points, down 1.26% [4] - The last trading week before the holiday showed a mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.41% and the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 1.39% [5] - Key sectors such as shipbuilding and aerospace saw gains, while sectors like photovoltaic equipment and shipping ports experienced declines [3][4] Group 3 - The military industry has shown strong performance, with significant gains in previous years, and is expected to continue attracting attention due to stable policy support and geopolitical tensions [6] - The semiconductor sector is highlighted as a long-term investment opportunity, benefiting from domestic policy support and the trend towards self-sufficiency in semiconductor production [8] - The AI theme has been active, with expectations for growth in applications and hardware, although caution is advised due to potential overvaluation and rapid technological changes [9]

Group 1 - The report indicates a generally optimistic outlook for the A-share market before and after the Spring Festival, suggesting that long-term investors should hold stocks while short-term traders should adjust their positions based on risk preferences [2][10] - The report highlights that the market is currently in a slow bull phase, with expectations of improved liquidity and policy support after the holiday, which could create new investment opportunities [3][11] - Key sectors showing strength include electric grid equipment, liquid cooling, and semiconductors, while media and consumer sectors are experiencing adjustments, indicating a phase of stock selection and market competition [9][12] Group 2 - The semiconductor sector is identified as a long-term investment opportunity, with a projected growth of 10.10% in 2023, driven by digital transformation and geopolitical factors [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on stocks with strong performance and growth expectations within the semiconductor sector, while advising caution against high-flying stocks lacking fundamental support [8][11] - The report notes that the market's trading volume has been around 2 trillion yuan, reflecting a cautious sentiment among investors, which suggests that a careful approach to investment is necessary [3][6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the A-share market is currently in a phase of consolidation with expectations for a positive post-holiday market driven by liquidity improvements and policy expectations [3][10] - The report highlights that the market is experiencing cautious sentiment ahead of the holiday, with a notable focus on cyclical stocks such as chemicals and non-ferrous metals, which have shown strength [5][9] - It is noted that the trading volume has been around 2 trillion yuan, reflecting a prevailing wait-and-see attitude among investors, indicating that there is still uncertainty in the market [3][10] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that post-holiday, there is an expectation for increased liquidity and potential policy benefits from upcoming important meetings, which could stimulate investment opportunities in related sectors [3][10] - Specific sectors such as solid-state batteries, chemicals, and non-ferrous metals are identified as key areas to watch for potential growth, particularly as economic recovery signals strengthen [7][9] - The report advises investors to adopt a strategy of buying on dips rather than chasing high prices, suggesting a focus on small-cap growth stocks and sectors with clear industrial catalysts [3][10]

Core Views - The A-share market is showing signs of stabilization and recovery, with a positive outlook for the post-holiday market driven by liquidity improvement and policy expectations [2][3][10] - Key sectors such as cultural media, gaming, and AI applications are performing strongly, while sectors like precious metals and new energy are experiencing adjustments [4][9] Market Overview - On Tuesday, the three major indices in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets showed mixed results, with cultural media and AI application sectors performing well, while precious metals and new energy sectors faced declines [4][5] - The overall market sentiment is characterized by orderly rotation of hotspots, indicating a positive trend towards stabilization [3][9] Sector Analysis - The cultural media sector has shown significant growth, with a 42.75% increase in the first half of 2023, and is expected to continue to have structural investment value in 2026 due to advancements in AI technology and economic recovery [6][7] - The AI theme remains active, with a focus on applications and hardware, indicating a shift from investment in computing power to practical applications in 2026 [7][8] Future Market Outlook - The market is expected to see increased activity post-holiday, with a focus on liquidity return and policy developments, which could provide new investment opportunities [3][10] - Investors are advised to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on low-cost opportunities in small-cap growth stocks and sectors with clear industrial catalysts [3][10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that in 2026, the installed capacity of solar power generation in China is expected to surpass that of coal power for the first time, with the combined installed capacity of wind and solar power reaching half of the total installed capacity by the end of the year [10] - The report indicates that the energy sector is transitioning from a coal-dominated system to one led by renewable energy, reshaping the power source structure and market rules [11] - The report notes significant growth in the energy storage sector, with a cumulative installed capacity of 213 GW by the end of 2025, marking a 54% year-on-year increase [42] Summary by Sections Industry Events - The China Electricity Council predicts that in 2026, the installed capacity of solar power will exceed that of coal power, with wind and solar combined accounting for 80.2% of new installed capacity in 2025 [10] - Major energy projects are being advanced, including the successful installation of a nuclear power unit and the completion of significant transmission lines [11] Market Performance - During the period from February 2 to February 8, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.33%, while the power equipment index rose by 2.20%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 3.53 percentage points [13] - Among the sub-sectors related to power energy, photovoltaic battery components, photovoltaic processing equipment, and cable components saw the highest increases, with respective rises of 8.10%, 6.01%, and 4.20% [19] Power Industry Operations - In December 2025, the total electricity consumption in society was 908 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.77%, with a total of 1,036.82 billion kWh consumed throughout the year, marking a 5.00% increase [21] - The newly added power generation capacity in 2025 was 54,617.1558 MW, a year-on-year increase of 26.07% [23] New Power System Situation Photovoltaics - As of February 4, 2026, the average price of polysilicon was 54 CNY/kg, remaining stable compared to the previous week [39] Energy Storage - By the end of December 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of energy storage projects in China reached 213 GW, with new energy storage capacity growing by 85% year-on-year [42] Lithium Batteries - As of February 6, 2026, the price of lithium carbonate was 134,000 CNY/ton, down by 1,400 CNY/ton from the previous week [46] Charging Stations - By the end of December 2025, the total number of charging infrastructure units in China reached 20.092 million, a year-on-year increase of 56.75% [51]

Core Insights - The A-share market has shown a strong rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 4100 points, driven by positive sentiment from overseas markets and significant gains in technology stocks, particularly in the photovoltaic sector and AI applications [3][9] - Despite the current market enthusiasm, the sustainability of these trends is uncertain, indicating potential volatility in the post-holiday period [3][9] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on structural opportunities, suggesting that investors should actively seek quality stocks during market fluctuations before the holiday and consider small-cap growth stocks with clear industrial catalysts afterward [3][9] Market Overview - On the first trading day of the last week before the Spring Festival, the A-share market opened strongly, with the ChiNext Index rising over 3% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by more than 2% [4] - The trading volume for the day reached 22,495 billion yuan, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4123.09 points, up 1.41% [5] - Various sectors performed well, including cultural media, photovoltaic equipment, and software development, while sectors like mining saw declines [4][5] Sector Analysis - The AI theme has been particularly active, with significant gains in AI-related stocks such as AI corpus and ChatGPT, indicating a strong performance outlook for the sector in 2026 [6] - The report highlights that the AI sector is transitioning from computational investment to application and end-side deployment, creating new investment opportunities in areas like computing power and AI applications [6] - The renewable energy sector, particularly photovoltaic equipment and batteries, is also gaining momentum, supported by ongoing global efforts to achieve carbon neutrality and favorable government policies [7] Future Market Outlook - The report suggests that the A-share market is entering a substantive phase of the Spring Festival rally, supported by economic resilience and industry benefits, despite potential short-term fluctuations [3][9] - Investors are advised to focus on structural opportunities and to be cautious of high-valuation stocks lacking performance support, as the market may shift from broad-based gains to structural differentiation [6][7]