Core Viewpoint - The heavy truck industry is closely linked to macroeconomic trends, replacement demand, and subsidy/elimination policies, with a projected sales volume of around 1.1 million units by 2026, supported by natural scrappage demand from National IV and V standards [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Heavy trucks are primarily used in logistics and engineering applications, with sales fluctuations highly correlated to macroeconomic conditions [1] - The natural scrappage and replacement demand for National IV and V trucks is expected to support a domestic sales scale of approximately 700,000 units by 2026 [1] Group 2: Future Projections - By 2027-2028, National V trucks will become the main models for scrappage, with a substantial existing fleet of over 4 million units supporting a continued upward trend in domestic sales [1] - Export potential remains significant, with the market space for exports reaching nearly 700,000 units, indicating further growth opportunities for the industry [1]

Group 1 - The best-performing asset globally last year was precious metals, particularly silver, with significant fluctuations at year-end due to forced liquidation trading behavior [1][2] - The market is beginning to rethink and discuss the trends of precious metals for 2026, with expectations that gold prices may be weaker than in 2025, while copper is anticipated to perform well [1][2] Group 2 - The surge in gold prices in 2025 is fundamentally linked to the pricing of a significant geopolitical event, specifically the U.S. overturning WTO rules, which has started to undermine the credibility of the dollar [2] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and tariff disputes are seen as a means rather than an end, with the real focus shifting towards technological sovereignty and supply security [2][3] Group 3 - In 2026, the expectation is for a capital expenditure expansion driven by AI, which is crucial for U.S. growth, asset stability, and liquidity, potentially stabilizing the dollar above 90 [3] - There are two scenarios for 2026 regarding AI capital expenditure: one where it continues, leading to adjustments in gold prices, and another where it fails, potentially triggering another surge in gold prices [3]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is leading the global "physical AI" industry transformation, with humanoid robots as a core pillar, sharing technology foundations with smart driving, initiating a "data-algorithm-hardware" closed-loop iteration [3][31] Weekly Events - Tesla's Optimus V3 is expected to be released in Q1 2026, with clear plans for Gen3 mass production and continuous development of core technologies like FSD end-to-end models and self-developed AI chips [4][32] - On December 29, 2025, UBTECH announced that its founder and CEO Zhou Jian committed to not selling his 70.57435 million H shares for 12 months to stabilize the company's equity structure and support the goal of 10,000 units of industrial humanoid robots by 2026 [4][32] - On December 31, Zhiyuan Robotics launched its first robot artist group at Hunan TV's New Year's Eve concert, showcasing the commercial value of humanoid robots in entertainment scenarios [4][32] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology established a standardization committee for humanoid robots and embodied intelligence, aiming to release the first 10 industry standards by the end of 2026 [5][33] - On January 4, JD Logistics completed its first humanoid robot delivery service after the implementation of national subsidy policies, marking the entry of humanoid robots into consumer logistics [5][34] Industry Trends - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing a rebound, driven by multiple catalysts, including Tesla's increased shipment expectations and the rapid integration of domestic manufacturers [10][39] - The humanoid robot sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 44% as of December 31, with significant gains in control systems (+123%), Tier 1 suppliers (+122%), and lightweight components (+104%) [44] - The supply chain for humanoid robots is entering a rapid development phase, with companies like Zhenyu Technology and Lingyi Intelligent Manufacturing actively expanding their business [20][49] - The humanoid robot industry is witnessing continuous financing activity, with companies like Galaxy General and Langyi Robotics securing significant funding [22]

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, a total of 332 companies successfully listed on the New Third Board, with 184 in the basic tier and 148 in the innovative tier [1]. Group 1: Main Underwriters' Performance - A total of 56 securities firms provided sponsorship services for the 332 companies listed on the New Third Board in 2025 [2]. - The top three underwriters were: - First: Kaiyuan Securities with 24 deals - Second: Guolian Minsheng with 23 deals - Third: CITIC Securities with 22 deals [3][5]. Group 2: Law Firms' Performance - In 2025, 65 law firms provided legal services for the 332 companies listed on the New Third Board [7]. - The top three law firms were: - First: Shanghai Jintiancheng with 46 deals - Second: Beijing Zhonglun with 30 deals - Third: Beijing Deheng with 27 deals [8][9]. Group 3: Accounting Firms' Performance - A total of 33 accounting firms provided auditing services for the 332 companies listed on the New Third Board in 2025 [13]. - The top three accounting firms were: - First: Lixin with 54 deals - Second: Rongcheng with 52 deals - Second: Tianjian with 52 deals [13][14].

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中信建投証券股份有限公司 (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） 呈交日期: 2026年1月6日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601066 | 說明 | | A 股 (上海證券交易所) | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 6,495,671,035 | | 0 | | 6,495,671,035 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | | 6,495,671,035 | | 0 | | 6,495,671 ...

