Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for RemeGen, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [12]. Core Insights - RemeGen achieved record product sales in Q3 2024, with revenue of RMB467 million, reflecting a 14% quarter-over-quarter and 35% year-over-year increase, driven by strong sales of RC18 and RC48 [1]. - The company narrowed its net loss to RMB291 million in Q3 2024 from RMB432 million in Q2 2024, indicating improved financial performance [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 82.1% in Q3 2024, up from 78.3% in the first half of 2024, while the SG&A expense ratio decreased to 68.5% [1]. - RemeGen's total revenue for the first nine months of 2024 reached RMB1,209 million, representing a 57% year-over-year growth and aligning with expectations [1]. - The report anticipates continued strong sales momentum into Q4 2024 and beyond, supporting the company's FY24 sales target of over 50% year-over-year growth [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY24 are estimated at RMB1,740 million, with a year-over-year growth of 61.7% [2]. - The net profit for FY24 is projected to be a loss of RMB1,268 million, improving to a loss of RMB967 million in FY25 and further narrowing to RMB275 million in FY26 [2]. - R&D expenses are expected to be RMB1,450 million for FY24, remaining stable in FY25, and slightly increasing to RMB1,502 million in FY26 [2]. - The gross profit margin is projected to be 80.31% for FY24, improving to 81.15% in FY25 and 80.81% in FY26 [7]. Valuation - The report revises the DCF-based target price from HK$19.59 to HK$21.09, reflecting a 28% upside from the current price of HK$16.48 [3][4]. - The DCF per share is calculated at HK$21.09, based on a WACC of 12.93% and a terminal growth rate of 2.0% [4][5]. - The market capitalization of RemeGen is approximately HK$8,970.6 million, with an average three-month turnover of HK$42.5 million [3].

30 Oct 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Naura Technology (002371 CH) Solid Q3 earnings signal intact growth trajectory Naura announced 3Q24 results. Q3 revenue was RMB8.0bn, up 30.1% YoY and 23.8% QoQ, driven by significant growth in semiconductor equipment sales (up 47.0% in 9M24). NP was RMB1.7bn, up 55.0% YoY and 1.7% QoQ. GPM was 42.3%, up 5.9ppts from 3Q23 but declined 5.1ppts sequentially, mainly due to 1) higher photovoltaic (PV) equipment sales that had a lowe ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a HOLD rating on Shennan Circuit with a target price adjusted to RMB115, reflecting a 27x 2025E P/E, close to its 3-year average historical forward P/E [2][4]. Core Insights - Shennan Circuit reported a 37.9% year-over-year revenue growth in 3Q24, reaching RMB4.73 billion, which exceeded Bloomberg consensus by 19.7%. However, net profit increased by only 15.3% YoY but declined 17.6% QoQ [2]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) decreased to 25.4% in 3Q24 from 27.1% in 2Q24, attributed to higher sales from lower-margin PCBA business, ramp-up of the Guangzhou factory, and high copper prices [2]. - The company expects PCB revenue to grow by 11% in 2025E, while substrate revenue is projected to grow by 7% in the same year [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue for FY24E is estimated at RMB17,574 million, with a year-over-year growth of 29.9%. For FY25E, revenue is projected to be RMB18,765 million, reflecting a 6.8% growth [3][9]. - The net profit for FY24E is expected to be RMB1,878 million, with a YoY growth of 34.3%, and for FY25E, it is projected to reach RMB2,178 million, indicating a 16.0% growth [3][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY24E is estimated at RMB3.68, increasing to RMB4.27 in FY25E [3][9]. Market Segmentation - By end market, telecom remains the largest segment, contributing approximately 40% of PCB sales in 3Q24. Other segments include datacom (20%), auto (13%), industrial & medical (10%), and energy (5%) [2]. - The report highlights a strong utilization rate of around 90% for AI-related PCB production, while non-AI production utilization remains between 85-90% [2].

30 Oct 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update WuXi AppTec (603259 CH) Earnings recovery underway WuXi AppTec reported 3Q24 revenue of RMB10.46bn, slightly down 2.0% YoY, and attributable adjusted non-IFRS net profit of RMB2.97bn, down 3.2% YoY. Total non-COVID revenue and non-COVID Chemistry revenue growth rebounded to 14.6% YoY and 26.4% YoY, respectively, in 3Q24. Despite the challenging geopolitical environment, mgmt. reiterated its revenue guidance of RMB38.3- 40.5bn fo ...

