中信证券股份有限公司 关于中国海洋石油有限公司 首次公开发行部分限售股上市流通的核查意见 中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"保荐人"）作为中国海洋石油有限公司 （以下简称"中国海油"或"公司"）首次公开发行人民币普通股（A 股）股票 并上市的持续督导保荐机构，根据《中华人民共和国证券法》《证券发行上市保 荐业务管理办法》《上海证券交易所股票上市规则》《上海证券交易所上市公司自 律监管指引第 11 号——持续督导》等有关法律法规和规范性文件的要求，对中 国海油首次公开发行战略配售股份上市流通事宜进行了审慎核查，核查情况及意 见如下： 一、本次限售股上市类型 经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于核准中国海洋石油有限公司首次公开发行 股票的批复》（证监许可〔2022〕632 号）核准并经上海证券交易所（以下简称 "上交所"）同意，中国海油公开发行人民币普通股（A 股）股票（以下简称"首 次公开发行"或"本次发行"）2,600,000,000 股（超额配售选择权行使前），并于 2022 年 4 月 21 日在上交所上市交易。 2022 年 5 月 20 日，本次发行超额配售选择权行使期届满，公司在初始发行 2,600,000 ...

智通财经4月14日电，南向资金今日净买入57.80亿港元。其中，中国海洋石油、华虹半导体分别合计获 净买入约2.86亿港元、1.91亿港元；腾讯控股遭净卖出约1.35亿港元。 南向资金今日净买入约58亿港元 中国海洋石油获净买入居前 ...

资料显示，该指数系列样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月第二个星期五的 下一交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个 定期调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对该指数系列样本进行临时调整。当样本退市 时，将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理，参照计算与维护细则处 理。当中证沪港深互联互通综合指数和中证沪港深500指数样本发生变动时，将进行相应调整。 从指数持仓来看，中证沪港深互联互通上游指数十大权重分别为：紫金矿业（8.21%）、中国海洋石油 （7.92%）、中国神华（3.64%）、中国石油股份（3.06%）、中国神华（2.85%）、紫金矿业 （2.72%）、中国石油化工股份（2.55%）、中国石油（2.49%）、中国石化（2.36%）、陕西煤业 （2.15%）。 从中证沪港深互联互通上游指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比50.31%、香港证券交易所 占比27.39%、深圳证券交易所占比22.29%。 从中证沪港深互联互通上游指数持仓样本的行业来看，石油与天然气占比22.99%、工业金属占比 18.8 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the wind and solar sectors, including the commencement of China's first large-capacity floating wind turbine project and the termination of a major solar component procurement by China Power Construction [6][7]. - The Australian government's plan to subsidize home energy storage systems is expected to reduce initial costs for consumers and drive installation growth [7]. Summary by Sections Wind Power - The commencement of the 16MW floating wind turbine project by Three Gorges marks a significant milestone in China's offshore wind technology, addressing high costs through larger turbine capacities [11]. - The wind power index fell by 6.67%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.80 percentage points, with a current PE_TTM valuation of approximately 18.89 times [12]. - Key companies to watch include Mingyang Smart Energy, Dongfang Cable, and Yaxing Anchor Chain, as the domestic offshore wind market shows upward momentum [7][16]. Solar Power - China Power Construction's termination of a 51GW solar component procurement reflects the impact of recent adjustments in renewable energy pricing policies, leading to uncertainty in project investment returns [6][7]. - The solar equipment index decreased by 9.56%, with the current PE_TTM valuation around 29.99 times [4]. - Companies of interest include Longi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., as the solar sector faces potential short-term demand weakness post-May 31 [7][16]. Energy Storage & Hydrogen - The Australian Labor Party's proposed AUD 2.3 billion subsidy for home energy storage systems aims to lower costs by 30%, potentially facilitating the installation of over 1 million new batteries by 2030 [7]. - The energy storage index dropped by 9.04%, with a current PE_TTM of 23.9 times, indicating a strong growth outlook for the sector [4]. - Key players in the energy storage market include Sungrow Power Supply and Shuneng Electric, while the hydrogen sector sees interest in companies like Huagong Huaneng and Yihua Tong [7][16].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Asia utilities and energy sector**, highlighting the resilience of companies in this space against US tariffs, particularly in Hong Kong and Mainland China [2][19]. Core Insights - **Hong Kong Utilities**: Companies like CLP (2 HK, Buy) and CKI (1038 HK, Buy) are expected to maintain strong cash flows and shareholder returns due to their regulated business nature and predictable cash flows, despite macroeconomic uncertainties [3][13]. - **Mainland China Utilities**: Gas utilities are noted for their resilience, with companies like China Gas (384 HK, Hold) and BEH (392 HK, Buy) showing less exposure to industrial demand. The impact of US tariffs is minimal, with crude oil and LNG imports from the US accounting for only 2% and 5% of total imports, respectively [4][19]. - **ASEAN and India Utilities**: SCI (SCI SP, Buy) and NTPC (NTPC IN, Hold) are highlighted for their defensive characteristics against trade policies and macroeconomic risks [5][29]. Investment Recommendations - **Preferred Stocks**: The report lists six preferred stocks rated as Buy: CLP, CKI, Yangtze, Longyuan, SCI, and Hanwha Solutions, with no changes to target prices [11]. - **Valuation Metrics**: The report provides detailed valuation metrics for various companies, including target prices and expected upside percentages. For instance, CLP has a target price of HKD78.00, implying a 22.3% upside [35]. Risks and Challenges - **Oil and Gas Sector**: The report notes that the bearish expectations on oil prices could negatively impact earnings for companies like CNOOC (883 HK, Buy) and PetroChina (857 HK, Buy) [30]. - **Trade Policy Impacts**: The solar supply chain is under