Gambol Pet (301498)
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周期不休,成长不止
HTSC· 2025-06-24 09:58
Group 1: Pig Farming Industry - The pig prices are expected to rebound unexpectedly in the second half of 2025 due to easing supply pressure and seasonal consumption peaks, with recommendations to focus on leading companies like Muyuan and Wens [1][2] - The average price of live pigs from the beginning of 2025 to June 16 is approximately 14.81 yuan/kg, showing a year-on-year decrease of about 4% [12][14] - Major pig farming companies have seen a reduction in breeding costs, with Muyuan's cost dropping to around 12.2 yuan/kg, indicating improved profitability potential [12][14] Group 2: Aquaculture and Feed Industry - The aquaculture feed industry is expected to benefit from rising fish prices, with a notable increase in grass carp prices by approximately 10% since March 2024 [37][39] - Haida Group is highlighted for its strong competitive advantages and potential for growth in both domestic and overseas feed markets, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 20% for overseas feed sales from 2025 to 2030 [38][39] - The domestic feed industry is anticipated to recover due to improved profitability in the pig farming sector and a rebound in aquaculture [37][38] Group 3: Pet Industry - The pet industry is experiencing significant growth driven by a younger demographic of pet owners, with 90s and 00s generation pet owners accounting for over 66.8% of the market by 2024 [45][47] - The average annual spending on pets in China is currently at 2419 yuan, indicating room for growth compared to international standards [46][47] - The market share of domestic pet brands is increasing, with the top five domestic brands reaching a combined market share of 13.9% in 2024, while foreign brands are declining [54][55] Group 4: Snack Retail Industry - The snack retail industry is transitioning towards a dual oligopoly structure, with leading brands like Mingming and Wancheng expected to capture significant market shares of 34% and 30% respectively by May 2025 [4][39] - The industry has substantial room for expansion, with an estimated ceiling of 67,000 stores, indicating a potential for 1.4 times current capacity [4][39] - The profitability of leading snack retail companies is projected to improve due to economies of scale and enhanced bargaining power with suppliers [4][39]
乖宝宠物(301498):618大促保持优势,看好未来竞争力持续提升
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-06-24 03:04
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 124 CNY, indicating a potential upside from the current price of 106.88 CNY [1][3]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong performance during the 618 shopping festival, with its brands ranking highly on major e-commerce platforms, suggesting a competitive edge in the pet food market [10]. - The company is expected to benefit from the expansion of its production capacity in Thailand, which will double its output and enhance its product offerings, thereby improving its gross margin [12]. - The financial forecasts indicate a steady increase in net profit and earnings per share (EPS) over the next few years, with net profits projected to reach 795 million CNY in 2025, 964 million CNY in 2026, and 1.147 billion CNY in 2027 [11][12]. Company Overview - The company operates in the food industry, specifically focusing on pet food, with a product mix that includes staple grains (51.30%) and snacks (47.35%) [4]. - As of June 23, 2025, the company's market capitalization is approximately 191.34 billion CNY, with a total of 400.04 million shares issued [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 267 million CNY in 2022, with projections of 429 million CNY in 2023 and 625 million CNY in 2024, reflecting significant year-on-year growth rates [11]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow from 0.74 CNY in 2022 to 1.99 CNY in 2025, indicating a robust growth trajectory [11]. Market Position - The company has established a strong market presence, with its brands achieving top rankings in various categories on e-commerce platforms, which is expected to enhance brand visibility and sales [10][12]. - The strategic focus on high-end product offerings and digital transformation is anticipated to further strengthen the company's competitive position in the pet food market [12].
