Market Overview - US stock market experienced a significant rise, with the Dow Jones increasing by 587.98 points (1.29%) to close at 46067.58 points, the Nasdaq rising by 2.21% to 22694.61 points, and the S&P 500 gaining 1.56% to 6654.72 points [2] - Broadcom's stock surged by 9.9% following the announcement of a partnership with OpenAI to produce its first self-developed AI chip, contributing to a nearly 5% increase in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index [2] - Major tech stocks also saw gains, with Tesla up 5.4%, Google up 3.0%, Amazon up 1.7%, Meta up 1.5%, Apple up 1.0%, and Oracle up 5.1% after several brokerages raised its target price [2] Trade Tensions and Market Sentiment - President Trump's recent comments on trade tensions have eased investor concerns, stating "everything will be fine," which has positively impacted market sentiment [3] - Analysts suggest that the market is beginning to view the trade dispute as a negotiation strategy rather than a full-blown trade war, leading to a rebound in stock prices [4] Upcoming Earnings Season - The focus is shifting to the upcoming earnings season, with major banks like JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo set to report quarterly results [4] - Analysts expect an 8.8% year-over-year growth in earnings for S&P 500 companies in the third quarter [4] Commodity Prices - International oil prices saw a slight increase, with WTI crude oil rising by 1.00% to $59.49 per barrel and Brent crude oil increasing by 0.94% to $63.32 per barrel [6] - Gold prices reached a new historical high, with COMEX gold futures for October delivery rising by 3.34% to $4108.60 per ounce [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the positive market reaction following President Trump's easing of trade tensions, which led to significant gains in major stock indices and specific technology stocks, particularly in the semiconductor sector due to a partnership between Broadcom and OpenAI [3][5]. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 587.98 points, or 1.29%, closing at 46,067.58 points. The Nasdaq Composite increased by 2.21% to 22,694.61 points, while the S&P 500 gained 1.56%, ending at 6,654.72 points [3]. - Broadcom's stock surged by 9.9% after announcing a collaboration with OpenAI to produce its first self-developed AI chip, contributing to a nearly 5% rise in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index [3]. Technology Sector Highlights - Major technology stocks saw significant increases: Tesla up 5.4%, Google up 3.0%, Amazon up 1.7%, Meta up 1.5%, and Apple up 1.0%. Oracle also rose by 5.1% as several brokerages raised its target stock price [3]. - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 3.2%, with Alibaba and JD.com both rising over 4%, Baidu up 3.3%, Pinduoduo up 2.6%, and NetEase up 1.7% [3]. Trade Tensions and Market Sentiment - Recent trade tensions had caused the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to experience their largest weekly declines in nearly six months. However, Trump's recent comments have alleviated some investor concerns [4][5]. - Analysts suggest that the market's reaction indicates a shift in sentiment, with expectations of a potential agreement between the U.S. and China becoming more favorable [5]. Upcoming Earnings Season - The focus is shifting to the upcoming earnings season, with major banks like JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo set to report quarterly results. This earnings season is seen as a critical indicator of market trends and economic conditions [5][6]. Economic Indicators - Analysts expect a year-over-year earnings growth of 8.8% for S&P 500 companies in the third quarter [6]. - Federal Reserve officials are discussing the need for further interest rate cuts due to rising risks in the job market and the impact of trade tariffs on inflation [6]. Commodity Market - International oil prices saw slight increases, with WTI crude oil rising by 1.00% to $59.49 per barrel and Brent crude oil up by 0.94% to $63.32 per barrel [7]. - Gold prices reached a new historical high, with COMEX gold futures for October delivery rising by 3.34% to $4,108.60 per ounce [7].

