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公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.11.24-2025.11.28):全球风偏环比提升,债市回调后待情绪修复-20251201
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-12-01 11:33
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, the bond market performed poorly, with short - end volatility and long - end weakness affected by the warming of the equity market and the Vanke bond extension event. Credit bonds generally declined. However, the cost - performance of bond market allocation has increased, and there is limited room for a further significant increase in yields. It is recommended to use a band - trading strategy, appropriately extend the duration of interest - rate bonds while controlling the overall duration, or invest in liquid credit bonds and wait for the bond market sentiment to recover [3][9]. - The U.S. bond yields continued to decline last week. The market's expectation of a December interest - rate cut by the Fed increased due to weaker - than - expected retail sales data and dovish signals from Fed officials [10]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission released a draft for public comments on the pilot program of commercial real estate investment trust funds, indicating a new round of expansion in the REITs market [3][11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1. Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - **Domestic Bond Market**: Last week (2025.11.24 - 2025.11.28), the domestic bond market was sluggish. The 1 - year Treasury yield remained at 1.40%, the 10 - year yield rose 2.46BP to 1.84%, and the 30 - year yield rose 2.75BP to 2.19%. Credit bonds generally declined [3][9]. - **U.S. Bond Market**: Last week, U.S. bond yields continued to fall. The 1 - year yield dropped 1BP to 3.61%, the 2 - year yield dropped 4BP to 3.47%, and the 10 - year yield dropped 4BP to 4.02%. This was due to weaker - than - expected retail sales data and dovish signals from the Fed [10]. - **REITs Market**: Last week, the China Securities REITs Total Return Index slightly fell 0.08% to 1040.34 points. Most sectors declined, except for the data center and affordable housing sectors. In the primary market, 19 REITs have been successfully issued in 2025 as of November 28, 2025, and 3 new REITs made progress last week [10]. 3.1.2. Public Fund Market Dynamics - The China Securities Regulatory Commission issued a draft for public comments on the pilot program of commercial real estate investment trust funds to promote the high - quality development of the REITs market, enrich investment and financing tools, support the new real - estate development model, and serve the real economy [11]. 3.2. Pan - Fixed - Income Fund Index Performance Tracking | Index Classification | Last Week | Since Inception | | --- | --- | --- | | Currency Enhancement Index | +0.02% | +4.35% | | Short - Term Bond Fund Selection | 0.00% | +4.50% | | Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Selection | - 0.10% | +6.75% | | Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Selection | +0.02% | +4.25% | | Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Selection | +0.44% | +5.61% | | High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Selection | +0.38% | +7.29% | | Convertible Bond Fund Selection | +0.24% | +21.33% | | QDII Bond Fund Selection | +0.12% | +10.33% | | REITs Fund Selection | +0.74% | +33.22% | [4][12] 3.2.1. Currency Enhancement Index Tracking - **Currency Enhancement Strategy Index**: Aims at liquidity management, pursues a curve that exceeds money - market funds and rises smoothly. It mainly invests in money - market funds with good performance and inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds. The performance benchmark is the China Securities Money Fund Index [13]. 3.2.2. Pure Bond Index Tracking - **Short - Term Bond Fund Selection Index**: Focuses on liquidity management, pursues a smooth - rising curve while controlling drawdowns. It mainly invests in 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict drawdown control, and strong absolute - return ability. The performance benchmark is 50% Short - Term Pure Bond Fund Index + 50% Ordinary Money - Market Fund Index [17]. - **Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Selection Index**: Invests in medium - and long - term pure - bond funds to pursue stable returns while controlling drawdowns. It aims for excess returns compared to the medium - and long - term bond fund index and a smooth - rising net - value curve. It selects 5 funds, adjusts the duration according to market conditions, and balances coupon - based and band - trading strategies [19]. 3.2.3. Fixed - Income + Index Tracking - **Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index**: The equity center is set at 10%, and 10 funds are selected each period. It focuses on fixed - income + funds with an equity center (considering convertible bond and stock positions) within 15% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 10% CSI 800 Index + 90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index [21]. - **Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index**: The equity center is 20%, and 5 funds are selected each period. It selects fixed - income + funds with an equity center between 15% and 25% in the past three years and recently, emphasizing both risk - return ratio and performance elasticity. The performance benchmark is 20% CSI 800 Index + 80% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index [25]. - **High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Selection Index**: The equity center is 30%, and 5 funds are selected each period. It selects fixed - income + funds with an equity center between 25% and 35% in the past three years and recently, emphasizing risk - return ratio and performance elasticity. The performance benchmark is 30% CSI 800 Index + 70% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index [26]. 3.2.4. Convertible Bond Fund Selection Index - The index selects bond - type funds with an average convertible - bond investment ratio of at least 60% in the latest period and at least 80% in the past four quarters as the sample space. It evaluates funds from multiple dimensions and selects 5 funds based on market conditions [30]. 3.2.5. QDII Bond Fund Selection Index Tracking - The underlying assets of QDII bond funds are overseas bonds. The index selects 6 funds with stable returns and good risk control based on credit and duration conditions [33]. 3.2.6. REITs Fund Selection Index Tracking - The underlying assets of REITs are mainly high - quality, stable - operating infrastructure projects. The index selects 10 funds with stable operations, reasonable valuations, and some elasticity based on underlying asset types [34].
