Core Viewpoint - The launch of the Shanghai-Kuala Lumpur route by Juneyao Airlines marks a significant step in the airline's expansion into the Southeast Asian market, driven by Malaysia's visa-free policy for Chinese travelers and a strong recovery in tourism between China and Malaysia [1][3]. Group 1: Route Launch and Capacity Plans - The inaugural flight of the HO1353 route achieved a 100% passenger load factor, highlighting the strong demand for summer travel [1]. - Juneyao Airlines plans to operate approximately 24,000 domestic and international flights from July 1 to August 31, 2025, to cater to diverse summer travel needs [1]. - The airline aims to increase the frequency of the Kuala Lumpur route to 1-2 flights daily based on peak season demand and is evaluating direct flights from other cities like Nanjing [3]. Group 2: Market Recovery and Strategic Expansion - The tourism market between China and Malaysia is showing robust recovery, with 1.2 million Malaysian tourists visiting China and over 1.5 million Chinese tourists traveling to Malaysia in 2024, alongside a bilateral trade volume exceeding $200 billion [3]. - Juneyao Airlines is committed to its international development strategy, with a nearly 4% increase in international flight capacity during the summer season compared to the same period in 2024, planning over 4,150 international flights [3]. - The airline's operations in the Japan and South Korea markets are also expanding, with planned flights exceeding 2,200 during the summer, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 19% [3]. Group 3: Domestic Market Initiatives - To meet summer vacation demands for families, Juneyao Airlines is launching new routes and increasing flight frequencies to popular destinations, including new connections from Shanghai to Kashgar and Yining [6]. - The airline is introducing themed flights, such as the "Shanghai Lego Land" flight, to enhance the travel experience for families visiting the newly opened Shanghai Lego Land Resort [6].

乘客回忆：大家手里的餐盒、手机纷纷"飞"向空中 近日，有网友在社交平台称，6月25日当晚乘坐吉祥航空途中遭遇了罕见的剧烈颠簸，餐盒、 手机等物品在客舱内飞散落了一地。 6月27日上午，乘坐该航班的乘客戴先生回忆起这一惊险经历仍心有余悸。戴先生乘坐的是航 班为HO1887，由上海虹桥飞往深圳宝安。 他说，当晚8时左右，飞机突遇强气流，引发剧烈颠簸。"先是普通颠簸，紧接着三秒钟内飞 机突然下坠，所有人都感受到明显失重，我的屁股都离开座椅了。" 戴先生表示，当时正值发餐时段，大家手里的餐盒、手机等物品纷纷"飞"向空中，有女乘客 被洒落的咖喱等餐食弄脏衣物，客舱内瞬间尖叫声四起。 戴先生表示，随后便有广播第一时间对此状况进行播报解释，并向乘客致歉。 另据搭乘该航班的网友发帖称，"当时飞机已经进入平飞，空乘开始发饭。在用餐过程中，飞 机开始小小下降调整，忽然一个大拉升，紧接着急速下降，失重感直接拉满，有一瞬间看到 了面条在飘！" 吉祥航空回应：无人受伤 据南方都市报，28日，吉祥航空工作人员告诉记者，事件中无人员受伤。"在巡航阶段突遇晴 空颠簸，持续约10秒。机组立即启动应急预案，妥善处置客舱状况，航班于20时47分安 ...

证券代码：603885 证券简称：吉祥航空 公告编号：临 2025-046 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司 关于控股股东股份解除质押及质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东上海均瑶（集 团）有限公司（以下简称"均瑶集团"）持有公司股份 1,020,862,080 股，占公司股份总数的 46.42%，均瑶集团累计质押公司股票（含本次） 81,275 万股，占其所持公司股份数的 79.61%，占公司股份总数的 36.96%。 公司于近日收到公司控股股东均瑶集团通知，获悉其将所持有公司的部分股 份办理了解除质押及质押业务，具体事项如下： 一、本次股东股份解除质押基本情况： 注：若有尾差，则是因四舍五入所致。 单位：万股 股东 名称 持股数量 持股比 例 本次解除 质押股数 占其所 持股份 比例 占公 司总 股本 比例 解除日期 质权人 剩余被质 押股份数 量 剩余被质押 股份数量占 其所持股份 比例 剩余被质押 股份数量占 公司总股本 比例 均瑶 集 ...