JD.com, Inc. 3Q25 Preview Summary Company Overview - **Company**: JD.com, Inc. (JD.O, JD US) - **Industry**: China Internet and Other Services - **Market Cap**: US$50,068 million - **Current Stock Price**: US$31.85 - **Price Target**: US$28.00, implying an 11x 2025e non-GAAP P/E [5][7][19] Key Financial Metrics - **3Q25 Revenue Growth**: Forecasted at 10.8% YoY for JD Retail (JDR) and 14.3% for the group [2] - **Operating Profit Growth**: Expected to grow 15% YoY for JDR [2] - **Non-GAAP Net Profit**: Projected to decline 65% YoY to Rmb4.5 billion, with a non-GAAP net profit margin (NPM) of 1.55% [2] - **4Q25 Revenue Growth**: Expected to slow further to 5.6% for JDR and 8.5% for the group [4] Investment and Margin Outlook - **Continued Investments**: JD is expected to maintain investments in Food Delivery (FD), Quick-Commerce (QC), and Jingxi, which will continue to impact margins negatively [2][4] - **Margin Pressure**: Non-GAAP NPM is forecasted to decline to 1.45% in 4Q25 from 3.25% in 4Q24 due to ongoing investments and competitive pressures [4] Market Dynamics - **High Base Effect**: Revenue growth in the smartphone, electronics, and home appliances categories has started to slow down, with August showing only 11% YoY growth compared to 23% in July [3] - **Trade-in Program Impact**: The trade-in program initiated in late August 2024 is expected to support revenue but may not offset losses from new business ventures [2][3] Competitive Landscape - **Intense Competition**: The e-commerce sector is expected to remain competitive, as indicated by JD's early Double 11 promotion this year [4] - **Consumer Sentiment**: There is a need for improved consumer sentiment to support revenue growth and margin recovery [23] Risks and Ratings - **Rating**: Maintain Equal-weight (EW) rating due to downside risks from revenue slowdown and earnings uncertainties [5][23] - **Valuation Methodology**: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) with a 13% WACC and 3% terminal growth rate [13][34] Summary of Financial Estimates - **2025 Revenue**: Projected at Rmb1,331.7 billion [32] - **2025 Non-GAAP Net Income**: Estimated at Rmb30.2 billion [33] - **Active Customers**: Expected to grow to 671 million by 2025 [30] Conclusion - JD.com is facing a challenging environment with slowing revenue growth, ongoing investments impacting margins, and intense competition in the e-commerce sector. The company’s future performance will heavily depend on consumer sentiment and the effectiveness of its strategic initiatives.

每经编辑｜蒙锦涛 2025年的双11比以往来得更早一些。10月9日，2025年双11大促开跑铃声就已响起，无缝衔接刚刚过去的国庆中秋"超级黄金周"。更长的周期和更早的抢 跑，再叠加现货开卖和简单粗暴的直降玩法，今年的剁手党们还会收起往日的冲动，集体进入"人间清醒"模式吗？ 为了摸清这届双11消费者的真实消费脉搏，每日经济新闻发起《双11首购消费调研问卷》，收获4765份真实答卷。数据显示，8成消费者首周已参与双 11，已完成首购的消费者中，每10个人中就有7个把今年双11第一单献给了京东，具体比例高达73.69%。 在这场略显佛系的购物长跑中，给力的价格、正品的保障仍是消费者关注的焦点，变化的是：因为"相信平台价格稳定，有价保等服务兜底，提前买也不 会吃亏"，消费者更愿意买早一步，早买完早享受。因此，当双11大促热潮下，成熟的消费回归遇上"不玩套路，有服务兜底"的京东，这届双11首发已胜 一程。 刚需日用、数码、服饰领跑目标品类 五成用户认为"刚需商品价格给力"出手下单 嘴上说着"不买立省百分百"，但该买的一个都没少。今年双11，消费者用行动描绘出一幅理性购物图景：刚需日用、数码产品、食品饮料成为最受欢迎的 ...

2025.10. 13 本文字数：1909，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陈杨园 "史上最长双11"的纪录正被不断刷新。尽管十一假期刚过，电商平台们已纷纷进入双11时间。在一 个夏天的外卖激战后，今年双11有何新变化值得关注。 多家电商平台已开启了双11。10月7日，快手启动双11预售，抖音电商在10月9日开启双11好物 节，同样在10月9日，京东也宣布双11开启，"现货开卖不用等"。而淘宝尽管还未正式公布双11的 整体节奏，但天猫超市已在9月底率先开启双11，并将走向近场闪购定为今年双11的目标。 京东等平台是否会跟进双11的外卖补贴也值得关注。目前，京东暂未披露秒送参与双11的具体动 作。但在今年618，京东赶在618前夕完成京东秒送完成了全面升级，京东此后披露的数据显示， 618期间通过京东秒送下单的3C配件订单量同比增长177%，运动户外同比增长166%，办公用品同 比增长219%。 尽管延续外卖补贴竞争对平台来说或许存在一定压力，但远近场结合之下，更多品类竞争也在开启。 天猫超市召开的双11商家大会上，酒水、乳制品等品牌的戏份不少，可能成为天猫超市双11重点发 力的方向。而京东秒送、美团等 ...

二、双向赋能：构筑互惠共赢的全球化合作范式 在京东工业加速全球化布局的宏大版图上，2022年诞生于深圳的科技新锐——深圳市科腾兴科技有限公 司，正扮演着日益关键的角色。作为京东在海外工业品领域的重要战略服务商，科腾兴科技精准地以招商 板块作为核心抓手，深度参与并赋能京东工业全球化生态体系的构建与发展。其业务模式与发展轨迹，恰 好精准契合了京东工业当前战略重心——"拓品增商"与全球化拓展的双重需求。 一、核心能力：精耕细作的全链路招商服务体系 科腾兴科技的核心价值，突出体现在其为京东工业全球化战略量身打造的招商服务闭环能力上。这套能力 并非简单的项目对接，而是贯穿了目标筛选、资质审核、政策适配、生态接入与后续赋能的完整链条： 1. 精准选商，严把入口关： 面对京东工业覆盖的5710万庞大SKU供应链体系，科腾兴团队肩负着"挑尖选 优"的重任。他们需深度理解海外不同市场的工业品标准、认证要求及采购偏好，在海量国内工业企业 中，精准筛选出具备稳定生产能力、合规资质（如ISO认证、CE/UL等特定市场准入）且产品线符合海外 市场需求的企业。其重点招商领域聚焦于个人防护（PPE）、工控自动化与机电行业等京东工业海外重点 ...

