Group 1 - On February 3, the A-share gaming sector experienced a dramatic V-shaped reversal, with companies like Century Huatong (002602 SZ) initially seeing stock declines due to rumors of increased taxes on internet value-added services, but later rebounding after the rumors were debunked [1] - During the morning session on February 3, several A-share gaming stocks fell, with Century Huatong dropping over 8%, while other companies like 37 Interactive Entertainment (002555 SZ) and Giant Network (002558 SZ) also saw declines. However, by the end of the day, the gaming sector index rose over 3% [1] - The initial drop in stock prices was attributed to rumors suggesting that the financial and internet value-added services, including in-game purchases and advertising, might be targeted for tax rate adjustments, similar to the liquor tax rates [1] Group 2 - On January 31, the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced adjustments to the VAT tax rates, increasing the rate for telecom services from 6% to 9%, which could impact the revenue and profits of telecom operators [2] - Various debunking messages emerged on February 3, clarifying that the definition of value-added telecom services excludes mobile data and broadband access services, and that the rumors about gaming tax rates aligning with liquor taxes were based on a misunderstanding of different tax types [3] - Game companies reported that they had not received any official documents regarding tax rate adjustments, and there were no recent meetings or discussions on the topic, indicating skepticism about the validity of the tax increase rumors [3]

Genie3 是否会对游戏及引擎公司造成商业 冲击？ ——游戏行业点评 传媒行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 国家/地区 中国 行业 传媒行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 03 日 看好（维持） | 项雯倩 | 执业证书编号：S0860517020003 | | --- | --- | | | 香港证监会牌照：BQP120 | | | xiangwenqian@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 李雨琪 | 执业证书编号：S0860520050001 | | | 香港证监会牌照：BQP135 | | | liyuqi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 金沐阳 | 执业证书编号：S0860525030001 | | | 021-63326320 | | 沈熠 | | | --- | --- | | | 执业证书编号：S0860124120005 | | | shenyi1@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | | | | 全栈式 AI 文娱工具陆续上线，平台型产品 | 202 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media and internet industry, indicating expected performance above the market index by over 10% [5][40]. Core Insights - The media industry has shown a weekly increase of 0.32%, outperforming both the CSI 300 index (0.08%) and the ChiNext index (-0.09%) during the week of January 26 to February 1 [1][11]. - Key companies that performed well include Tiandi Online, Hengdian Film, Yinsai Group, and Dingsheng Co., while companies like Giant Network and Baina Qiancheng faced declines [1][11]. - The report highlights the success of AI applications and game IPs, particularly the popularity of the Clawdbot AI project and the DeepSeek-OCR2 document recognition model [2][15][16]. - The report emphasizes the potential for investment in AI marketing and gaming sectors, suggesting a focus on companies like Giant Network, Jibite, and Kayi Network for their promising product cycles and performance [4][36]. Industry Performance - The media sector ranked 9th in terms of weekly performance among all sectors, with notable increases in stock prices for companies like Tiandi Online (51% increase) and Hengdian Film (32% increase) [11][12]. - The top three films at the box office during the week generated a total of 2.57 billion yuan, with "Zootopia 2" leading at 0.41 billion yuan [3][19]. - In the gaming sector, the top three mobile games in December 2025 were "Whiteout Survival" by Diandian Interactive, "Gossip Harbor: Merge & Story" by Lemon Microfun, and "Kingshot" by Diandian Interactive [26][27]. Company Earnings Forecast and Investment Ratings - Key companies with an "Outperform" rating include: - Kayi Network (24.92 yuan, market cap 532 million yuan, EPS 1.01 for 2025E) [5][38]. - Jibite (455.00 yuan, market cap 328 million yuan, EPS 22.92 for 2025E) [5][38]. - Sanqi Interactive (26.52 yuan, market cap 587 million yuan, EPS 1.38 for 2025E) [5][38].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media and internet industry, indicating expected performance above the market index by over 10% [5][40]. Core Insights - The media industry saw a weekly increase of 0.32%, outperforming both the CSI 300 index (0.08%) and the ChiNext index (-0.09%) during the week of January 26 to January 30 [1][11]. - Key highlights include the popularity of the AI project Clawdbot, the release of the DeepSeek-OCR2 document recognition model, and the success of new products from Pop Mart [2][4][17]. - The report emphasizes the potential of AI applications in marketing and content services, particularly in the context of the GEO restructuring and commercialization efforts [4][36]. Industry Performance - The media sector ranked 9th in terms of weekly performance among all sectors, with notable gainers including Tiandi Online (up 51%), Hengdian Film (up 32%), and Insai Group (up 28%) [11][12]. - Conversely, companies like Giant Network and Baida Qiancheng experienced significant declines [11][12]. Key Company Forecasts and Ratings - Key companies with "Outperform" ratings include: - Kaiying Network (24.92 CNY, market cap 532 million CNY, EPS 1.01 for 2025E) [5][38] - G-bits (455.00 CNY, market cap 328 million CNY, EPS 22.92 for 2025E) [5][38] - 37 Interactive Entertainment (26.52 CNY, market cap 587 million CNY, EPS 1.38 for 2025E) [5][38] Important Data Tracking - The box office for the week of January 26 to February 1 reached 257 million CNY, with top films including "Zootopia 2" (41 million CNY, 16.0% market share) and "Water Pipe" (63 million CNY, 13.8% market share) [3][19]. - In the gaming sector, the top three mobile games by revenue in December 2025 were Point Interactive's "Whiteout Survival," Lemon Micro's "Gossip Harbor: Merge & Story," and Point Interactive's "Kingshot" [26][27]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on AI applications and the gaming sector for investment opportunities, particularly in companies that are expected to benefit from AI-driven marketing and product cycles [4][36].