新股发行及今日交易提示-20251201
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-12-01 09:35
| 新股发行及今日交易提示 | 2025/12/1 | 星期一 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | https://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=605255&announcementId=12248320 | 要约收购 | 要约申报期:2025年11月20日至2025年12月19日 | 605255 | 天普股份 | 75&orgId=9900039799&announcementTime=2025 | -11-28 | | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=300589&announcementId=122482416 | 严重异常波动 | 300589 | 江龙船艇 | 2&orgId=9900030788&announcementTime=2025 | -11-24 | | | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stoc ...
公募基金权益指数跟踪周报(2025.11.24-2025.11.28):市场延续缩量,海外风险释放-20251201
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-12-01 08:44
2025 年 12 月 01 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 市场延续缩量,海外风险释放 公募基金权益指数跟踪周报(2025.11.24-2025.11.28) 分析师:王骅 分析师登记编码:S0890522090001 电话:021-20321067 邮箱:wanghua@cnhbstock.com 分析师:宋逸菲 分析师登记编码:S0890524080003 电话:021-20321087 邮箱:songyifei@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 相关研究报告 2025/12/1》2025-12-01 2、《美联储降息预期摇摆,国内债市 窄幅震荡—公募基金泛固收指数跟踪 周 报 ( 2025.11.17-2025.11.21 )》 2025-11-24 3、《市场共振避险升温,AI 叙事回归 基本面—公募基金权益指数跟踪周报 ( 2025.11.17-2025.11.21 )》 2025- 11-24 4 、《 ETF 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 — 2025/11/24》2025-11-24 5、《全球市场震荡因素增加,常青低 波策略优势显现 —公募基金量化遴 选 类 策 ...
ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20251201
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-12-01 06:54
hjn 2025 年 12 月 01 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 ETF 策略指数跟踪周报 2025/12/1 1、《美联储降息预期摇摆,国内债市窄幅 震荡—公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报 (2025.11.17-2025.11.21)》2025-11-24 2、《市场共振避险升温,AI 叙事回归基 本 面 — 公 募 基 金 权 益 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 (2025.11.17-2025.11.21)》2025-11-24 3 、《 ETF 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 — 2025/11/24》2025-11-24 4、《全球市场震荡因素增加,常青低波策 略优势显现 —公募基金量化遴选类策略 指数跟踪周报(2025.11.16)》2025-11-18 5、《美联储降息预期降温,国内债市延续 震荡 —公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报 (2025.11.10-2025.11.14)》2025-11-17 分析师:卫以诺 分析师登记编码:S0890518120001 电话:021-20321014 邮箱:weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890522110001 电话:021- ...
策略周报:缩量修复之后,市场如何布局?-20251130
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-11-30 12:12
2025 年 11 月 30 日 证券研究报告 | 策略周报 分析师登记编码:S0890524100002 电话:021-20321091 邮箱:liufang@cnhbstock.com 分析师:郝一凡 分析师登记编码:S0890524080002 电话:021-20321080 邮箱:haoyifan@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 1、《沪指 4000 点拉锯,把握红利与小 微盘—策略周报》2025-11-16 2、《市场热情仍高,风格或有所切换 — 策略周报》2025-11-02 3、《债市波段机会显现,股市风格切换 渐近—策略周报》2025-10-26 4、《关注重磅会议信号,风格切换或持 续 —策略周报》2025-10-19 5、《A 股震荡慢牛中延续,布局成长把 握轮动—策略周报》2025-09-14 缩量修复之后,市场如何布局? 策略周报 分析师:刘芳 投资要点 【债市方面】债市渐入配置区间,静候东风。12 月,债市仍可能受年底政 策预期差、资金面保持宽松、机构"抢跑"配置等因素支撑,不过在当前市场 环境下,机构止盈意愿较强,2025 年末的国债配置行情力度可能弱于往年, ...
