Core Insights - The report highlights the continuous prosperity of AI applications across various sectors, including gaming, advertising, and education, with significant advancements in multi-modal interaction and video generation technologies [3][31][34] - The gaming market is projected to show steady growth in 2025, driven by quality content and IP, with a notable increase in the issuance of game licenses, totaling 1,772 for the year, which injects vitality into the industry [3][16][18] - The film industry is expected to recover, with short dramas and AI-generated content gaining popularity, while the overall film market is projected to reach a total box office of 51.82 billion yuan, a 21.9% increase year-on-year [4][54][58] AI Applications - AI applications are thriving, with products like Ant Group's Lingguang, Tencent's Mixuan Game 2.0, and Kuaishou's Keling driving content creation and marketing [3][31][37] - The report emphasizes the importance of user growth, technological iteration, and commercialization progress in the AI sector [3][31] Gaming Sector - The gaming market in China is expected to achieve a sales revenue of 350.79 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.68% [16] - The report notes a significant increase in the number of game licenses issued, with 1,676 domestic and 96 imported licenses granted in 2025, indicating a robust supply [18] - Innovative gameplay, such as the "search, fight, retreat" model, is highlighted as a key driver for user growth, with successful titles like "Delta Force" and "Supernatural Action Group" leading the way [24][21] Film and Television Sector - The short drama market is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated market size of 533 billion yuan in 2025, a 113% increase from 2024 [4][67] - The film market is expected to recover, with a total box office of 51.82 billion yuan in 2025, supported by strong performances from both blockbuster and mid-tier films [54][58] - The report indicates that the television industry may see a revival due to new policies from the National Radio and Television Administration, which aim to increase content supply [63] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three main areas for investment in 2026: AI applications, gaming, and both short and long dramas [4][81] - Specific companies highlighted for potential investment include Kaiying Network, which is expected to benefit from new game launches and ongoing AI application developments [4][80]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report indicates a decrease in the heavy allocation ratio of A-share media stocks by public funds, with a concentration decline [4] - The report highlights a shift in fund allocation towards the news publishing sector, while gaming and advertising sectors saw reductions [4] - The report suggests continued focus on segments with favorable market conditions and AI industry logic, particularly in gaming and IP derivatives [4] Summary by Sections A-share Media Fund Heavy Allocation Ratio Decline - In Q4 2025, the heavy allocation ratio for A-share media stocks was 1.32%, down from 2.56% in Q3 2025, a decrease of 1.24 percentage points [13] - For A+H shares, the allocation ratio was 4.41%, down from 5.99%, a decrease of 1.58 percentage points [13] Changes in Fund Allocation by Sector - The gaming sector's allocation decreased from 67.34% in Q3 2025 to 65.20% in Q4 2025, a drop of 2.14 percentage points [27] - The advertising sector's allocation fell from 24.35% to 22.41%, a decrease of 1.94 percentage points [27] - The news publishing sector saw an increase in allocation from 1.93% to 6.29%, an increase of 4.35 percentage points [27] Concentration of A-share Media Heavy Holdings - The top five heavy holdings in the A-share media sector accounted for 78.48% of the total heavy holdings value, down 6.57 percentage points [42] - The top ten heavy holdings accounted for 88.04%, down 4.93 percentage points [42] Hong Kong Internet Sector Fund Holdings - In Q4 2025, companies like DaMai Entertainment and Meituan-W saw increased holdings, while Kuaishou-W and Pop Mart experienced reductions [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on segments with favorable market conditions and AI applications, particularly in gaming and long video sectors [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, highlighting its strong performance relative to the market [1][9]. Core Insights - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to benefit from the Spring Festival and the AI Spring Festival Gala, with diverse film offerings catering to various audience preferences. The integration of AI in cinema operations and new interactive experiences is anticipated to explore new commercial boundaries [3][4][15]. - The AI Spring Festival Gala is expected to reignite interest in AI applications and competition for new traffic entry points, with various AI-driven apps emerging to enhance digital marketing and e-commerce [3][4][16][17]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing transformation in the media landscape driven by technological advancements, particularly in AI, which is expected to create new business models and content production paradigms [3][4][16]. Industry Overview - The media industry has shown strong performance, with a 50.7% increase over the past 12 months compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which only increased by 22.7% [1]. - The report notes that the film market is set to feature four major films for the Spring Festival, with themes ranging from national security to family-friendly animation, indicating a diverse content supply [15]. - The gaming sector is experiencing growth, with the market for legendary games projected to exceed 400 billion yuan in 2026, driven by technological advancements and the proliferation of mini-games [23][24]. Recommended Stocks and Rationale - The report recommends several stocks, including Wanda Film (002739), Mango Super Media (300413), and BlueFocus Communication Group (300058), citing their strong positions in the industry and potential for growth [4][9]. - Specific companies are highlighted for their innovative approaches, such as Wanda Film's integration of AI in its operations and the development of new interactive entertainment experiences [15][16]. - The report also mentions the potential of companies like Bilibili (9626.HK) and Tencent (0700.HK) to leverage AI technologies in their marketing strategies [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, highlighting strong performance compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 indices [1][9]. Core Insights - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to benefit from the Spring Festival and the AI Spring Festival Gala, with diverse film offerings catering to various audience preferences. The cinema industry is actively embracing AI and exploring new commercial boundaries [3][15]. - The AI Spring Festival Gala is anticipated to reignite interest in AI applications and competition for new traffic entry points, with various AI-driven apps emerging to enhance digital marketing and e-commerce [3][16][17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of quality content in driving audience demand amidst increasing competition from other entertainment options, suggesting that cinema operators must innovate to maintain competitiveness [15]. Industry Overview - The media industry has shown significant growth, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index reflecting varying performance levels [14]. - The report notes that the film industry in China is projected to generate substantial revenue, with the total industry output expected to exceed 8,172.59 billion yuan in 2025, indicating a robust market [28]. Recommended Stocks and Rationale - Key stocks to watch include: - Wanda Film (002739): Leading cinema chain participating in the Spring Festival lineup [4]. - Mango Super Media (300413): Benefiting from historical drama series [4]. - BlueFocus Communication Group (300058): Innovating in AI-driven marketing [4]. - Shanghai Film (601595): Engaging in AI collaborations to enhance content creation [4]. - The report suggests that these companies are well-positioned to leverage AI advancements and capitalize on the upcoming Spring Festival [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the cultural communication industry [1]. Core Insights - The upcoming launch of ChatGPT advertisements and the significant growth of Kuaishou's Keling AI, which has surpassed 12 million monthly active users, indicate a rapid commercialization of AI applications [3][6]. - The report highlights the continuous iteration of Keling AI's products, which has contributed to its user growth and revenue increase, with a monthly revenue exceeding 20 million USD in December 2025 [12][15]. - The report emphasizes the potential for innovative advertising models and content creation in the AI sector, suggesting a favorable outlook for both consumer and business applications [15]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The media index increased by 1.9756% from January 16 to January 23, 2026, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which decreased by 0.62% [16]. - The report recommends focusing on vertical segments with high growth potential, listing companies such as Kailing Network, 37 Interactive Entertainment, and Perfect World as key investment targets [16]. AI Developments - OpenAI's advertisement testing is limited to adult users in the U.S. using the free version or the new "ChatGPT Go" subscription, ensuring that paid users and minors do not see ads [6][9]. - The advertisement model will charge based on impressions (CPM), differentiating it from traditional click-based models [7]. Keling AI Performance - Keling AI's monthly active users reached over 12 million as of January 2026, driven by product updates and features like motion control [12][15]. - The app ranked first in download charts in multiple countries and saw a 350% increase in paid users month-over-month [15]. Market Trends - The report notes a strong demand for AI applications in both consumer and business sectors, with expectations for innovative advertising and content creation models [15]. - The report suggests that the gaming and entertainment sectors are likely to benefit from advancements in AI technology, with a focus on new content formats and user engagement strategies [15].

Group 1 - The gaming sector experienced a slight increase of 0.45% on January 23, with Youzu Interactive leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14439.66, up 0.79% [1] - Major stocks in the gaming sector showed varied performance, with Youzu Interactive closing at 12.85, up 5.85%, and Kunlun Wanwei at 55.74, up 4.28% [1] Group 2 - The gaming sector saw a net inflow of 442 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 584 million yuan [2] - Key stocks such as Kunlun Wanwei and Giant Network had significant net inflows of 827 million yuan and 164 million yuan, respectively, from institutional investors [3] - Youzu Interactive had a net inflow of 60.02 million yuan from institutional investors, despite a net outflow of 34.54 million yuan from retail investors [3] Group 3 - The gaming ETF (product code: 159869) tracking the China Animation and Gaming Index saw a decline of 3.54% over the past five days, with a current P/E ratio of 41.48 [5] - The gaming ETF's latest share count increased to 8.84 billion, with a net redemption of 310 million yuan [5]

