- The report focuses on the "CSI Nonferrous Metal Mining Theme Index," which selects 40 listed companies with nonferrous metal mineral reserves as index samples, reflecting the overall performance of nonferrous metal mining-themed listed companies. The index emphasizes upstream mining companies due to their higher profit elasticity and direct benefits from metal price increases. The index is designed to capture the value of upstream resource enterprises and is suitable for investors optimistic about resource cycle trends[27][28][32] - The index adopts a balanced strategy for selecting constituent stocks. It first excludes the bottom 10% of low-liquidity stocks based on daily trading volume, then selects the top three securities from each CSI fourth-level industry based on market capitalization rankings over the past year. If fewer than three securities are available, all are included. Remaining samples are added based on market capitalization rankings until the total reaches 40 stocks. This ensures representation across various resource categories, including gold, aluminum, rare earths, cobalt, lithium, and other strategic metals. The index is adjusted semi-annually in June and December[28][32] - The index's constituent stocks are distributed across four major sectors: industrial metals, energy metals, precious metals, and strategic small metals. This structure aligns with high-demand downstream industries such as new energy, AI computing power, power infrastructure, and semiconductors, enabling precise capture of core investment opportunities across the entire industry chain[7][32][40] - The index's market capitalization distribution is concentrated in large-cap stocks, with 55.61% of the weight allocated to stocks with a market capitalization above 1 trillion RMB. Mid-cap stocks (200-1000 billion RMB) account for 43.09% of the weight, providing effective support. This structure avoids risks associated with small-cap stocks while leveraging the resource barriers of large-cap leaders and capturing growth opportunities in niche sectors[41][46] - The index demonstrates strong performance across various timeframes. Over the past year, its return reached 120.35%, significantly outperforming major broad-based indices like the CSI 300 (24.58%) and the Shanghai Composite Index (27.13%). It also surpassed industry indices such as the SW Nonferrous Metals Index (107.58%). In the medium term, its six-month return was 95.59%, and its three-month return was 28.48%. Short-term performance was equally impressive, with a one-month return of 24.06%[59][62][64]

Core Insights - A total of 710 A-share listed companies have disclosed their 2025 annual performance forecasts, with 284 companies expected to report positive results, resulting in a positive forecast ratio of 40% [1] Group 1: Performance Highlights - Among the 710 companies, 43 reported slight increases, 57 turned losses into profits, 4 maintained profitability, and 180 projected profit increases [2] - 295 companies expect a net profit growth of over 10%, with 237 anticipating over 30%, 183 over 50%, and 67 over 100% [2] - Notable companies with significant expected net profit growth include Southern Precision, Shanghai Yizhong, Jin'an Guoji, Shenzhen Nande A, Limin Co., and SAIC Motor [2] Group 2: Industry Performance - The industries showing strong performance include non-ferrous metals, biomedicine, semiconductors, hardware equipment, chemicals, and automotive parts [3] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, companies like Xianglu Tungsten, Zhenghai Magnetic Materials, Jinli Permanent Magnet, Northern Rare Earth, Chifeng Gold, Zijin Mining, and others have performed well due to rising product prices and improved downstream demand [3][4] Group 3: Specific Company Forecasts - Southern Precision expects a net profit of 300 million to 370 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 1130% to 1417%, primarily due to fair value changes from investments [2] - WuXi AppTec anticipates a revenue of approximately 45.456 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 15.84%, and a net profit of around 19.15 billion yuan, a growth of approximately 102.65% [3] - Xianglu Tungsten forecasts a net profit of 12.5 million to 18 million yuan, significantly turning losses into profits due to improved market conditions and cost control [4] Group 4: Challenges in Certain Industries - The real estate sector is under pressure, with only one out of 31 companies reporting profits, while most are facing significant