累计担保情况 | 对外担保逾期的累计金额（万元） | 0 | | --- | --- | | 截至本公告日上市公司及其控股子公司对外担保总额（万元） | 65,139.51 | | 对外担保总额占上市公司最近一期经审计净资产的比例（%） | 3.39 | 证券代码：600160 证券简称：巨化股份 公告编号：临 2025-38 浙江巨化股份有限公司 关于为控股子公司提供担保进展情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 | | 被担保人名称 | "晋巨公司"） | | 浙江晋巨化工有限公司（以下简称 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 本次担保金额 | 3,291.90 万元 | | | | 担保对象 | 实际为其提供的担保余额 | 65,139.51 万元 | | | | | 是否在前期预计额度内 | 是 | 否 | 不适用：_________ | | | 本次担保是否有反担保 | 是 | 否 | 不适用：________ ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impact of the recent explosion at the Haicang Xinyang Zhongkun Chemical Plant, which has a global market share of 22% in DHM (Dihydromyrcene) production, leading to a short-term supply contraction of 5%-8% and a potential price increase of 20%-30% in Q3 [1] - The chemical industry is experiencing a wave of "involution," resulting in many companies facing increased revenue without corresponding profit growth, necessitating a "de-involution" approach for sustainable industry development [1][2] - The China Securities Index for the chemical industry (000813) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Jinfa Technology (600143) leading gains at 3.68% and Hongda Co., Ltd. (600331) experiencing the largest decline [1] Group 2 - Zhongtai Securities suggests that the price differentials of certain chemical products are nearing historical lows, indicating a potential for a new round of supply-side reforms to promote orderly production and restore normal profit levels [2] - The chemical ETF (159870) closely tracks the China Securities Index for the chemical industry, which consists of seven sub-indices reflecting the overall performance of major listed companies in related sectors [2] - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Index for the chemical industry account for 43.54% of the index, with major companies including Wanhua Chemical (600309) and Yilong Co., Ltd. (000792) [2]

Group 1 - The prices of third-generation refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a have increased as of July 31, 2025, reaching 55,000 yuan/ton, 45,500 yuan/ton, and 50,000 yuan/ton respectively, with increases of 4.76%, 0%, and 2.04% compared to the end of April [1][2] - The price of R22 remains stable at 35,000 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous month, but up 14.75% year-on-year; the price difference is 26,842 yuan/ton, down 0.55% from the end of last month [1][2] - The prices of fluorinated polymers have decreased, with PTFE suspension medium, dispersion emulsion, and dispersion resin priced at 37,000 yuan/ton, 28,000 yuan/ton, and 40,000 yuan/ton respectively as of July 31, 2025 [2] Group 2 - The production of household air conditioners is expected to decline year-on-year from August to October 2025, with total production volumes of 11.443 million units, 10.662 million units, and 12.356 million units respectively, showing year-on-year growth rates of -2.79%, -12.70%, and -12.10% [2] - Zhongxin Fluorine Materials expects a net profit of 4.7589 million to 6.0809 million yuan for the first half of 2025, recovering from a loss of 23.1287 million yuan in the same period last year [3] - Yonghe Co. reported a revenue of 2.445 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.39%, with a gross margin of 25.29%, up 7.36 percentage points from the previous year, and a net profit of 271 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 140.82% [3] Group 3 - The supply-demand relationship for second and third-generation refrigerants remains tight, with a reduction in second-generation refrigerant quotas and a stable total production quota for third-generation refrigerants [3] - The refrigerant prices have been steadily increasing since 2025, with a notable rise in July, indicating a high level of industry prosperity and potential for significant profit growth for related production companies [3]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Bullish" rating for the refrigerant industry, indicating a positive outlook for the next six months [75]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the prices of third-generation refrigerants have been steadily increasing since 2025, with significant growth in the first half of the year. The production quotas for second-generation refrigerants are being reduced, while the total production quota for third-generation refrigerants remains at baseline levels, leading to a tightening supply-demand relationship [7][69]. - Companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd. and Sanmei Co., Ltd. are expected to see substantial profit increases, reflecting a high level of industry prosperity [69]. Summary by Sections Refrigerant Prices and Production - As of July 31, 2025, the prices for third-generation refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a are 55,000 CNY/ton, 45,500 CNY/ton, and 50,000 CNY/ton, respectively, showing increases of 4.76%, 0%, and 2.04% compared to the end of April [7][16]. - The production of R32, R134a, and R125 in July 2025 has increased by 49.68%, 66.11%, and 32.74% year-on-year, respectively [17]. Market Trends - The report notes a decline in air conditioning production in August 2025, with expected further declines in September and October, with production figures of 11.44 million units, 10.66 million units, and 12.36 million units, reflecting year-on-year decreases of -2.79%, -12.70%, and -12.10% [39]. - The report also mentions a decrease in refrigerator production, with August 2025 figures at 7.62 million units, down 9.50% year-on-year [40]. Company Performance - Zhongxin Fluorine Materials expects a net profit of 4.76 million to 6.08 million CNY for the first half of 2025, recovering from a loss of 23.13 million CNY in the same period last year [60]. - Yonghe Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 2.445 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.39%, with a net profit of 271 million CNY, up 140.82% [63]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the refrigerant industry and those with a complete industrial chain, such as Juhua Co., Ltd. and Sanmei Co., Ltd., as well as companies related to fluorine chemical raw materials like Jinshi Resources [69].

