Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, with significant production capabilities in cobalt, copper, tungsten, and other precious metals, indicating strong growth potential in these sectors [3][9]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, smelting, deep processing, and trading of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [8]. - The company has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain and ranks among the top five global producers of molybdenum and tungsten, as well as being the second-largest producer of cobalt and niobium globally [3]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.671 billion yuan [9]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [10]. Production and Growth Prospects - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold equity production guidance for 2023 set at 25,000 to 27,000 ounces, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [4]. - In 2025, the company successfully completed the acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (Keg House Gold Mine) and is advancing development work with plans to commence production before 2029 [4]. Market Position - As of October 22, 2023, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price increased by 0.58%, with a trading volume of 3.079 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 332.468 billion yuan [1]. - The company ranks 45th in terms of market popularity within the A-share market on Sina Finance [2].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is experiencing a positive market response, with a 2.25% increase in stock price and a trading volume of 3.35 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest in the company [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, primarily selling cobalt products such as cobalt hydroxide in international markets [3]. - The company operates in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on the extraction, smelting, and deep processing of metals including copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus, boasting a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [3]. - It ranks among the top five molybdenum producers and is the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer globally [3]. Production and Financial Performance - In 2022, the company's gold equity production from its NPM copper-gold mine in Australia was 16,000 ounces, with a production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [4]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 94.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.67 billion yuan [9]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 15.95% to 237,500, indicating a consolidation of ownership [9]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [10]. Market Position and Trends - Luoyang Molybdenum ranks 50th in terms of market popularity within the A-share market, reflecting its significant presence among investors [2]. - The stock has shown a net inflow of 1.67 million yuan today, with the industry ranking at 1 out of 61, indicating a stable interest from institutional investors [5].

Group 1: Precious Metals Market - The international gold and silver markets have experienced a historic surge, with gold prices surpassing $4000 per ounce and a year-to-date increase of over 50%, while silver has risen more than 80% [1] - The price rally in precious metals is driven by global de-dollarization trends, geopolitical risks, and central banks' continued gold purchases [1] - The extreme gold-to-copper ratio has reached 0.39, significantly above the historical average of 0.21, indicating a potential need for copper prices to rise to restore balance [6][9] Group 2: Copper Market Performance - Copper futures have shown a year-to-date increase of 67.2% with a volatility of 91.26%, and LME copper prices have recently surpassed $10,700 per ton, marking a near one-year high [3] - The current copper cycle is just beginning, similar to the trends observed in precious metals [3] Group 3: Macroeconomic Context - Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the U.S. stock market has seen significant declines, with the Nasdaq dropping 3.56% and the S&P 500 down 2.72% on October 10 [4] - The market perceives the current rate cuts as a sign of economic slowdown rather than a proactive measure, leading to a complex environment for equities [4] Group 4: Demand for Copper - The shift from real estate-driven growth to an electricity-driven industrial transformation in China is expected to boost copper demand, particularly in renewable energy and AI data centers [10][13] - In 2023, the demand for copper in the power transmission sector is projected to be 73,000 tons, with estimates for 2024-2025 at 78,000 and 86,000 tons respectively [14] Group 5: Supply Constraints - The copper supply chain is facing significant disruptions due to incidents at major mines, including the Grasberg mine in Indonesia and the Kamoa-Kakula mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo [20][21] - The average copper ore grade has declined from 0.81% in 2000 to 0.45% in 2023, leading to increased extraction costs and a slowdown in new mine discoveries [24] Group 6: Company Performance - Companies with significant copper resources, such as Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum, have reported substantial profit increases, with Zijin's net profit rising by 54.41% and Luoyang Molybdenum's by 60.07% in the first