losses [7] - In the photovoltaic industry, companies like Tongwei Co., TCL Zhonghuan, Trina Solar, JinkoSolar, and LONGi Green Energy are expected to report varying degrees of losses due to rising costs of key raw materials [7]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors for analysis, as it primarily focuses on the analysis of active equity funds' holdings, preferences, and structural changes in Q4 2025[3][6][7] - The report provides detailed insights into the number, scale, and allocation preferences of active equity funds, including their industry and sectoral adjustments, but does not include any specific quantitative models or factor construction methodologies[3][6][7] - The analysis highlights the changes in fund holdings and preferences, such as increased allocation to cyclical and financial sectors and reduced allocation to technology and healthcare, but no quantitative models or factors are discussed[44][48][49]

Group 1 - JunDa Co., Ltd. announced that the comprehensive cost-effectiveness of perovskite photovoltaic technology in extreme space environments remains to be verified [2][5] - The company has invested 30 million yuan to acquire a 16.67% stake in Starwing Chip Energy, but no formal business agreement has been signed for space photovoltaic projects [2][5] - The technology shows potential advantages in lightweight, low cost, and high radiation resistance, but long-term reliability and cost-effectiveness in space are still uncertain [2][5] Group 2 - Aotewei stated that the "space photovoltaic" sector is still in the early exploration and research phase, with significant uncertainties in the industrialization process [3] - The company emphasized that product development to commercial application requires a considerable period, and the impact of related positive expectations on actual operating performance is highly uncertain [3] Group 3 - Tongyu Communications announced its participation in the A1 round financing of Beijing Blue Arrow Hongqing Technology, investing 30 million yuan for a 1.8293% stake [3] - The company will transition from direct to indirect ownership of Hongqing Technology through a partnership agreement [3] Group 4 - Huajin Technology received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for the issuance of H-shares, planning to issue up to 101,573,100 shares [4] - Trina Solar announced a change in the use of remaining raised funds, reallocating 1.7 billion yuan to a new project for distributed smart photovoltaic power station construction [4][5] Group 5 - Yunnan City Investment plans to publicly transfer a 10.5% stake in Qicai Company with a base price of 293 million yuan [6] - Zijin Mining announced the completion of the second phase of the Giant Dragon Copper Mine, increasing production capacity to 350,000 tons per day [6] Group 6 - Shuaifeng Electric expects a net profit loss of 43 million to 62 million yuan in 2025, with potential delisting risk warnings for its stock [7] - Anqi Yeast plans to invest 222 million yuan in a green manufacturing project for yeast products with an annual output of 12,000 tons [7] Group 7 - Zhengzhou Coal and Electricity announced the cessation of production at the Chaohua Coal Mine due to resource depletion and safety risks, expecting a 311 million yuan impairment loss [8] - Oujing Technology announced partial production line shutdowns at its subsidiaries to reduce losses and operating costs [8] Group 8 - North Car Blue Valley plans to invest in the construction of a high-end platform model industrialization and digital upgrade project with a total investment of 1.991 billion yuan [9] - Jingzhida signed a significant contract worth 1.311 billion yuan for semiconductor testing equipment [9] Group 9 - Yanghe Co. announced a cash dividend plan for 2025-2027, committing to distribute no less than 100% of net profit each year [10] - Yanghe Co. also projected a net profit decline of 62.18% to 68.30% for 2025 due to market adjustments and increased channel inventory [10] Group 10 - Huitong Energy expects a net profit decrease of 69.51% to 75.82% for 2025, primarily due to the absence of non-recurring income from property relocation rewards [11] - Dahua Co. reported a net profit increase of 32.65% for 2025, driven by business optimization and cost control [12] Group 11 - Hangzhou Bank reported a net profit increase of 12.05% for 2025, maintaining a stable non-performing loan ratio [12] - Aotejia expects a net profit increase of 41.85% to 79.67% for 2025, supported by sales growth