Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a fluctuating upward trend around the Spring Festival in February 2026, with a focus on the "Technology + Resources" mainline market[3] - Key attention should be given to the earnings reports of US tech stocks and the potential validation of AI industry trends[3] Investment Strategy - Focus on three main lines: - Technology sector, including optical modules, storage, semiconductor equipment, and energy storage, addressing the issues of electricity shortages in the US, chip shortages domestically, and global storage shortages[3] - Non-ferrous metals, with increased volatility expected after January, particularly in industrial metals and chemicals[3] - Hot topics such as robots participating in the Spring Festival Gala and updates on AI large models[3] Recommended Stocks - **Metals**: Shandong Gold (EPS: 1.78, PE: 30.6 in 2026E)[20] - **Chemicals**: Juhua Co. (EPS: 2.51, PE: 15.7 in 2026E)[20] - **New Energy**: Junda Co. (EPS: 1.67, PE: 60.5 in 2026E)[20] - **Machinery**: Dier Laser (EPS: 2.87, PE: 30.6 in 2026E)[20] - **Military Industry**: Aero Engine Corporation (EPS: 0.35, PE: 132.9 in 2026E)[20] - **Non-Banking**: New China Life (EPS: 10.68, PE: 7.8 in 2026E)[20] - **Automotive**: Top Group (EPS: 1.92, PE: 37.7 in 2026E)[20] - **Electronics**: Jingce Electronics (EPS: 1.15, PE: 115.3 in 2026E)[20] - **Communication**: Zhongji Xuchuang (EPS: 17.40, PE: 37.3 in 2026E)[20] - **Media**: Giant Network (EPS: 2.12, PE: 20.8 in 2026E)[20] Risk Factors - Economic recovery may fall short of expectations, leading to slow growth or stagnation due to factors like slow job growth and reduced market demand[22] - Significant changes in individual stock fundamentals could lead to substantial declines in revenue or net profit[22]

新京报贝壳财经讯 2月1日，据Choice数据统计，包括紫金矿业、中金黄金、山东黄金、赤峰黄金、湖 南黄金和西部黄金在内的6家黄金上市公司披露2025年度业绩预告。其中，紫金矿业2025年净利润同比 预增59%-62%；中金黄金Q4净利预计环比增长14%-75%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - As of January 30, 2025, a total of 3,056 A-share listed companies have disclosed their earnings forecasts, with 1,095 companies expecting positive results, indicating a recovery in various industries such as non-ferrous metals, automotive, chemicals, and semiconductors [1][2][7]. Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - 1,095 companies are expected to report positive earnings, with 83 showing slight increases, 374 turning losses into profits, 13 maintaining profitability, and 625 forecasting significant growth [8]. - Among the companies with significant growth, Ningbo Fubang expects a net profit of 50 million to 70 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 3,099.59% to 4,379.43% [1][8]. - 619 companies anticipate a net profit of over 100 million yuan, with 136 expecting over 1 billion yuan, including major firms like Zijin Mining and China Shenhua [2][8]. Group 2: Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals, automotive, chemicals, and semiconductor industries are showing signs of recovery, with leading companies performing particularly well [2][9]. - Companies such as Shandong Gold and Western Gold are forecasting significant profit increases, with Shandong Gold expecting a net profit of 4.6 billion to 4.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56% to 66% [12]. - East China Semiconductor reported that niche memory prices are rising due to supply constraints, positively impacting their business outlook [9]. Group 3: Specific Company Highlights - Zhongji Xuchuang expects a net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 89.5% to 128.17%, driven by strong demand for computing infrastructure [3][10]. - New Yisheng anticipates a net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 231.24% to 248.86% due to increased demand for high-speed products [10]. - Tianfu Communication forecasts a net profit of approximately 1.88 billion to 2.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40% to 60%, benefiting from the growth of the AI industry and global data center construction [11].

Core Viewpoint - The market for gold and silver has experienced significant declines, with spot gold dropping over 4% and spot silver falling more than 5%, indicating a bearish trend in precious metals [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - Spot gold is reported at $5,139.38 per ounce after a daily decline of over 4% [4]. - Spot silver is currently priced at $108.90 per ounce, reflecting a drop of more than 5% [4]. - The A-share market opened lower, with all three major indices declining by over 1%, led by the gold and base metals sectors [4]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Several gold and silver-related stocks have hit the daily limit down, including companies like 盛达资源 (Shengda Resources) and 中金黄金 (Zhongjin Gold), which both saw a 10% drop [4][5]. - Specific stock performances include: - 晓程科技 (Xiaocheng Technology) down 19.92% with a trading volume of 2.289 billion [5]. - 贵研铂业 (Guiyan Platinum) down 10.01% with a trading volume of 1.031 billion [5]. - 山东黄金 (Shandong Gold) down 10% with a trading volume of 3.775 billion [6]. Group 3: Risk Announcements - Multiple companies, including 白银有色 (Baiyin Yese) and 招金黄金 (Zhaojin Gold), issued risk warnings due to the volatility in precious metals prices [6][9]. - The domestic prices of gold jewelry have also seen a decline, with major brands like 周生生 (Chow Sang Sang) and 周大福 (Chow Tai Fook) adjusting their prices [6].

