Muyuan Foods (002714)

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农产品研究跟踪系列报告(168):新一轮牛价上涨已开启,看好牧业大周期景气向上
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-06 14:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector [1][5][4]. Core Views - The report is optimistic about the reversal of the livestock cycle in 2025, with expectations of a simultaneous rise in domestic and international beef and milk prices [3][4]. - The pet consumption sector is identified as a growing industry that will benefit from demographic changes [3]. - The feed industry, particularly Haida Group, is expected to achieve excess returns due to the recovery in aquaculture [3]. - The report anticipates sustained profitability in the pig farming sector due to limited expansion intentions, with a focus on undervalued leading companies [3]. - The poultry sector is expected to see a long-term increase in consumption, with yellow chicken likely to benefit first from improved domestic demand [3]. Summary by Sections Livestock - Beef prices have started to rise, with the average price at 59.75 CNY/kg as of August 1, 2025, reflecting a 0.88% increase week-on-week and a 28.49% increase year-on-year [1][14]. - The pig market shows stable production capacity, with prices at 14.19 CNY/kg, up 0.78% week-on-week, and a forecast for continued price stability into 2025 [1][13]. Poultry - White chicken supply has slightly increased, with prices at 6.70 CNY/kg, up 0.6% week-on-week [1][14]. - Yellow chicken prices are stable, with potential benefits from domestic demand improvements [1][14]. Feed - Soybean meal prices are at 2998 CNY/ton, up 1.15% week-on-week, with a favorable supply-demand outlook [2][16]. - Corn prices are at 2401 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.12% week-on-week but a 0.67% increase year-on-year [2][16]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Livestock: YouRan Agriculture, Modern Agriculture, China Shengmu, Guangming Meat [3][4]. - Pets: Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., RuiPu Bio [3]. - Feed: Haida Group [3]. - Swine: Dekang Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, Huazhong Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, Bangji Technology, Shennong Group, New Five Feng, Juxing Agriculture, Tangrenshen, Tiankang Biological [3]. - Poultry: Lihua Co., Yisheng Co., Shengnong Development [3]. - Animal Health: Keqian Biological, Huisheng Biological [3]. - Planting Chain: Hainan Rubber, Qianyuan High-Tech, Fengle Seed Industry, Longping High-Tech [3].
牧原股份:股东秦英林解除质押2300万股
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-06 13:03
北京商报讯(记者 郭秀娟 实习记者 王悦彤) 8月6日,牧原股份发布公告称,公司股东秦英林于8月5日 将其所持有的2300万股本公司股份解除质押,占公司总股本比例为0.42%,质权人为招商证券股份有限 公司。截至公告披露日,秦英林合计持有20.86亿股公司股份,累计质押0股;累计质押股份占公司总股 本的0.00%,占该股东持股数的0.00%。 ...
8月券商金股名单公布 成长与周期或轮动表现
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 12:42
8月伊始,各大 券商 密集发布最新金股推荐名单。随着中报季的深入展开,A股市场迎来新一轮投资布局。其中,电子、 生物医药 等科技成长板块仍保 持较高权重,而 有色金属 、基础化工等顺周期板块关注度显著提升;同时,券商普遍预计8月市场将呈现震荡上行格局,成长与周期板块有望轮动表现。 东方财富 、 牧原股份 并列榜首 据不完全统计,截至2025年8月6日,已有42家券商发布了8月金股组合,累计推荐493次,涉及286只A股标的,其中主板187只、创业板48只、科创板50 只、北交所1只。与7月相比,8月金股推荐呈现量价齐升态势,行业配置方面电子、生物医药持续领跑,有色金属、基础化工等顺周期板块关注度显著提 从金股推荐频次来看,8月,东方财富、牧原股份均被7家券商推荐,并列金股榜首。洛阳钼业紧随其后,获6家券商推荐;获得5家券商推荐的个股包括 中芯国际 、万华化学和 新华 保险 ;获得4家券商推荐的个股包括 新易盛 、 沪电股份 和 东鹏饮料 。 从这些被多次推荐的金股具备以下共同特点:①行业地位稳固:细分领域龙头,具备定价权或技术壁垒;②盈利能见度高:中报业绩验证或行业景气度支 持业绩增长预期;③政策与产业共振: ...