and cost control measures [12] Group 12 - Shenke Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 65.75% to 98.9% for 2025, benefiting from overseas strategy and revenue growth [13] - Pioneering Technology expects a net profit increase of 50.82% to 109.21% for 2025, driven by product technology iterations and market expansion [13] Group 13 - Shanchuang Technology expects a net profit increase of 81.77% to 134.78% for 2025, fueled by demand for enterprise-level storage products [14] - Anshuo Information anticipates a net profit increase of 52.44% to 98.83% for 2025, with government subsidies contributing to the growth [14] Group 14 - Zhongwei Company expects a net profit increase of 28.74% to 34.93% for 2025, driven by increased customer recognition of its plasma etching equipment [15] - Jingfang Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 44.41% to 52.32% for 2025, benefiting from the automotive industry's growth [16] Group 15 - Fuda Alloy expects a net profit increase of 119.14% to 219.95% for 2025, driven by strong demand in emerging applications [17] - Feirongda anticipates a net profit increase of 57.23% to 83.43% for 2025, supported by stable growth in communication and cooling business [17] Group 16 - Licheng Performing Arts expects a net profit decrease of 12.75% to 32.21% for 2025, impacted by regional travel environment fluctuations [22] - Lisheng Pharmaceutical anticipates a net profit increase of 116.77% to 138.44% for 2025, driven by market expansion and product sales [23] Group 17 - JMC reported a net profit decrease of 22.71% for 2025, despite a 2.07% increase in total revenue [27] - Daoshi Technology expects a net profit increase of 206.01% to 269.76% for 2025, driven by overseas business expansion [28] Group 18 - Jin Kai New Energy plans to repurchase shares worth 500 million to 600 million yuan, with a maximum repurchase price of 7.5 yuan per share [29] - Longyun Co. announced a stock suspension due to plans to acquire a 58% stake in Yuheng Film Industry [30]

Core Viewpoint - The latest statistics indicate a significant shift in the top holdings of actively managed equity funds, with Zhongji Xuchuang replacing CATL as the largest holding, reflecting changing market dynamics and investment strategies [2][3]. Group 1: Changes in Top Holdings - As of the end of Q4 2025, the top ten holdings of actively managed equity funds are: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Semiconductor, CATL, Tencent Holdings, Zijin Mining, Alibaba-W, Cambrian Biologics-U, Luxshare Precision, Kweichow Moutai, and Dongshan Precision [3]. - The total market value of these top ten stocks held by actively managed equity funds is 76.8 billion, 63.8 billion, 63 billion, 57.4 billion, 36.8 billion, 31 billion, 29.1 billion, 28 billion, 25.8 billion, and 24.4 billion respectively [3]. - Notable changes from Q3 2025 include Zhongji Xuchuang rising from fourth to first, Xinyi Semiconductor from third to second, and Zijin Mining from eighth to fifth, while CATL and Tencent Holdings dropped to third and fourth respectively [3][6]. Group 2: Sector Allocation Adjustments - In Q4 2025, actively managed equity funds increased their allocations in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, communication, non-bank financials, chemicals, and machinery, while reducing exposure to electronics, pharmaceuticals, media, computers, and power equipment [2][8]. - The overall stock position of actively managed equity funds decreased to 84.4%, down 1.4 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a cautious approach amidst market volatility [7]. - The increase in allocation to sectors like non-ferrous metals and chemicals is attributed to supply constraints and recovering demand from new energy and AI applications, while the reduction in electronics and pharmaceuticals is linked to high valuations and weak short-term outlooks [8][9]. Group 3: Market Trends and Insights - The changes in top holdings and sector allocations reflect a shift in market focus towards technology, particularly in the communication sector, driven by the rapid development of the digital economy and AI [4][5]. - The strategic importance of communication infrastructure and chip manufacturing is highlighted, with ongoing policy support for industry upgrades creating new growth opportunities [5]. - The overall market sentiment is characterized by a balance between short-term gains and long-term strategic positioning, influenced by industry prospects and policy environments [9].

