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东吴证券:维持锅圈(02517)“买入”评级 再次回购股份彰显信心
智通财经网· 2025-09-26 05:52
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of Dongwu Securities maintains the previous profit forecast for Guoquan (02517), expecting revenue from 2025 to 2027 to be 7.29/8.39/9.55 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of +13%/+15%/+14% and net profit attributable to shareholders to be 420/500/580 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of +81%/+19%/+17% [1] - The company has announced multiple share buybacks, which not only enhance shareholder returns but also demonstrate the company's confidence [1] - The company has completed two of the three announced buybacks since 2024, with a total buyback amount not exceeding 100 million Hong Kong dollars, and has also prioritized cash dividends, distributing 200 million yuan at the end of 2024 and 190 million yuan in mid-2025 [1] Group 2 - The company opened 250 new stores in the first half of 2025, with a net increase of 270 stores in rural areas, aligning with the consumption trend in lower-tier markets [2] - The company has a first-mover advantage and scale advantage in the rural market, where competition is currently insufficient, and the feedback from grassroots research indicates strong willingness from franchisees [2] - The company plans to add 1,000 new stores this year, and the expectations for store openings in Q4 are anticipated to be met [2] Group 3 - The company's same-store revenue has maintained positive growth year-to-date, and loss-making stores have significantly turned profitable, validating the positive trend in store operations [3] - The core operating profit margin reached 5.9% in the first half of 2025, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was also 5.9%, up by 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The current valuation for 2025 is below 20 times earnings, and the company continues to be a key recommendation [3]
东吴证券:维持锅圈“买入”评级 再次回购股份彰显信心
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 05:51
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of Dongwu Securities maintains the previous profit forecast for Guoquan (02517), expecting revenue for 2025-2027 to be 7.29/8.39/9.55 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of +13%/+15%/+14% and net profit attributable to shareholders to be 420/500/580 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of +81%/+19%/+17%, corresponding to PE ratios of 19/16/14X, and maintains a "Buy" rating [1] - The company has announced multiple share buybacks, which not only enhance shareholder returns but also demonstrate the company's confidence [1] - The company has completed two of the three announced buybacks since 2024, with a total buyback amount not exceeding 100 million Hong Kong dollars, and has also prioritized shareholder returns with cash dividends of 200 million yuan at the end of 2024 and 190 million yuan in mid-2025 [1] Group 2 - The company opened 250 new stores in the first half of 2025, with a net increase of 270 stores in rural areas, aligning with the consumption trend in lower-tier markets [2] - The company has a first-mover advantage and scale advantage in the rural market, where competition on the supply side is insufficient, providing diverse and cost-effective products to rural consumers [2] - Based on grassroots research feedback, the company is expected to successfully achieve its plan of adding 1,000 new stores this year, with expectations for a strong performance in the Q4 peak season [2] Group 3 - The company's same-store revenue has maintained positive growth year-to-date, and loss-making stores have turned profitable, validating the positive trend in store operations [3] - The company's core operating profit margin reached 5.9% in the first half of 2025, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was also 5.9%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The current valuation for 2025 is below 20 times earnings, and the company continues to be a key recommendation [3]
东吴证券:独储高质量需求爆发且持续 利好系统一体化集成厂商
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 03:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates a significant rise in independent energy storage in China, with improved economic viability and a clear increase in demand, alongside sustained high demand for large-scale storage in Europe and emerging markets [1] - The transition from mandatory energy storage to independent energy storage in China is expected to enhance the revenue model for storage projects, with local governments introducing capacity price compensation policies [1] - The report anticipates that the domestic energy storage demand forecast will be revised upwards, with a projected installation of 149 GWh in 2025 and 194 GWh in 2026, driven by strong demand in regions like Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia [2] Group 2 - The supply of energy storage cells is expected to remain tight until the second half of 2026, with a global demand forecast of 521 GWh in 2025 and 710 GWh in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60% and 36% respectively [2] - The report highlights that the independent energy storage model is replacing the traditional capacity storage model, leading to higher quality requirements for storage batteries and systems, which is likely to concentrate the competitive landscape [2] - The emergence of integrated system providers and the rise of construction and operation models are expected to benefit companies with technological and resource advantages in the energy storage sector [2]
债市逆风期的机构应对与变化:——央行报表及债券托管量观察
Huachuang Securities· 2025-09-25 14:42