half of the year [26] - The stock prices of these companies have significantly outperformed the market, with Luoyang Molybdenum up 133.32% and Zijin Mining up 104.01% year-to-date [26][27]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - Precious metals are experiencing strong demand due to geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate cuts, leading to significant price increases for gold and silver [2][27][30] - Base metals, particularly copper, are facing price volatility with limited fundamental support, as domestic consumption remains weak and supply disruptions are easing [1][13][14] - The tungsten industry is seeing price fluctuations with a divergence in the supply chain, while the molybdenum market is experiencing price increases due to higher output from mines [3][71] Summary by Sections Base Metals & Precious Metals - Copper prices have retreated from highs, with domestic inventories increasing due to limited downstream demand and ongoing maintenance at smelters [1][13] - Aluminum prices have risen slightly, supported by stable supply and improved demand, with a decrease in social inventories [1][21][22][23] - Gold and silver prices have surged, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve [2][27][29] Minor Metals - The tungsten market is experiencing mixed price movements, with some products increasing while others remain stable or decline due to weak downstream demand [3][66][67] - Molybdenum prices are on the rise, supported by increased output from mines and stable demand from steel manufacturers [71][73] Rare Earths - Recent export control policies are expected to strengthen China's position in the rare earth industry, with price fluctuations observed in various rare earth products [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The report anticipates a potential upward trend in copper prices due to expected shortages in copper mines, particularly with the global second-largest copper mine, Grasberg, facing production halts. The report suggests that the copper supply-demand balance may shift from tight equilibrium to shortage by 2026 [4] - The report highlights the performance of various metals, including aluminum, lithium, and cobalt, with specific recommendations for companies to watch in each segment [4] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - Recent macroeconomic developments include a new round of US-China trade negotiations and comments from Trump regarding the unsustainability of high tariffs on China [8] 2. Market Performance - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector saw a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.47% and the Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metals Index down 3.07%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.60 percentage points [10][11] 3. Valuation Changes - The PE_TTM for the Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metals Index is 26.96, down 1.78 from the previous week, while the PB_LF is 3.22, down 0.22 [19][22] 4. Copper - Copper prices have seen a decline, with LME copper down 1.86% and SHFE copper down 1.77%. However, the report indicates a potential for price recovery due to supply disruptions and seasonal demand [21][44] 5. Aluminum - Aluminum prices are experiencing fluctuations, with LME aluminum down 0.45% and SHFE aluminum down 0.47%. The report notes a decrease in inventory levels, which may support price stability [33][44] 6. Lithium - Lithium prices are showing mixed trends, with lithium carbonate down 0.27% and lithium spodumene up 0.83%. The report suggests that lithium prices may stabilize due to seasonal demand [73] 7. Cobalt - Cobalt prices have increased, with MB cobalt up 5.40% to $20.98 per pound, driven by changes in export regulations from the Democratic Republic of Congo [86]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Shanjin International, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, and Luoyang Molybdenum [5][6]. Core Views - The report highlights that the precious metals market is experiencing price fluctuations due to tariff disturbances, but the long-term bullish trend remains intact. The U.S. government shutdown and increased tariffs on China are expected to boost gold's safe-haven demand [1]. - For industrial metals, copper prices are supported by supply disruptions, while macroeconomic uncertainties may cause short-term volatility. The aluminum market is expected to see high price fluctuations due to rising interest rate expectations and inventory reductions [2]. - In the energy metals sector, lithium prices are projected to remain strong due to increased supply and demand, particularly in the electric vehicle market. However, the silicon market is facing oversupply issues, leading to price fluctuations [3]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Tariff disturbances have led to price volatility in gold and silver, but the long-term bullish trend is expected to continue. The report suggests strategic allocation in precious metals [1]. - Recommended companies include: Xinyi Silver, Shengda Resources, and Zijin Mining [1]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Prices are supported by supply disruptions from major mines, with a projected increase in price center due to mid-term supply constraints. However, short-term fluctuations may occur due to trade tensions [2]. - **Aluminum**: The market is experiencing high price volatility, influenced by interest