30 Oct 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Zhejiang Dingli (603338 CH) 3Q24 net profit +38% YoY, beat expectations; US remains the most promising market Zhejiang Dingli's (Dingli) EBIT in 3Q24 grew 20% YoY to RMB672mn, driven by a 38% revenue growth (YoY) that offset the 4.8ppt YoY decrease in gross margin due mainly to an exceptional high base in 3Q23. Reported net profit grew 38% YoY to RMB636mn, helped by an increase in net finance income (FX gains). The results sugge ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Haier Smart Home and raises the target price to HK$ 36.41, reflecting a 22.2% upside from the current price of HK$ 29.80 [1][4]. Core Insights - Haier's 3Q24 results were in line with expectations, with a 1% YoY sales increase to RMB 67.3 billion and a 13% YoY net profit growth to RMB 4.7 billion. The company is expected to see a decent pickup in 4Q24 due to favorable macroeconomic conditions and internal efficiency improvements [1][6]. - The management has set a net profit growth target of 15% per annum, supported by various cost-saving initiatives and operational efficiency gains [1][6]. - The report highlights significant sales growth drivers, including improved sales trends in China, strong demand for the Casarte brand, and positive developments in the US and European markets [1][6]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 271.8 billion in FY24E to RMB 304.8 billion in FY26E, with a CAGR of 5.4% [2][11]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 19.8 billion in FY24E to RMB 24.5 billion in FY26E, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [2][11]. - The report revises FY24E/25E/26E net profit forecasts upward by 1%/3%/2% to account for efficiency gains and cost savings [1][7]. Operational Efficiency - Haier is implementing a series of reforms aimed at enhancing operational efficiency, including digitalization efforts and structural changes in procurement and R&D processes [1][6]. - The acquisition of Goodday, a logistics provider, is expected to yield significant synergies, including a 20-30% reduction in inventory levels and a 10% decrease in total logistics costs [1][6]. Market Position - Haier's stock is currently trading at 13x/11x FY24E/FY25E P/E, which is below its 5-year average of 15x, indicating potential undervaluation [1][4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its direct-to-consumer (DTC) business model and enhancing brand equity through value-added products and services [1][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Jiangsu Hengli with a target price of RMB64, indicating a potential upside of 14.7% from the current price of RMB55.82 [2][4]. Core Insights - Jiangsu Hengli's EBIT in 3Q24 decreased by 6% YoY to RMB445 million, attributed to a gross margin contraction of 1.9 percentage points YoY, despite an 11% YoY revenue increase to RMB2.1 billion [2]. - The net profit for 3Q24 grew by 6% YoY to RMB504 million, supported by higher net finance income and other gains [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from increasing revenue contributions from non-excavator components and new growth drivers such as electric cylinders and ball screws in 2025 [2]. - The report highlights potential risks related to the upcoming U.S. elections and possible tariff increases under a potential Trump presidency, which could impact exports from Mexico to the U.S. [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue for FY24E is projected at RMB10,033 million, reflecting an 11.7% YoY growth, with further growth expected in FY25E and FY26E [3][13]. - Adjusted net profit for FY24E is estimated at RMB2,756.5 million, with an EPS of RMB2.06, representing a 10.3% YoY increase [3][13]. - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly to 41.9% in FY24E, with a long-term target of 43.0% by FY26E [10][16]. Production and Operational Insights - The production plan for October includes 42,000 units of hydraulic cylinders for excavators, a decrease of approximately 5% YoY, while production of non-standardized cylinders is expected to drop by about 10% YoY [2]. - Positive production trends are noted for small-size pumps and valves, with planned increases of approximately 40% and 90% YoY, respectively [2]. Market Position and Valuation - The company maintains a strong market capitalization of RMB74,844.6 million, with a P/E ratio projected to decrease from 31.1x in FY22A to 21.4x in FY26E [4][10]. - The report indicates a stable financial position with a net gearing ratio improving from (51.9%) in FY22A to (52.4%) in FY26E, suggesting a strong balance sheet [3][10].

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating with an adjusted target price of RMB28.75, reflecting a 25.5x 2025E P/E, close to its 3-year historical forward P/E [1][3] Core Views - Shengyi Tech's 3Q24 revenue was RMB5.1bn, up 14.5% YoY but down 1.7% QoQ, in-line with Bloomberg consensus [1] - Gross profit margin (GPM) improved to 22.9%, up 1.1ppts from 2Q24, driven by favorable product mix and lower material costs [1] - Net profit (NP) was RMB440mn, up 27.8% YoY but down 18.6% QoQ, missing Bloomberg consensus by 26% due to SBC cost of RMB150mn (~2.9% of revenue) [1] - Revenue growth is expected at 20%/16% YoY in 2024/25E, with improved margins at 22.1%/23.6% [1] PCB Segment - PCB revenue in 3Q24 was RMB1.2bn, up 49.3% YoY and 10.8% QoQ, driven by strong AI demand, particularly in server revenue (42.5% of PCB sales) [1] - Overseas market outperformed with a 32.1% YoY sales increase [1] - GPM recovered to 24.9% from 20.4%/14.2% in 3Q23/2Q24, and NPM rose