牧原股份:7月商品猪销售收入116亿元,同比下降10.4%
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-08-06 12:41
新京报贝壳财经讯 8月5日,牧原股份发布2025年7月份销售简报。公告显示,牧原股份7月份销售商品 猪635.5万头,同比变动13.02%(其中向全资子公司牧原肉食品有限公司及其子公司合计销售商品猪 237.7万头);商品猪销售均价14.30元/公斤,同比下降21.86%;商品猪销售收入116.39亿元,同比下降 10.41%。 编辑 杨娟娟 ...
牧原股份前7月生猪销售收入达825亿元 生猪出栏完成全年目标约六成
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-08-06 09:10
长江商报奔腾新闻记者 潘瑞冬 "猪茅"牧原股份(002714.SZ)的最新生猪出栏情况出炉。 8月5日晚间,牧原股份发布7月销售简报,2025年7月份,公司销售商品猪635.5万头,同比变动 13.02%,其中向全资子公司牧原肉食品有限公司及其子公司合计销售商品猪237.7万头;商品猪销售均 价14.30元/公斤,同比变动-21.86%;商品猪销售收入116.39亿元,同比变动-10.41%。2025年7月份,公 司销售仔猪110.6万头,销售种猪3.6万头。 2025年以来,公司的盈利能力持续提升。公司预计上半年实现归母净利润102亿元至107亿元,同比增长 1129.97%至1190.26%;实现扣非净利润106亿元至111亿元,同比增长882.95%至929.31%。 今年第一季度,牧原股份归母净利润、扣非净利润分别为44.91亿元、45.09亿元。据此可见,第二季度 归母净利润、扣非净利润较第一季度也将有明显增长。 据了解,养殖成本是牧原股份穿越周期的护城河之一。2025年5月16日,牧原股份曾透露,今年4月,公 司养殖成本已达到12.4元/公斤,此前提出的"头均600元"降本目标已实现三分之二,公司 ...
中证沪港深互联互通综合主要消费指数报10037.55点,前十大权重包含山西汾酒等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-06 08:33
金融界8月6日消息,上证指数低开高走,中证沪港深互联互通综合主要消费指数 (沪港深通消费综合, H30482)报10037.55点。 从中证沪港深互联互通综合主要消费指数持仓样本的行业来看,酒占比37.62%、食品占比27.64%、养 殖占比16.77%、软饮料占比8.13%、美容护理占比3.73%、种植占比2.90%、家庭用品占比2.00%、烟草 占比1.22%。 资料显示,该指数系列样本每半年调整一次,样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五 的下一交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整,调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一 个定期调整日前,权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对该指数系列样本进行临时调整。当样本退市 时,将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理,参照计算与维护细则处 理。当中证沪港深500指数、中证沪港深互联互通中小综合指数和中证沪港深互联互通综合指数样本发 生变动时,将进行相应调整。 数据统计显示,中证沪港深互联互通综合主要消费指数近一个月上涨2.16%,近三个月下跌1.02%,年 至今上涨0.75%。 据了解,中证沪港深行业指数系列将中证沪港深 ...
养殖业板块8月6日涨0.62%,华英农业领涨,主力资金净流入8083.74万元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-08-06 08:31
证券之星消息,8月6日养殖业板块较上一交易日上涨0.62%,华英农业领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3633.99,上涨0.45%。深证成指报收于11177.78,上涨0.64%。养殖业板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002321 | 华英农业 | 2.76 | 6.15% | 70.23万 | 1.90亿 | | 300761 | 立华股份 | 20.18 | 1.41% | 9.32万 | 1.86亿 | | 603477 | 巨星农牧 | 21.07 | 1.40% | - 16.03万 | 3.35亿 | | 605296 | 神农集团 | 32.28 | 1.35% | 4.30万 | 1.37亿 | | 002714 | 牧原股份 | 46.77 | 1.10% | 31.20万 | 14.55 乙 | | 300313 | *ST天山 | 8.89 | 0.91% | 10.80万 | 9674.29万 | | 000876 | 新希望 | 9.74 ...
牧原股份(002714) - 关于股东部分股权解除质押的公告
2025-08-06 08:30
| 证券代码:002714 | 证券简称:牧原股份 | 公告编号:2025-075 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码:127045 | 债券简称:牧原转债 | | 截至公告披露日,上述股东及其一致行动人所持质押股份情况如下: 单位:股 | 股东名称 | 持股数量 | 持股 | 本次业务办 理前质押股 | 本次业务办 | 占其所 | 占公司 | 已质押股份情况 已质押股份 | 占已质 | 未质押股份情况 未质押股 | 占未质 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 理后质押股 | 持股份 | 总股本 | | | | | | | | 比例 | 份数量 | 份数量 | 比例 | 比例 | 限售和冻结 | 押股份 | 份限售和 | 押股份 | | | | | | | | | 数量 | 比例 | 冻结数量 | 比例 | | 秦英林 | 2,086,287,906 | 38.19% | 14,500,000 | 0 | - | - | 0 | - | 0 | - | | 牧原集团 ...
