Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a record high net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 232 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 54% [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 is projected to yield a net profit of around 130 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of approximately 27% from 102 billion yuan in the first quarter [1]. - The company plans to spin off its overseas gold assets for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which includes eight world-class gold mines located in South America, Central Asia, Africa, and Oceania [2]. - The company is also set to acquire the RG gold mine in Kazakhstan for a consideration of 1.2 billion USD, which is expected to enhance its gold production capacity significantly [3]. Performance Summary - The average spot price of London gold in the first half of 2025 is expected to be 3,090 USD/ounce, a year-on-year increase of 39.5%, while the average LME copper price is projected at 9,445.5 USD/ton, a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [2]. - The company’s copper production for the first half of 2025 is estimated at 570,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and gold production is expected to reach 41 tons, a year-on-year increase of 17% [2]. - The lithium carbonate equivalent production is forecasted to increase by 2,961% year-on-year to 7,315 tons [2]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to 470.6 billion yuan, 546.5 billion yuan, and 622.1 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 47%, 16%, and 14% [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11, 9, and 8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. - The report anticipates a continued upward trend in gold and copper prices due to factors such as central bank purchases and supply-demand dynamics in the copper industry [3].

两融余额持续回升，最新市场两融余额18757.94亿元，连续5个交易日增加，期间杠杆资金大幅加仓哪 些股票？ 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至7月11日，沪深北两融余额为18757.94亿元，较上一交易日增加20.81亿 元，其中融资余额18625.86亿元，较上一日增加20.82亿元。分市场来看，沪市两融余额为9469.95亿 元，较上一日增加20.07亿元，深市两融余额9228.96亿元，较上一日增加1.60亿元。北交所两融余额 59.04亿元，较上一日减少8580.47万元。值得注意的是，这已经是两融余额连续5个交易日持续增加，其 间两融余额合计增加228.68亿元。 分行业看，两融余额连续增加的态势下，申万所属的31个行业中，融资余额增加的共有22个行业，非银 金融行业融资余额增加最多，其间融资余额增加35.37亿元，融资余额增加居前的行业还有有色金属、 计算机等；融资余额减少的行业有食品饮料、交通运输等。以幅度进行统计，有色金属行业融资余额增 幅最高，达4.13%，其次是建筑材料、公用事业，增幅分别为3.80%、2.87%。 融资余额行业变动 | 行业 | 最新融资余额（亿元） | 融资余额增加额（亿 ...

港股开盘，恒生指数开跌0.16%，恒生科技指数低开0.15%。汇景控股复牌涨超190%。紫金矿业 （601899）涨1%，公司预计上半年净利润约232亿元，同比增长54%。 ...

China Copper Equities Turning point China The long expected US import tax on copper is finally here: On Tuesday 8 July, US President Trump announced plans to implement a 50% tariff on imported copper and the tariff may be implemented as soon as this month (see Copper: Trump announces 50% import tariff, 9 July). The US imports around 50% of its refined copper demand per year, predominantly from Chile (65%), Canada (17%), and Mexico (9%). Given the impending tariffs, Comex copper prices have spiked over 10% s ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has officially released the "1+6" policy supporting the reform of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which includes guidelines aimed at enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of the system for technology companies that are in the growth stage and not yet profitable [2] - The Ministry of Finance has issued a notification to guide state-owned commercial insurance companies to establish a long-term assessment mechanism and improve asset-liability management, emphasizing stable operations and enhanced investment management capabilities [3] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange announced an optimization of the Growth Enterprise Market Composite Index, introducing mechanisms for monthly removal of risk warning stocks and negative ESG screening, aimed at improving the quality of sample stocks [4] Group 2 - In the first half of the year, China's railway construction achieved a fixed asset investment of 355.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, with 301 kilometers of new lines put into operation [5] - Major food delivery platforms are engaged in a subsidy war, with Meituan reporting a record high of 150 million instant retail orders [6] - U.S. President Trump announced a 30% tariff on products imported from Mexico and the EU starting August 1, 2025 [7] Group 3 - Lanke Technology has applied for an H-share listing, expecting a net profit growth of over 85% in the first half of 2025, driven by increased sales of DDR5 memory interface chips and high-performance chips [9] - Two companies, Kanghua Biology and Yangdian Technology, announced potential changes in control, with both companies planning to suspend trading [10] - Degute is planning a major asset restructuring to acquire 100% of Haowei Technology, with the stock expected to resume trading on July 14 [11][12] Group 4 - Zijin Mining expects a net profit of approximately 23.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 54%, driven by rising sales prices and increased production of gold and copper [13][14] Group 5 - CITIC Securities suggests that the current market environment presents an opportunity to balance the Hong Kong and A-share allocations, with a focus on low-priced manufacturing sectors [16] - Guotai Junan indicates that a "transformation bull market" is forming, driven by a systematic reduction in discount rates and a shift in investor risk perception [17] - Zhongtai Securities highlights three core drivers for the recent market breakthrough, including sustained policy expectations and a focus on TMT sectors for investment [18]