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中信建投証券股份有限公司 (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） 呈交日期: 2026年1月6日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06066 | 說明 | H股 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,261,023,762 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 1,261,023,762 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,261,023,762 | RMB | | 1 | RM ...

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.14% to 4069.38 points, reaching a new high in over 10 years [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.81% to 13940.24 points, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.04% to 3293.18 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 178.13 billion yuan, with over 3600 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The leading sectors included brain-computer interfaces, chemical engineering, non-ferrous metals, insurance, securities, semiconductors, and photovoltaic equipment [2][3] - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a significant increase of 4.05%, while non-bank financials and oil & petrochemicals rose by 3.27% and 2.95%, respectively [3] - The brain-computer interface sector experienced a surge, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [3] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities anticipates a strengthening spring market, recommending investments in growth sectors such as electric equipment and renewable energy, as well as domestic demand improvement themes [4] - CITIC Securities suggests that the cross-year market will exhibit characteristics of "growth leading and liquor accumulating," with a focus on sectors like snacks and dairy [5] - Guoxin Securities predicts that 2026 will be a significant year for the market, supported by favorable macro policies and improving corporate earnings [6] Emerging Opportunities - Guoxin Securities highlights the potential for 2026 to be the year of reusable commercial rockets, driven by the need for cost-effective launch solutions [7] - Tianfeng Securities expresses optimism about the growth potential in high-end consumer sectors such as cosmetics, gold jewelry, and duty-free shopping [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) are becoming a key part of China's 14th Five-Year Plan, with strong policy support expected to accelerate industry implementation, presenting significant investment opportunities [1] - BCIs represent both medical and technological investments, with short-term applications focused on disease treatment and long-term potential to integrate with AI and robotics, potentially opening up a trillion-dollar market [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying "true brain machines" that align with national policy support and real demand, highlighting China's relative global leadership in BCI technology research [1] Group 2 - From a global perspective, China's pharmaceutical industry is characterized by "innovation upgrades and supply chain resilience," with significant overseas licensing of innovative drugs expected to surpass last year's total by Q3 2025 [2] - The report outlines a focus on high-quality development in the domestic market, emphasizing policy initiatives such as procurement optimization and diversified payment systems, alongside the commercialization of innovative drugs and the safety of supply chains [3] - The report suggests that the Chinese pharmaceutical industry is gradually gaining global competitiveness, with a long-term outlook for the industry to produce large global companies, particularly in innovative drugs and medical devices [5] Group 3 - The investment outlook for 2026 remains positive, with expectations of improved global liquidity favoring the pricing of innovative assets and government policies encouraging industry innovation [5] - Key sectors to watch include innovative drugs and medical devices, with specific companies highlighted such as Heng Rui Medicine, Innovent Biologics, and Mindray Medical [5] - The report indicates a need for investors to be aware of the challenges associated with international expansion, emphasizing the importance of assessing the international competitiveness of companies' products and teams [5]

Core Insights - The era of low interest rates in Japan is coming to an end as the belief in Japanese government bonds is being challenged due to rising inflation [1][3][5] - The underlying cause of this inflation is structural, stemming from Japan's manufacturing hollowing, declining birth rates, and prolonged low interest rates and currency depreciation [1][4][13] Group 1: End of Low Interest Rates - Japan's low interest rates have been a narrative for nearly 30 years, attributed to the aftermath of the real estate bubble burst [3] - In 2022, Japan experienced inflation exceeding 3%, marking a significant departure from its historical low inflation rates [4][5] - This inflation is sustained in a context where global oil prices have declined, indicating a shift from previous patterns of temporary inflation spikes [4][5] Group 2: Factors Behind the Current Inflation - Japan's inflation is influenced by external factors, particularly high inflation abroad, as Japan is sensitive to imported inflation due to its reliance on imports for basic resources [6][7] - The long-term undervaluation of the yen has amplified imported inflation, with a 10% depreciation of the yen estimated to increase the CPI by approximately 0.8 percentage points over eight quarters [9][10] - The initiation of a wage-price spiral is a key factor in the current inflation, driven by labor market imbalances and increased demand in the service sector [11][12] Group 3: Historical Context and Structural Changes - The reasons for Japan's previous low inflation and interest rates are now contributing to the current inflationary pressures, including the hollowing out of industries and a demographic shift towards an aging population [13][14][19] - Japan's shift towards globalization post-2001 has led to a reliance on imports, exacerbating its sensitivity to input inflation [15][16] - The prolonged low interest rate policies and quantitative easing have created a scenario where the weak yen has become a catalyst for current inflation [17][18]

Group 1 - Hong Kong brokerage stocks experienced a rapid increase on January 6, with Guotai Junan International rising over 10% [1] - Zhongzhou Securities saw an increase of over 6% [1] - Other firms such as China International Capital Corporation, China Galaxy Securities, and CITIC Securities rose by more than 3% [1]