Group 1 - The coal chemical concept sector declined by 0.45%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with companies like Jiangsu Sopo, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Xinjiang Tianye experiencing significant drops [1][2] - Among the 27 stocks that rose, Jinfeng Energy, Junzheng Group, and Aerospace Morning Light led with increases of 3.90%, 2.42%, and 2.39% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The coal chemical concept sector saw a net outflow of 1.081 billion yuan, with 66 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 7 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 50 million yuan [2][3] - Lu'an Environmental Energy had the highest net outflow of 199 million yuan, followed by Satellite Chemical and Wanhua Chemical with net outflows of 186 million yuan and 139 million yuan respectively [2][3] Group 3 - The top gainers in net inflow included Junzheng Group, Juhua Co., and Shoufang Environmental Protection, with net inflows of 111 million yuan, 12.09 million yuan, and 10.63 million yuan respectively [5][6] - The coal chemical concept sector's outflow list included Lu'an Environmental Energy, Satellite Chemical, and Wanhua Chemical, with respective declines of 4.45%, 1.21%, and 0.13% [3][4]

公司发布的一季报数据显示，一季度公司共实现营业收入58.00亿元，同比增长6.05%，实现净利润8.09 亿元，同比增长160.64%，基本每股收益为0.3000元，加权平均净资产收益率4.44%。 7月9日公司发布上半年业绩预告，预计实现净利润19.70亿元至21.30亿元，同比变动区间为 136.00%~155.00%。（数据宝） 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 巨化股份股价创出历史新高，截至9:52，该股上涨2.11%，股价报29.56元，成交量1003.24万股，成交金 额2.94亿元，换手率0.37%，该股最新A股总市值达798.04亿元，该股A股流通市值798.04亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，巨化股份所属的基础化工行业，目前整体涨幅为0.43%，行业内，目前股价 上涨的有184只，涨停的有凯美特气、沧州明珠等3只。股价下跌的有215只，跌幅居前的有江苏索普、 巍华新材、*ST亚太等，跌幅分别为4.88%、4.42%、3.86%。 两融数据显示，该股最新（8月12日）两融余额为31.77亿元，其中，融资余额为31.70亿元，近10日增加 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the chemical industry is expected to stabilize and rebound in the second half of 2025, following a prolonged downtrend and a recent narrowing of the Producer Price Index (PPI) decline [1][3] - The PPI for July showed a month-on-month decline of 0.2% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.6%, with signs of narrowing declines in upstream industries, suggesting a potential recovery in the chemical sector [1][3] - The chemical sector has experienced a three-year downtrend, with PPI in continuous deflation for 33 months, nearing the end of a historical deflation cycle, which typically lasts between 20 to 40 months [3] Group 2 - The fixed asset investment in the chemical industry turned negative for the first time in May 2025, signaling the end of the capacity expansion cycle, which historically leads to price increases within 6-12 months [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index account for 43.54% of the index, with major companies including Wanhu Chemical, Yilong Co., and Juhua Co. [3] - The chemical ETF closely tracks the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index, which consists of seven sub-indices reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in related sectors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The refrigerant market is expected to maintain high demand as the new cooling year approaches, despite a decrease in air conditioning production since July. The overall sales performance remains strong, indicating a potential uplift in refrigerant demand [1][4]. Group 1: Refrigerant Production and Policy - In the first half of 2025, the production of refrigerants R32, R134a, and R125 reached 138,000 tons, 76,000 tons, and 57,000 tons respectively, accounting for approximately 49%, 37%, and 34% of the annual quota [2]. - The export volumes for R32 and R134a in the same period were 40,000 tons and 50,000 tons, representing about 41% and 39% of their respective annual export quotas [2]. - The supply-demand environment for refrigerants in 2025 is relatively balanced, with some varieties being relatively abundant, reducing the necessity for quota increases. The policy regarding refrigerant quotas is expected to remain stable through mid-2026 [2]. Group 2: Refrigerant Pricing Trends - Despite a decline in air conditioning production since July, refrigerant prices continue to rise. The latest corporate quotation for R32 is nearing 60,000 yuan per ton [3]. - The pricing power for refrigerants has shifted from the demand side to the supply side, indicating that the seasonal decline in air conditioning demand does not dominate refrigerant price