投资策略 四季度基金调仓五大看点——2025Q4 基金仓位解析 1、总体配置：规模回落，仓位调降 2025 年四季度，主动偏股型基金规模小幅回落，其中持股市值规模回落 5.21%至 33843.12 亿元，基金资产总规模回落 3.63%至 40191.1 亿元，流通市值占比也由 2025 年三季度的 3.72%降至 3.44%。与此同时，权益仓位有所下修，其中整体法 视角下的权益仓位降低 1.40%，达到 84.21%；均值法视角下的权益仓位环比下行 0.99%，达到 82.19%。 2、2025 年四季度基金调仓五大看点： 看点 1：整体规模波动收窄，赎回压力转弱。2025 年四季度，市场整体维持高位 震荡，净值波动对基金规模的影响较三季度明显减弱。与此同时，经历了三季度浮 亏转正导致的大幅赎回后，四季度的基金赎回压力已明显转弱，估算结果显示四 季度的赎回拖累幅度较三季度大致环比减半。总体看，四季度基金赎回压力边际 转弱，叠加净值波动收窄，整体规模仅小幅回落。 证券研究报告 | 策略报告 gszqdatemark 2026 01 23 年 月 日 看点 2：创业板获集中加仓，刷新 2017 年以来的新高。2 ...

Group 1 - The active equity fund management scale decreased slightly in Q4 2025, primarily due to significant redemption pressure from existing funds, resulting in a net redemption of 165.6 billion yuan [1] - The total management scale of three types of active equity funds (ordinary stock, mixed equity, and flexible allocation) decreased by 189.8 billion yuan, with new active equity fund issuance at 56.2 billion yuan [1] - The active equity fund's position in Q4 2025 decreased by 0.83 percentage points to 86.62%, remaining at the second-highest level in history [2] Group 2 - In terms of sector allocation, the proportion of the ChiNext board increased by 1.24 percentage points to 24.98%, while the main board and Sci-Tech Innovation board saw declines [5][8] - The allocation to the main board decreased by 0.30 percentage points to 58.21%, indicating a further increase in underweight [8] - Active equity funds increased their positions in cyclical and financial real estate sectors while reducing exposure to technology growth and pharmaceuticals [11] Group 3 - The active equity funds increased their allocation in the non-ferrous metals, communication, and non-bank financial sectors, with increases of 2.26 percentage points, 1.85 percentage points, and 0.87 percentage points respectively [13] - The funds reduced their positions in electronics, pharmaceuticals, media, power equipment, and computers, with reductions of 1.72 percentage points, 1.54 percentage points, and 1.16 percentage points respectively [13] - Excluding thematic/sector funds, the active equity funds still increased their positions in non-ferrous metals, communication, and non-bank financial sectors [14] Group 4 - The allocation to the TMT sector slightly decreased in Q4 2025, with the configuration coefficient at 1.48, indicating room for further improvement [29] - Within the TMT sector, active equity funds increased their holdings in communication equipment and components while reducing positions in consumer electronics and semiconductors [32] - The dividend sector's allocation stabilized and increased, with the low-volatility dividend index rising by 1.7 percentage points to 4.3% [37] Group 5 - The top five stocks in active equity funds in Q4 2025 included Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Dongshan Precision, China Ping An, and Zijin Mining, with respective increases in holding ratios [43] - The top ten holdings accounted for 4.83%, 4.01%, and 3.97% of the total market value of the funds [46] - The concentration of individual stocks in active equity funds increased slightly, while the concentration of industries showed a mixed trend [49] Group 6 - The Hong Kong stock allocation of active equity funds decreased to 15.98%, down from 19.09%, with a total holding value of 302.9 billion yuan [51] - The funds increased their positions in the healthcare, materials, and energy sectors while reducing exposure to consumer discretionary and information technology sectors [54] - Tencent maintained its position as the largest holding in Hong Kong stocks, with a market value of 57.3 billion yuan [56]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The scale of public - offering active equity funds decreased, and the position in Hong Kong stocks declined. The scale of fixed - income funds increased, and the duration remained at a high level. FOF funds maintained a high issuance