Group 1 - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman by President Trump has sparked hawkish expectations, leading to a significant sell-off in the global precious metals market, with silver dropping over 35% and gold nearly 13% [3][5] - The Federal Reserve's policy framework may see a notable shift if Warsh assumes leadership, as Deutsche Bank suggests a unique combination of "rate cuts and balance sheet reduction" could emerge under his guidance [3] - The U.S. Treasury Department reported a projected decline in national fiscal revenue for 2025, with total revenue expected to be 21.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% year-on-year [4] Group 2 - The World Trade Organization ruled that U.S. clean energy subsidy measures violate WTO rules in the dispute initiated by China regarding the Inflation Reduction Act [4] - The China-UK economic relationship is set to deepen with the signing of four economic cooperation documents, focusing on "Export to China" initiatives and service trade agreements [4] - The Panama Supreme Court ruled that the contract for the operation of ports along the Panama Canal held by CK Hutchison is invalid, prompting a response from the Chinese government to protect its legitimate rights [4] Group 3 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is working to enhance the attractiveness and flexibility of refinancing systems to support the capital market's stable growth [6] - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.96% and significant sell-offs in gold stocks [6] - The CSRC is revising the registration management measures for listed companies to clarify the types of strategic investors and enforce a minimum holding requirement of 5% [6] Group 4 - The regulatory body has issued new guidelines for fund sales and marketing practices, prohibiting collaborations with unqualified internet influencers and requiring the removal of misleading features from fund platforms [7] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission is addressing issues related to the surge in IPO applications expected in 2025, highlighting deficiencies in the preparation of listing documents [8] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is monitoring stocks with abnormal fluctuations and has reported several cases of suspected violations to the CSRC [8]

金饰需求受到挤压 Wind数据显示，截至北京时间1月30日22:00，伦敦现货黄金盘中一度跌超8%，最低触及4941.61美元/盎 司。金价高位跳水引发连锁反应，中国证券报记者在有着"北京水贝"之称的天雅珠宝城走访时发现，市 场观望情绪非常浓厚，成交一夜之间从火热降至冰点。有商家坦言，不光客户观望，很多出售一口价产 品的人也不知道应该如何给折扣，现在是进退两难。 ● 本报记者 董添 市场出现浓厚观望情绪 1月29日、1月30日，中国证券报记者在天雅珠宝城进行走访发现，受国际金价大幅波动影响，市场成交 冰火两重天。 1月29日，COMEX黄金期货盘中一度达到5626.8美元/盎司，盘中巨震，市场销售人员握着手机不时刷 新实时金价。"早上一个价，中午一个价，下午收市又是一个价。很多客户最近几天都在这里蹲点，虽 然成交依旧火热，但受金价高位震荡影响，观望气氛逐渐浓厚起来。"一家从事黄金批发的销售人员告 诉中国证券报记者。 而到了1月30日，记者走访发现，受当日金价大跌影响，成交从火热瞬间降到了冰点。"今天黄金克价比 昨天直接便宜了几十元。之前金价持续上涨时，大家出手都特别果断，而金价下跌后，很多客户反而不 敢下手了 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shandong Gold (600547.SH) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company for the year 2025 to be between 4.6 billion to 4.9 billion yuan, representing an increase of 1.6 billion to 1.9 billion yuan compared to the previous year, which is a year-on-year increase of 56% to 66% [1] Summary by Category - Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 4.6 billion to 4.9 billion yuan for 2025 [1] - This represents an increase of 1.6 billion to 1.9 billion yuan compared to the previous year [1] - The expected year-on-year growth rate is between 56% to 66% [1]

