Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongtai Securities maintains an "overweight" rating for Mingyuan Cloud, forecasting revenue and net profit for 2025-2027, while highlighting the company's resilience in the face of a declining real estate market [1] Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 606 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.9%, primarily due to the ongoing downturn in the downstream real estate and construction sectors [1] - The customer relationship management product line generated 383 million yuan in revenue, down 13.1% year-on-year, with the main product, Cloud Customer, achieving 377 million yuan, a decline of 5.1%, indicating some resilience [1] - The company increased its investment in AI-related products, with the Cloud Customer AI product signing contracts worth approximately 32 million yuan in H1 2025, surpassing the total for the entire year of 2024 [1] Cost Management and Profitability - The company has implemented lean operations to reduce costs and improve efficiency, particularly through the use of AI tools in customer service and R&D [2] - In H1 2025, sales, management, and R&D expenses were 317 million, 61 million, and 205 million yuan, respectively, showing year-on-year decreases of 22.2%, 56.5%, and 19.4% [2] - These efforts led to a net profit of 13.75 million yuan in H1 2025, with an adjusted net profit of 33.12 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [2] Business Outlook - For H2 2025, the company plans to focus on core products and key clients in the domestic market to enhance profitability, while reducing reliance on residential developers [3] - The company aims to increase investment in overseas markets, particularly in the Middle East and Europe, and establish localized teams to accelerate internationalization [3] - There will be a push for innovation in AI and SaaS products, with a focus on integrating AI technology into real estate business scenarios and exploring usage-based business models [3] - The company will continue to optimize resource allocation and talent management to enhance operational efficiency [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongtai Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Mingyuan Cloud (00909), forecasting revenue for 2025-2027 to be 1.318 billion, 1.271 billion, and 1.266 billion yuan respectively, with net profit attributable to the parent company at 18 million, 30 million, and 44 million yuan respectively [1] Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 606 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 15.9%, primarily due to the ongoing downturn in the downstream real estate and construction industries [1] - The customer relationship management product line generated revenue of 383 million yuan in H1 2025, down 13.1% year-on-year, with the main product, Cloud Customer, achieving revenue of 377 million yuan, a smaller decline of 5.1% [1] - The average customer unit price for Cloud Customer in H1 2025 was 37,700 yuan per unit, reflecting a 2.4% increase year-on-year, driven by increased procurement of AI-related products [1] Cost Control and Profitability - The company has implemented lean operations to reduce costs and improve efficiency, particularly through the use of AI tools in customer service and R&D [2] - In H1 2025, sales, management, and R&D expenses were 317 million, 61 million, and 205 million yuan respectively, showing year-on-year decreases of 22.2%, 56.5%, and 19.4% [2] - The effective control of expenses and improved operational efficiency led to a net profit attributable to the parent company of 13.75 million yuan in H1 2025, with adjusted net profit at 33.12 million yuan, both reflecting a turnaround from losses [2] Business Outlook - For H2 2025, the company plans to focus on core products and key clients in the domestic market to enhance profitability, while reducing reliance on residential developers [3] - The company aims to increase investment in overseas markets, particularly in the Middle East and Europe, and establish localized teams to accelerate international expansion [3] - The strategy includes accelerating AI and SaaS product innovation, prioritizing the integration of AI technology with real estate business scenarios, and exploring usage-based business models [3] - The company will continue to optimize resource and talent allocation to enhance operational efficiency, applying AI tools across all functions [3]

Group 1 - Chinese brokerage stocks collectively declined, with Zhongzhou Securities down 4.81% to HKD 2.57, China Merchants Securities down 4.47% to HKD 15.82, Everbright Securities down 3.91% to HKD 10.33, and CITIC Securities down 3.75% to HKD 12.85 [1] - According to Zhongtai Securities, the market has fully priced in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations, leading to a decline in investor sentiment and a temporary cooling of risk appetite [1] - Guotai Junan Securities noted that the non-bank sector has underperformed the index in the past month, but this is mainly due to trading factors, with the non-bank fundamentals continuing to improve [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley reported that the average daily trading volume (ADT) in the A-share market remains high, increasing confidence in the annual ADT forecast, raising the 2025 ADT prediction by 53% to RMB 1.53 trillion [1] - The forecast for ADT growth for 2026 and 2027 is expected to maintain an annual increase of 5% to 6% [1] - As a result, the average earnings forecast for covered Chinese brokerages for 2025, 2026, and 2027 has been raised by 25%, 23%, and 20% respectively [1]

