Core Viewpoint - The liquor stocks experienced a significant decline, with major brands such as Tianyoude, Yanghe, and Shunxin all dropping over 5% in value, indicating a bearish trend in the sector [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Tianyoude Liquor saw a decrease of 5.81%, with a total market capitalization of 4.427 billion [2] - Yanghe shares fell by 5.67%, bringing its market value to 85 billion, with a year-to-date decline of 7.10% [2] - Shunxin Agriculture dropped by 5.53%, with a market cap of 11.1 billion and a year-to-date increase of 2.53% [2] - Other notable declines include Kuaizijiao (-4.95%, 17.8 billion), Yilite (-4.74%, 6.658 billion), and Jianshiyuan (-4.66%, 42.1 billion) [2] - Major brands like Wuliangye and Guizhou Moutai also experienced declines of 3.93% and 1.90%, respectively, with market caps of 413.1 billion and 1.7663 trillion [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the liquor industry [4]. Core Insights - The liquor industry has entered a deep adjustment period, but recent positive changes in the real estate and domestic demand sectors, along with the market-oriented transformation of Moutai, are stimulating incremental demand and driving up prices, leading to a valuation recovery [2]. - The report recommends stocks with price elasticity such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, as well as those expected to clear inventory like Yingjia Gongjiu, Gujing Gongjiu, Shanxi Fenjiu, Jianshiyuan, Zhenjiu Lidu, Shede Jiuye, and Jinhui Jiu [4]. Summary by Sections Market Environment - The real estate sector is showing signs of recovery, and policies are becoming more favorable. The liquor industry is a typical cyclical sector, with market pricing influenced by both internal demand and real estate conditions. The government has prioritized boosting domestic demand as a key task for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with plans to develop a strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030 [4]. - The real estate market is gradually bottoming out after years of adjustment, with recent government actions aimed at stabilizing market expectations and improving conditions [4]. Moutai's Market Transformation - Moutai's market-oriented reform has sparked incremental demand, with significant attention on liquor sales during the Spring Festival. Moutai has introduced various products on its iMoutai platform, leading to a surge in online purchases and stable price performance [4]. - As of January 29, Moutai's price has increased by over 1,600 RMB, with transaction prices exceeding 1,700 RMB, indicating successful price-volume strategies [4]. Industry Outlook - The liquor industry is believed to be at the bottom of its cycle, with liquidity improvements and expectations likely to catalyze stock prices. The report anticipates that if prices stabilize, the pressure on stock prices will lessen, and further positive signals from policies could enhance stock performance [4]. - The report includes earnings forecasts for key liquor companies, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% for Moutai from 2024 to 2026, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio projected to decrease from 21 to 19 [5].

Core Insights - The report indicates a cautious optimism for February, with expectations of a slow bull market continuing, despite a high-level narrow fluctuation in indices [6][3] - The mid-cap blue-chip stocks have shown strong performance in January, particularly in the gold and non-ferrous metals sectors, with signs of stabilization and rebound in the consumer sector, especially in food and beverage [6][3] - The report highlights a significant pessimism regarding pig prices for 2026, driven by underestimations of inventory and capacity reduction, suggesting a potential price recovery due to structural supply shortages [6][3] Market Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of mid-cap blue-chip stocks, particularly in the food and beverage sector, which are expected to continue their rebound [6][3] - It suggests that the market's risk appetite and evaluation are shifting, with mid-cap blue-chip stocks valued between 10 billion to 50 billion being relatively favored [6][3] - The report recommends focusing on stocks with improvement logic or those in significant performance downgrades, particularly in the restaurant supply chain, dairy farming, regional liquor, and mid-to-high-end liquor [6][3] Industry Analysis - The report notes that the pig farming industry is experiencing a structural supply shortage, which is expected to limit the downward price potential for pigs, with a price turning point anticipated in Q2 2026 [6][3] - It highlights that the average weight of pigs post-slaughter is at a historical low, indicating a potential for price recovery as inventory levels are replenished [6][3] - The report identifies specific companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs as favorable investment targets within the pig farming sector [6][3]

最新股价：14.48元 日涨幅：+10.03% 亮点：甘肃区域性白酒（核心股）企业，拥有一定的品牌历史积淀。 酒鬼酒（000799.SZ） 白酒（核心股）板块全线飘红，多股午后涨停！消费复苏预期点燃板块热情，皇台酒业、酒鬼酒、金徽 酒、水井坊、泸州老窖、金种子酒领涨，板块整理如下： 最新股价：56.85元 皇台酒业（000995.SZ） 日涨幅：+10.00% 日涨幅：+10.01% 亮点：中国西北地区优势白酒（核心股）企业，旗下拥有"金徽"、"陇南春"两大品牌。 水井坊（600779.SH） 最新股价：41.99元 日涨幅：+10.01% 亮点：主营"水井坊"系列高端白酒（核心股），是中国知名的高端白酒品牌。 泸州老窖（000568.SZ） 最新股价：124.23元 日涨幅：+10.00% 亮点：中国馥郁香型白酒（核心股）创立者，产品具有"前浓、中清、后酱"的独特风格。 金徽酒（603919.SH） 最新股价：21.54元 亮点：浓香型白酒（核心股）鼻祖，"国窖1573"是中国白酒鉴赏标准级酒品。 金种子酒（600199.SH） 最新股价：10.30元 日涨幅：+10.04% 亮点：深耕安徽地区的白酒（核心 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share liquor sector experienced a significant surge, with the liquor ETF rising by 10.08% and the China Securities Liquor Index increasing by 9.79% on January 29, driven by macroeconomic expectations and seasonal factors related to the upcoming Spring Festival [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - 20 liquor companies saw stock price increases, with 18 reaching the daily limit, including notable gains from Kweichow Moutai (8.61% increase) and others like Jinzhongzi Liquor and Huangtai Liquor, both around 10% [1][2]. - The wholesale price of Feitian Moutai has been rising, surpassing 1600 yuan, indicating a market recovery signal as the product remains sold out on official platforms [3]. Group 2: Expert Insights - Experts attribute the price increase to a combination of Moutai's proactive price control and seasonal demand, suggesting that the liquor sector is a target for capital investment due to its cyclical nature [4]. - The overall industry is under pressure, with several companies forecasting significant declines in net profit, indicating a challenging competitive landscape and increased inventory issues [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the proactive inventory adjustments by liquor manufacturers and the stabilization of high-end liquor prices could lead to a healthier market development [5]. - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to boost demand, with the liquor sector seen as a value opportunity for investors, despite the need for cautious optimism regarding long-term trends [5].