Group 1 - The AI application ecosystem is deepening, with policies enabling computing power upgrades, as Alibaba's Qianwen App integrates with various services, marking a shift from technical capabilities to user-perceived commercial applications [1] - Walmart announced the integration of Google's generative AI chatbot Gemini into its shopping process, enhancing consumer experience in product discovery and purchasing [1] - OpenAI plans to test ChatGPT advertisements in the U.S. for free and entry-level subscription users, indicating a move towards monetizing AI capabilities [1] Group 2 - Guosen Securities is optimistic about GEO (AI-generated engine optimization) reshaping the traffic and content service ecosystem, suggesting investment opportunities in the media sector driven by AI applications [2] - Douyin's giant engine reported a peak daily consumption of 30 million in the comic drama sector, with a projected market size of 22 billion yuan by 2026, reflecting high industry vitality [2] - AI technology is deeply integrated into the comic drama pipeline, significantly reducing costs and increasing efficiency, while top AI dramas enhance commercial value through copyright distribution [2] Group 3 - As of January 23, 2026, the CSI Media Index rose by 2.71%, with the Media ETF (512980) increasing by 3.39%, indicating strong market performance [3] - The Media ETF saw a significant scale increase of 60.78 million yuan in the past week, with a notable share growth of 24.6 million shares [3] - The Media ETF closely tracks the CSI Media Index, which includes major GEO concept stocks, with GEO weight exceeding 32% [3]

Core Insights - The Chinese mobile gaming industry is experiencing significant growth in research and development (R&D) investments, with the top 20 companies projected to invest over 99 billion yuan in 2024, marking an 8.8% year-on-year increase [1] - The domestic revenue from self-developed games is expected to exceed 260 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 1.7% increase compared to the previous year [4] - The overseas revenue from self-developed games is anticipated to surpass 18.5 billion USD in 2024, showing a 13.39% year-on-year growth [6] R&D Investments - The total R&D investment by the top 20 mobile gaming companies in China is projected to reach 99.02 billion yuan in 2024, with a continuous increase from 2017 to 2024 [1] - The number of R&D personnel in these companies has shown a declining trend, with a total of 15,721 employees in 2024, down by 1.66% year-on-year [3] - The median percentage of R&D personnel in the top 20 companies is 47.24% in 2024, which is a decrease of 5.97 percentage points from the previous year [3] Domestic Revenue - The actual sales revenue from self-developed games in the domestic market is projected to be 260.736 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 1.7% increase year-on-year [4] - The growth in domestic revenue is attributed to the expanding and maturing domestic gaming market, with companies focusing on self-developed games to capture market opportunities [4] Overseas Revenue - The overseas revenue from self-developed games is expected to reach 18.557 billion USD in 2024, marking a 13.39% increase compared to the previous year [6] - The overseas revenue has consistently exceeded 100 billion yuan for five consecutive years, driven by advancements in cloud gaming and AI technologies [6] - The primary markets for overseas revenue are the United States, Japan, and South Korea, contributing 31.06%, 17.32%, and 8.89% respectively to the total overseas income [8]

Market Overview - The gaming sector experienced a slight increase of 0.0% on January 22, with Mingchen Health leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Mingchen Health (002919) closed at 26.91, with a rise of 6.41% and a trading volume of 150,400 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 398 million yuan [1] - Other notable gainers included Shunwang Technology (300113) with a 2.35% increase, and Electric Soul Network (603258) with a 1.95% increase [1] - Conversely, stocks like Kaiying Network (002517) and Giant Network (002558) saw declines of 2.27% and 1.91%, respectively [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The gaming sector saw a net outflow of 222 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 97.08 million yuan [2] - Notable net inflows from retail investors were observed in stocks like Kunlun Wanwei (300418) and Yaoji Technology (002605) [3] ETF Performance - The Gaming ETF (159869) tracking the China Animation and Gaming Index decreased by 4.62% over the past five days, with a net redemption of 200 million yuan [5] - The Food and Beverage ETF (515170) saw a slight decline of 2.34% and an increase in shares by 4.5 million [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [4][38]. Core Insights - The media industry has shown a 3.44% increase, outperforming both the CSI 300 (-0.57%) and the ChiNext Index (1.00%) during the week of January 12-16 [11][12]. - Key companies that performed well include Yidian Tianxia, Liou Shares, People’s Daily, and Visual China, while companies like ST Fanli, Liansheng Technology, Beitou Technology, and Diguang Media faced declines [11][12]. - Bilibili launched a one-stop AI marketing tool, "Bilibili Bid," aimed at enhancing advertising efficiency for brands [15][16]. - Google’s Veo 3.1 received a significant upgrade, improving its video generation capabilities [15][16]. - OpenAI released the GPT-5.2 Codex programming model, enhancing its performance for complex software development tasks [15][16]. - The Qianwen App introduced over 400 new features, covering various services from food delivery to AI tutoring [17]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector's performance ranked third among all sectors, with a notable increase of 3.44% [11][12][13]. Key Company Updates - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Yidian Tianxia and Liou Shares, with significant weekly gains [11][12]. - The report provides earnings forecasts for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for firms like Kayi Network and Jibite [4][38]. Market Trends - The film box office for the week was 259 million yuan, with top films including "Nishan" (58 million yuan), "Zootopia 2" (53 million yuan), and "Avatar 3" (45 million yuan) [17][19]. - In the gaming sector, the top-grossing mobile games in December 2025 were "Whiteout Survival," "Gossip Harbor: Merge & Story," and "Kingshot" [26][27]. AI and Technology Developments - The report emphasizes the acceleration of AI applications in the media industry, particularly in marketing and content creation [3][36]. - Companies are encouraged to explore investment opportunities in AI-driven sectors, including AI marketing and content services [3][36].