Core Viewpoint - The market reacted negatively to rumors suggesting that the financial and internet value-added services sectors, including gaming, might face tax rate adjustments similar to those applied to liquor, leading to a decline in stock prices for major companies like Tencent and others in the gaming sector [1][10]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On February 3, the A-share gaming sector experienced a significant drop, with Century Huatong's stock falling over 9%, and other major gaming stocks like Kaixin Network, Giant Network, and 37 Interactive Entertainment also declining [1][10]. - Following the initial drop, gaming stocks rebounded, with Shunwang Technology rising by 14.65%, and other companies like Xunyou Technology, Zhejiang Shuju, and Perfect World seeing increases of over 5% [1][10]. Group 2: Tax Rumors and Industry Response - Industry insiders have confirmed that there has been no official communication regarding tax rate adjustments, indicating that the rumors are likely unfounded [5][14]. - A representative from a leading gaming company stated that no formal documents or meetings regarding tax adjustments have been received, further supporting the notion that the rumors lack credibility [5][14]. - According to a report from Everbright Securities, the rumors are based on a misunderstanding of tax categories, as the proposed comparison between gaming and liquor tax rates is misleading [6][15]. Group 3: Tax Policy Context - The current tax rate for financial services and modern services, including gaming and advertising, is set at 6%, contrasting with the 9% rate applicable to basic telecommunications and construction sectors [6][15]. - The recent tax rate adjustment announced by the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation only pertains to basic telecommunications services, not affecting financial or internet value-added services [6][15]. - The prevailing policy focus is on stabilizing growth and promoting innovation, suggesting that significant tax increases in key sectors would contradict current governmental objectives [7][16].

2月3日，恺英网络跌5.05%，截至发稿，报22.39元/股，成交10.43亿元，换手率2.37%，总市值478.35亿 元。 资料显示，恺英网络股份有限公司位于上海市浦东新区耀华路899号世博耀华商务中心A座15层，成立 日期2000年1月3日，上市日期2010年12月7日，公司主营业务涉及1)游戏业务:手游与页游等精品娱乐内 容的研发、运营及发行;(2)平台业务:网页游戏平台、移动应用分发平台的运营。主营业务收入构成为： 移动游戏73.03%，信息服务25.47%，网页游戏1.50%，其他业务0.00%。 南方中证500ETF（510500）成立日期2013年2月6日，最新规模1446.9亿。今年以来收益7.7%，同类排 名716/5562；近一年收益46.3%，同类排名1226/4285；成立以来收益171.03%。 截至发稿，崔蕾累计任职时间7年90天，现任基金资产总规模1370.2亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 279.97%， 任职期间最差基金回报-15.93%。 南方中证500ETF（510500）基金经理为罗文杰。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the media industry [2][26]. Core Insights - The integration of "Intangible Cultural Heritage + Gaming" by Kaiying Network is highlighted as a key innovation, aiming to create a platform for showcasing traditional skills to younger audiences through digital technology [4][23]. - BlueFocus Media has been recognized as Pinterest's "Annual Growth Partner," indicating a successful collaboration in overseas marketing [17][18]. - The first overseas Chinese film festival, the "China-Mali Film Festival," showcased seven Chinese films, with four produced by Hengdian Film, emphasizing the cultural exchange between China and Mali [19][20]. Summary by Sections Industry News - BlueFocus Media received the "Annual Growth Partner" award from Pinterest for its performance in overseas marketing, marking a deeper collaboration [17][18]. - The "China-Mali Film Festival" took place in Mali, featuring seven Chinese films, enhancing cultural ties [19][20]. Key Company Announcements - Kaiying Network's collaboration with Zhejiang Cultural Property Exchange for the "Remarkable Legend" project was officially launched, focusing on the fusion of intangible cultural heritage and gaming [4][23]. - Tianlong Group signed a guarantee contract to enhance the financial efficiency of its subsidiaries [21]. - Yidian Tianxia plans to invest in a new venture capital partnership, focusing on emerging industries like AI and new materials [22]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with competitive advantages in digital asset operations, overseas brand services, and high-quality content exports. Key areas include: 1. AI technology empowerment in the gaming industry, recommending companies like Kaiying Network and Tencent [26]. 2. The release of IP value, with a focus on AoFei Entertainment [26]. 3. Recovery in the film industry, recommending companies like Huace Film and Wanda Film [26].

