Group 1: Liquidity and Scale of Rare Earth ETF - The liquidity of the Rare Earth ETF managed by Jiashi has a turnover rate of 2.35% and a transaction volume of 201 million yuan [3] - As of September 2, the scale of the Rare Earth ETF reached 8.573 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The latest share count for the Rare Earth ETF is 4.927 billion shares, also a new high since inception, and ranks first among comparable funds [3] Group 2: Fund Inflows and Performance - The Rare Earth ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past 9 days, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 486 million yuan, totaling 2.783 billion yuan [3] - Over the past year, the net value of the Rare Earth ETF has increased by 113.75%, ranking 126th out of 2992 index equity funds, placing it in the top 4.21% [3] - Since its inception, the ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 41.25%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being 4 months and the longest cumulative gain of 83.89% [3] Group 3: Industry Insights and Price Trends - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide is currently 597,200 yuan per ton, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 4.05% [4] - The recent implementation of interim measures marks the official start of supply-side reforms in the rare earth industry [4] - July saw a significant increase in magnetic material exports, with month-on-month and year-on-year growth of 75% and 6% respectively, indicating potential for further recovery in exports [4] Group 4: Key Stocks in the Rare Earth Sector - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Earth Industry Index account for 62.15% of the index, with notable companies including Northern Rare Earth and China Rare Earth [3][6] - Northern Rare Earth has a weight of 13.22% and a price increase of 3.43%, while China Rare Earth has a weight of 5.63% and a price decrease of 2.21% [6] - Investors can also access rare earth investment opportunities through the Jiashi Rare Earth ETF linked fund (011036) [6]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a surge, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut and improving demand, particularly in the rare earth and industrial metals markets [3][4]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The non-ferrous metal leader ETF (159876) saw a price increase of over 1.8% as of September 3, with a trading volume exceeding 12 million yuan within the first 15 minutes of opening [1]. - The ETF attracted significant inflows of 75.6 million yuan over the past two days, reaching a new high of 207 million yuan in total assets as of September 2 [1]. - Key constituent stocks included silver, which hit the daily limit, while Western Gold and Zhongjin Gold rose by 5.81% and 4.79%, respectively [1]. Group 2: Market Trends - The industrial metals sector is benefiting from rising copper prices due to supply constraints, with a projected decrease of 52,500 tons in electrolytic copper production in September [3]. - The lithium market is facing oversupply, but high-cost production is being phased out, which may lead to price recovery [3]. - The overall sentiment in the non-ferrous metals market remains strong, supported by macroeconomic factors and supply disruptions [3]. Group 3: Strategic Insights - The non-ferrous metals sector is positioned for upward price movement due to low valuations and improving market conditions, with a potential "bull market" beginning [3][4]. - The strategic importance of metals like rare earths and lithium is highlighted in the context of global competition and domestic policy shifts aimed at optimizing production factors [4]. - The non-ferrous metal leader ETF provides diversified exposure to various metals, including copper (25.3%), aluminum (14.2%), and rare earths (13.8%), which helps mitigate investment risks [4].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On September 2, a total of 33 target price adjustments were made by brokerages for listed companies, with notable increases in target prices for Zhongcai International, Zhucheng Technology, and Guangyun Technology, reflecting significant potential upside in their respective sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Target Price Increases - Zhongcai International received a target price increase of 43.65%, with a new target price of 13.00 yuan [2]. - Zhucheng Technology's target price was raised by 41.51%, now set at 75.00 yuan [2]. - Guangyun Technology saw a target price increase of 35.72%, with a new target price of 22.00 yuan [2]. Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 35 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on September 2, with notable mentions including Datang Power and China General Nuclear Power, each receiving one recommendation [3]. - Guangyun Technology's rating was upgraded from "Hold" to "Increase" by CITIC Securities [5]. Group 3: Rating Adjustments - One company, Yihua Tong, had its rating downgraded from "Buy" to "Hold" by Changjiang Securities [6]. - The only company receiving a new coverage rating was Chifeng Gold, which was rated "Buy" by CITIC Securities [7].

