Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The expectation of the "anti-involution" policy has significantly increased, leading to a positive outlook for the industry [10] - The chemical industry is experiencing a valuation recovery, with notable price increases in products such as TDI and organic silicon, despite the price hikes being primarily driven by production accidents rather than the "anti-involution" policy [9][15] - The agricultural chemicals sector is seeing a continuous recovery in fundamentals and sentiment, with a focus on differentiated leading companies for future growth [15] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report recommends buying Wanhu Chemical (600309) and Wankai New Materials (301216) due to their benefits from the "anti-involution" policy and improvements in industry fundamentals. It also suggests holding Yangnong Chemical (600486) and buying Runfeng Co., Ltd. (301035) in the agricultural chemicals sector [4] Industry Trends - The report highlights that the chemical industry is witnessing a recovery in valuation, with significant price increases in products like TDI related to Wanhu Chemical and organic silicon products related to Xin'an Chemical and Hesheng Silicon Industry. The overall market sentiment is improving due to strong policy expectations [9][15] - The agricultural chemicals sector is gaining attention due to the local outbreak of the Chikungunya virus, which has increased demand for insecticides like pyrethroids, with Yangnong Chemical being a key player [15]

Investment Rating - The report recommends investment in the chemical industry, particularly in specific sectors such as bottle-grade PET and sucralose, highlighting potential for profit recovery under the "anti-involution" policy [2][3][5]. Core Insights - The chemical industry is experiencing significant price declines, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) showing a year-on-year decrease of 3.6% as of June, marking the lowest since August 2023 [1][9]. - The report emphasizes the need for "anti-involution" measures to enhance profitability across various chemical sub-industries, driven by increased R&D investment and a focus on high-quality development [1][21]. - The supply-side adjustments in multiple chemical sub-industries are expected to optimize the industry structure, with specific sectors like polyester filament and MDI showing promising demand trends [2][3]. Summary by Sections PPI and Industry Trends - The PPI for chemical raw materials and products has seen significant declines, necessitating "anti-involution" strategies to stabilize the industry [1][9]. - The ongoing construction projects in the chemical sector are projected to reach a total investment of 388.4 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 12.26% year-on-year increase [15]. Sub-Industry Analysis - **Polyester Filament**: The supply growth is expected to slow down due to "anti-involution" policies, which may improve profitability [2][34]. - **PC Industry**: The domestic PC industry is witnessing a shift towards import substitution, with limited new capacity expected in 2025 [3][45]. - **MDI**: The MDI sector is benefiting from strong domestic and international demand, with prices expected to remain favorable [4][55]. - **Bottle-grade PET**: This sector is crucial for beverage packaging, with a significant portion of production dedicated to food and drink applications [5][71]. - **Silicone**: The industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability as supply-demand balances improve [6][24]. - **Titanium Dioxide**: The industry is experiencing a slowdown in new capacity due to policy guidance and profit pressures [6][7]. - **Sucralose**: The demand is growing strongly, with new applications emerging [8][30]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors with substantial progress in "anti-involution," such as the bottle-grade PET industry, recommending Wan Kai New Materials as a key investment target [3][90]. - For the sucralose sector, Jin He Industrial is highlighted as a leading company to watch [3][90].

Group 1 - The report highlights a selection of convertible bonds for August, including leading companies in various sectors such as intelligent manufacturing, automotive semiconductors, natural gas, and pharmaceuticals [1][2][3] - The convertible bond market is experiencing a rise in valuations, with the median price of convertible bonds showing an upward trend, reaching historical highs [1][2][3] - The report suggests that investor risk appetite has increased, with a focus on sectors like coal, steel, and chemicals, indicating a potential for valuation recovery in these industries [2][3] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of AI and robotics in driving the growth of high-end manufacturing, recommending attention to convertible bonds from companies like Lingyi and Wentai [3][4] - There is a noted increase in overseas demand for computing power, which may accelerate the industrialization of AI, with a focus on convertible bonds from companies like Huanxu and Shenshu [3][4] - The second half of the year is expected to see a recovery in the new energy and automotive parts sectors, with recommendations to monitor convertible bonds from Huayou and Mikirin [3][4] Group 3 - Lingyi Technology is recognized as a global leader in intelligent manufacturing, providing comprehensive AI terminal hardware solutions and maintaining a leading market share in precision components [8][9] - Shenshu focuses on enterprise-level network security and cloud computing, offering a range of products and services aimed at facilitating digital transformation for various industries [10][11] - Wentai Technology is a leading player in the automotive semiconductor sector, with a strong emphasis on high-quality, automotive-grade products that meet stringent industry standards [33][34] Group 4 - Huayou Cobalt is involved in the development and manufacturing of new energy lithium battery materials, with a vertically integrated supply chain from resource extraction to material production [39][40] - Mikirin has established a global production layout in the tire industry, enhancing its competitiveness through strategic investments in smart manufacturing facilities [48][49] - Dacelin is a prominent retail chain in the pharmaceutical sector, focusing on providing quality health products through a well-established supply and logistics system [29][30]