每经AI快讯，10月13日，热门中概股盘初大涨，阿里巴巴、百度涨近5%，拼多多涨3.4%，京东涨近 4%，富途控股涨6.7%。 ...

Core Insights - The duration of the "Double 11" shopping festival has been extended, with major e-commerce platforms starting their promotions earlier and lasting longer than in previous years [2][4][11]. Group 1: E-commerce Platforms' Strategies - JD.com announced the start of its "Double 11" promotions on October 9, extending the event until November 14, marking an earlier and longer promotional period [2]. - Other platforms like Douyin and Kuaishou have also begun their "Double 11" promotions earlier, with Douyin starting on October 9 and Kuaishou on October 7 [3]. - Taobao and Tmall will officially kick off their "Double 11" promotions on October 15, indicating a trend among major e-commerce platforms to transform "Double 11" from a single-day event into a month-long promotional period [4]. Group 2: Changes in Consumer Behavior - Consumers have shifted their purchasing habits, no longer waiting for "Double 11" to buy discounted items, but rather looking for deals throughout the promotional period [5][6]. - Many consumers express a more relaxed attitude towards "Double 11," treating it as just another promotional event rather than a major shopping occasion [7][9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape among e-commerce platforms has led to a normalization of promotional events, diluting the significance of "Double 11" as a unique shopping festival [4][9]. - The frequency of promotional events throughout the year has increased, with various sales events now occurring regularly, which has reduced the urgency associated with "Double 11" [9][12]. Group 4: Simplification and Innovation in Promotions - This year's "Double 11" is characterized by a return to simpler, more direct discount strategies, with platforms like JD.com and Douyin focusing on straightforward price reductions [13][14]. - New promotional strategies have been introduced, such as JD.com's themed night markets and Douyin's content-driven promotional activities, aimed at enhancing consumer engagement [15][17]. Group 5: Instant Retail and Future Outlook - Instant retail is emerging as a significant battleground for "Double 11," with platforms like Taobao Flash Sale launching initiatives to attract consumers [19]. - The overall sentiment in the industry suggests that "Double 11" may not replicate its past digital success, but extending its duration and diversifying promotional strategies are seen as essential for maintaining its relevance [19].

经济观察网在电商流量红利趋近饱和的背景下，京东通过"七鲜咖啡"正式切入现制咖啡赛道，以"9.9元 低价+轻资产合伙人模式"掀起行业新风暴。其首店上线京东秒送频道一周内即登顶区域热销榜前三， 单日订单突破4000单，标志着这家电商巨头正以"零售+本地生活"生态重构咖啡市场竞争规则。 ...

在汤底和蘸料方面，京东折扣超市与海底捞等知名品牌合作，大幅降低了品牌溢价。海底捞快手小厨火 锅底料在京东折扣超市宿迁四店售价仅5.5元/袋，包括浓郁番茄锅和经典清汤锅等多种口味。配套的海 底捞快手小厨火锅蘸料也仅售4.5元/袋，提供香辣和咸香两种口味，轻松提升火锅用餐体验。 值得一提的是，本次活动还特别推出了多款甜品饮品。京鲜舫玉米汁售价9.9元，口味清甜，适合老人 和孩子饮用。桂花酒酿大福在固安店售价23.9元/盒/390g，软糯Q弹的冰皮包裹着清甜的酒酿馅心。双 拼瑞士卷在涿州店售价19.9元/盒/560g，包含原味和伯爵红茶两种口味，为火锅盛宴画上完美句点。 京东折扣超市相关负责人表示，此次"暖心火锅季"能够实现"优质优价"，主要得益于京东强大的供应链 整合能力。通过产地直采，将鲜活海白虾等产品直接送到消费者身边；通过规模化采购，与海底捞等大 牌合作，降低品牌溢价；同时通过打造京东七鲜、京鲜舫等自主品牌，省去所有中间环节，将真金白银 的实惠直接让利给消费者。 近日，随着全国多地气温持续走低，家庭火锅消费迎来高峰。10月9日晚8点，京东11.11盛大开启，京 东折扣超市同步开启线下狂欢盛宴，推出"暖心火锅 ...