to 7.5% vs. -3.4%/6.4% in 3Q23/2Q24 [1] - PCB sales projections raised by 5%/1% for 2024/25E, with expected growth of 35%/20% in 2024/25E [1] CCL Segment - CCL revenue increased YoY but declined QoQ (est. 5-6% lower) due to weaker-than-expected demand in non-AI markets, suppressing ASP recovery [1] - Margin slid sequentially as copper prices remained high (avg. price in 3Q24: ~US$9.9k/t), though Shengyi offset some material cost impacts through pre-procurement activities [1] - Inventory increased by 8% QoQ (RMB365mn) [1] - CCL sales forecasts cut by 8%/6% for 2024/25E, with expected growth of 14%/15% in 2024/25E [1] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow at 19.6%/15.6% in 2024/25E, reaching RMB19.8bn/RMB22.9bn [2][9] - Gross margin is expected to improve to 22.1%/23.6% in 2024/25E [2][9] - Net profit is forecasted to grow at 55.4%/51.4% in 2024/25E, reaching RMB1.8bn/RMB2.7bn [2][9] - EPS is projected to grow at 48.9%/51.4% in 2024/25E, reaching RMB0.74/RMB1.13 [2][9] Valuation - Current P/E stands at 26.5x for 2024E, expected to decrease to 17.5x in 2025E [2][12] - Target price of RMB28.75 implies a 45.8% upside from the current price of RMB19.72 [3] Growth and Profitability - Revenue growth is expected to rebound to 19.6% in 2024E after declines in FY22 and FY23 [12] - Gross profit margin is projected to recover to 22.1% in 2024E, up from 19.2% in FY23 [12] - Return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve to 12.6% in 2024E, rising further to 17.9% in 2025E [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Topsports has been downgraded to "Hold" with a target price of HK$2.82, based on a 12x P/E for FY2/25E [2][4]. Core Views - The performance in 1H25 aligns with profit warnings, but the underlying conditions are weaker than previously anticipated. The outlook for 2H25E is further deteriorating, and it may take Nike 1-2 years to turn around the situation [1][2]. - Topsports reported a sales decline of 8% year-on-year to RMB 13.1 billion and a net profit drop of 35% to RMB 874 million, consistent with prior profit warnings. The decline is attributed to reduced offline traffic, increased retail discounts, and a higher proportion of low-margin e-commerce sales [1][2]. - Despite a high dividend yield of 8% for FY2/25E, the negative outlook for the second half of the year and Nike's recovery timeline led to the downgrade [2][4]. Revenue Summary - Revenue for FY25E is projected at RMB 26.69 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8%. The revenue estimates for FY26E and FY27E are RMB 27.67 billion and RMB 29.84 billion, respectively, indicating a recovery of 4% in FY26E [7][11]. - The gross profit margin is expected to decline to 39.1% in FY25E, with a slight recovery to 39.8% in FY26E and 39.9% in FY27E [7][11]. Profitability Metrics - Net profit for FY25E is estimated at RMB 1.31 billion, down 41% year-on-year, with projections of RMB 1.53 billion and RMB 1.84 billion for FY26E and FY27E, respectively [7][11]. - The diluted earnings per share for FY25E is projected at RMB 0.212, with further declines expected in FY26E and FY27E [7][11]. Market Position and Challenges - The company faces significant challenges due to its reliance on Nike, which is expected to take 1-2 years to recover. The industry is also experiencing inventory risks, with major brands planning increased promotions [1][2]. - The management has provided guidance indicating a full-year sales decline and a net profit drop of 35%-45% for FY25E, reflecting a challenging market environment [1][2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HK$19.58, reflecting a potential upside of 23.3% from the current price of HK$15.88 [3][6][18]. Core Insights - The company has reiterated its FY24E targets, but the report expresses caution due to weak demand and inventory buildup. However, gradual improvement is anticipated for FY25E [1][6]. - Retail sales in Q3 2024 showed a slight improvement compared to expectations, with e-commerce growth outpacing offline channels. The report highlights the importance of the upcoming Double 11 shopping festival for sales performance [1][6]. - The management's focus on cost-saving measures and efficiency improvements is noted, but concerns remain regarding operating profit margins due to increased retail discounts and fixed operational costs [1][6]. Summary by Sections Revenue Overview - The company reported revenues of RMB 28,162 million for FY24E, with a projected growth of 2% [2][7]. - Revenue growth is expected to improve to 7.2% in FY25E and 8.4% in FY26E [11][14]. Profitability Metrics - The net profit for FY24E is projected at RMB 3,103 million, with a net profit margin of 11% [7][12]. - The report anticipates a gradual increase in net profit to RMB 3,466 million in FY25E and RMB 3,895 million in FY26E [7][12]. Valuation Metrics - The company is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 11x for FY25E, which is considered attractive compared to the target P/E of 13x [6][16]. - The expected dividend yield for FY25E is 4% [6][16]. Inventory and Sales Dynamics - The inventory turnover ratio is approximately 5 months, indicating a slight increase from the previous quarter [1][6]. - Retail discounts have widened in offline channels, while e-commerce discounts have shown improvement [1][6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has formed a joint venture to expand its brand presence in the Belt and Road regions, with significant investments planned [6][11]. - The management remains committed to achieving sales growth targets despite current market challenges [1][6].