pressure due to US tariffs, particularly affecting Chinese manufacturers, while Korean suppliers like Hanwha are expected to outperform [6][31]. Additional Insights - **Cash Flow Resilience**: Gas utilities are highlighted for their strong cash flows and ability to maintain dividends, with BEH and CGH noted for their dividend policies [22][23]. - **Market Dynamics**: The report emphasizes that Hong Kong utilities have shown consistent outperformance against market risks, supported by favorable correlations with equity risk premiums and UST yields [3][13]. Conclusion - The Asia utilities and energy sector is positioned defensively against trade risks, with specific companies demonstrating strong fundamentals and cash flow resilience. Investment opportunities are identified in both Hong Kong and Mainland China utilities, as well as in select ASEAN and Indian companies.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, indicating potential for excess returns in certain segments under tariff impacts [4][5]. Core Insights - The petrochemical index has historically underperformed the broader market, but segments like refining and oil services have shown periods of excess returns [5][6]. - As of April 11, 2025, refining margins for major domestic refineries reached 767 CNY/ton, with a significant month-on-month increase of 24.16% [9]. - The report highlights that the current procurement of crude oil in China is primarily from Russia and Middle Eastern countries, limiting the impact on refining costs from U.S. imports [9]. - The oil service sector is expected to continue its upward trend due to domestic requirements for increased reserves and production [11]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices closed at 64.76 USD/barrel on April 11, 2025, reflecting a decrease of 1.25% from the previous week [20]. - The number of active oil rigs in the U.S. decreased to 583, down by 7 rigs week-on-week [30]. Refining Sector - The report notes a recovery in refining profitability, with domestic refining margins improving significantly [9]. - The Singapore refining margin for major products was reported at 9.87 USD/barrel, down by 4.08 USD/barrel from the previous week [9]. Polyester Sector - PTA profitability has increased, with the average price in East China at 4316.25 CNY/ton, down 11.43% week-on-week [9]. - The report suggests that the polyester industry is currently underperforming but may improve as new capacities are expected to taper off in the coming years [9]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong due to favorable competitive dynamics [16]. - It also suggests looking at companies with high dividend yields like China Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil Corporation [16]. - For the ethylene production segment, Satellite Chemical is highlighted as a key player due to favorable supply-demand dynamics [16]. - In the polyester sector, companies like Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials are recommended as they are expected to benefit from tightening supply-demand conditions [16].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the oil and gas sector, specifically for the "Big Three" oil companies [7] Core Insights - The ongoing U.S.-China trade conflict highlights the importance of energy security, with China's reliance on oil imports projected at 72% and natural gas at 43% for 2024 [1][13] - Oil price volatility is exacerbated by geopolitical uncertainties, with Brent and WTI crude oil prices dropping by 13.3% and 13.6% respectively since the beginning of April 2025 [2][18] - The "Big Three" oil companies are expected to show resilience in earnings despite oil price fluctuations, with projected production increases of 1.6%, 1.3%, and 5.9% for China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC respectively in 2025 [3][31] - High dividend payouts and share buybacks are expected to enhance the long-term investment value of the "Big Three" oil companies, with dividend payout ratios of 52%, 69%, and 45% for China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC respectively in 2024 [4][48] Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Overview - The report emphasizes the strategic value of state-owned enterprises in ensuring energy security amid rising import dependence and geopolitical tensions [1][17] Section 2: Oil Price Dynamics - Oil prices are under pressure due to geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production decisions, with the marginal cost for new shale oil wells estimated at $65 per barrel [2][26] Section 3: Company Performance - The "Big Three" oil companies are projected to maintain profitability with net profit increases of 2.0% for China National Petroleum, 11% for CNOOC, and a 24% increase in upstream EBIT for Sinopec [3][31] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the "Big Three" oil companies and their subsidiaries, as well as leading companies in refining and coal chemical sectors, given the favorable long-term outlook [5]