Report Information - Report Title: Credit Business Weekly: What's the Impact of the Fed's Interest Rate Cut on A-Shares? - Report Date: September 22, 2025 - Research Institute: Zhongtai Securities Research Institute - Analysts: Xu Chi, Zhang Wenyu [1] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The short - term A - share market is in a volatile adjustment phase, but the medium - term trend remains upward. The Fourth Plenary Session in October may clarify the strategic position of technological innovation and new - quality productivity, strengthening the market's fundamental repair expectations. The easing of Sino - US relations can repair market risk appetite, and the Fed's interest rate cut may boost the stock market in the medium term [6]. - The current market volatility is a short - term adjustment, and investors can take advantage of the adjustment to make structural allocations in the directions of technological innovation, domestic demand and the "anti - involution" theme, and sectors benefiting from the easing of Sino - US relations [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Observation Impact of Sino - US Easing and Fed's Interest Rate Cut on A - Shares' Medium - Term Trend - Last week, the A - share market was volatile. The Fed's interest rate cut and the weak performance of the brokerage sector were the main influencing factors. The brokerage index fell 3.55% last week and has retraced 9.63% from its August 25 high [6]. - Despite short - term volatility, the medium - term trend of the A - share market remains positive. The upcoming Fourth Plenary Session in October may bring policy support, and the easing of Sino - US relations can improve market sentiment. The Fed's interest rate cut may have a positive impact on the stock market in the medium term [6]. View on the Recent Uptrend of A - Share Technology Sector - Last week, the capital situation remained loose. There was a "high - to - low" rotation of funds. The two - margin balance continued to grow, and the net reduction of shareholder holdings decreased, alleviating market supply pressure [7]. Investment Advice - Investors can make structural allocations during the market adjustment: focus on the technology innovation main line such as consumer electronics, robots, and games; pay attention to domestic demand and "anti - involution" themes including high - growth industries in the Growth Enterprise Market and sectors benefiting from infrastructure and manufacturing repair; consider sectors benefiting from the easing of Sino - US relations like Hang Seng Tech Index constituents, leading innovative drug companies, and the brokerage sector [8]. Market Review Market Performance - Most major market indices rose last week, with the ChiNext 50 having the largest increase of 2.84%. Among major industries, the optional consumption and information technology indices performed well, while the financial and daily consumption indices performed poorly. Among the 30 Shenwan primary industries, 13 industries rose, with coal, power equipment, and electronics having larger increases, and banking, non - ferrous metals, and non - bank finance having larger declines [9][17][19]. Trading Heat - The average daily trading volume of the Wind All - A Index last week was 25178.46 billion yuan, up from the previous value of 23264.15 billion yuan, at a very high historical level (96.70% of the three - year historical quantile) [22]. Valuation Tracking - As of September 19, 2025, the PE_TTM of the Wind All - A Index was 22.10, down 0.15 from last week, at the 89.70% quantile of the past five - year history. Thirteen out of 30 Shenwan primary industries saw valuation (PE_TTM) repairs [27]. Weekly Global Economic Calendar - Domestic economic data: On September 22, the People's Bank of China will release the 1 - year Loan Prime Rate (LPR). - Overseas economic data: On September 23, the US Markit Composite PMI will be released; on September 24, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will speak and the US M2 money supply data will be released; on September 26, Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision Michael Barr will speak and the Atlanta Fed will release its GDPNow economic growth forecast [29].

智通财经APP获悉，中泰证券发布研报称，近期，主产区超产核查影响料持续，且国庆节前煤矿存主动 减产预期，长短期供给收缩预期均强化。库存端，据铁路部门消息，大秦线秋季集中检修将于10月7日 展开，为期20天。一旦检修开始，随着运量的下降，预计秦皇岛港煤炭库存也将跟随减少，使得港口场 存中的优质、可流通的市场煤资源更为紧张。本周港口煤价明显反弹，重新站上700元/吨，展望9月下 旬与10月上旬，预计在"弱平衡"格局下港口资源结构性紧缺情况将主导煤价稳中有升。 中泰证券主要观点如下： 主产区严查煤矿超产，或对后续煤矿产能释放产生持续影响。近期，内蒙古自治区能源局对全区299处 生产煤矿进行核查，发现2024年-2025年6月共有93处煤矿存在超公告产能生产问题，超产比例达31%， 其中鄂尔多斯市问题尤为突出，共有82处煤矿超产。2025年1—6月单月超产10%以上的15处煤矿(均位 于鄂尔多斯市)已被责令停产整改，并将由专家核查后续生产安排，全面整改合格后方可恢复生产。屡 次超产的煤矿将面临从严处罚，自治区内相关盟市需建立动态监管机制，严格落实产能公告制度，从源 头防范超能力生产行为，确保煤矿安全生产秩序。 国庆节 ...

