Core Insights - The report from the China Index Academy indicates that the delivery scale of real estate companies in the first half of 2025 has peaked and is on a downward trend, with pressures on delivery easing in the industry [1][7]. Delivery Scale Rankings - In the first half of 2025, the top real estate company delivered over 50,000 units, with 15 companies delivering more than 10,000 units each [1]. - The delivery numbers for major companies have generally decreased compared to the same period last year, with companies like Greenland, Sunac, and Jianye experiencing declines of over 50% [1]. Company Performance - The report highlights that delivery capability has become a core competitive advantage for real estate companies, with some firms managing to gain market trust by enhancing quality and optimizing services despite the overall contraction in delivery scale [7]. Market Dynamics - The new housing market remains stable, supported by the combination of "good cities + good houses," although there has been a slight weakening in the market in the second quarter [5]. - The government is expected to take stronger measures to stabilize expectations, activate demand, optimize supply, and mitigate risks in the real estate market in the second half of the year [6]. Delivery Quality Improvement - Real estate companies are focusing on product delivery and service optimization to enhance delivery quality, utilizing methods such as open construction days and live broadcasts to build customer trust [4].

以下文章来源于石头侃房 ，作者樂无 石头侃房 . 洞察楼市信息，诉说房产百态。以媒体人的视角说房事、品房经、论房道。 导语：当区域公司早已名存实亡，撤销便成为水到渠成的选择。 大股东深铁在给万科"输血"的同时，也在逐步改变万科的骨架和基因。 7月中旬的深圳，万科总部会议室里，一场决定这家地产巨头命运的组织变革正在悄然推进。 据多个信源确认，万科将全面取消所有区域公司，将原有的"集团-区域-城市"三级管控体系彻底转变为"集团-片区"两级管控架构。 这一调整涉及北京、华东、华中、南方、西南五大区域公司及多个直管公司，核心权限如采购权收归集团，开发经营本部从上海迁回深圳。 几乎与此同时，深铁系高管辛杰接任万科董事会主席已满半年，十余名深圳国资背景干部进驻核心岗位，标志着这家曾经的 "宇宙房企"彻底进入"深铁 时代"。 这场变革不仅是万科内部的管理重构，更是国资深度介入房企治理的标志性事件，折射出房地产行业从市场化扩张向国资主导收缩的历史性转折。 深铁改写万科"基因" 深铁对万科的控制不仅停留在股权层面，更通过人事调整实现深度渗透。 2025年初的万科董事会改组，已经为今天的变革埋下伏笔。 2025年1月，郁亮辞去董 ...

| 债券代码 | | 债券简称 | | --- | --- | --- | | 149297.SZ | 万科 20 | 08 | | 149358.SZ | 21 万科 | 02 | | 149478.SZ | 21 万科 | 04 | | 149568.SZ | 万科 21 | 06 | | 149815.SZ | 22 万科 | 02 | | 149931.SZ | 22 万科 | 04 | | 149976.SZ | 22 万科 | 06 | | 148099.SZ | 22 万科 | 07 | | 148380.SZ | 23 万科 | 01 | 中信证券股份有限公司 关于万科企业股份有限公司公司债券 临时受托管理事务报告 受托管理人 广东省深圳市福田区中心三路 8 号卓越时代广场（二期）北座 签署日期：2025 年 7 月 17 日 声明 本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》《公司债券受托管理人执业行 为准则》，以及《万科企业股份有限公司 2020 年面向合格投资者公开发行公司债 券受托管理协议》《万科企业股份有限公司 2020 年面向合格投资者公开发行住房 租赁专项公司债券受托管理协议》《万科 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [3] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the real estate sector is experiencing a divergence in performance, with most companies facing a decline in earnings while a few high-quality firms are managing to improve their profitability [1][9] - The overall pre-loss range for 76 listed real estate companies is estimated to be between 35.05 billion and 47.84 billion yuan, with 61.8% of firms expected to report losses [1][9] - The report highlights a potential turning point in the industry, driven by policy support aimed at stabilizing the market and improving fundamentals [3][14] Summary by Sections 1. Company Performance Forecasts - As of July 18, 2025, 76 real estate companies have disclosed their mid-year performance forecasts, with 29 companies expecting profits and 47 anticipating losses [1][9] - Notable companies such as Poly Developments and China Overseas Development have reported significant profit declines exceeding 60% [1][9] - Some mid-sized firms like Deyue City and Chengjian Development have turned losses into profits, primarily due to high-margin project settlements [10][12] 2. Market Transaction Overview - New housing transactions for the week totaled 1.71 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13.17% [2][17] - The second-hand housing market also saw a decrease, with transactions down 7.00% year-on-year [2][17] - The land market recorded a total transaction area of 1.373 million square meters, with a total transaction value of 20.1 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 18.68% [2][17] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests prioritizing investments in non-state-owned enterprises benefiting from debt relief and policy support, as well as leading firms with product advantages [3][14] - Specific companies recommended for investment include Longfor Group, China Overseas Development, and Poly Developments, among others [3][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the real estate industry [13]. Core Insights - The