Group 1: Aviation Sector - The aviation sector is expected to see strong demand during the summer peak season, with a recommendation to focus on pre-peak investment opportunities. The industry has gradually emerged from the low-demand season since March, with rational pricing strategies from airlines supporting demand [3][12]. - In 2024, the total revenue of six listed airlines is projected to reach 521.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with a tax pre-profit of 3 billion yuan, a significant recovery from a loss of 9 billion yuan in 2023. Different airlines show varying degrees of profit improvement [10][12]. - The report highlights that the international oil price decline will significantly enhance airline profits. A 5% drop in Brent crude oil prices could increase the pre-tax profits of major airlines by 29 billion yuan for Air China and 23 billion yuan for Eastern Airlines [14][15]. Group 2: Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery sector is anticipated to maintain strong growth resilience, with business volumes expected to increase by 21.5% in 2024 and 21.6% in Q1 2025. The total business volume for 2024 is projected to reach 1.758 billion pieces [32][35]. - The market concentration in the express delivery industry is on the rise, with the CR8 index expected to reach 85.2% in 2024 and 86.9% in Q1 2025, indicating a more consolidated market [32][35]. - Revenue for the express delivery industry is forecasted to grow by 13.8% in 2024, reaching 1.4 trillion yuan, with a slight pressure on average ticket prices, which are expected to decline by 14.2% [35][36]. Group 3: Dividend and Asset Value - The report emphasizes the value of dividend assets in the transportation sector, with cash dividend ratios for highways, railways, and ports projected at 51%, 47%, and 36% respectively for 2024, indicating strong cash flow stability [44][45]. - The TTM dividend yields for these sectors are expected to be 3.0% for highways, 3.3% for railways, and 2.3% for ports, reflecting a stable increase compared to previous years [44][45]. Group 4: Shipping Sector - The shipping sector faces short-term pressure due to US-China tariff disputes, but structural opportunities may arise. The report suggests that the tariff situation could lead to a shift in import demands, particularly for agricultural products, which may benefit dry bulk shipping [48][56]. - Historical data indicates that previous trade disputes have led to increased shipping rates for certain routes, suggesting potential for similar outcomes in the current context [48][56].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the aviation transportation industry is "Positive" [2]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the supply in the aviation industry is gradually contracting, with a narrowing decline in ticket prices. An improvement in supply-demand dynamics is expected during the peak travel season [3][4]. - The industry is experiencing a high passenger load factor, with limited room for recovery in utilization rates. The supply contraction is intensifying, leading to a trend of narrowing year-on-year ticket price declines, which may improve the industry’s supply-demand relationship [14][3]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key airlines such as Air China, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, Juneyao Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines due to the anticipated recovery in air travel demand during the peak season [3][14]. Industry Supply Contraction and Ticket Price Trends - The industry’s passenger load factor remains high, with an increasing proportion of grounded aircraft. In April 2025, the industry’s Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) and Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) increased by 8.1% and 11.5% year-on-year, respectively, with a passenger load factor of 84.5%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [4][16]. - The average ticket price in June 2025 was down 5.9% year-on-year, with the average domestic ticket price for 2025 year-to-date at 837 RMB, a decline of 9.4% year-on-year [5][26]. Oil Prices and Exchange Rates - The average price of aviation kerosene in Q1 and Q2 2025 was 5,952 RMB/ton and 5,385 RMB/ton, respectively, showing a year-on-year decrease of 10.0% and 17.0%. The Brent crude oil price averaged 67.95 USD/barrel as of June 16, 2025, down 18.1% year-on-year [6][37][38]. Airline Capacity and Load Factors - In May 2025, airlines increased their international capacity, with domestic load factors remaining high. The overall ASK for major airlines showed a year-on-year increase, with international routes recovering faster than domestic routes [45][46]. - The report indicates that the passenger load factors for domestic routes exceeded those of 2019, with significant increases noted for China Eastern and China Southern Airlines on international routes [45][47].