Group 1: Supply Chain Security as a Focus of Great Power Competition - The report highlights that supply chain security has become a focal point in the geopolitical competition, particularly between the U.S. and China, with increased measures to weaken China's advantages in shipping and energy resources [4][7][13]. Group 2: Energy Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Investment Opportunities - The report details the vulnerabilities in the energy supply chain, emphasizing the high import dependency rates for various energy sources, such as crude oil (72%), liquefied natural gas (79%), and nickel (100%) [4][14][27]. - It suggests that the oil and gas sectors, particularly crude oil and liquefied natural gas, are critical areas for short-term investment due to their exposure to supply chain risks [4][14][27]. Group 3: Metal Mineral Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Investment Opportunities - The report outlines the high import dependency for key metals, including iron ore (54%), copper (92.9%), and manganese (98%), indicating a significant reliance on foreign sources [4][43][52]. - It identifies potential investment opportunities in the metal sector, particularly in companies involved in the extraction and processing of these minerals, given the ongoing demand and supply chain challenges [4][43][52].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the oil processing industry Core Insights - The report highlights a downward adjustment in the 2025 crude oil inventory forecast by EIA, indicating a more cautious outlook on supply and demand dynamics in the oil market [1][20] Summary by Sections Crude Oil Price Overview - As of April 9, 2025, Brent crude, WTI, Russian ESPO, and Russian Urals prices were $65.48, $62.35, $56.53, and $65.49 per barrel respectively, with month-to-date changes of -5.48% for Brent and -5.57% for WTI [7][8] Crude Oil Inventory - As of April 4, 2025, total U.S. crude oil inventory was 83,905.5 million barrels, with a month-on-month increase of 824.4 million barrels [14][19] - IEA, EIA, and OPEC predict global crude oil inventory changes for 2025 to be +57.52, +3.11, and -138.23 thousand barrels per day respectively, with an average forecast change of -25.87 thousand barrels per day [20] Crude Oil Supply - The 2025 global crude oil supply forecasts by IEA, EIA, and OPEC are 10,448.69, 10,416.72, and 10,381.77 million barrels per day respectively, reflecting increases from 2024 [26] - For Q1 2025, the predicted year-on-year supply increments are +150.86, +120.55, and +144.82 thousand barrels per day from IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively [26] Crude Oil Demand - The 2025 global crude oil demand forecasts by IEA, EIA, and OPEC are 10,391.17, 10,413.61, and 10,520.00 million barrels per day respectively, with year-on-year increases from 2024 [20] - For Q1 2025, the predicted year-on-year demand increments are +123.54, +188.93, and +144.24 thousand barrels per day from IEA, EIA, and OPEC respectively [20] Related Listed Companies - The report mentions several related companies including China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [1][2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry, specifically for the "Three Barrel Oil" companies [5]. Core Insights - The "Three Barrel Oil" companies (China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC) have announced share buyback plans by their major shareholders, reflecting confidence in their future development and the long-term investment value of the capital market [1]. - Despite recent oil price declines due to OPEC+ production increases and tariffs, the "Three Barrel Oil" companies have demonstrated operational resilience, with China National Petroleum and CNOOC showing profit growth, while Sinopec faced a decline in net profit due to refining sector challenges [2]. - The report anticipates continued growth in oil and gas equivalent production for 2025, with China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC expected to increase their production by 1.6%, 1.3%, and 5.9% respectively [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Oil and Petrochemicals - The report highlights the recent price movements in the oil market, with Brent and WTI crude oil prices dropping by 17.3% and 18.1% respectively since the beginning of April [2]. - The upstream segment of the "Three Barrel Oil" companies is expected to maintain cost advantages and enhance production capacity, with CNOOC's main cost per barrel projected to decrease by 1.1% in 2024 [2]. 2. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued, high-dividend, and well-performing companies within the "Three Barrel Oil" sector, including China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC, as well as oil service companies [4]. - It also recommends monitoring domestic material companies benefiting from the trend of domestic substitution, such as Jingrui Electric Materials and Tongcheng New Materials [4]. 3. Product Price Trends - The report provides a detailed overview of product prices in the energy and chemical sectors, noting fluctuations in various commodities, including a slight increase in domestic coking coal prices and a decline in liquefied gas prices [3][10][15].