policy goal of stabilizing the market has somewhat boosted market expectations, but marginal downward pressure has increased since April. The rapid decline in volume and price may have passed, with structural highlights in core areas and quality properties [6][10]. - The report identifies a significant gap in quality housing due to a high proportion of old residential buildings in key cities and the impact of price controls on the quality of new homes. This creates a foundation for product iteration and potential volume growth [3][10]. - The loosening of price controls is expected to lead to a revaluation of property prices, particularly for mid-to-high-end products, which could enhance product pricing power and profitability for developers with regional advantages and manageable inventory levels [3][10]. Market Performance - The Yangtze River Real Estate Index decreased by 1.94% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 by 3.03%, ranking 32 out of 32 industries. Year-to-date, the index is down 0.81%, with a cumulative underperformance of 3.95% compared to the CSI 300 [7][17]. - The report notes that the real estate sector has shown poor performance this week, primarily driven by declines in development stocks, while property management and rental stocks exhibited mixed results [7]. Policy Developments - The Central Urban Work Conference outlined seven key tasks, emphasizing the transition from rapid urbanization to stable development, focusing on optimizing urban systems and enhancing living conditions [8][21]. - Local policies in cities like Qingdao and Changsha are being optimized to support housing exchanges and stimulate market activity through various measures, including subsidies for home purchases and revitalizing existing land [8][21]. Sales Trends - New home and second-hand home transaction volumes in sample cities are experiencing low-level fluctuations. For instance, the transaction area for new homes in 37 cities decreased by 18.1% year-on-year, while second-hand homes in 19 cities saw a decline of 7.2% [9][22]. - Year-to-date, new home transaction areas in 37 cities are down 3.9%, while second-hand homes in 19 cities have increased by 16.3% [9][22]. Investment Opportunities - The report highlights that the real estate downcycle requires three conditions for a trend reversal: the cycle must reach a bottom, economic feedback must be positive, and policies must be sufficiently strong. Currently, these conditions are challenging to meet in the short term, with investment opportunities primarily in policy expectations and structural segments [10]. - The potential for product iteration and stable cash flow in the real estate sector is emphasized, particularly for developers with regional advantages and low inventory pressure, which may yield long-term alpha and stable profit returns [3][10].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information regarding the industry investment rating is provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the volatile market, credit bonds outperformed interest - rate bonds. Interest - rate bond yields slightly declined, while credit bond yields dropped more significantly. Credit spreads mostly decreased slightly, with the 3Y variety showing a relatively larger decline [2][5]. - Urban investment bond spreads generally compressed slightly. Spreads of external ratings AAA, AA +, and AA platforms decreased by 1BP respectively. Spreads also declined when classified by administrative levels [2][9][15]. - Most industrial bond spreads decreased. Central and state - owned enterprise real - estate bond spreads declined, mixed - ownership real - estate bond spreads decreased, and private - enterprise real - estate bond spreads increased. Spreads of coal, steel, and chemical bonds also decreased [2][18]. - The yields of secondary and perpetual bonds followed the decline of certificates of deposit, with the short - to - medium - term performing relatively strongly [2][21]. - The excess spreads of 5Y industrial bonds and 3Y urban investment bonds slightly decreased [2][24]. Summary by Directory 1. Credit Bonds Outperformed Interest - Rate Bonds in the Volatile Market - Interest - rate bond yields slightly declined. The yields of 1Y, 5Y, and 7Y China Development Bank bonds decreased by 2BP, 1BP, and 1BP respectively, while the 3Y and 10Y remained flat [2][5]. - Credit bond yields dropped more significantly. The yields of 1Y, 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, and 10Y credit bonds decreased to varying degrees [2][5]. - Credit spreads mostly decreased slightly, with the 3Y variety showing a relatively larger decline. Rating spreads and term spreads showed obvious differentiation [5]. 