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report analyzes the bond market in August 2025 from multiple perspectives, including the central bank's balance sheet and custody volume, institutional leverage, institutional behavior by type, and bond types. It presents the latest trends in central bank monetary policy and institutional investment strategies, and predicts short - term investment opportunities and risks in the bond market [8]. - In the short term, due to the approaching of the end - of - September to early - October period to achieve the annual 5% growth target, with the implementation of growth - stabilizing policies and cross - quarter capital fluctuations, institutional sentiment remains cautious, and there may be redemption disturbances. The remaining issuance quota of bonds is relatively low, indicating that there is still room for fiscal stimulus [7][9]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 August Central Bank Balance Sheet and Custody Volume Interpretation - **Balance Sheet Changes**: In August 2025, the central bank's balance sheet size increased from 45.9 trillion yuan to 46.3 trillion yuan. On the asset side, the main increase was in "claims on other depository corporations", and the main decrease was in "claims on other financial corporations". On the liability side, the main increase was in "government deposits", and the main decrease was in "deposits of other depository corporations" [14]. - **Impact on Custody Volume**: The net investment of the central bank's innovative tools in August was 2608 billion yuan, which was close to the monthly increase of 2754 billion yuan in the "ChinaBond - Other" (central bank) account. The main incremental bond types were local government bonds and policy - bank bonds [32]. 3.2 Leverage Ratio - In August, the overall capital market was stable, but the bond market was in a head - wind period. The average monthly leverage ratio dropped to 107.4%. The stock - bond seesaw effect continued to suppress the bond market performance, and institutional leverage willingness weakened. The average monthly trading volume of pledged repurchase remained at 7.6 trillion yuan [37]. 3.3 By Institution Type - **Banks**: Large banks reduced their allocation of 7 - 15y local government bonds and extended the maturity of their Treasury bond purchases. Rural commercial banks' entry - point expectations rose, and their secondary - market trading demand weakened [52][54]. - **Insurance**: Since August, under the influence of "rush to stop sales", insurance companies have increased their bond purchases at high prices, mainly increasing their holdings of local government bonds and Treasury bonds [67]. - **General Funds**: In August, the custody volume of general funds decreased again this year, mainly reducing their holdings of certificates of deposit and commercial bank financial bonds. Fund redemptions occurred repeatedly, while bank wealth management's bond allocation was in line with the seasonal level [76][80][84]. - **Foreign Investors**: The decline in the comprehensive return of foreign investors' investment in certificates of deposit narrowed, and the net outflow speed slowed down. They mainly reduced their holdings of certificates of deposit, Treasury bonds, and policy - bank bonds [93]. 3.4 By Bond Type - In August, the incremental increase in the bond market's custody volume decreased month - on - month. Interest - rate bonds were the main supporting factor, with increments of 8261 billion yuan, 5172 billion yuan, and 4616 billion yuan for Treasury bonds, local government bonds, and policy - bank bonds respectively. Certificates of deposit were the main reduction item, with a reduction of 3556 billion yuan [94].
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持卓胜微“买入”评级,看好公司作为行业领军者未来的增长潜力
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-25 06:26
Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights the growth potential of L-PAMiD's domestic supply chain and performance iteration, which is expected to drive new growth opportunities for Zhaosheng Microelectronics as it enters mass production delivery [1] Group 1: Product Development - Zhaosheng Microelectronics' L-PAMiD product has successfully passed validation from several mainstream customers and has entered the mass production delivery phase [1] - L-PAMiD is a flagship product that integrates various RF components, marking the industry's first series of products with a fully domestic supply chain [1] - The product is currently being delivered in small batches to some customers, with expectations to ramp up production in the second half of the year, potentially opening new growth avenues for the company [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - The utilization rate of the 6/12 inch production line has improved, and cost optimization is expected to enhance profitability, stabilizing and recovering the gross margin for Zhaosheng Microelectronics [1] - Due to a seasonal decline in overall market demand for RF front-end chips, the company's revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 have been revised down to 4.599 billion and 5.450 billion yuan respectively, from previous estimates of 5.775 billion and 6.694 billion yuan [1] - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 have also been reduced to 303 million and 723 million yuan, down from earlier projections of 1.007 billion and 1.349 billion yuan, with a new revenue forecast of 6.349 billion yuan for 2027 and a net profit forecast of 1.117 billion yuan for the same year [1] Group 3: Market Position - The company is viewed as a leader in the industry, with strong growth potential anticipated in the future, leading to a maintained "buy" rating [1]
东吴证券:维持卓胜微“买入”评级,看好公司作为行业领军者未来的增长潜力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:21
Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights the growth potential of L-PAMiD's domestic supply chain and performance iteration, which is expected to drive Zhaosheng Micro's mass production delivery and open new growth opportunities [1] Group 1: Product Development - Zhaosheng Micro's L-PAMiD product has successfully passed validation from several mainstream clients and has entered the mass production delivery phase [1] - L-PAMiD is a flagship product for the company's future revenue growth, integrating various RF components into a front-end module, marking the industry's first fully domestic supply chain series [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The product is currently being delivered in small batches to some clients, with expectations to ramp up production in the second half of the year, potentially creating new growth avenues for the company [1] - The overall market demand for RF front-end chips is currently in a seasonal downturn, leading to a downward revision of the company's revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 to 4.599 billion and 5.450 billion yuan, respectively [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 have been adjusted down to 303 million and 723 million yuan, with a new projection for 2027 net profit set at 1.117 billion yuan [1] - Despite the downward revisions, the company is viewed positively as an industry leader with strong future growth potential, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
东吴证券:AIDC柴发高景气 供不应求下国产替代可期
智通财经网· 2025-09-25 05:50
Core Viewpoint - The breakthrough in AI technology starting in 2024 is expected to accelerate global CSP CAPEX, with significant growth projected for both North America and domestic markets in 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: CSP CAPEX and Market Growth - North America's four major CSPs are projected to have a combined CAPEX of approximately $340 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 49% [2]. - The five major CSPs in China are expected to have a combined CAPEX of about 428 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 69% [2]. - The domestic diesel power generation market is estimated to reach 12.5 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 53%, with a projected market size of 18.2 billion yuan by 2028 and a CAGR of 22% from 2024 to 2028 [1][2]. Group 2: Diesel Power Generation Market Dynamics - The diesel power generation market in China is currently dominated by foreign and joint venture companies, which account for 83% of the market, while domestic companies hold only 17% [3]. - There is significant potential for domestic companies to replace foreign products, as they have been accumulating technology through joint ventures and acquisitions [3]. - The current global demand for diesel power generation is surging, with foreign manufacturers facing tight delivery schedules, leading to rising prices for diesel power generation products [3]. Group 3: Key Companies and Segments - Key players in the engine segment include Weichai Power (000338.SZ) and Yuchai International (CYD.US) [4]. - In the generator set segment, notable companies are Weichai Heavy Machinery (000880.SZ), KOTAI Power (300153.SZ), and Taihao Technology (600590.SH) [4]. - Suppliers of engine components include Tianrun Industrial (002283.SZ) [4].
国产AI芯片突破提振算力发展信心,500质量成长ETF(560500)涨0.67%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 03:27
据Wind数据显示,截至2025年8月29日,中证500质量成长指数(930939)前十大权重股分别为东吴证券(601555)、华工科技(000988)、恺英网络(002517)、水晶 光电(002273)、恒玄科技(688608)、春风动力(603129)、天山铝业(002532)、长江证券(000783)、顺络电子(002138)、金诚信(603979),前十大权重股合计占比 21.48%。 东方证券表示,国产AI芯片频频取得突破,超节点规模持续提升。我国国产AI芯片和国产交换芯片性能持续提升,商业化进程持续推进。投资者们对我国 AI算力发展的信心亦有望持续提升。 500质量成长ETF(560500),场外联接(联接A:007593;联接C:007594)。 500质量成长ETF紧密跟踪中证500质量成长指数,中证500质量成长指数从中证500指数样本中选取100只盈利能力较高、盈利可持续、现金流量较为充沛且 具备成长性的上市公司证券作为指数样本,为投资者提供多样化的投资标的。 风险提示:本产品由鹏扬基金发行与管理,销售机构不承担产品的投资、兑付和风险管理责任。基金管理人承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理 ...
德林控股(01709)股东将股票由金利丰证券转入东吴证券国际 转仓市值4.79亿港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-25 00:25
德林控股公布,于2025年9月22日,陈宁迪先生、DA Wolf及迅昇连同公司决定合共授出1.2亿股股份, 以奖励及激励集团董事、高级管理层及僱员,其中包括将由陈宁迪先生个人及/或透过DA Wolf 及迅昇 授出的9000万股股份以及根据2025年受限制股份奖励计划授出的3000万股股份。此外,陈宁迪先生及陈 宁迪先生的配偶江女士已自愿承诺自本公告日期起十二个月内不转让及/或出售彼等持有的任何股份, 展现彼等对集团可持续发展的信心及长期承诺。 智通财经APP获悉,香港联交所最新资料显示,9月24日,德林控股(01709)股东将股票由金利丰证券转 入东吴证券国际,转仓市值4.79亿港元,占比8.72%。 ...
专家:推动中长期资金入市,要完善“长钱长投”的制度环境
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 23:50
Core Viewpoint - The need to improve the institutional environment for long-term capital investment in the market is emphasized, focusing on enhancing regulatory inclusiveness for long-term equity investments and facilitating the interaction between pension systems and capital markets [1] Group 1: Institutional Environment - It is suggested to enhance the regulatory inclusiveness for long-term capital equity investments and implement long-cycle assessments to remove barriers for insurance capital entering the market [1] - The development of public equity funds is crucial, with an emphasis on urging fund companies to correct their operational philosophies and improve research and service capabilities [1] Group 2: Product Innovation - There is a call for the creation of more products that meet investor needs, along with optimizing product registration processes and promoting innovation in index-based products [1] Group 3: Risk Management Tools - The proposal includes providing refined hedging tools for long-term capital to support liquidity during periods of significant market volatility, as well as developing derivative markets such as stock index futures and government bond futures [1]