Market Outlook - The market is expected to enter the next phase of an upward trend, with potential to break through the peak in the second half of 2024 due to existing discrepancies in market expectations [1][14]. Financial Performance - Zijin Mining anticipates a net profit of approximately RMB 23.2 billion for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of about 54% [9]. - Limin Co. forecasts a net profit of between RMB 260 million and RMB 280 million for the first half of 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 719.25% to 782.27% [11]. - China Shenhua projects a net profit of between RMB 23.6 billion and RMB 25.6 billion for the first half of 2025, indicating a year-on-year decline of 13.2% to 20% due to decreased coal sales volume and average selling prices [13]. Corporate Actions - Fuda Alloy is planning to acquire at least 51% of the shares in Guangda Electronics, a company specializing in electronic paste products, which will enhance its product offerings in the solar energy sector [12]. Regulatory Developments - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has released new self-regulatory guidelines for companies listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, allowing 32 unprofitable companies to enter the growth tier [5]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has outlined key points for the integration of information technology and industrialization, emphasizing support for AI applications in manufacturing [5]. Market Trends - Major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.63%, S&P 500 down 0.33%, and Nasdaq down 0.22%, while large tech stocks showed mixed performance [4]. - International oil prices increased, with WTI crude oil rising by $1.88 to $68.45 per barrel, a 2.82% increase, and Brent crude oil up by $1.72 to $70.36 per barrel, a 2.51% increase [4]. - COMEX gold futures rose by $38.30 to $3,364.00 per ounce, a 1.15% increase, while silver futures surged by $4.22 to $39.075, marking a new high since 2011 [4].

Industry News - The national insurance companies have fully implemented a long-cycle assessment mechanism of over three years, with the addition of five-year cycle indicators. The net asset return rate will now include a five-year cycle indicator, with weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% for the current year, three-year, and five-year indicators respectively [1][8] - The adjustment of the national basic medical insurance, maternity insurance, and work-related injury insurance drug catalog, as well as the commercial health insurance innovative drug catalog, has officially started. The new commercial insurance innovative drug catalog focuses on high innovation and significant clinical value drugs that cannot be included in the basic catalog due to exceeding the "basic protection" positioning [2][10] - The China Securities Association has released 28 measures to promote high-quality development in the securities industry, focusing on improving self-regulatory management and enhancing service functions [3][9] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has published guidelines for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, allowing 32 existing unprofitable companies to enter the growth layer immediately, with no additional listing thresholds for new unprofitable companies [3][6] Company News - China Shenhua announced a net profit of 23.6 billion to 25.6 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year decline of 13.2% to 20% [14] - Fuda Alloy plans to acquire at least 51% of the shares of TOPCon battery silver paste company Guangda Electronics [15] - Huaxi Securities expects a year-on-year increase in net profit of 1025% to 1354% for the first half of the year [15] - Zijin Mining anticipates a net profit of approximately 23.2 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 54% [16] - Sanhe Pile expects a year-on-year increase in net profit of 3091% to 3889% for the first half of the year [17] - Limin Co. anticipates a year-on-year increase in net profit of 719.25% to 782.27% for the first half of the year [17] - Lanqi Technology expects a year-on-year increase in net profit of 85.50% to 102.36% for the first half of the year [18] - Aopu Mai expects a net profit of approximately 37 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 53.28% [19] - China Jushi anticipates a year-on-year increase in net profit of 71.65% to 76.85% for the first half of the year [19] - Gaode Infrared expects a year-on-year increase in net profit of 735% to 957% for the first half of the year [19] - Degute is planning to acquire 100% of Haowei Technology, with stock resuming trading [19] - Kanghua Bio is planning a change of control, with stock suspended from trading [19] - Dongfang Caifu announced that its subsidiary Hafu Securities has been approved by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to provide virtual asset trading services [20] - Galaxy Microelectronics plans to invest 310 million yuan to build the first phase of a high-end integrated circuit discrete device industrialization base [20]

