Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expectations for the industry index to outperform the benchmark index [3][11]. Core Insights - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to stabilize thermal coal prices, while coking coal is anticipated to contribute to elastic growth due to recent price adjustments and market dynamics [2][6]. - The coal supply-demand situation has been generally relaxed this year, with prices declining and some coal mines exceeding their announced production capacities, prompting regulatory actions to ensure orderly supply [1][2]. - The recent price increases in the coking market, following a series of price hikes, indicate a recovery in market sentiment and potential for further price rebounds in the future [6][7]. Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - The price of thermal coal has been under pressure, with the Qinhuangdao Shanxi Q5500 mixed coal price dropping to 610 RMB/ton in the first half of 2025, leading to some coal mines operating at a loss [2]. - The "anti-involution" policy aims to regulate production and stabilize prices, with expectations that the second quarter of 2025 may represent a bottom for the coal industry [2][6]. Coking Coal - Coking coal prices have seen significant declines, with prices dropping from 1950 RMB/ton in October 2024 to 1250 RMB/ton by June 2025, marking an eight-year low [6]. - Recent price increases in the coking market, including a 50 RMB/ton rise following the first round of price hikes, suggest a recovery in market conditions and potential for further growth [6][7]. Key Companies to Watch - For thermal coal, recommended companies include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, China Coal Energy, Yanzhou Coal Mining, Xinji Energy, and Jinkong Coal Industry [6]. - For coking coal, recommended companies include Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Environmental Energy, Pingdingshan Coal, and Huaibei Mining [6].

Core Points - The FTSE China A50 Index saw strong performance in banking and insurance sectors, while the oil industry experienced declines [1] Banking Sector - Everbright Bank has a market capitalization of 239.89 billion with a trading volume of 537 million, closing at 4.06, up by 0.01 (0.25%) [4] - Major banks like China Life and Ping An also showed slight increases in their stock prices [4] Insurance Sector - China Life has a market capitalization of 436.19 billion, with a trading volume of 890 million, closing at 58.21, up by 0.02 (0.05%) [4] - Ping An and China Pacific Insurance also reported minor gains in their stock prices [4] Alcohol Industry - Kweichow Moutai leads with a market capitalization of 1,782.55 billion, trading at 1,419.00, down by 0.71 (-0.40%) [4] - Other notable companies like Shanxi Fenjiu and Wuliangye showed mixed performance [4] Oil Industry - Sinopec has a market capitalization of 685.04 billion, closing at 8.47, down by 0.04 (-0.70%) [4] - China National Petroleum Corporation also experienced a decline in stock price [4] Automotive Sector - BYD has a market capitalization of 956.21 billion, closing at 104.88, down by 0.92 (-0.87%) [5] - The sector is facing challenges despite its significant market presence [5] Technology Sector - Major tech companies like CATL and Industrial Fulian reported strong trading volumes, with CATL closing at 266.48, up by 0.08 (0.40%) [5] - The semiconductor industry is also showing growth potential [5] Consumer Electronics - Companies like Luxshare Precision and Industrial Fulian are experiencing fluctuations in stock prices, with Luxshare closing at 36.24, down by 0.40 (-1.09%) [5] - The sector remains competitive with ongoing innovations [5] Pharmaceutical Sector - Hengrui Medicine has a market capitalization of 235.11 billion, closing at 45.91, up by 0.69 (1.13%) [5] - The pharmaceutical industry continues to attract investment due to its growth prospects [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Viewpoints - The recent decline in coal prices, influenced by the cooling of "anti-involution" measures, does not signify the end of the coal equity market. The report suggests that the bottom for coal equities has been established, and valuations are expected to continue to recover, particularly for companies like Yanzhou Coal Mining and China Coal Energy, which have growth potential and improving balance sheets [2][7][9]. Summary by Sections Weekly Tracking Summary - The coal index (Yangtze River) fell by 4.54%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.79 percentage points. The decline in coal prices is attributed to a divergence between sentiment and reality, with thermal coal prices