2. Urban Investment Bond Spreads Slightly Compressed - By external ratings, the spreads of AAA, AA +, and AA platforms decreased by 1BP respectively, with different changes in different regions [9]. - By administrative levels, the spreads of provincial, municipal, and district - level platforms decreased by 2BP, 1BP, and 1BP respectively, with different changes in different regions [15]. 3. Most Industrial Bond Spreads Decreased - Real - estate bonds: Central and state - owned enterprise real - estate bond spreads decreased by 2 - 4BP, mixed - ownership real - estate bond spreads decreased by 1BP, and private - enterprise real - estate bond spreads increased by 7BP [2][18]. - Other industrial bonds: The spreads of AAA, AA +, and AA coal bonds decreased by 2BP, 2BP, and 1BP respectively; the spreads of AAA and AA + steel bonds decreased by 2BP and 4BP respectively; and the spreads of all levels of chemical bonds decreased by 3BP [2][18]. 4. The Yields of Secondary and Perpetual Bonds Followed the Decline of Certificates of Deposit, with the Short - to - Medium - Term Performing Relatively Strongly - 1Y secondary and perpetual bonds: Yields decreased by 2 - 3BP, and spreads compressed by 1 - 2BP [21]. - 3Y secondary and perpetual bonds: The yields of secondary capital bonds decreased by 2BP, and spreads decreased by 2 - 3BP; the yields of perpetual bonds decreased by 3 - 4BP, and spreads decreased by 3 - 4BP [21]. - 5Y secondary and perpetual bonds: The yields of secondary capital bonds decreased by 1 - 2BP, and spreads compressed by 0 - 1BP; the yields of AA + and above perpetual bonds decreased by 1BP, and spreads increased by 1BP, while the yields of AA perpetual bonds decreased by 4BP, and spreads decreased by 2BP [21]. 5. The Excess Spreads of 5Y Industrial Bonds and 3Y Urban Investment Bonds Slightly Decreased - AAA 3Y industrial perpetual bond excess spreads remained at 3.82BP, at the 1.32% quantile since 2015; 5Y industrial perpetual bond excess spreads decreased by 0.86BP to 7.65BP, at the 4.18% quantile since 2015 [24]. - Urban investment AAA 3Y perpetual bond excess spreads decreased by 0.65BP to 3.75BP, at the 0.29% quantile; urban investment AAA 5Y perpetual bond excess spreads increased by 0.09BP to 10.21BP, at the 10.93% quantile [24]. 6. Credit Spread Database Compilation Instructions - Market - wide credit spreads, commercial bank secondary and perpetual spreads, and industrial/urban investment perpetual bond credit spreads are calculated based on ChinaBond medium - and short - term notes and ChinaBond perpetual bond data. Historical quantiles are since the beginning of 2015 [28]. - Industrial and urban investment bond credit spreads are compiled and statistically analyzed by Cinda Securities R & D Center, with historical quantiles since the beginning of 2015 [28]. - Specific calculation methods and sample selection criteria are provided, including how to calculate spreads, which samples to select, and which samples to exclude [31].

Core Viewpoint - Vanke is undergoing a significant organizational restructuring, moving from a multi-tiered regional company structure to a more centralized model with a focus on efficiency and reduced management layers [1][3]. Group 1: Organizational Changes - Vanke plans to abolish all regional companies, transitioning to a two-tier management system consisting of headquarters and regional general companies [1]. - The current structure includes five regional companies and two directly managed companies, which will be reduced to regional general companies similar to the Northeast and Northwest regions [1][5]. - The restructuring aims to streamline operations, reduce management levels, and enhance centralized management, with a focus on frontline business operations [1]. Group 2: Management Changes - A major leadership change is expected by the end of January 2025, with the resignation of key executives including Yu Liang and Zhu Jiusheng, and the appointment of Xin Jie from the major shareholder, Shenzhen Metro [2]. - This leadership shift is part of a broader strategy to adapt to the changing real estate market and improve organizational efficiency [2]. Group 3: Industry Context - The restructuring at Vanke is in line with trends among major real estate companies like China Resources and China Merchants, which are also reducing management layers in response to market conditions [3]. - Since 2021, the real estate industry has been shifting from aggressive expansion to a focus on core cities, leading to a reduction in the number of projects and cities managed by companies [3].