Tariff Benefits - The European Union has extended the suspension of countermeasures against the US until August 1 to allow for further negotiations, following threats from President Trump to impose a 30% tariff on EU goods [4][5][6] - The EU has prepared a countermeasure list involving approximately €210 billion ($245 billion) of US goods, with an additional list of about €720 billion ready if necessary [4] - Mexico is confident in reaching an agreement with the US to avoid the proposed 30% tariffs, with ongoing negotiations aimed at finding alternatives to tariffs [7] A-Share Market Benefits - Multiple listed companies have announced significant profit increases for the first half of 2025, with Li Min Co. expecting a net profit of ¥260 million to ¥280 million, a year-on-year increase of 719.25% to 782.27% [10] - Weilan Lithium expects a net profit of ¥300 million to ¥360 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 79.29% to 115.15% due to increased sales in lithium battery business [10] - Lanke Technology anticipates a revenue of approximately ¥2.633 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 58.17%, with net profit expected to rise by 85.50% to 102.36% [10] - Other companies like Chunqiu Electronics and Zijin Mining also project substantial profit growth, with Chunqiu expecting a net profit increase of 236.05% to 310.72% and Zijin projecting an increase of approximately 54% [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately RMB 23.2 billion for the first half of 2025, representing an increase of about RMB 8.1 billion or 54% compared to the same period last year [1] Performance Forecast - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately RMB 23.2 billion for the first half of 2025, up from RMB 15.1 billion in the same period last year, an increase of about RMB 8.1 billion or 54% [1] - The expected net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is approximately RMB 21.5 billion, an increase of about RMB 6.1 billion or 40% year-on-year [1] Production and Sales Performance - The production volume of key mineral products for the first half of 2025 is as follows: - Copper: 570,000 tons, up 10% from 520,000 tons in the same period last year - Gold: 41 tons, up 17% from 35 tons - Zinc (Lead): 200,000 tons, down 9% from 220,000 tons - Silver: 223 tons, up 6% from 210 tons - Lithium Carbonate Equivalent: 7,315 tons, up 2,961% from 239 tons [1] - The sales prices of gold, copper, zinc, and silver have increased year-on-year during the reporting period [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant increase in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activities among state-controlled listed companies in the A-share market, driven by government reforms and policies [1][2] - As of July 13, 2023, there have been a total of 849 M&A cases involving state-controlled listed companies, representing a substantial increase of approximately 182% compared to the same period last year [1] - The number of major asset acquisitions, disposals, or swaps has also doubled from 12 cases last year to 25 cases this year, indicating a trend towards more significant transactions [1] Group 2 - The restructuring of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) is focused on enhancing core competitiveness and addressing external challenges, particularly in the context of economic transformation and upgrading [1][2] - Notable examples of industry consolidation include the restructuring of the China Ordnance Equipment Group and significant asset acquisitions in the non-ferrous metals and energy sectors, such as Zijin Mining's acquisition of a stake in Zangge Mining [2] - The restructuring efforts are characterized by a strong focus on core responsibilities, resource integration, high marketization, and significant synergy effects, with innovative restructuring models emerging [2] Group 3 - In the "hard technology" sector, state-owned enterprises are increasingly engaging in M&A to strengthen their independent control over core technologies, reflecting a strategic shift from scale expansion to innovation-driven and value-creating approaches [3] - The integration of industrial chains through policy guidance, market operations, and technological innovation is expected to accelerate the development of core technologies and enhance the self-sufficiency of the industry [3] - Future restructuring of SOEs is anticipated to effectively utilize the advantages of strategic emerging industries, promoting rapid market application and facilitating the integration of new productive forces [3]