at 663 RMB/ton, up 10 RMB/ton week-on-week, and coking coal prices stable at 1680 RMB/ton [6][16]. Supply and Demand Situation - As of July 31, the daily coal consumption in 25 provinces was 607.8 million tons, an increase of 8.1% week-on-week. The total coal inventory was 122.48 million tons, down 1.2% week-on-week, with a usable days supply of 20.2 days, a decrease of 1.9 days [17][33]. Price Trends - The report notes that the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port is 663 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 10 RMB/ton. Coking coal prices remain stable at 1680 RMB/ton, while the price of metallurgical coke has increased by 50 RMB/ton to 1430 RMB/ton [16][42]. Company Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: 1. Elastic stocks: Yanzhou Coal Mining (A+H), Lu'an Environmental Energy, Pingmei Shenma Energy, Huainan Mining, Jin Coal International 2. Long-term stable profit leaders: China Coal Energy (A+H), China Shenhua Energy (A+H), Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry 3. Transitioning growth: Electric Power Investment Energy [9][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, indicating a bullish sentiment for thermal coal prices during the peak summer season, while also projecting a rebound in coking coal prices due to tightening supply and strong demand [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that thermal coal prices have increased, with specific prices reported for different grades at Qinhuangdao port, showing a week-on-week rise of 12, 13, and 10 CNY per ton for Q4500, Q5000, and Q5500 grades respectively [1]. - Supply constraints are noted due to reduced daily inflow to the Bohai Rim ports and production limitations in open-pit mines caused by rainfall in northern regions [1]. - The report emphasizes that during the "peak summer" period, thermal coal prices are expected to continue rising, while coking coal prices are also projected to rebound due to high steel mill profits and stable iron output [1]. Summary by Sections Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - The National Energy Administration has initiated inspections of coal production in key provinces to ensure compliance with production capacities [7]. - The Daqin Railway is reported to be transporting an average of 1.05 million tons of coal daily to meet summer electricity demand [7]. Thermal and Coking Coal Prices - Thermal coal prices have shown an upward trend, with specific increases reported for various grades across different regions [8]. - Coking coal prices have also increased, with notable price rises in Shanxi and stable prices in other regions [11]. International Oil Prices - Brent crude oil prices have risen by 1.23 USD per barrel, reflecting a 1.8% increase [14]. Bohai Rim Port Inventory - The average daily inflow of coal to the Bohai Rim ports has decreased, while the outflow has increased, leading to a significant drop in coal inventory [18]. Domestic Coastal Freight Rates - Domestic coastal freight rates have increased, with an average of 35.51 CNY per ton reported [25]. Key Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, providing insights into their stock prices, market capitalization, and earnings projections [29].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - Shenhua plans to acquire group assets, and coal prices are expected to rise in August. Domestic power plants maintain daily coal consumption, leading to continued price increases. The coal association has advocated for controlling production and improving quality, while the Central Financial Committee emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity. The coking coal sector may see marginal improvements in performance due to environmental factors affecting capacity utilization, with supply and demand gradually balancing in the second half of the year [6][42]. Summary by Sections Coal Market Performance - The coal sector declined, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.81 percentage points, with a drop of 4.56% as of August 1, 2025. Among 37 stocks, Chengzhi Co. had the smallest decline at 0.89% [2]. - Key monitored enterprises reported an average daily coal sales volume of 6.64 million tons from July 25 to July 31, 2025, a week-on-week decrease of 6.9% but a year-on-year increase of 0.1%. The total coal inventory was 28.87 million tons, down 5.5% week-on-week and up 15.1% year-on-year [2]. Price Trends - As of August 1, 2025, the price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 665 CNY/ton, up 0.15% week-on-week. The price of imported thermal coal was 763 CNY/ton, up 0.13% week-on-week. Prices at various ports, including