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地产及物管行业周报:Q4高基数下销售承压,地方继续因城施策放松-20251109
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [3]. Core Insights - The real estate market is experiencing significant pressure with new home sales declining sharply due to high base effects from the previous year. The report highlights a 45% week-on-week drop in new home transactions across 34 key cities [3][4]. - Policy initiatives are being implemented to support the industry, including measures for digital transformation and localized policies to stimulate housing demand [3][29]. - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in the "Good House" policy and the revaluation of commercial real estate, suggesting a shift in business models for real estate companies [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Data - New home sales in 34 key cities totaled 158.6 million square meters, reflecting a 45% decrease week-on-week and a 47% year-on-year decline for November [3][4]. - The inventory of unsold residential properties in 15 cities increased slightly by 0.2%, with a current available area of 89.5 million square meters [3][20]. Policy and News Tracking - The National Development and Reform Commission has launched a digital transformation action plan aimed at promoting smart city initiatives and property digitalization [3][29]. - Localized policies include Fuzhou linking real estate company credit ratings to pre-sale fund supervision, and Suzhou offering tax rebates for home purchases [3][29]. Company Announcements - Major real estate companies reported significant declines in sales for October 2025, with Poly Developments at 211.2 billion yuan (-50.1%) and China Overseas Development at 186.6 billion yuan (-55.1%) [3][36]. - Financing activities include China Merchants Shekou providing an 800 million yuan loan guarantee for its subsidiary, and a reduction in bond interest rates by Joy City [3][36].
周专题:一线房价为何补跌?
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-06 02:35
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating to several companies, including New城控股 with a target price of 18 yuan, 绿城中国 with a target price of 11.7 yuan, and 中国金茂 with a target price of 2.1 yuan [5]. Core Insights - The real estate market in core cities is experiencing accelerated price declines, particularly in the second-hand housing market, with a notable drop of 4.4% since April 2025 [1][11]. - The price of newly built homes in first-tier cities has shown resilience, with a year-on-year decline of only 0.7% in 2025, significantly narrowing from a decline of 3.8% in 2024 [1][22]. - The structural contradictions in the market are being released due to previous price control policies, leading to an influx of new homes into the second-hand market, which is exerting downward pressure on prices [2][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Trends - Since the third quarter of 2025, the real estate market has faced increasing adjustment pressures, particularly in the second-hand housing market of core cities, which is undergoing a rapid price decline [1][11]. - The price of newly built homes in first-tier cities has shown a strong anti-decline resilience, with a year-to-date decline of only 0.6% [1][22]. 2. Price Dynamics - The price of second-hand homes in first-tier cities has dropped significantly, with a 15.1% decline in the price of newly built homes from the second quarter to the third quarter of 2025 [1][37]. - The number of new listings for second-hand homes built between 2018 and 2025 has increased by 67.7% from 2023 to 2025, indicating a significant supply influx [2][36]. 3. Policy Environment - Following the relaxation of real estate control policies in August, there was a brief improvement in sales in September, but the downward pressure on prices has continued [3][12]. - The report suggests that companies like 金地集团 and 新城控股 may benefit from the improved policy environment and sales recovery [3][12]. 4. Regional Analysis - In cities like Shanghai and Hangzhou, new home prices have increased by 2.6% and 1.8% respectively since April 2025, while second-hand home prices have faced significant declines [22][23]. - The report highlights that the price dynamics in core cities are characterized by a divergence between new and second-hand homes, with new homes maintaining relative stability while second-hand homes experience significant price drops [21][22]. 5. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the real estate policies may further loosen by the end of the year, which could provide additional support to the market [3][12]. - The ongoing structural changes in the market, particularly the influx of new homes into the second-hand market, are expected to continue influencing price trends [2][41].
五部门支持商业地产REITs,广州发布好房子指引:房地产行业周报(25/10/25-25/10/31)-20251105
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-05 09:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The real estate sector is a crucial asset allocation and investment direction for Chinese households, with stable housing prices being significant for facilitating economic circulation. The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasized promoting high-quality development in real estate, indicating potential policy support [4][48] - There is an anticipated wave of development for high-quality housing due to policy guidance and changes in supply-demand structure, with a focus on core cities and strong land acquisition capabilities [4][48] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.7%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.5%. The real estate sector (Shenwan) fell by 0.7% during the week [4][7] - In the new housing market, 42 key cities recorded a total transaction of 2.43 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 4.8%, but a year-on-year decrease of 41.1% [14][18] - For the month of October, new housing transactions in 42 key cities totaled 8.43 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 34.6% [18][19] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of October 25-31, new housing transactions in 42 key cities totaled 2.43 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 41.1% [14] - For October, new housing transactions totaled 8.43 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 34.6% [18] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the week of October 25-31, second-hand housing transactions in 21 key cities totaled 2.05 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 23.6% [30] - For October, second-hand housing transactions totaled 7.32 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 21.2% [33] Industry News - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is promoting a system of selling existing homes to mitigate delivery risks. Additionally, five departments issued a plan to support qualified commercial real estate projects in issuing Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) [45] - Guangzhou has released guidelines for constructing quality housing, emphasizing green construction and energy-efficient appliances [45] - Policy adjustments in housing provident funds have been made, including increasing the maximum ratio of monthly repayments to family income from 55% to 60% in Hainan [45] Company Announcements - In Q3 2025, several companies reported their net profits, with notable figures including China Vanke at -16.07 billion yuan (a year-on-year decrease of 98.6%) and China Merchants Shekou at 1.05 billion yuan (a year-on-year decrease of 11.4%) [48][50] - Financing activities include a loan agreement where Shenzhen Metro Group will provide up to 22 billion yuan to China Vanke [48][50]
中国金茂(00817) - 截至二零二五年十月三十一日止月份之股份发行人的证券变动月报表
2025-11-05 08:38
FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國金茂控股集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00817 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 13,505,971,218 | | 0 | | 13,505,971,218 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 6,495,130 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 13,512,466,348 | | 0 ...