trends [3]. - Internationally, the price of R32 in Europe approached 20,000 euros per ton in the fourth quarter of 2024, suggesting that there is still significant upward potential for domestic refrigerant prices [3]. Group 3: Air Conditioning Market Performance - As the new cooling year approaches in late August 2025, the retail sales of air conditioning units have shown strong growth. Offline retail sales increased by 19.63% year-on-year, while online sales surged by 26.17% [4]. - The retail volume for air conditioning units also saw a year-on-year increase of 16.15% offline and 30.28% online, with certain regions experiencing stock shortages [4]. - Given the current sales dynamics, air conditioning production is expected to remain high, which will likely boost refrigerant demand [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Following the release of refrigerant companies' performance in the first half of 2025, the sector's valuation has seen a decline. Concerns remain regarding the stability of the policy environment and the potential impact on future refrigerant demand [5]. - The expectation of stable policies in 2025 and 2026, along with the continued rise in refrigerant prices during the off-season, suggests that market expectations may gradually improve, leading to a potential recovery in sector valuations [5]. - Companies in the refrigerant supply chain, such as Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160.SH), Dongyue Group (00189), and others, are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their expected valuation increases [5].

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The report highlights the impact of fluctuating international oil prices and the recent price changes in titanium dioxide and refrigerants, suggesting a focus on mid-year earnings reports and the influence of supply-side factors in related sub-industries [2][3][11] - It emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials companies and the stability of dividend policies in energy enterprises [11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In the week of August 4-10, 2025, among 100 tracked chemical products, 18 saw price increases, 39 experienced declines, and 43 remained stable. 38% of products had month-on-month price increases, while 56% saw decreases [10][31] - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude oil closing at $63.88 per barrel, down 5.12% for the week, and Brent crude at $66.59 per barrel, down 4.42% [10][32] - Titanium dioxide prices decreased to an average of 13,302 RMB/ton, down 1.10% from the previous week, with a year-to-date decline of 7.24% [10][33] - Refrigerant prices increased, with R32 averaging 56,500 RMB/ton, up 2.73% week-on-week and 31.40% year-to-date [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on mid-year earnings, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials [11] - Long-term investment themes include the sustained high demand in the oil and gas extraction sector, the rapid development of downstream industries, and the potential for recovery in demand supported by policy [11] - Recommended stocks include China Petroleum, China Oilfield Services, and several technology and chemical companies [11] Key Stocks for August - The report identifies Satellite Chemical and Anji Technology as key stocks for August, highlighting their strong performance and growth potential [12][18]

Group 1 - Global TDI supply is tightening due to significant production disruptions, including a complete shutdown of a 150,000-ton facility by South Korea's Hanwha Chemical due to heat exchanger leaks, resulting in a cumulative reduction of approximately 15% in global capacity this year [1] - The current valuation of the basic chemical industry is at a low level since 2014, indicating medium to long-term investment value [1] - Investment recommendations include focusing on three main themes: opportunities in the western development initiative, cyclical elasticity opportunities due to increased supply-side disruptions, and acceleration of domestic substitution in new materials [1] Group 2 - The CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index (000813) has shown a slight increase of 0.35%, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Salt Lake Co. (up 4.00%) and Saint Quan Group (up 2.04%) [1] - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index account for 43.54% of the index, with major companies including Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Co. [2]