Group 1 - The core material being developed is PEKC (Phenolphthalein-based Polyaryletherketone), which exhibits high strength, fatigue resistance, corrosion resistance, and thermal stability, making it suitable for applications in robotic structural components [1][2] - The "High-Performance Materials Joint Laboratory" established by the company is currently in the sample preparation and testing phase, with initial experimental data showing outstanding performance indicators for PEKC [1][3] - The development of PEKC is expected to significantly reduce manufacturing costs while enhancing the performance and durability of robots, facilitating a transition from traditional metal components to plastic alternatives [1][4] Group 2 - PEKC is recognized for its excellent properties across various fields, including water treatment, electronics, and aerospace, and is particularly advantageous for producing lightweight robotic components [2][3] - The material's promotion is anticipated to address issues associated with traditional metal parts, such as weight, energy consumption, and corrosion, thereby improving the dynamic performance and energy efficiency of robots in industrial applications [2][3] - The market for PEKC in China is projected to grow significantly, with the material being a key choice for next-generation industrial robots, driven by its unique performance advantages [3][4] Group 3 - The breakthrough in PEKC material signifies a shift towards industrialization of the "plastic instead of steel" technology, which is expected to revolutionize lightweight manufacturing in robotics and high-end manufacturing sectors [4] - As PEKC continues to be integrated into various applications, its potential will be further realized, positioning it as a cornerstone material for advancing China's manufacturing capabilities [4] - The ongoing research and development efforts by the company aim to optimize production processes and reduce material costs, accelerating the industrialization of PEKC [1][3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that policy changes are expected to drive medium to long-term recovery in the industry, with a continued positive outlook on resource sector performance exceeding expectations [2][9] - The petrochemical sector is anticipated to stabilize growth, with the retirement of outdated facilities likely to enhance industry recovery [9][17] - The report emphasizes the sustained optimism regarding the agricultural resource chain, particularly in the phosphate and potassium sectors, which are expected to maintain a relatively balanced supply-demand situation despite concerns over new capacity releases [9][17] Summary by Sections Price and Price Spread Changes - The report monitors 188 chemical products, noting that the top three price increases were for liquid chlorine (up 21.8%), TDI 80/20 (up 18.8%), and natural gas (up 6.3%), while the largest declines were for D4 (down 9.6%), butane (down 6.7%), and acrylic acid (down 5.0%) [14][18] - The top three price spreads that increased were PTA (up 1103.7%), TDI spread (up 30.1%), and acrylic acid butyl ester spread (up 25.6%), with the largest declines in styrene (down 36.5%), oil head propylene spread (down 36.1%), and polyethylene spread (down 20.8%) [19][18] Industry Recovery Expectations - There is a continuous expectation for industry bottom recovery, driven by policy changes and market dynamics [12] - The report indicates that the petrochemical sector has been in a prolonged low phase, and recent policy adjustments are likely to enhance market expectations for recovery [9][17] Agricultural Resource Sector Outlook - The agricultural resource sector, particularly phosphate and potassium, is expected to remain in a relatively tight supply-demand balance, with traditional agricultural needs and emerging demands contributing to this stability [9][17]

万凯新材（301216）7月22日在互动平台上表示，公司参与投资的灵心巧手Linker Hand系列灵巧手月订 单已突破千台，已广泛应用于科研实验、医疗辅助、工业自动化等多个领域，其营收暂不纳入公司合并 报表。公司全资子公司凯普奇成立了注塑事业部，将在持续推进材料改性的基础上，为灵心巧手"以塑 代钢"结构件提供从开模设计到精密生产的全流程支持，实现"材料配方优化—模具开发—注塑成型"的 一体化协同。 ...

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The global demand for polyester bottle chips is steadily increasing, with a CAGR of 6.2% from 2015 to 2024, growing from 20.04 million tons to 34.35 million tons [4][14] - The industry is entering the tail end of the current expansion cycle, with expectations for long-term improvement in profitability as the industry moves past its low point [5][37] - Recent industry-wide production cuts are expected to further enhance price recovery and improve profit margins [6][41] Summary by Sections Demand Side - The global demand for polyester bottle chips has shown a robust upward trend, with Asia-Pacific being the primary market [14][18] - In 2024, the demand for polyester bottle chips in China is projected to reach 8.62 million tons, with the soft drink market accounting for 65% of this demand [19][25] Supply Side - Domestic polyester bottle chip production capacity has increased significantly, from 33.35% of global capacity in 2021 to 47.94% in 2024, making China the world's largest producer [5][36] - The industry is currently experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, leading to a decline in profitability, but this is expected to improve as new capacity additions slow down [5][37] Price Dynamics - The price differential for polyester bottle chips is closely linked to supply and demand dynamics, with recent production cuts leading to a recovery in price differentials from 150-170 RMB/ton to over 400 RMB/ton [6][43] - The industry is anticipated to recover from its current low profitability as production capacity stabilizes and demand continues to grow [31][37] Investment Recommendations - It is recommended to focus on companies benefiting from the industry-wide production cuts and the anticipated recovery in profit margins, including Wan Kai New Materials, Sanfangxiang, and China Resources Materials [7][47]