Qinhuangdao and Huanghua, also saw increases [3]. - For coking coal, the main coking coal price at Jingtang Port was stable at 1,650 CNY/ton, while prices for metallurgical coke increased by 3.4% for first-grade and 3.94% for second-grade [4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The cumulative coal sales volume for key monitored enterprises was 146.43 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.3%. Power and chemical industries saw coal consumption changes of -2.7% and +16.9% respectively [2][41]. - The chemical industry’s total coal consumption was reported at 21.39 million tons as of August 1, 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.9% [41]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies and turnaround coking coal companies. Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company for thermal coal, and Huabei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal for coking coal [6][42].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is the early stage of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, driven by both fundamental and policy factors, making it an opportune time to invest in the coal sector during price corrections [11][12] - The supply side is tightening due to a decrease in coal mine capacity utilization rates, while demand is increasing, particularly in inland provinces [11][12] - The coal price has established a new support level, and high-quality coal companies are characterized by strong profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE), and dividends [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of August 2, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 655 CNY/ton, up 10 CNY/ton week-on-week [3][28] - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port remains stable at 1650 CNY/ton [30] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 90.9%, down 3.1 percentage points week-on-week [11][45] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces increased by 44.4 thousand tons/day (+13.05%) [11][46] - The daily coal consumption in coastal provinces rose by 1.0 thousand tons/day (+0.45%) [11][46] Inventory Situation - As of July 31, coal inventory in inland provinces decreased by 1.20% week-on-week, while daily consumption increased [46] - Coastal provinces saw a 1.08% decrease in coal inventory week-on-week [46] Company Performance - The coal sector is characterized by high performance, cash flow, and dividends, with a focus on companies like China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Energy, and others [12][13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the near term [6]. Core Insights - Significant decrease in port coal inventories and sustained increase in thermal coal prices during the peak season. The average closing price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (5500 kcal weekly average) increased by 9 CNY/ton (+1.36%) this week, marking six consecutive weeks of upward movement. Port coal inventory at Qinhuangdao is now at 5.22 million tons, down 10.77% week-on-week, returning to normal levels for this time of year, suggesting a tightening supply-demand situation [1][2]. - The coal supply-demand structure is expected to continue improving due to policies aimed at reducing overproduction, which may support further price increases for port coal [1]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - The average closing price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port is 658 CNY/ton, up 9 CNY/ton (+1.36%) week-on-week. The average price of mixed thermal coal in Yulin, Shaanxi (5800 kcal) is 510 CNY/ton, up 23 CNY/ton (+4.72%) [2]. Inventory Levels - As of August 1, coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port is 5.22 million tons, down 10.77% week-on-week, and up 1.36% year-on-year. The inventory at the Bohai Rim ports is 24.73 million tons, down 8.22% week-on-week, and up 0.64% year-on-year [4]. Production and Utilization Rates - The operating rate of 110 sample coal washing plants is 61.5%, down 0.8 percentage points week-on-week and down 5.1 percentage points year-on-year, remaining at a five-year low. The capacity utilization rate of 247 blast furnaces is 90.24%, down 0.57 percentage points week-on-week, but up 1.37 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that recent policies aimed at reducing overproduction and the peak season for coal may lead to significant improvements in coal price expectations. It recommends stocks such as China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, with a particular focus on coking coal stocks like Lu'an Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal [4].