rhythm, and the scale recovered [1][2][3]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Public Funds 2025Q4 Quarterly Report Highlights - Active equity funds: The scale decreased, and the position in Hong Kong stocks dropped. The number increased steadily, the scale decreased, and the position was at 86% [11][12]. - Active bond funds: The scale of fixed - income funds grew, and the duration remained high. The number increased continuously, and the scale increased by 1.1% compared with the previous period [13]. - FOF products: FOF funds maintained a high issuance rhythm, and the scale recovered. In Q4, 43 new FOF products were issued, and the total scale increased by about 16.9% compared with Q3 [14][15]. 3.2 Active Equity - Type Funds 3.2.1 Scale and Position Changes - The scale of public - offering active equity funds decreased, and the position decreased slightly. The number reached 4,679, with an increase of 59 compared with Q3. The current scale was 3.9 trillion yuan, a decrease of 4.13% compared with Q3. The position was at 86%, a decrease of about 1% compared with Q3 [19][21][24]. 3.2.2 Industry Allocation Changes - The most heavily held industries were electronics, communication, medicine, power equipment and new energy, and non - ferrous metals. The industries with the most increased allocation were non - ferrous metals, communication, basic chemicals, non - banking finance, and machinery. The industries with the most reduced allocation were medicine, media, computer, electronics, and commercial retail [25][26]. 3.2.3 Sector Allocation Changes - The concepts with the most increased allocation were resource stocks, optical modules, base stations, East - West Computing, pro - cyclical, IDC, optical communication, and communication equipment. The concepts with the most reduced allocation were dual - cycle, self - controllability, advanced manufacturing, 5G applications, and digital economy [29]. 3.2.4 Style Allocation Changes - In Q4, public funds increased their preference for high - elasticity and high - momentum stocks, and further increased their holdings of growth stocks. The volatility of holding stocks decreased significantly, and the number of holding concentrated stocks increased [30][32][33]. 3.2.5 Individual Stock Allocation Changes (A - shares) - The stocks with the highest holding ratio in Q4 were Zhongji Innolight, Xinyisheng, etc. The stocks with the most increased holdings were Zhongji Innolight, Ping An of China, etc., and the stocks with the most reduced holdings were Industrial Fubon, CATL, etc. [34][35]. 3.2.6 Individual Stock Allocation Changes (Hong Kong Stocks) - In 2025Q4, the position in Hong Kong stocks of public funds decreased. The total holding market value was about 305.2 billion yuan, and the weighted total position in Hong Kong stocks was 12.41%, a decrease of 2.04% compared with Q3. The stocks with the most increased holdings were Ping An of China, CNOOC, etc., and the stocks with the most reduced holdings were Alibaba - W, Tencent Holdings, etc. [36][40][41]. 3.2.7 Value - Type Fund Allocation and Views - Value - type funds preferred food and beverages, banks, home appliances, non - banking finance, and media. The newly added industries were non - banking finance, petroleum and petrochemicals, machinery, basic chemicals, and building materials [46]. 3.2.8 Growth - Type Fund Allocation and Views - Growth - type funds preferred electronics, communication, power equipment and new energy, machinery, and automobiles. In 2025Q4, they added positions in communication, non - ferrous metals, machinery, basic chemicals, and power equipment and new energy [49]. 3.3 Active Bond Funds 3.3.1 Scale and Quantity Changes - The scale of fixed - income funds increased, and the duration remained high. The total number was 4,293, an increase of 1.1% compared with Q3. The total scale was about 9.48 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.6% compared with the previous period [57]. 