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 1月29日，今世缘收涨9.99%，收盘价为35.44元，发生1笔大宗交易，合计成交量57.5万股，成交金额 1667.5万元。 第1笔成交价格为29.00元，成交57.50万股，成交金额1,667.50万元，溢价率为-18.17%，买方营业部为华 泰证券股份有限公司淮安淮海东路证券营业部，卖方营业部为华泰证券股份有限公司淮安涟水红日大道 证券营业部。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 责任编辑：小浪快报 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生9笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为3560.21万元。该股近5个交易日累 计上涨4.51%，主力资金合计净流入8761.3万元。 ...

1月29日，今世缘大宗交易成交57.5万股，成交额1667.5万元，占当日总成交额的1.45%，成交价29元， 较市场收盘价35.44元折价18.17%。 | 12.7 下置合作曲 | | --- | | 双景垫立 日心 | | 交易日期 | | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量(*) 买入营业部 | | | 卖出营业部 | 是否为专场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 026-01-29 | 今世缘 | 603369 | 29 委副董委员调察器 1667.5 | 57.5 | 想影響點點 | | ya | ...

投顾发展 | 投顾晨报 元月中阳收官在即，消费初显端倪 朝闻道 20260130 市场策略 元月中阳收官在即，2 月谨慎乐观 风格策略 周期轮动续力，消费初显端倪 行业策略 生猪：预期极度悲观，配置价值凸显 主题策略 食品饮料：赔率优化，胜率初显 风险提示 畜禽价格不及预期；畜禽疫病大规模爆发；原材料价格大幅波动；需求不及预期；食品安全、产业政策调 整等。 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 30 日 江韶军 执业证书编号：S0860525090001 jiangshaojun@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 于震荡中护慢牛，自中盘处取超额：朝闻 道 20260128 2026-01-27 震荡依旧，结构为王：朝闻道 20260126 2026-01-25 慢牛预期强化，把握中盘蓝筹：朝闻道 20260123 2026-01-21 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 ⚫ 临近月末再回首，1 月经历了先突破后盘整，中阳收官在即，依旧符合我们"横盘前 震荡，略有走强"的中期判断。 ...

证券之星消息，1月29日白酒板块较上一交易日上涨9.16%，金种子酒领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。白酒板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 661009 | 金种子酒 | 10.30 | 10.04% | 58.45万 | | 5.83亿 | | 000995 | 皇台酒业 | 14.48 | 10.03% | 26.37万 | | 3.65亿 | | 603198 | 迎驾贡酒 | 42.63 | 10.01% | 21.40万 | | 8.78亿 | | 616809 | 全徽酒 | 21.54 | 10.01% | 16.00万 | | 3.32亿 | | 600779 | 水井坊 | 41.99 | 10.01% | 18.55万 | | 7.53亿 | | 000799 | 酒鬼酒 | 56.85 | 10.00% | 29.50万 | | 16.20亿 | | 6 ...

相关行业： 高端白酒（核心股）：高端白酒凭借深厚的品牌壁垒和稳定的消费群体，在行业调整期展现出更强的抗 风险能力。随着春节商务宴请、礼品馈赠等消费场景复苏，高端白酒批价回升、动销向好，相关龙头企 业将率先受益于行业复苏红利，业绩弹性值得期待。 区域白酒（核心股）：区域白酒企业依托本地消费市场优势，积极调整渠道策略、优化产品结构，叠加 各地产区政策扶持，有望在存量竞争中实现突围。部分区域酒企推出亲民酒、口粮酒等产品，贴合大众 消费需求，将进一步巩固本地市场份额，打开成长空间。 午后，白酒（核心股）板块持续拉升，板块内8只个股涨停，泸州老窖、酒鬼酒、皇台酒业、金种子 酒、舍得酒业、水井坊、金徽酒、流金科技纷纷涨停，古井贡酒、五粮液、顺鑫农业、洋河股份、天佑 德酒、古越龙山、伊力特、贵州茅台、老白干酒、山西汾酒、会稽山、迎驾贡酒、今世缘、口子窖涨超 5%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 相关 | 最新价 | रे | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 涨跌幅号 | | 600199 | 金种子酒 | 详情 数据 股吧 | 10.30 | 10.04% | | 000995 ...