格隆汇8月19日｜东吴证券研报指出，南华期货2025年上半年公司实现营业总收入11.01亿元，同 比-58.3%；归母净利润2.31亿元，同比+0.5%。公司营收降幅较大，主要系公司对若干交易业务采用净 额法确认收入，但该项变动对公司净利润不产生影响。公司投资净收益（投资收益+公允价值变动收 益）同比+571%至0.84亿元，主要系风险管理业务期货平仓损益增加。截至2025H1，公司境内期货经纪 业务客户权益为273.47亿元，同比+6.1%。境外业务收入占比超50%，截至25H1，公司境外经纪业务客 户权益总规模同比+32.25%至177.68亿港元。南华期货凭借国际化战略先发优势打造差异化竞争力，尤 其在境外清算方面拥有显著优势。公司有望持续兑现发展潜力，维持"增持"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gilead Sciences (1672.HK) reported a successful progress in its pipeline for the first half of 2025, leading to an increased probability of successful product launches and an upgraded target price to HKD 29.26, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Gilead Sciences achieved a revenue of HKD 1.08 million, primarily from R&D services; R&D expenses were HKD 146 million, a year-on-year increase of 10.9%, with effective cost control measures in place [2] - As of the end of the first half of 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of HKD 1.58 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 361.9%, providing strong support for future pipeline development [2] Pipeline Progress and Catalysts - The core small molecule GLP-1 pipeline, ASC30, shows a 4-week weight loss rate of 6.5% in Phase I clinical trials in the U.S., outperforming Eli Lilly's oral GLP-1 (Orforglipron) while maintaining comparable safety, with Phase IIa trials expected to report top-line data in Q4 2025 [3] - ASC47, a new THR-β target pipeline for fat loss and muscle gain, has completed dosing in a Phase I trial in the U.S. with results expected in Q4 2025; it shows potential for synergistic effects when used with semaglutide [3] - ASC50, an oral small molecule IL-17 inhibitor targeting psoriasis, has shown promising preclinical data and began Phase I trials in the U.S. in June 2025, with top-line data expected by the end of 2025 [4] - The first-in-class oral small molecule FASN inhibitor, denifanstat, is expected to submit for market approval in China in 2026, potentially becoming a significant revenue driver for the company [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Dongwu Securities has revised Gilead Sciences' revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 0.02 billion, HKD 0.64 billion, and HKD 2.03 billion respectively, with net losses projected at HKD 4.18 billion, HKD 3.96 billion, and HKD 3.58 billion for the same period [5]

Core Viewpoint - The number of brokerages applying for fund custody licenses has significantly decreased from seven to one due to heightened regulatory entry requirements, leading to a wave of withdrawals from applications [1][2][4][7]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has raised the entry thresholds for fund custody qualifications, particularly increasing the net asset requirements for commercial banks to 500 billion and for securities companies to 300 billion [8][9]. - The new regulations also require institutions to have a regulatory rating of at least level 2 or A class over the past three years, along with substantial operational capabilities [8][9]. Group 2: Withdrawal of Applications - As of August 15, only Dongwu Securities remains in the queue for fund custody qualifications, while six other brokerages have withdrawn their applications due to inability to meet the new requirements [3][4][5]. - The withdrawal trend began in July, with institutions receiving regulatory guidance to retract their applications [1][5]. Group 3: Current Landscape - Currently, there are 68 institutions with fund custody qualifications, including 36 banks and 30 brokerages, indicating that most small and medium-sized brokerages still lack custody licenses [5][11]. - The majority of fund custody business is concentrated among a few large institutions, with national commercial banks and a few large securities firms managing 80% to 90% of public and private securities investment funds [11].