Group 1 - Guangdong Mingzhu expects a net profit increase of 2908.49%-3577.04% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Sainuo Medical anticipates a net profit growth of 2767%-3233% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Lingdian Electric Control forecasts a net profit rise of 640.16%-804.64% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Bojie Co. predicts a net profit increase of 484.16%-618.97% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kexing Pharmaceutical expects a net profit growth of 328.83%-455.89% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Xiangcai Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 266.41%-403.81% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Xinyi Sheng forecasts a net profit rise of 231.24%-248.86% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Tongzhou Electronics predicts a net profit increase of 151.40%-230.42% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhaofeng Co. expects a net profit growth of 136.26%-164.89% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kaige Precision Machinery anticipates a net profit increase of 133.99%-193.55% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Sankeshu forecasts a net profit rise of 128.96%-189.21% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huazi Industrial expects a net profit growth of 128.00%-167.00% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhite New Materials anticipates a net profit increase of 117.11%-171.39% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Ecovacs expects a net profit growth of 110.90%-123.30% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Jingquan Hua forecasts a net profit increase of 109.32%-140.72% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Guoxuan High-Tech anticipates a net profit rise of 107.16%-148.59% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Changjiang Securities expects a net profit growth of 101.37% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Shanwaishan forecasts a net profit increase of 98%-125% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhongji Xuchuang anticipates a net profit rise of 89.50%-128.17% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huachuang Yuxin expects a net profit growth of 86%-175% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kori Technology forecasts a net profit increase of 68.61%-115.25% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Western Gold anticipates a net profit rise of 67.58%-93.21% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Shandong Gold expects a net profit growth of 56%-66% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huaxi Biological anticipates a net profit increase of 54.93%-83.63% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Nairui Radar expects a net profit growth of approximately 54.16% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Lingyun Optical anticipates a net profit rise of approximately 50.75% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhongjin Company expects a net profit increase of 50%-85% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Dongwu Securities forecasts a net profit growth of 45%-55% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Longping High-Tech anticipates a net profit increase of 14.17%-66.86% year-on-year for 2025 [1] Group 2 - Jiangfeng Electronics expects a net profit increase of 7.5%-27.5% year-on-year for 2025 [2]

Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - Han's Laser expects a net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan for 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year [9] - Zhongji Xuchuang anticipates a net profit increase of 89.50% to 128.17% for 2025, projecting profits between 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion yuan [2] - Perfect World forecasts a net profit of 720 million to 760 million yuan for 2025, also reversing previous losses [25] - Yihua Lifestyle expects a net profit of 8 billion to 10 billion yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 1.696 billion yuan in the previous year [21] - Guizhou Mingzhu anticipates a staggering net profit increase of 2908.49% to 3577.04% for 2025, projecting profits between 166 million to 203 million yuan [25] - Kexing Pharmaceutical expects a net profit increase of 328.83% to 455.89% for 2025, projecting profits between 135 million to 175 million yuan [28] Group 2: Capital Raising and Investments - Newray plans to raise no more than 1.316 billion yuan through a private placement for high-performance CNC blade industrial park projects [3] - Liyang Chip intends to raise up to 970 million yuan for integrated circuit testing projects and other initiatives [4] - Kid King plans to invest 3.3 million yuan to establish a joint venture focused on online business model innovation for family consumption [6] Group 3: Industry Developments - Tianqi Lithium's subsidiary has produced its first batch of chemical-grade lithium concentrate as part of its expansion project [5] - Yihua Lithium's subsidiary has signed a framework agreement with Indonesian state-owned enterprises to collaborate on the entire supply chain for electric vehicle batteries [7] - Longyuan Power expects a net profit increase of 51% to 73% for 2025, driven by improved profitability in its core thermal power business and expansion in renewable energy [18]

格隆汇1月30日丨山东黄金(01787.HK)公告，经初步测算，公司预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者 的净利润为人民币46亿元至人民币49亿元，与上年同期相比增加人民币16亿元到人民币19亿元，同比增 加56%到66%。预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为人民币48亿元 至人民币51亿元，与上年同期相比增加人民币18亿元到人民币21亿元，同比增加60%到71%。 2025年，公司统筹优化生产布局，实现生产效率与资源利用、项目建设协同提升，同时叠加黄金价格上 行因素，利润同比增加。同时，公司坚持稳中有进、行稳致远，统筹把握长远可持续发展与当前业绩关 系，抓住金价高企有利时机，进一步夯实发展根基，积蓄发展动能。加大井巷开拓工程等生产性投入， 持强化矿山深部及周边探矿，科学提升在建矿山建设进度；合理调整矿山边际品位，充分利用低品位矿 石资源；推进矿山采掘外委施工逐步转为自营，加大智能化投入，建强产业工人队伍，提升本质安全水 平。上述一系列措施有利于推动本公司更加长远、健康、可持续发展，为本公司"十五五"期间高质量发 展奠定坚实基础。 ...