Investment Rating - The coal industry is rated as "stronger than the market" [7] Core Views - The coal prices have shown a continuous upward trend due to increased daily consumption and reduced inventory as the peak season approaches [5] - The global coal shipment volume to China reached 5.524 million tons, an increase of 1.096 million tons, while the coal arrival volume was 6.376 million tons, up by 1.31 million tons year-on-year [5] - The coal supply elasticity is limited due to strict capacity control under carbon neutrality policies and increasing mining difficulties, leading to a potential new normal of underproduction [5] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The coal index dropped by 4.67%, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 2.92 percentage points [15] - Year-to-date, the coal index has decreased by 10.35%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index has increased by 3.05% [15] 2. Thermal Coal 2.1 Key Indicators Overview - As of August 1, the Qinhuangdao 5500K thermal coal price was 663 CNY/ton, up by 1.5% week-on-week [3][30] - The average daily output of 462 sample mines was 5.474 million tons, down by 3.32% week-on-week [42] 2.2 Annual Long-term Price - The long-term price for Qinhuangdao thermal coal (Q5500) was 668 CNY/ton, a month-on-month increase of 0.3% [28] 2.3 Spot Prices - The domestic price for Qinhuangdao 5500K thermal coal increased by 10 CNY/ton week-on-week [30] - The price for Inner Mongolia's 5500K coal rose by 25.5 CNY/ton, while Shanxi's price increased by 32 CNY/ton [30] 2.4 Supply and Demand 2.4.1 Supply - The operating rate of coal mines in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia was 80.2%, down by 1.3 percentage points week-on-week [40] - The average daily output of thermal coal from 462 sample mines decreased by 3.32% week-on-week [42] 2.4.2 Demand - The daily consumption of the six major power plants increased slightly to 87.7 million tons, up by 0.63% week-on-week [46] - The inventory of these power plants decreased to 1,394.3 million tons, down by 0.26% week-on-week [46] 2.4.3 Inventory Management - The total inventory index for thermal coal was 192 points, down by 1.8% week-on-week [56] - The inventory at Qinhuangdao port dropped significantly to 535 million tons, down by 8.23% week-on-week [66] 3. Coking Coal 3.1 Key Indicators Overview - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port remained stable at 1,680 CNY/ton [80] - The average daily output of coking coal from 523 sample mines was 77.7 million tons [80] 3.2 Spot Prices - The price for Shanxi's coking coal increased by 30 CNY/ton week-on-week, while prices in Henan and Anhui remained unchanged [81]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious recommendation for Lu'an Huanneng and a recommendation for Jin Control Coal Industry, Huayang Co., Shanxi Coal International, Shaanxi Coal Industry, China Shenhua, and Zhongmei Energy [3][11]. Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates that the price of thermal coal will rebound to the "8" range due to dual support from supply and demand, with a price center expected to maintain around 700 yuan/ton in the second half of the year [2][7]. - The report highlights a significant increase in electricity demand, with total power generation growth reaching 8.57% year-on-year, and thermal power growth at 5.48% [2][7]. - The report notes that the supply side is tightening due to production checks and adverse weather conditions, leading to a structural shortage of coal [2][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The report indicates that thermal coal prices are on an upward trend, driven by supply constraints and increased electricity demand [2][7]. - It mentions that the daily coal consumption of power plants has risen to over 6 million tons, with further upward potential [2][7]. 2. Market Performance - The coal sector experienced a weekly decline of 4.6%, underperforming compared to the broader market indices [12][14]. - The report details the performance of various coal companies, with Jin Control Coal Industry experiencing the largest decline of 11.94% [17][20]. 3. Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the tightening supply in the coal market, with significant drops in railway shipments and port inventories [2][9]. - It highlights the expected recovery in production capacity in mid-August, which may influence price dynamics [2][7]. 4. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with high spot market elasticity, stable performance, and growth potential, such as Lu'an Huanneng, Jin Control Coal Industry, and others [3][11].

Group 1 - The stock price of Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225) closed at 20.01 yuan on August 1, 2025, down 0.69% with a turnover rate of 0.31% and a trading volume of 296,600 hands, amounting to 595 million yuan [1] - The latest financial report for Shaanxi Coal Industry shows total operating revenue of 40.162 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.805 billion yuan, down 1.23% year-on-year [1] - The company has a current ratio of 1.083, a quick ratio of 0.993, and a debt-to-asset ratio of 41.80% [1] Group 2 - Shaanxi Coal Industry has made investments in 44 companies and participated in 75 bidding projects [2] - The company holds 21 trademark registrations and 29 patents, along with 3 administrative licenses [2]