Group 1 - The AI social platform Moltbook has gained significant popularity overseas, featuring 1.5 million AI agents engaging in discussions across thousands of forums, mimicking human social patterns [1][3] - Tencent's AI platform Yuanbao launched a cash red envelope activity on February 1, leading to a surge in downloads, topping the iPhone app rankings on the same day [2][3] - The advancements in large model reasoning and multi-modal capabilities indicate a strong foundation for human-like interactions in AI social platforms, suggesting a pathway from niche applications to broader social engagement [1][3] Group 2 - Google announced the public testing of its world model Genie3, allowing users to create real-time interactive virtual worlds through natural language dialogue, enhancing game development accessibility [4] - The launch of Taptap Maker by Xindong Company enables game creators to develop games directly within a chat interface, significantly lowering the barriers to game development [4] - The gaming sector is expected to benefit from AI advancements, with recommendations to focus on companies with strong platform attributes, including Xindong Company and others [4]

Industry Dynamics - The first batch of game licenses for 2026 has been officially issued, totaling 182 games, including 177 domestic games and 5 imported games, marking a high value for recent years [3][4] - Notable games that received licenses include NetEase's "Yao Yao Chess," 37 Interactive's "Douluo Dalu: Qicheng," and Giant Network's "Moonlight Night: Master Duel" [4] Company Updates - NetEase's "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" won multiple awards at the 2025 TapTap Annual Game Awards, including Best Game and Best Narrative [5] - Century Huatong forecasts a revenue of approximately 38 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 68%, with net profit expected to surge by 357.47% to 475.34% [6] - Perfect World anticipates turning a profit in 2025, projecting a net profit of 720 million to 760 million yuan [7] - Gigabit expects a net profit of 1.69 billion to 1.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79% to 97% [8] - Glacier Network predicts a turnaround with a net profit of 436 million to 516 million yuan, recovering from a loss of 247 million yuan in the previous year [9] - Electric Soul Network forecasts a loss of 160 million to 230 million yuan for 2025, marking its first annual loss since going public [10] - NetEase's Montreal studio has reportedly undergone layoffs, primarily affecting the quality assurance department [11] Overseas and Compliance - Valve, the parent company of Steam, is facing a collective lawsuit in the UK, accused of abusing its dominant position in the PC gaming market, with claims for damages amounting to 6.56 billion pounds (approximately 62.40 billion yuan) [12] - Google has launched a new interactive world AI creation tool, Project Genie, which allows users to generate playable 3D environments [13] - Ubisoft plans to lay off up to 200 employees at its Paris headquarters following a restructuring announcement [14]

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report highlights that the recent volatility in gold and silver prices is primarily driven by market momentum reversals, with silver attracting high leverage and speculative funds since November 2025 [2][5] - The report anticipates that after the appointment of the new Federal Reserve Chairman, there will be more interest rate cuts than the market expects, with short-term U.S. Treasury yields likely to decline [2][4] - The report notes that the recent decline in the manufacturing PMI does not indicate a weakening economy, as it reflects a temporary fluctuation rather than a downward trend [10] Group 2: Commodity Market Analysis - The report indicates that the recent crash in silver prices has led to liquidity risks that may spread to other commodities, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [5][6] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the support levels for gold prices, particularly the 60-day moving average, which is currently at $4,400 per ounce [5] - The report suggests that the Shanghai Futures Exchange has implemented measures to manage the risk of a one-sided market in silver futures [5] Group 3: Equity Market Outlook - The report predicts a rebound in the A-share market following the Spring Festival, driven by positive sentiment from performance forecasts and new developments in sectors like AI applications and commercial aerospace [6][10] - It advises a balanced ETF allocation in domestic equities, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the market [11] Group 4: Bond Market Perspective - The report notes that the bond market is expected to see increased buying activity due to risk aversion and expectations of monetary easing, with 10-year yields projected to decline to around 1.80% [7][10] - It highlights that the recent adjustments in risk appetite have created trading opportunities in government bonds as a hedge against stock market volatility [4][7]