Core Insights - The cold chain logistics industry in Shanghai is experiencing significant growth driven by consumption upgrades and the explosion of fresh e-commerce [1] - Shanghai serves as an international hub, gathering leading cold chain companies that are reshaping industry standards through intelligent management and customized solutions [1] Company Summaries - **Yingmai Logistics**: A national 4A logistics enterprise, Yingmai utilizes ±0.5℃ precise temperature control technology to establish industry barriers. Its blockchain traceability system achieves a 98% judicial evidence acceptance rate, covering 18 high-end sectors and providing emergency services for over 300 multinational companies [3] - **SF Cold Chain**: With the largest cold storage cluster in the country and over 10,000 refrigerated vehicles, SF Cold Chain maintains a leading position in ultra-low temperature vaccine transportation, achieving a 99.2% next-day delivery rate for fresh products across provinces [4] - **JD Cold Chain**: Innovating e-commerce cold chain logistics, JD Cold Chain integrates storage, transportation, and distribution networks, reducing sorting error rates to 0.01% with AI dynamic routing [5] - **Rongqing Logistics**: A multi-business service giant with a million square meters of high-end storage, Rongqing leads in chemical and pharmaceutical cold chain market share, improving customs clearance efficiency by 40% [6] - **Zhengming Modern Logistics**: Operates over 80 intelligent cold storage facilities nationwide, with a temperature-controlled warehouse network of 1.3 million square meters, and has contributed to the formulation of five national standards [7] - **Sinotrans Cold Chain**: A key player in cross-border cold chain logistics, utilizing deep cold storage to streamline import cold chain customs clearance to 6 hours, with over 30% of its business in high-end products [8] - **Wanwake Cold Chain**: A leader in green and low-carbon logistics, operating 20 photovoltaic cold storage parks, achieving a carbon reduction equivalent to 12,000 trees [9] - **Xinxiahui**: A joint venture focusing on restaurant supply chains, employing advanced dynamic temperature control technology to minimize delivery loss rates to below 0.3% [9] - **ZTO Cold Chain**: A pioneer in penetrating lower-tier markets, with a network of 5,000 nodes and a blockchain traceability system ensuring freshness delivery within 48 hours [9] - **Shuanghui Logistics**: A model of industrial synergy, leveraging its parent company's advantages to build a 200,000-ton automated cold storage facility, achieving a meat cold chain loss rate of only 0.03% [10] Industry Trends - The cold chain logistics sector is being redefined by technological advancements, with companies focusing on smart energy management and ultra-low temperature transportation for biopharmaceuticals [12] - As ESG standards are implemented and global supply chains upgrade, leading companies are expected to drive cold chain logistics from a cost center to an industry value engine [12]

Group 1 - The core message highlights Shenzhen's innovative use of robots for cargo delivery via the subway, marking a global first in this technology [3][6] - The initiative aims to reduce carbon emissions by utilizing the subway during non-peak hours for transportation [3][6] - The collaboration between Shenzhen Metro Group and Vanke showcases the integration of AI scheduling algorithms and robotic technology for unmanned delivery [6] Group 2 - The video of robots riding the subway has gained significant attention on social media, with hundreds of likes and shares, indicating strong public interest [4][6] - Previous endorsements by the spokesperson for Shenzhen's high-tech initiatives, such as the "magic library," demonstrate a consistent effort to promote the city's technological advancements on international platforms [7][9] - Shenzhen's technological innovations are reshaping global perceptions and enhancing the city's image as a hub of cutting-edge technology [9]

万科企业股份有限公司 2021 年面向专业投资者公开发行 住房租赁专项公司债券（第三期）（品种二） 2025 年付息公告 证券代码： 证券简称： 公告编号：〈万〉2025-106 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 重要提示： 债券简称：21 万科 06 债券代码：149568 债权登记日：2025 年 7 月 25 日 付息日：2025 年 7 月 28 日（2025 年 7 月 26 日为休息日，顺延至其后的第 计息期间：2024 年 7 月 26 日至 2025 年 7 月 25 日 万科企业股份有限公司 2021 年面向专业投资者公开发行住房租赁专项公司 债券（第三期）（品种二）将于 2025 年 7 月 28 日支付自 2024 年 7 月 26 日至 如下： 一、本期债券的基本情况 租赁专项公司债券（第三期）（品种二）（以下简称"本期债券"）。 择权和投资者回售选择权）。 券登记机构的有关规定统计债券持有人名单，本息支付方式及其他具体安排按照 债券登记机构的相关规定办理。 发行人有权决定在本期债券存续期的第 5 年末行使本期债券赎回选择权。 ...