Core Insights - The stock of Beijing Compass Technology Development Co., Ltd. increased by 5.02% on September 22, reaching a price of 161.10 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 6.12 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 6.47%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 97.973 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Beijing Compass Technology Development Co., Ltd. was established on April 28, 2001, and went public on November 18, 2019. The company primarily provides financial data analysis and securities investment consulting services through a securities tool software terminal and an internet platform. The revenue composition is as follows: financial information services account for 97.98%, advertising business for 1.99%, and leasing for 0.02% [1] Fund Holdings - According to data from fund holdings, one fund under Zhongtai Securities Asset Management has a significant position in Compass. The Zhongtai CSI 500 Index Enhanced A (008112) held 5,945 shares in the second quarter, representing 0.81% of the fund's net value, making it the seventh-largest holding. The estimated floating profit for today is approximately 45,800 CNY [2] Fund Performance - The Zhongtai CSI 500 Index Enhanced A (008112) was established on December 11, 2019, with a latest scale of 18.9286 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 22.77%, ranking 2,226 out of 4,222 in its category; the one-year return is 51.39%, ranking 1,908 out of 3,813; and since inception, the return is 55.19% [2] Fund Management - The fund manager of Zhongtai CSI 500 Index Enhanced A (008112) is Zou Wei, who has been in the position for 5 years and 288 days. The total asset size of the fund is 1.368 billion CNY, with the best return during his tenure being 64.28% and the worst return being -7.4% [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Jian Sheng Group's stock price dropped by 5.04% to 9.80 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 113 million CNY and a turnover rate of 3.31%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 3.358 billion CNY [1] - Jian Sheng Group, established on December 6, 1993, and listed on January 27, 2015, is located in Xiaoshan Economic Development Zone, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province. The company specializes in the production of knitted sports apparel [1] - The revenue composition of Jian Sheng Group includes knitted sports cotton socks (60.61%), seamless sports apparel (22.97%), knitted casual cotton socks (11.02%), seamless casual apparel (2.71%), homewear and others (1.50%), and other supplementary items (1.19%) [1] Group 2 - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Jian Sheng Group, a fund under Zhongtai Securities Asset Management holds 9.6299 million shares, unchanged from the previous period, representing 2.73% of the circulating shares. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 5.0076 million CNY [2] - Zhongtai Xingyuan Flexible Allocation Mixed A (006567), established on December 5, 2018, has a latest scale of 4.645 billion CNY. Year-to-date return is 6.81%, ranking 6351 out of 8244 in its category; the one-year return is 26.56%, ranking 5433 out of 8066; and since inception, the return is 183.22% [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of Zhongtai Xingyuan Flexible Allocation Mixed A (006567) is Jiang Cheng, who has a cumulative tenure of 11 years and 49 days. The total asset scale of the fund is 12.606 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 183.22% and the worst being -4.4% [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China International Cargo Airlines (国货航) is actively engaging with investors to discuss its fleet, route network, utilization rates, the impact of China-US trade relations, market capitalization management, and dividend plans [1][2]. Group 2 - As of June 2025, the company operates a fleet of 25 cargo aircraft, including 13 B777, 5 A330, and 3 B747, focusing on long-haul markets in Europe and the US, with 25 operational routes [1][2]. - The average daily utilization of cargo aircraft from January to June 2025 is approximately 13.29 hours, showing a significant improvement compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. - The current China-US trade relations are in a "pause" phase, with ongoing negotiations, and the company is monitoring policy changes while expanding its route network under a "dual circulation" strategy [2]. - The company is focusing on its core business and implementing a "passenger and cargo" strategy to enhance communication with investors and explore market capitalization management tools [2]. - A shareholder return plan has been established, considering both corporate development and investor returns, with specific profit distribution details to be announced [2].

Group 1 - The bond market risks have not been resolved, and there is still room for adjustment within the year, with an upper limit potentially exceeding 1.8% [1] - Market expectations regarding monetary policy provide some support at key levels, but these expectations can eventually lead to either a positive or negative outcome [1] - The trend of "strong stocks and weak bonds" remains unchanged despite overseas interest rate cuts [1] Group 2 - The equity market is currently in a phase of risk appetite increase, and overseas interest rate cuts may provide emotional support [1] - Institutional reallocation between equity and bond assets continues, making it easier for bond rates to rise but harder for them to fall [1] - Recent rebounds in domestic commodities driven by policy expectation speculation may face a phase of correction [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the world has experienced a prolonged period of relative peace since the end of World War II, leading to significant population and economic growth, but also highlights the substantial costs associated with this growth, including rising inequality and increasing public debt [1] Economic Growth and Population - Since 1945, the global population has increased from 2.5 billion to 8.1 billion, indicating a substantial demographic expansion [1] - Economic growth has outpaced population growth, but this has come at a significant cost [1] Costs of Economic Growth - The article outlines several negative consequences of economic growth, including: - Widening wealth disparity - Environmental pollution - Intensified economic conflicts between nations - Domestic debt crises [1] Debt Dependency - Major global economies are increasingly reliant on debt for growth, with the rate of debt increase surpassing economic growth rates [1] - The macro leverage ratio is continuously rising, indicating a growing dependency on borrowing [1] Recommendations for Debt Management - The article suggests several measures to address the rising public debt: - Increase transparency regarding debt levels - Make hidden debts visible - Utilize larger-scale local special bonds to replace hidden debts - Encourage local governments to obtain long-term low-interest loans from policy banks and state-owned banks to replace hidden debts [1] - It also recommends that central banks implement significant interest rate cuts and modify laws to allow central banks to purchase government bonds, thereby increasing the proportion of government bonds in central bank assets [1]