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - The passenger load factor has reached a new high, and price expectations are improving. The civil aviation passenger volume in May 2025 showed good year-on-year performance, with major airlines experiencing an increase of over 5%, particularly Eastern Airlines with a growth of 10.8% and Spring Airlines with a 14.6% increase [4][13] - The domestic market remains stable while the international market is gradually expanding. The average daily flight volume in May 2025 was stable compared to April, with a year-on-year growth of 3.2%. Major airlines have shown slight growth in domestic routes, with Spring Airlines achieving double-digit growth [5][15] - Aircraft introduction remains low, and with the peak summer travel season approaching, the industry is expected to perform well in terms of volume and pricing. The fleet size of civil aviation is projected to grow by only 2.8% year-on-year, indicating a slow supply growth [6][25] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Basic Situation - The closing point is 2012.96, with a 52-week high of 2398.85 and a low of 1625.59 [1] Recent Operational Data - In May 2025, major airlines reported a year-on-year increase in passenger transport volume, with Eastern Airlines at 10.8% and Spring Airlines at 14.6%. The overall passenger load factor for major airlines improved by approximately 3 percentage points [4][13] - Domestic flight volume remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2%. Eastern Airlines achieved a domestic load factor of 87.2%, up 4.4 percentage points year-on-year [5][15] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the civil aviation industry, with stable pricing and improved revenue management. Recommended stocks include Spring Airlines, Juneyao Airlines, and Huaxia Airlines, with a focus on the recovery of major airlines' performance [7][29]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [6][57]. Core Insights - The report expresses a positive outlook on the aviation sector, particularly regarding the upcoming summer travel season, driven by improved demand and operational metrics [8]. - Key factors supporting this outlook include resilient domestic demand, ongoing recovery in international routes, and supply constraints in the market [8]. - The report highlights specific airlines, such as Huaxia Airlines and Spring Airlines, as leaders in the domestic regional market, while also noting the potential for China National Aviation to release elasticity in operations [8]. Summary by Sections Airline Data Analysis - In May, the overall ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) growth rates were led by Spring Airlines (11.5%), followed by Eastern Airlines (9.3%) and Southern Airlines (5.0%) [2]. - For RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers), Eastern Airlines showed the highest growth at 15.4%, with Spring Airlines at 11.7% [2]. - Cumulative data from January to May indicates Spring Airlines leading in ASK growth (8.9%) and Eastern Airlines in RPK growth (12.7%) [2]. Domestic and International Routes - Domestic routes in May saw Spring Airlines with an ASK growth of 10.9% and RPK growth of 12.0% [3]. - Internationally, Juneyao Airlines led with an ASK growth of 50.1% and RPK growth of 66.7% in May [3]. - Cumulative data for international routes from January to May shows Juneyao Airlines with a significant ASK growth of 69.5% and RPK growth of 71.2% [3]. Load Factor and Fleet Size - The load factor in May was highest for Spring Airlines at 91.1%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points [4]. - The total fleet size of the five listed airlines increased by 6 aircraft in May, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [4]. Market Performance - The aviation sector's total market capitalization is reported at 730.725 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 514.519 billion yuan [6]. - The absolute performance of the sector over the last month was -3.3%, while the relative performance was +2.8% [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation transportation sector [6]. Core Viewpoints - The aviation industry is expected to benefit from a strong summer travel season, with airlines likely to realize pricing and profit elasticity [2][5]. - The industry has shown a steady increase in capacity and passenger load factors, indicating a positive trend in operational performance [3][4]. - Airlines are anticipated to enter a profit cycle due to low supply growth and improved revenue management, alongside the appreciation of the Renminbi [2][5]. Summary by Sections Passenger Load Factors - In May, the three major airlines reported a passenger load factor of 84.1%, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, with capacity increasing by 6.0% [3][11]. - Spring Airlines achieved a load factor exceeding 90%, reflecting strong operational performance [4]. - The overall passenger load factor for the combined three major airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines was 84.6%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [11]. Revenue and Pricing - The report indicates that the average ticket price has been rising for eight consecutive weeks, suggesting a positive revenue outlook for the summer peak season [2][5]. - The domestic route average ticket price was reported at 693 RMB, showing a significant improvement compared to previous weeks [5]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in several airlines, including China National Aviation (753 HK), China Eastern Airlines (670 HK), and Spring Airlines (601021 CH), among others, with target prices set for each [9][25]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these companies indicate a favorable investment outlook [25][27].

Group 1 - Wang Yi, China's Foreign Minister, condemned Israel's attacks on Iran, emphasizing support for Iran's sovereignty and urging international efforts for peace [4] - Wang Yi also communicated with Israel's Foreign Minister, stressing the need to avoid escalation and return to diplomatic solutions regarding the Iran nuclear issue [4] - The U.S. is highlighted as the largest service trade surplus country, with a projected surplus nearing $300 billion in 2024, while the narrative of "reciprocal tariffs" is criticized as misleading [5] Group 2 - Guangzhou has fully lifted its 15-year housing market controls, including purchase, sale, and price restrictions, marking a significant policy shift [6] - The city aims to reduce housing inventory and improve the housing market by accelerating urban village renovations and facilitating the purchase of existing homes for relocation [6] Group 3 - China's first invasive brain-machine interface clinical trial has been successfully conducted, positioning the country as the second globally to enter this phase [6] - The successful launch of the "Zhang Heng No. 02" satellite enhances China's capabilities in geophysical field observation and disaster monitoring [6] Group 4 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission imposed a fine of nearly 77 million yuan on stock manipulator Tu Wenbin, who illegally profited over 36 million yuan through various trading tactics [7] - Tu Wenbin is noted as a prominent figure in the market, previously involved with several companies as a major shareholder [7] Group 5 - JD.com opened its second JD Mall in Beijing, featuring a variety of products and interactive robots, showcasing the retail sector's shift towards technology and consumer engagement [13][14] - Walmart and Amazon are exploring the issuance of their own stablecoins to reduce transaction fees and improve payment efficiency, potentially disrupting traditional payment systems [15] Group 6 - Baidu launched a large-scale recruitment initiative for AI talent, expanding its hiring by over 60% compared to previous years, indicating a strong commitment to AI development [16] - Pop Mart has temporarily suspended offline sales of LABUBU plush toys in South Korea due to safety concerns, reflecting the company's focus on consumer trust and safety [18] Group 7 - GAC Group committed to ensuring the completion of dealer rebates within two months, aiming to alleviate financial pressures on dealers and promote healthy industry development [20] - The company is responding to industry calls for better practices and support within the automotive sector [20]

在此之前，受中美关税贸易战影响，中国航司暂停接收波音飞机。 今日，波音公司向吉祥航空交付一架全新787-9飞机，这是波音时隔多时首次在其美国大本营重启向中国航司 交付飞机。 ...