Group 1 - The report details the changes in the registered capital of China Aluminum Corporation as of August 31, 2025, indicating no increase or decrease in the registered capital, which remains at RMB 13,211,666,110 for both securities 601600 and 02600 [1][2] - The total registered capital at the end of the month is RMB 17,155,632,078, with no changes reported in the issued shares or treasury shares for both securities [1][2] - The number of issued shares for security 601600 remains at 13,211,666,110, and for security 02600, it remains at 3,943,965,968, with no changes in the total issued shares [1][2] Group 2 - The report confirms that there are no changes in the share options, warrants, or convertible bonds related to the issuer's share option plan, indicating stability in the company's equity structure [2] - There are no additional changes reported regarding the issued shares or treasury shares, reinforcing the consistency in the company's capital management [2]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國鋁業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601600 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 13,211,666,110 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 13,211,666, ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國鋁業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601600 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 13,211,666,110 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 13,211,666,110 | II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Fed's September interest rate cut expectation is heating up, and the transition from the traditional off - season to the peak season in the domestic market supports aluminum prices [1]. - The domestic alumina supply - demand is expected to be loose, but the rising cost may limit the downside of prices; the electrolytic aluminum price is expected to be cautiously bullish; the aluminum alloy price is expected to be volatile and bullish [5][7][9]. Summary by Related Catalogs Alumina - **Supply - side Changes**: The construction of China Aluminum's bauxite mine and the start of the bauxite project in Qingzhen may reduce the domestic bauxite production and import in September. The domestic alumina production capacity utilization rate has decreased, and the production may decrease in September. Overseas projects may reduce the domestic alumina import in September [4][21][39]. - **Inventory Changes**: The inventory in ports has decreased, while the total inventory has increased [17][34]. - **Price and Cost**: The bauxite price has increased, pushing up the alumina production cost. The average full - cost of alumina production is about 2890 yuan/ton [21][26]. - **Investment Strategy**: It is recommended that investors wait and see, paying attention to the support level around 2800 - 3000 and the resistance level around 3300 - 3600 [5]. Electrolytic Aluminum - **Supply - side Changes**: Some domestic projects are expected to increase production capacity, but the overall production in September may decrease. Overseas projects may reduce the domestic import in September [6][65][68]. - **Inventory Changes**: The social inventory has increased, the bauxite inventory in ports has increased, and the inventory in LME has increased [51]. - **Price and Cost**: The theoretical weighted average full - cost of domestic electrolytic aluminum is about 16650 yuan/ton [65]. - **Investment Strategy**: It is recommended that investors go long on dips, paying attention to the support and resistance levels of SHFE aluminum and LME aluminum [7]. Aluminum Alloy - **Supply - side Changes**: The production of waste aluminum may increase, and the production of primary and recycled aluminum alloys may increase in September. The import of unforged aluminum alloy may increase [9][80][91]. - **Inventory Changes**: The inventory of recycled aluminum alloy enterprises' raw materials and finished products may increase [91]. - **Price and Cost**: The production of recycled aluminum alloy is close to loss, and the price is expected to be volatile and bullish [9]. - **Investment Strategy**: It is recommended that investors go long on dips for the main contract or short the spread between electrolytic aluminum and aluminum alloy, paying attention to the support and resistance levels [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a stable performance with a mid-term dividend to reward shareholders. For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 116.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.81% [4][6] - The revenue for Q2 2025 was 60.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.87% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.65%. The net profit for Q2 was 3.