Core Insights - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights that Rockchip experienced significant revenue growth in H1 2025, with enhanced profitability and a strong AIoT ecosystem [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Rockchip's revenue showed high growth in the first half of 2025, indicating a robust financial performance [1] - The company's profitability has significantly improved, reflecting effective operational strategies [1] Group 2: Product Development and Market Position - The AIoT market continues to grow steadily, with flagship products RK3588 and newer RK3576 leading the market [1] - Rockchip launched its first edge computing co-processor RK182X, which supports LLM and VLM deployments ranging from 3 billion to 7 billion parameters, expanding its AI application boundaries [1] - The company is advancing the development of mid-range products like RK3572, RV1103C, and RK3538 to meet diverse computing needs [1] - Plans are underway to establish flagship RK3688 and sub-flagship RK3668 products, aiming to set industry benchmarks through advanced processes and differentiated positioning [1] Group 3: Competitive Advantage and Market Strategy - As a leading player in the domestic SoC industry, Rockchip's competitive advantages are evident, with the flagship RK3588 leading multiple AIoT product lines [1] - The company's market share in downstream sectors is steadily increasing, positioning it well to capture market opportunities in emerging smart applications such as automotive electronics, robotics, and machine vision [1] - The strategic layout focuses on leveraging high-performance chips to seize market opportunities and explore new growth points [1]

东吴证券8月19日发布研报称，给予蔚蓝锂芯（002245.SZ，最新价：18.49元）买入评级，目标价格为 26元。评级理由主要包括：1）中报业绩符合市场预期；2）Q2出货近1.8亿颗，环增30%，单颗盈利升 至0.6元；3）新领域布局放量在即，推出半固态圆柱新品；4）LED业务盈利亮眼，金属物流保持稳 健；5）25年Q2费用率环比下滑，经营现金流同比转正。风险提示：下游需求不及预期，原材料价格波 动，市场竞争加剧。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that Huayou Cobalt's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 reached 2.71 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 62.3%, with the second quarter net profit at 1.46 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27% and a year-on-year increase of 16.5% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Huayou Cobalt's net profit contributions from Huayue and Huafei totaled 1.26 billion yuan [1] - The cost of MHP nickel is reported at 12,000 USD per ton, while the average nickel price in Q2 was 15,500 USD per ton, leading to an estimated profit of 3,500 USD per ton [1] - The company is expected to contribute 3 to 3.5 billion yuan in nickel profits for the year 2025 [1] Market Outlook - Nickel prices are currently at a low point, suggesting significant price elasticity in the future [1] - The increase in cobalt prices since Q2 is expected to enhance performance, with a potential second wave of price increases in the latter half of the year [1] - The shipment of ternary cathodes saw a substantial quarter-on-quarter increase, with an annual growth forecast of over 90% [1] Valuation - Given the current nickel price situation, the company is assigned a target price of 53 yuan based on a 15x PE ratio for the year 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Dongwei Securities report indicates that Zhongwei Co., Ltd. experienced a decline in net profit attributable to shareholders in H1 2025, amounting to 730 million yuan, a decrease of 15.2% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 430 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decline of 12% and a year-on-year decline of 38% [1] - The company's output of nickel, cobalt, phosphorus, and sodium products reached 188,000 tons in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 34% [1] - The expected output for ternary precursors and four-cobalt products for the full year is around 230,000 tons, indicating a year-on-year growth of 15% [1] Group 2: Profitability and Market Position - The company is projected to achieve a profit contribution of 1.3 to 1.4 billion yuan from a single-ton profit of 6,000 yuan per ton [1] - In Q2, nickel prices further declined, while the cost of fire-smelting ore increased, leading to a forecast of marginal profits from metal nickel, with an expected contribution of 200 to 300 million yuan for the year [1] - As the largest precursor manufacturer in China, the company is expected to maintain a rising self-supply rate of nickel, with a target price of 46 yuan based on a 25x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