新股发行及今日交易提示-20251128
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-11-28 08:16
New Stock Issuance - The new stock issued by Bai'ao Saitou (证券代码: 787796) is priced at 26.68 RMB per share[1] - Tianpu Co., Ltd. (证券代码: 605255) is undergoing a tender offer from November 20, 2025, to December 19, 2025[1] Market Alerts - Jianglong Shipbuilding (证券代码: 300589) has reported severe abnormal fluctuations in its stock price[1] - A total of 20 companies have been flagged for abnormal trading activities, indicating potential volatility in the market[2] Trading Information - The trading date for Bai'ao Saitou's new stock issuance is set for November 28, 2025[1] - Multiple companies, including Xinjing Road (证券代码: 000510) and Green Island Wind (证券代码: 301043), have recent announcements regarding their stock performance[1]
新股发行及今日交易提示-20251127
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-11-27 09:47
New Stock Listings - Nant Technology (920124) listed at an issue price of 8.66 on November 27, 2025[1] - Tianpu Co., Ltd. (605255) is in the offer period from November 20 to December 19, 2025[1] - Jianglong Shipbuilding (300589) and Huasheng Lithium Battery (688353) reported significant abnormal fluctuations[1] Abnormal Fluctuations - Multiple companies including ST Wanfang (000638) and ST Dongyi (002713) have reported abnormal trading activities[2] - Companies such as ST Suwu (600200) and ST Yanshan (000608) are also under scrutiny for unusual market behavior[3]
银行理财周度跟踪(2025.11.17-2025.11.23):理财子抢筹摊余债基,AI重塑理财生态-20251126
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-11-26 11:42
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The industry is experiencing a shift in the main holders of amortized cost bond funds from banks to wealth management companies, which are increasingly viewing these funds as tools for reducing volatility in a low-interest and high-volatility environment [3][11][12] - The application of AI in the industry has progressed from initial human-machine interaction to a collaborative phase, with AI becoming a core component of business operations [3][17] - The report highlights the launch of a global commodity integration strategy index by a wealth management company, aiming to capture diverse returns through systematic allocation across various commodity strategies [4][18][19] Summary by Sections Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - The concentrated opening period for amortized cost bond funds is expected in Q4 2025 to Q1 2026, with a total opening scale exceeding 480 billion [11][10] - The transition of holders from banks to wealth management companies is driven by market changes and regulatory policies, leading to a shift in the underlying assets of these funds from government bonds to credit bonds [12][13] Peer Innovation Dynamics - A wealth management company has introduced a global commodity integration strategy index, which utilizes quantitative models for dynamic rebalancing to capture diverse risk factors in different market environments [18][19] - A partnership between a regional equity trading center and a wealth management company has successfully completed the first fund share transfer, marking a significant step for wealth management funds to enter the private equity investment field [20] Yield Performance - Cash management products recorded a 7-day annualized yield of 1.27%, a decrease of 2 basis points, while money market funds remained stable at 1.17% [21][23] - The bond market is currently experiencing a narrow fluctuation pattern, influenced by various factors including Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and market concerns regarding AI [24][25] Net Value Tracking - The net value ratio of bank wealth management products increased to 1.16%, up 0.43 percentage points, indicating a potential upward pressure on the net value ratio if credit spreads continue to widen [28][30]
新股发行及今日交易提示-20251126
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-11-26 09:41
Group 1: New Stock Offerings - Tianpu Co., Ltd. (605255) is undergoing a tender offer from November 20, 2025, to December 19, 2025[1] - Pingao Co., Ltd. (688227) has announced its latest updates on November 26, 2025[1] - Jianglong Shipbuilding (300589) released an announcement on November 24, 2025[1] Group 2: Significant Market Fluctuations - Huasheng Lithium Battery (688353) reported severe abnormal fluctuations on November 15, 2025[1] - HeFu China (603122) experienced significant market activity on November 13, 2025[1] - ST Keli Da (603828) had notable trading changes on November 12, 2025[1] Group 3: Recent Announcements - Guosheng Technology (603778) issued a notice on November 26, 2025[1] - ST Dongyi (002713) provided updates on November 26, 2025[1] - Jinfu Technology (003018) announced its latest developments on November 26, 2025[1]
ETF及指数产品网格策略周报-20251125
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-11-25 09:06
2025 年 11 月 25 日 证券研究报告 | 财富生态周报 ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报 2025/11/25 分析师:卫以诺 分析师登记编码:S0890518120001 电话:021-20321014 邮箱:weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890522110001 电话:021-20321297 邮箱:chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 分析师:薛婧怡 分析师登记编码:S0890525070001 电话:021-20321092 邮箱:xuejingyi@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 1、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/11/18》2025-11-18 2、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/11/11》2025-11-11 3、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/11/5》2025-11-05 4、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/10/28》2025-10-28 5、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/10/21》2025-10-21 投资要点 分析师:程秉哲 ◆ ...