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.18% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.13% [4] - The performance fluctuations were mainly due to increased profits from the production and sales of primary aluminum and alumina, alongside decreased margins from self-produced coal and reduced profits from trading activities [4] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The revenue from the primary aluminum segment was 75.95 billion yuan (up 11.38% year-on-year), while the alumina segment generated 33.24 billion yuan (up 5.75% year-on-year). Production volumes for metallurgical-grade alumina, electrolytic aluminum, and coal increased by 4.88%, 9.37%, and 3.61% year-on-year, respectively [5] - The average price of alumina in the domestic futures market for H1 2025 was 3,192 yuan/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 8.7%. The price of alumina is expected to stabilize as industry supply pressures ease [5] Dividend Policy - The company has maintained its mid-term dividend policy, planning to distribute a cash dividend of 0.123 yuan per share (before tax) to all shareholders, totaling 2.11 billion yuan (before tax), which accounts for approximately 30% of the company's net profit for the first half of 2025 [6] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 14.84 billion yuan, 15.89 billion yuan, and 16.61 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.08, 8.48, and 8.11 times [7]

Core Viewpoint - China Aluminum (601600) has launched a special action plan for 2025 aimed at enhancing quality and efficiency while returning value to shareholders, aligning with various governmental guidelines and market initiatives [1][2]. Group 1: 2025 Work Goals - The company aims to produce 16.81 million tons of metallurgical-grade alumina, 4.46 million tons of fine alumina, 7.8 million tons of primary aluminum (including alloys), 14.1 million tons of raw coal, and generate 41.2 billion kWh of electricity by 2025 [2]. - The strategic focus includes building a world-class aluminum company through resource mining, technological innovation, advanced materials, and green low-carbon initiatives [2][3]. Group 2: Performance in the First Half of 2025 - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved production of 8.6 million tons of metallurgical-grade alumina, 3.97 million tons of electrolytic aluminum, and 6.61 million tons of coal, representing year-on-year increases of 4.88%, 9.37%, and 3.61% respectively [3]. - The company reported revenue of 116.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 5.12%, and a total profit of 13.2 billion yuan, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 7.1 billion yuan, marking increases of 2.16% and 0.81% respectively [3]. Group 3: Future Work Measures - The company plans to enhance production operations, upgrade management, and drive technological innovation to improve profitability and value creation [4][5]. - Key initiatives include rigorous cost control, project implementation, and optimizing traditional industry structures to support sustainable development [4][5]. Group 4: Enhancing Market Recognition - The company will improve information disclosure to enhance transparency and maintain high-quality communication with investors [5][6]. - Strengthening investor relations through multiple engagement channels and enhancing shareholder returns through cash dividends and share buybacks are also prioritized [5][6]. Group 5: ESG and Value Management - The company aims to lead in green and sustainable development within the aluminum industry by enhancing its ESG governance and performance [6]. - A focus on value management will be established to improve investment value and shareholder returns through various strategic tools [6].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a slight consolidation, with a noticeable trend of "high cutting and low buying" in recent funds, particularly focusing on the solid performance and high valuation of the non-ferrous metal sector during the interim report season [1][3] Group 1: Market Performance - The Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) saw a significant net inflow of over 1 billion yuan in a single day, with four out of the last five days showing net inflows totaling over 1.85 billion yuan [3] - As of the latest data, the Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) has surpassed a scale of 10 billion yuan, with both fund shares and scale reaching new highs since its listing [3] - The Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) experienced a net subscription of 2.9 million shares, translating to a real-time net subscription amount exceeding 37 million yuan [1] Group 2: Price Movements - Silver trading prices have surpassed 40 USD per ounce, marking the highest level since 2011 [5] - On September 1, tungsten concentrate prices surged by 12,000 yuan, reaching 264,000 yuan per ton, with a growth rate of 4.76%, and a cumulative increase of nearly 35% over the past two months [5] - COMEX gold futures rose over 1% on September 1, reaching a peak of 3,552 USD per ounce, setting a new historical high [5] Group 3: Sector Analysis - Analysts indicate that the A-share precious metals and industrial metals sectors are currently in a "high profitability, low valuation" phase, with expectations for valuation increases driven by active capital market trading and the "high cutting and low buying" rotation effect [3] - The non-ferrous sector is experiencing a comprehensive growth across various sub-sectors, with price-driven earnings per share (EPS) and improved sentiment contributing to a dual boost in price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [5] - The Non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted as a leading option for investors looking to capitalize on future opportunities in precious and industrial metals, given its higher copper content and scale [6][10]