农林牧渔行业2025年度中期策略:周期掘金,向新而行
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-06-18 07:46
Investment Strategy Overview - The report maintains an "outperform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3][5][6] Market Performance - From the beginning of 2025 to June 16, the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index achieved an absolute return of +12.81%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 14.5 percentage points [10][13] - The pet food sector has shown the highest growth, while the aquatic processing sector has also performed well [13][14] Swine Breeding Sector - The swine breeding industry is expected to enter a phase of simultaneous supply and demand growth in the second half of 2025, driven by a sufficient supply of piglets and an increase in domestic slaughtering due to reduced imports from the U.S. [15][30] - The number of breeding sows and total swine stock remains high, with a notable increase in piglet supply observed from January to April 2025 [18][30] - Major companies like Muyuan Foods have reported significant increases in piglet sales, indicating strong market dynamics [17][30] Animal Health Sector - The animal health market is experiencing steady growth, with a market size increase from 472.29 billion yuan in 2016 to 696.51 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 5.71% [35][36] - The introduction of new products and the expansion of demand are driving the growth of the animal health industry, particularly with the anticipated market expansion following the launch of African swine fever vaccines [41][48] Seed Industry - The seed industry is undergoing significant transformation, with a focus on the commercialization of biotechnology breeding, which is expected to enhance market concentration and profitability for related companies [4][16][19] - The regulatory environment is becoming clearer, and companies that have passed initial reviews are now obtaining operational licenses, positioning them to benefit from the industry's growth [4][19] Pet Food Sector - China's pet food market is projected to continue growing, driven by demographic changes and rising living standards, with the market size expected to expand significantly [5][23] - The domestic pet food industry is seeing a shift towards increased online sales and domestic product substitution, indicating a robust growth trajectory [5][23][26] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the sector, including Muyuan Foods, Pulaike, Qiule Seed Industry, Guai Bao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co., as they are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions and valuation recovery [5][32]
农林牧渔行业2025年中期投资策略:关注养殖周期底部回升,看景气赛道成长性变化
Dongguan Securities· 2025-06-17 09:20
Group 1 - The SW Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery industry rose by 5.02% from January to May 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 7.43 percentage points [13][14] - Most sub-sectors recorded positive returns, with only planting and fishery sectors showing negative returns of -1.58% and -0.07% respectively [14] - Approximately 70% of stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, with three stocks increasing over 100%, the highest being Yizhi Magic Yam at 209.66% [15] Group 2 - The overall PB of the SW Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery industry increased from a low of 2.31 times at the beginning of the year to 2.68 times, with a current PB of approximately 2.66 times as of June 13, 2025, reflecting a 15% recovery from the low [20] - The pig breeding sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in supply, with the number of breeding sows reaching 40.38 million heads by the end of April 2025, slightly above the normal holding capacity [21][23] - The average price of pigs as of June 13, 2025, was 14.04 yuan/kg, down 10.8% from the beginning of the year and 26.1% year-on-year, with expectations for a price rebound in Q4 2025 [27] Group 3 - The total feed production in China is expected to rebound in 2025 after a decline in 2024, with a total production of 49.2 million tons in the first two months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [54] - The average price of corn in China rose from approximately 2,122 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to over 2,400 yuan/ton, reflecting a 13.3% increase [56] - The pet health market is anticipated to grow rapidly, with significant expansion potential in the domestic market for pet food and supplies, benefiting quality domestic leaders [5][6]
乖宝宠物(301498) - 关于归还用于暂时补充流动资金的募集资金公告
2025-06-17 07:42
董 事 会 证券代码:301498 证券简称:乖宝宠物 公告编号:2025-026 乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司 关于归还用于暂时补充流动资金的募集资金公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容真实、准确和完整,没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")2024年10月23日召开了 第二届董事会第八次会议和第二届监事会第七次会议,审议通过《关于使用部分闲 置募集资金暂时补充流动资金的议案》,同意公司在不影响募集资金投资项目建设 和募集资金使用计划的前提下,本着遵循全体股东利益最大化的原则,使用不超过 人民币20,000.00万元的闲置募集资金暂时补充流动资金,使用期限自第二届董事 会第八次会议审议通过之日起不超过12个月,到期将归还至募集资金专户。具体内 容详见公司于2024年10月24日在巨潮资讯网披露的《关于使用部分闲置募集资金暂 时补充流动资金的公告》(公告编号2024-048)。根据上述决议,公司在规定期限 内实际使用闲置募集资金人民币20,000.00万元暂时补充流动资金。 公司已于2025年6月17日将上述用于暂时补充流动资金的部分闲置募集资金 3, ...