东吴证券股份有限公司曾朵红,阮巧燕,朱家佟近期对蔚蓝锂芯（002245）进行研究并发布了研究报告 《2025年中报点评：三大主业业绩亮眼，新方向进展可期》，上调蔚蓝锂芯目标价至26.0元，给予买入评 级。 蔚蓝锂芯 投资要点 中报业绩符合市场预期。公司25年H1营收37亿元，同增22%，归母净利3.3亿元，同增99%，扣非净利3.6 亿元，同增187%；其中25年Q2营收20亿元，同环比+22%/+16%，归母净利1.9亿元，同环比+98%/+35%， 扣非净利2.1亿元，同环比+175%/+41%，毛利率21.1%，同环比+5.5/+0.7pct，归母净利率9.6%，同环比 +3.7/+1.4pct。 Q2出货近1.8亿颗，环增30%，单颗盈利升至0.6元。传统锂电方面，25年H1营收16.0亿元，同增44%，对 应出货超2亿颗，同增20%，其中Q2出货1.7-1.8亿颗，同环比+75%/+30%，我们预计全年出货7亿颗，同增 60%。盈利方面，锂电25年H1毛利率21.6%，同增6.5pct，Q1单颗盈利0.4元，Q2单颗盈利0.6元，环增50- 60%，表现超市场预期，系产品涨价+稼动率提升，随着马来工 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global AI server market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 27.2% from 2022 to 2029, with significant market size projections for 2025 and 2027 [1][4]. Market Dynamics - The shift in performance bottlenecks in the inference era is moving from "computing power" to "transport capacity," necessitating a transition from Scale-Out to Scale-Up network architectures to reduce communication latency and enhance throughput [1][2]. - The internal switch chips in AI servers can be categorized into CPU-GPU connections and GPU-GPU interconnections, which are crucial for high bandwidth and low latency communication within GPU clusters [2]. Competitive Landscape - The AI inference market is diversifying with various acceleration chips, moving away from NVIDIA's dominance, as open standards like PCIe6/7 and UALink create opportunities for third-party interconnect vendors [3]. - Astera Lab is emerging as a key player in the non-NVIDIA ecosystem, actively participating in AMD's UALink and AWS's Trainium NeuronLink, positioning itself for growth alongside AI infrastructure expansion [3]. Market Size Projections - The AI server market is projected to reach approximately 49.139 billion yuan by 2025 and expand to about 102.223 billion yuan by 2027, driven by increasing demand for GPU interconnect switches and CPU-GPU interconnect switches [4]. Investment Recommendations - Companies such as 盛科通信-U (688702.SH) and 海光信息 (688041.SH) are highlighted for their advancements in high-spec Ethernet switch chips and Chiplet interconnect technologies, respectively, with 澜起科技 (688008.SH) also recommended for its PCIe and CXL products [5].

Group 1 - The market previously worried that with the weakening momentum of "export grabbing," China's exports might face significant downward pressure in the second half of the year, with a risk of a substantial decline in the fourth quarter. The expected annual export growth rate was only around 3%. However, it is believed that due to the resilient economic growth in emerging markets like ASEAN and Africa, as well as improvements in China-Europe trade amid uncertainties in US tariffs, China's exports are likely to continue exceeding expectations in the second half of the year. The projected export growth rates for Q3 and Q4 are 5.9% and 1.0%, respectively, leading to an expected annual growth rate of 4.6%, which is about 1.6 percentage points higher than market expectations, potentially boosting GDP growth by approximately 0.3 percentage points [1][12][14] - The high growth of exports to emerging markets is not solely driven by "export grabbing." The new tariff framework has seen limited adjustments in major transshipment regions, including ASEAN, with most rates still lower than the tariffs imposed on China. Additionally, the actual demand from emerging markets has been a significant driver of high export growth. The manufacturing PMI of emerging markets (excluding China) has consistently been above that of developed countries, indicating stronger demand in regions like ASEAN and Africa [2][12][10] - The uncertainty surrounding US tariffs may continue to support improvements in China-Europe trade. The high growth of exports to the EU this year is partly due to the easing of trade relations between China and the EU amid US-EU trade frictions. Despite existing differences in various economic and trade issues, the EU is unlikely to worsen its economic ties with China, allowing for continued resilience in exports to the EU in the second half of the year [3][13] Group 2 - The US's dual approach of loose monetary and fiscal policies is expected to maintain external demand resilience next year. The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates by 150 basis points to around 3% by the end of next year, with a consensus on the continuation of the easing cycle. The new Federal Reserve chair, nominated by Trump, may implement even looser policies in the second half of 2026, further stimulating total demand in the US economy [4][14] - The "Great Beautiful Act" is projected to have a significant positive impact on the US economy over the next 1-3 years. The act is expected to increase US economic output by 1.21% over the next 30 years compared to previous baseline expectations. The act's implementation is characterized by an initial phase of fiscal expansion followed by monetary tightening, which will positively affect the output gap in the US economy during the early years [5][17]