反内卷带动周期行业上涨,自由现金流指数投资机会凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 05:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance of the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index and its related ETF, indicating a positive trend in both the index and the ETF, with the ETF achieving a 3.84% increase over the past month [1][2] - As of August 5, 2025, the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index has seen a 0.57% increase, with notable gains from constituent stocks such as Chuncheng Power (7.31%) and Tongli Co. (5.46%) [1] - The Free Cash Flow ETF has a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%, closely tracking the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index, which includes 100 high free cash flow rate listed companies [2] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index account for 57.53% of the index, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation and COSCO Shipping Holdings being the top two [2] - The Free Cash Flow ETF has shown a maximum monthly return of 4.04% since its inception, with an average monthly return of 2.20% and a monthly profit probability of 87.50% [1] - The ETF has experienced a maximum drawdown of 3.28% since inception, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.16% [1]
光大期货农产品日报-20250806
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-08-06 05:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Corn is expected to be volatile and weak. On Tuesday, corn's weighted contract positions increased, and the September contract gap - down led to an accelerated price decline. Spot trading weakened. With the approaching new - grain listing, the September positions are shifting to the November and January contracts, and the January contract continues to be weak under the pressure of a bumper harvest [2]. - Soybean meal is expected to rise. CBOT soybeans fell on Tuesday due to demand concerns. Domestically, soybean meal and rapeseed meal prices rose. Although domestic supply is still abundant and inventories are rising, the market expects the inventory peak to decline and the basis to gradually return. A long - position strategy is recommended for soybean meal, and positive spreads for 11 - 1 and 1 - 5 can be considered [2]. - Oils are expected to rise. BMD palm oil rose on Tuesday, supported by bargain - hunting and improved export expectations. Domestically, the three major oils are running strongly. A long - position strategy is recommended, along with selling put options [2]. - Eggs are expected to be volatile and weak. The main 2509 egg contract continued to decline on Tuesday, with a narrowing decline. The fundamental bearish pattern remains unchanged, and the market sentiment is still pessimistic [2]. - Hogs are expected to be in a range - bound state. The main 2509 hog contract fluctuated and adjusted on Tuesday. Currently, the supply side exerts pressure on hog prices, while policies provide support. Attention should be paid to short - term low - level buying opportunities [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Research Views - **Corn**: The futures price is falling, and the spot trading is weak. The price in North China is generally stable, and the price in the sales area is falling. Technically, the September contract has fallen below 2300 yuan, and the January contract is weak under the pressure of a bumper harvest [2]. - **Soybean Meal**: CBOT soybeans fell due to demand concerns. Domestically, the price of soybean meal rose, with sufficient supply and rising inventories, but the market expects the inventory peak to decline [2]. - **Oils**: BMD palm oil rose, while US soybean oil and Canadian canola fell. Domestically, the three major oils are strong, supported by a warm market atmosphere and slow procurement in the fourth quarter [2]. - **Eggs**: The main contract continued to decline, with a narrowing decline. The spot price is mostly stable in the production area and mostly falling in the sales area. The fundamental bearish pattern remains unchanged [2]. - **Hogs**: The main contract fluctuated and adjusted. The spot price is slightly adjusted, with sufficient supply and mediocre terminal demand. Policies support hog prices, and attention should be paid to short - term low - level buying opportunities [3]. Market Information - As of August 3, the EU's 2025/26 soybean imports were 970,000 tons, compared with 1.3 million tons in the same period of the previous year [3]. - US private exporters reported selling 128,000 tons of corn to unknown destinations for delivery in the 2025/2026 sales year [3]. - In July 2025, Muyuan sold 6.355 million commercial pigs, with a year - on - year change of 13.02%. The average sales price was 14.30 yuan/kg, with a year - on - year change of - 21.86%. The sales revenue was 11.639 billion yuan, with a year - on - year change of - 10.41% [4]. - EU officials stated that the 15% tariff on EU goods entering the US is all - inclusive, including the most - favored - nation tariff [4]. - Malaysia plans to increase the allocation for the palm oil replanting project to 1.4 billion ringgit (about $331 million) from 2026 to 2030 to speed up the national replanting process [4].