中国金茂(00817) - 致非登记持有人申请表格
2025-11-03 12:29
CCS3535 FSPH_NRH Non-registered holder's information (English Name and Address) 非登記持有人資料(英文姓名及地址) Request Form 申請表格 To: China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (the ''Company'') 致: 中國金茂控股集團有限公司(「本公司」) (Stock Code: 00817) (股票代號:00817) c/o Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited 經香港中央證券登記有限公司 17M Floor, Hopewell Centre 香港灣仔皇后大道東 183 號合和中心 17M 樓 Contact telephone number Signature(s) 聯絡電話號碼 簽名 Notes: 附註: PERSONAL INFORMATION COLLECTION STATEMENT 收集個人資料聲明 閣下有權根據《私隱條例》的條文查閱及╱或修改 閣下的個人資料。任何該等查閱及╱或修改個人資料的要求均須 ...
中国金茂(00817) - 致股东变更申请表格
2025-11-03 12:25
www.computershare.com/hk/contact Hong Kong 香港 CCS3534 FSPH Change Request Form 變更申請表格 To: China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (the ''Company'') 致: 中國金茂控股集團有限公司(「本公司」) (Stock Code: 00817) (股票代號:00817) c/o Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited 經香港中央證券登記有限公司 17M Floor, Hopewell Centre 香港灣仔皇后大道東 183 號合和中心 17M 樓 183 Queen's Road East, Wanchai, Hong Kong Part A — I/We would like to receive printed version(s) of the Current Corporate Communication of the Company in the manner as indicated below: 甲 部 本人 ...
中国金茂(00817) - 致非登记持有人通知信函
2025-11-03 12:21
China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited 中 國 金 茂 控 股 集 團 有 限 公 司 (incorporated in Hong Kong with limited liability) (於香港註冊成立的有限公司) (Stock Code 股票代號 : 00817) NOTIFICATION LETTER 通知信函 Dear non-registered holder(1) , Company Secretary 各位非登記持有人(1): 中國金茂控股集團有限公司(「本公司」)— 股東特別大會通函及通告(「本次公司通訊文件」)之發佈通知 4 November 2025 China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (the ''Company'') — Publication of Circular and Notice of Extraordinary General Meeting (the ''Current Corporate Communication'') The Extraordinary General Meeting of the ...
中国金茂(00817) - 致股东通知信函
2025-11-03 12:17
China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited 中 國 金 茂 控 股 集 團 有 限 公 司 (incorporated in Hong Kong with limited liability) (於香港註冊成立的有限公司) (Stock Code 股票代號 : 00817) NOTIFICATION LETTER 通知信函 Dear Shareholder, 4 November 2025 China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (the "Company") — Publication of Circular and Notice of Extraordinary General Meeting and Form of Proxy (the "Current Corporate Communication") The Extraordinary General Meeting of the Company will be held at Salon III-IV, Mezzanine Floor, Grand Hyatt Hong Kong, 1 ...
中国金茂(00817) - 股东特别大会适用的代表委任表格
2025-11-03 12:09
China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited 中國金茂控股集團有限公司 (於香港註冊成立的有限公司) (股票代號:00817) 股東特別大會適用的代表委任表格 本代表委任表格供股東於2025年11月19日(星期三)上午9時30分假座香港灣仔港灣道1號香港君悅酒店閣樓君悅廳III-IV舉行的股東特別大會(「大 會」)使用。本人╱吾等 (附註1) 地址為 為中國金茂控股集團有限公司(「本公司」)股份共 股 的登記持有人,茲委任大會主席 (附註3) 或 地址為 請於適當方格內以「3」號指示 閣下於表決時投票的意向。 | | 普通決議案 | 贊成 (附註4) | 反對 (附註4) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. | 「動議: | | | | | (a) 批准、確認及追認中化金融服務框架協議補充協議二(定義及詳情見日期為2025年11月4日致本公司 | | | | | 股東的通函(「通函」),註有「A」字樣並由股東特別大會主席簽署以資識別的副本已呈交股東特別大 | | | | | 會); | | | | | (b) 批准、確認及追認中化財務(定義見通函)根據中 ...
中国金茂(00817) - 股东特别大会通告
2025-11-03 12:04
中國金茂控股集團有限公司 (於香港註冊成立的有限公司) (股票代號:00817) 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本通告的內容概不負責,對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本通告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited 股東特別大會通告 謹此通知,中國金茂控股集團有限公司(「本公司」)謹訂於2025年11月19日(星 期三)上午9時30分假座香港灣仔港灣道1號香港君悅酒店閣樓君悅廳III-IV舉行股東特 別大會(「股東特別大會」)或其任何續會,以考慮及酌情通過下列決議案(不論有否修 訂)為普通決議案: 普通決議案 香港,2025年11月4日 – 2 – 2. 「動議: (a) 批准、確認及追認經續期平安金融服務框架協議項下擬進行的存款服 務(包括每日最高餘額)(定義及詳情見通函,註有「B」字樣並由股東 特別大會主席簽署以資識別的副本已呈交股東特別大會); (b) 批准、確認及追認經續期平安金融服務框架協議項下擬進行的貸款服 務(包括每日最高餘額); (c) 批准、確認 ...