rate expectations and inventory levels. The report suggests monitoring inventory accumulation [2]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: The market is showing strong performance with supply and demand both increasing. The report indicates that lithium prices are likely to remain strong in the short term [3]. - **Silicon**: The market is facing oversupply, leading to price fluctuations despite being in a traditional demand season [3]. Key Companies - The report identifies key companies to watch, including: Luoyang Molybdenum, China Hongqiao, and Tianqi Lithium [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd., experienced a 4.20% decline in stock price on October 17, with a trading volume of 4.489 billion yuan and a total market capitalization of 321.77 billion yuan [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is the world's second-largest cobalt producer, primarily selling cobalt products such as cobalt hydroxide in international markets [2] - The company operates in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on the extraction, smelting, and deep processing of metals including copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus, and is among the top five molybdenum producers globally [2] - The company has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain and is also the largest tungsten producer and a leading copper producer [2] Recent Developments - In the first half of 2025, the company signed a share transfer agreement to acquire 100% of Woyuan Holdings, indirectly increasing its stake in Huayue Nickel Cobalt to 30% [2] - The company has been expanding its precious metals business, with revenue and profit contributions from gold and silver products increasing year by year [2] Production and Financial Performance - The company owns 80% of the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold equity production of 16,000 ounces in 2022 and a guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [3] - The company successfully completed the acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (KGHM Gold Mine) in the first half of 2025, with plans to commence production before 2029 [3] Financial Metrics - For the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.671 billion yuan [8] - The company's main business revenue composition includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), and molybdenum (3.12%) [7] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the company had 237,500 shareholders, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period [8] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable increases in holdings [9]

Group 1 - Hong Kong copper stocks continue to decline, with Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK) down 4.21% to HKD 14.8 [1] - Jiangxi Copper (00358.HK) decreased by 3.95%, trading at HKD 31.58 [1] - Minmetals Resources (01208.HK) fell by 2.68%, priced at HKD 6.53 [1] - China Nonferrous Mining (01258.HK) dropped 2.21%, now at HKD 13.69 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Copper stocks continue to decline amid intense market fluctuations, with significant drops observed in major companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and others [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) fell by 4.21%, trading at 14.8 HKD [1] - Jiangxi Copper (00358) decreased by 3.95%, with a price of 31.58 HKD [1] - Minmetals Resources (01208) dropped by 2.68%, now at 6.53 HKD [1] - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) saw a decline of 2.21%, trading at 13.69 HKD [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The copper market is experiencing a tug-of-war between supply and demand, influenced by various events such as the shutdown of Grasberg in Indonesia and earthquakes in Congo [1] - Uncertainties in international trade and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies are expected to create volatility in copper prices [1] Group 3: Price Forecasts - According to CITIC Futures, the market is likely to see copper prices under pressure and in a state of consolidation due to the U.S. government shutdown affecting economic data releases [1] - Goldman Sachs indicates that short-term upward price movement for copper is limited to 11,000 USD per ton, despite a long-term bullish outlook [1]

Group 1 - Copper stocks continue to decline, with notable drops in companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum (-4.21% to HKD 14.8), Jiangxi Copper (-3.95% to HKD 31.58), Minmetals Resources (-2.68% to HKD 6.53), and China Nonferrous Mining (-2.21% to HKD 13.69) [1][1][1] Group 2 - The copper market is experiencing intense fluctuations, influenced by supply-side disruptions such as the shutdown of Indonesia's Grasberg mine, earthquakes in the Democratic Republic of Congo, and incidents at the Aifenhao mine [1][1][1] - Uncertainties in international trade and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies are contributing to potential disturbances in copper prices [1][1][1] Group 3 - According to CITIC Futures, the market is currently facing pressure due to the U.S. government shutdown causing delays in economic data releases, leading to increased risk aversion among investors [1][1][1] - Goldman Sachs indicates that the short-term upward price potential for copper is limited to USD 11,000 per ton, while maintaining a long-term bullish outlook, citing an oversupply in the market as a key factor [1][1][1]