| 证券代码：301216 | 证券简称：万凯新材 公告编号：2025-043 | | --- | --- | | 债券代码：123247 | 债券简称：万凯转债 | 万凯新材料股份有限公司 关于第一期员工持股计划锁定期届满的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 万凯新材料股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于 2024 年 1 月 12 日、 2024 年 1 月 29 日召开了第二届董事会第十次会议、2024 年第一次临时股东大会， 审议通过了《关于<万凯新材料股份有限公司第一期员工持股计划（草案）>及其 摘要的议案》、《关于<万凯新材料股份有限公司第一期员工持股计划管理办法> 的议案》等相关议案，同意公司实施第一期员工持股计划并授权董事会全权办理 相关事宜，具体内容详见公司于 2024 年 1 月 13 日、2024 年 1 月 30 日在巨潮资 讯网（http://www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的相关公告。 鉴于公司第一期员工持股计划锁定期将于 2025 年 7 月 19 日届满，根据《关 于上市公司实施员工持股计划试点 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, highlighting potential recovery in polyester and refining sectors [2][14]. Core Insights - The EIA has revised down its natural gas price forecasts due to rising inventories, with the third-quarter price expected at $3.37 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) and the fourth quarter at $3.99 MMBtu [2][3]. - U.S. natural gas inventories reached 30,060 billion cubic feet, significantly above the five-year average, indicating a clear accumulation trend [6]. - Oil prices have shown an upward trend, with Brent crude futures closing at $70.36 per barrel, reflecting a 3.02% increase week-over-week [18]. - The report anticipates a downward adjustment in oil prices due to widening supply-demand dynamics, although OPEC production cuts and shale oil cost support may maintain prices at mid-high levels [2][18]. Summary by Sections Natural Gas Market - The EIA has lowered its natural gas price forecasts for Q3 and Q4 2025, with average prices expected at $3.67 and $4.41 per MMBtu for 2025 and 2026, respectively [2][3]. - U.S. natural gas production reached 11.68 billion cubic feet per day in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.7 billion cubic feet per day [6]. - Solar power is increasingly substituting natural gas in electricity generation, with a projected 3% decline in gas-fired generation in 2025 [11]. Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices increased to $70.36 per barrel, while WTI prices rose to $68.45 per barrel, with weekly average prices showing gains of 2.34% and 2.44%, respectively [18]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories rose to 426 million barrels, with gasoline inventories decreasing to 229 million barrels [19]. - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. decreased to 537, down 2 from the previous week and 47 year-on-year [29]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products decreased to $13.70 per barrel, reflecting a decline of $0.31 per barrel week-over-week [50]. - The report notes that refining profitability is expected to improve as oil prices adjust downward, with domestic refining product margins still at low levels [48]. Polyester Sector - The report highlights a recovery expectation in the polyester sector, with improved profitability anticipated as supply-demand dynamics stabilize [14]. - Key companies to watch include Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, which are expected to benefit from this recovery [14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Sinopec, which are expected to benefit from improved competitive dynamics [14]. - It also suggests monitoring companies in the upstream exploration and production sector, particularly offshore oil service firms like CNOOC Services and Offshore Oil Engineering, which are projected to see performance improvements [14].

中证鹏元资信评估股份有限公司 中证鹏元公告【2025】336 号 中证鹏元关于关注万凯新材料股份有限公司部分生产装置 减产检修的公告 中证鹏元资信评估股份有限公司（以下简称"中证鹏元"）对万 凯新材料股份有限公司（以下简称"万凯新材"或"公司"，股票代 码：301216.SZ）及其发行的下述债券开展评级。除评级委托关系外， 中证鹏元及评级从业人员与公司不存在任何足以影响评级行为独立、 客观、公正的关联关系。 | 债券简称 | 上一次评级时间 | 上一次评级结果 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 主体等级 | 债项等级 | 评级展望 | | 万凯转债 | 2025-06-17 | AA | AA | 稳定 | 公司于 2025 年 7 月 4 日发布《关于部分生产装置减产检修的公 告》，公司根据整体行业现状及公司生产经营需要，计划从近日开始 有序调减 PET 生产计划，并在减产期间组织设备检修维护，以保证恢 复生产时设备能充分高效地满足各项生产要求。本次减产检修涉及 PET 产能 60 万吨，占公司总产能的 20%，后续具体复产安排将根据装 置检修进展以及市 ...