农林牧渔周观点:猪价震荡,降重出栏开始兑现,关注宠物食品5月线上销售数据-20250615
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-15 13:42
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [5][6][59]. Core Insights - The report highlights a reassessment of pig prices, with expectations for a potential upward adjustment in the second half of the year due to strong current prices and declining breeding costs. This creates opportunities for low-cost pig farming companies to realize profits [5][6]. - The pet food sector remains robust, with significant online sales growth, particularly during the "618" shopping festival, suggesting a positive outlook for leading brands [5][6]. - The chicken farming sector is experiencing price fluctuations, with a noted decline in chick prices during the off-season, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability for the industry [5][6]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - As of June 15, the average selling price of external three yuan pigs was 14.12 yuan/kg, up 1.5% week-on-week. However, profits for large-scale farms decreased to 68.27 yuan per head, down 53.15 yuan from the previous week [5][6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading pig farming companies for performance realization, particularly in light of the current strong pig prices and the slow recovery of production capacity [5][6]. Pet Food - In May 2025, online sales of pet food reached 3.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 35%. Cumulatively, sales from January to May totaled 12.26 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year [5][6]. - The report recommends focusing on leading companies such as Guai Bao Pet and Zhong Chong Co., which have shown significant growth in sales [5][6]. Chicken Farming - The average selling price of white feather broiler chicks was 2.43 yuan per chick, down 7.6% week-on-week. The price of broiler chickens remained stable at 3.58 yuan per jin, with chicken meat prices showing a downward trend [5][6]. - The report suggests that the supply pressure is easing, but the industry is still expected to operate around the breakeven point, highlighting the need to focus on leading companies for potential excess profits [5][6]. Animal Health - The report notes a recovery in the sales of veterinary vaccines, with a 23.02% year-on-year increase in the number of vaccine batches approved in Q1 2025. This recovery is driven by increased breeding stock and profitability in farming operations [5][6]. - Companies like Huirun Biological and KQ Biological are highlighted for their potential growth in the animal health sector, particularly with new vaccine varieties [5][6].
行业周报:CPI连续4月同比下行,政策多维发力提振2025H2猪价-20250615
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-15 12:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that after a rapid increase in pig slaughtering, pig prices have stabilized, with expectations of limited downward pressure in the short term. The overall supply of pigs is entering a contraction phase, leading to an upward trend in pig prices in Q3 2025 [4][13] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has shown a decline for four consecutive months, which may exert pressure on the CPI target for 2025. The report anticipates that policy measures will be implemented to support pig prices and mitigate their negative impact on CPI [5][21] - The investment logic for the pig industry is improving, with recommendations for companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others. The pet food sector is also highlighted for its growth potential, driven by domestic brands [6][33] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The average price of pigs in China as of June 13, 2025, is 14.02 yuan/kg, showing a week-on-week decrease of 0.05 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 4.73 yuan/kg. The report notes that the price has stabilized after a period of accelerated slaughtering [4][13] - The report discusses the impact of weather conditions, such as the "Bailu" typhoon and the rainy season in southern China, which have affected pig transportation and provided short-term support for prices [4][13] Market Performance - The agricultural sector outperformed the broader market by 1.87 percentage points during the week of June 9-13, 2025, with the agricultural index rising by 1.62% while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.25% [6][36] - The pet food sector led the gains, with individual stocks such as Yuanfei Pet (+12.41%), Xiaoming Co. (+7.33%), and Shennong Group (+6.64%) showing significant increases [6][36] Price Tracking - As of June 13, 2025, the average price of pigs is 14.02 yuan/kg, with a decrease of 0.28% from the previous week. The average price of piglets is 32.89 yuan/kg, down 4.69% week-on-week [49][60] - The report also notes that corn and soybean meal prices have increased, with corn futures settling at 2370.00 yuan/ton, up 1.46% week-on-week, and soybean meal futures at 3048.00 yuan/ton, up 1.91% [60][64]
乖宝宠物(301498) - 乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司股东询价转让结果报告书暨持股5%以上股东持有权益变动触及5%整数倍的提示性公告
2025-06-13 12:28
证券代码:301498 证券简称:乖宝宠物 公告编号:2025-025 乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司 股东询价转让结果报告书暨持股 5%以上股东持有权益变动触及 5%整数倍的提示性公告 股东 Golden Prosperity Investment S.A.R.L.保证向本公司提供的信息内容真 实、准确、完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 重要内容提示: 1、本次权益变动主体为持有乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司(以下简称"乖 宝宠物"或"公司")5%以上股份的股东 Golden Prosperity Investment S.A.R.L. (以下简称"出让方")。本次权益变动为集中竞价和大宗交易减持、询价转让, 本次权益变动后,出让方拥有权益的股份占公司总股本的比例由 19.0776%下降 至 14.0776%(以下简称"本次权益变动")。 2、出让方不属于乖宝宠物控股股东、实际控制人、董事、高级管理人员, 本次权益变动不会导致上市公司控股股东及实际控制人发生变化,不会对公司 治理结构及持续经营产生重大影响。 3、本次询价转让为非公开转 ...
乖宝宠物(301498) - 简式权益变动报告书
2025-06-13 12:28
上市公司名称:乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司 股票上市地点:深圳证券交易所 股票简称:乖宝宠物 股票代码:301498 乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司 简式权益变动报告书 信息披露义务人:Golden Prosperity Investment S.A.R.L. 住所及通讯地址:2, rue Edward Steichen, L - 2540 Luxembourg 股份变动性质:股份减少 简式权益变动报告书签署日期:2025 年 6 月 12 日 信息披露义务人声明 一、信息披露义务人依据《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称《" 证券法》")、 《上市公司收购管理办法》(以下简称"《收购办法》")、《公开发行证券的公司信 息披露内容与格式准则第 15 号——权益变动报告书》(以下简称"准则 15 号") 及相关的法律、法规编写本报告书。 二、信息披露义务人签署本报告书已获得必要的授权和批准,其履行亦不违 反信息披露义务人章程或内部规则中的任何条款,或与之相冲突。 三、依据《证券法》《收购办法》及准则 15 号的规定,本报告书已全面披露 了信息披露义务人在乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司中拥有权益的股份变动情 况。 截至 ...
乖宝宠物(301498) - 中信证券股份有限公司、中泰证券股份有限公司关于乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司股东向特定机构投资者询价转让股份的核查报告
2025-06-13 12:28
中信证券股份有限公司、中泰证券股份有限公司 关于乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司 股东向特定机构投资者询价转让股份的核查报告 深圳证券交易所: 中信证券股份有限公司(以下简称"中信证券")、中泰证券股份有限公司(以下简 称"中泰证券")(中信证券、中泰证券合并简称"组织券商")受委托担任 Golden Prosperity Investment S.A.R.L.(以下简称"转让方")以向特定机构投资者询价转让(以下简称"询 价转让")方式减持所持有的乖宝宠物食品集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司"或"乖 宝宠物")首次公开发行前已发行股份的组织券商。 经核查,中信证券、中泰证券就本次询价转让的股东、转让方是否符合《深圳证券 交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 16 号——创业板上市公司股东询价和配售方式转让股 份(2025 年修订)》(以下简称"《询价转让和配售指引》")要求,本次询价转让的询价、 转让过程与结果是否公平、公正,是否符合《询价转让和配售指引》的规定作出如下报 告说明。 一、本次询价转让概况 (一)本次询价转让转让方 截至 2025 年 6 月 5 日转让方所持公司首发前股份的数量及占公司总股本比例情况 如 ...