3.3.2 Bond Type Allocation Changes - The allocation ratio of bond - type funds changed little compared with Q3. They increased their holdings of medium - term notes, corporate bonds, and inter - bank certificates of deposit, while the proportion of financial bonds, treasury bonds, and corporate short - term financing bonds decreased [58]. 3.3.3 Duration Allocation Changes - In December 2025, the average duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds was 4.11. In the market where the maturity yield of treasury bonds was declining but the downward space was relatively limited, the duration of bond - type funds remained at a high level [60]. 3.4 FOF Products 3.4.1 Scale and Quantity Changes - FOF funds maintained a high issuance rhythm, and the scale continued to recover. In Q4, 43 new FOF products were issued, and the total scale was about 218.794 billion yuan, an increase of about 16.9% compared with Q3 [65][68]. 3.4.2 Position Changes - They increased their holdings of active bond - type funds, and the proportion of passive bond - type funds and equity - type funds decreased [69][74]. 3.4.3 Target Preference Changes - FOF preferred equity - type funds with strong industry allocation and dynamic trading capabilities, mainly technology - manufacturing - oriented funds. For fixed - income funds, it preferred funds with strong credit management and term structure allocation capabilities [76][78].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [5]. Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the holdings of non-ferrous metal stocks by active equity funds increased significantly, with lithium and aluminum showing notable increases [1]. - The total market value of non-ferrous metal stocks held by active equity funds reached approximately 151.9 billion yuan, accounting for 7.83% of the total holdings, an increase of 2.11 percentage points from Q3 2025 [1]. - The top ten stocks by market value in the non-ferrous metal sector are concentrated in copper, gold, lithium, and aluminum, with Zijin Mining remaining the largest holding [1]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings - In Q4 2025, the non-ferrous metal sector's holdings accounted for 7.83% of total fund holdings, up from 5.72% in Q3 2025 [1]. - The top ten stocks by market value include Zijin Mining (38.12 billion yuan), Luoyang Molybdenum (10.57 billion yuan), and Zhongjin Gold (5.95 billion yuan) [1]. Stock Increases and Decreases - Significant increases in holdings were observed in lithium and aluminum stocks, with the largest increases in Yongxing Materials (lithium) and Shengxin Lithium Energy (lithium) [2]. - Decreases were primarily in silver and certain processing stocks, with Jiangnan New Materials (copper processing) showing the largest reduction [2]. Investment Recommendations - Copper prices are expected to rise due to tight supply, with recommendations for Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Western Mining [3]. - Aluminum supply is projected to remain constrained, with a recommendation for Yun Aluminum [3]. - Gold and silver are expected to benefit from a weakening dollar and a potential interest rate cut cycle, with a positive outlook on gold prices [3]. - Cobalt prices are anticipated to rise due to supply constraints, with a recommendation for Huayou Cobalt [3].

公司全资子公司及控股上市公司藏格矿业股份有限公司合计持有巨龙铜矿80.88%权益，穿透后归属于 公司的权益比例为58.16%。 巨龙铜矿二期工程的建成投产将显着增强公司铜板块的综合实力。巨龙铜矿与公司在塞尔维亚、刚果 (金)的核心铜矿项目已形成铜产业发展的"三驾马车"格局，叠加旗下一批主力铜矿项目的陆续建设投产 和技改扩产，将推动公司矿产铜产量持续增长，对巩固公司在全球铜行业的领先地位，达成全球超一流 矿业集团的战略目标具有重大意义。 巨龙铜矿地处海拔5000米以上的高寒缺氧区域，自然地理环境恶劣，作业条件艰苦，施工管理难度极 高。公司自2020年6月收购并主导建设运营巨龙铜矿以来，依托强大的全流程自主技术与工程研发创新 能力，以及"艰苦创业、开拓创新"的紫金精神，仅用时约18个月便实现一期工程建成投产;二期工程自 动工后，再次以约18个月的工期实现建成投产。 目前，公司正在进一步规划实施巨龙铜矿三期工程。若项目得到政府有关部门批准，三期工程最终开采 海拔标高将从二期4452米降低到3880米，境界内可供开发的铜储量将超过2000万吨，每年采选矿石量将 达约2亿吨规模;巨龙铜矿届时将成为全球采选规模最大的铜矿 ...