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基金配置策略报告(2026年1月期):权益市场多点开花,建议关注景气主线-20260114
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-14 10:44
2026 年 01 月 14 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金月报 权益市场多点开花,建议关注景气主线 基金配置策略报告(2026 年 1 月期) 分析师:孙书娜 分析师登记编码:S0890523070001 电话:021-20321306 邮箱:sunshuna@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890522090001 电话:021-20321067 邮箱:wanghua@cnhbstock.com 邮箱:zhangqiwei@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 2025-12-10 2、《"空窗期"将至,震荡行情中需攻 守兼备—基金配置策略报告(2025 年 11 月期)》2025-11-11 格切换—基金配置策略报告(2025 年 10 月期)》2025-10-21 4、《关注景气线索,多元配置防御风 险—基金配置策略报告(2025 年 9 月 期)》2025-09-10 5、《"反内卷"推升权益风险偏好—基 金配置策略报告(2025 年 8 月期)》 2025-08-12 投资要点 分析师:王骅 近期市场回顾:2025 年 12 月,权益市场方面,主要指数 12 月均收 ...
ETF及指数产品网格策略周报-20260114
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-14 10:07
2026 年 01 月 14 日 证券研究报告 | 财富生态周报 ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报 2026/1/14 分析师:卫以诺 分析师登记编码:S0890518120001 电话:021-20321014 邮箱:weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890522110001 电话:021-20321297 邮箱:chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 分析师:薛婧怡 021-20515355 分析师登记编码:S0890525070001 电话:021-20321092 邮箱:xuejingyi@cnhbstock.com 1、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2026/1/6》2026-01-06 2、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/30》2025-12-30 3、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/23》2025-12-23 4、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/17》2025-12-17 5、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/9》2025-12-09 投资要点 分析师:程秉哲 ◆网格交 ...
公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2026.01.11):权益市场“开门红”,把握节奏布局机会-20260113
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-13 10:24
2026 年 01 月 13 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 权益市场"开门红" ,把握节奏布局机会 公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2026.01.11) 分析师:李亭函 分析师登记编码:S0890519080001 电话:021-20321017 邮箱:litinghan@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890524110001 电话:021-20321391 邮箱:huanghao@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 1、《权益市场交投活跃,顺势而为避免 追 高 — 公 募 基 金 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 ( 2026.01.05-2026.01.09 )》 2026-01- 12 2 、《 ETF 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 — 2026/1/12》2026-01-12 3、《策略指数持续表现稳健,积极布局 2026 —公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟 踪周报(2026.01.04)》2026-01-06 4、《跨年行情延续,期待春季躁动—公 募 基 金 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 ( 2025.12.29- 2025.12.31)》2026-01-05 5 、《 ...
公募基金指数跟踪周报(2026.01.05-2026.01.09):权益市场交投活跃,顺势而为避免追高-20260112
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-12 10:43
权益市场交投活跃,顺势而为避免追高 公募基金指数跟踪周报(2026.01.05-2026.01.09) 分析师:孙书娜 分析师登记编码:S0890523070001 电话:021-20321306 邮箱:sunshuna@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890522090001 电话:021-20321067 邮箱:wanghua@cnhbstock.com 研究助理:张琦炜 销售服务电话: 021-20515355 2025/12/29》2025-12-29 2026 年 01 月 12 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 投资要点 分析师:王骅 权益市场回顾与展望:开年第一周(2026.01.05-2026.01.09)A 股市场延续 上行趋势,上证指数实现 16 连阳成功站上 4100 点,主要宽基指数周内普遍上 涨并先后创下阶段新高。市场交投维持高位活跃度,周五成交额重回 3 万亿峰 值,同时两融规模也突破 2.6 万亿,再创历史新高。市场之所以如此火爆,更 多由自下而上的成长主题集中驱动,具体看,AI 应用、商业航天、脑机接口等 科技成长题材轮动表现,中小盘风格显著占优。 邮箱:zh ...
ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20260112
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-12 07:13
hjn 2026 年 01 月 12 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 分析师:卫以诺 分析师登记编码:S0890518120001 电话:021-20321014 邮箱:weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com ETF 策略指数跟踪周报 2026/1/12 分析师登记编码:S0890522110001 电话:021-20321297 邮箱:chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 邮箱:zhangjunrui@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 华宝研究量化平衡术 ETF 策略指数:华宝研究量化平衡术 ETF 策略指数采用 多因子体系,囊括经济基本面、流动性、技术面和投资者行为四大类因子,构 建量化择时系统,对权益市场进行趋势研判。对市场大小盘风格建立预测模型, 以调整权益市场仓位分布。综合择时和轮动获取相对市场的超额收益。截至 2026/1/9,2024 年以来超额收益为-12.27%,近一月超额收益为-1.07%,近一 周超额收益为-1.06%。 华宝研究热点跟踪 ETF 策略指数:华宝研究热点跟踪 ETF 策略指数根据市场 情绪分析、行业重大事件跟踪、投资者情绪和专 ...
公募销售新规正式落地,理财子深化推进新直联系统上线
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-07 08:39
2026 年 01 月 07 日 证券研究报告|银行理财周报 公募销售新规正式落地,理财子深化推进新直联系统 上线 银行理财周度跟踪(2025.12.29-2026.1.4) 分析师:蔡梦苑 分析师登记编码:S0890521120001 电话:021-20321004 邮箱:caimengyuan@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890525040001 电话:021-20321070 邮箱:zhoujiahui@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话: 021-20515355 1、《信披统一框架正式落地,苏银理财深 耕持有型不动产 ABS 实践—银行理财周 度 跟 踪 ( 2025.12.22-2025.12.28 )》 2025-12-31 创债 ETF 质押式回购交易落地—银行理 财周度跟踪(2025.12.15-2025.12.21)》 2025-12-24 3、《利率风险管理迎重要突破,理财打新 再 添 硕 果 — 银 行 理 财 周 度 跟 踪 (2025.12.8-2025.12.14)》2025-12-17 4、《指数型理财迎爆发增长,第三方估值 引 行 业 热 议 — 银 ...
公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2026.01.04):策略指数持续表现稳健,积极布局2026-20260106
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-06 12:01
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the equity market showed an upward trend with significant fluctuations. The CSI All-Share Index recorded a 24.60% annual return, and the Shanghai Composite Index climbed to around 4000 points. The Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy maintained low volatility and achieved nearly 15% return, while the Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy was limited by balanced fund selection but could still optimize the risk-return ratio. The Overseas Equity Allocation Strategy recorded a 13.98% return [3]. - The quantitative strategy allocation preference is Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy > Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy > Overseas Equity Strategy. The report is optimistic about A-share investment opportunities, suggesting active short - term layout. The Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy can be used as a base position, and the Overseas Equity Strategy still has some allocation value but with more risk points [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Quantified Strategy Allocation Viewpoints - A-shares: The report is bullish on A-share investment opportunities. The Shanghai Composite Index has exceeded 4000 points, and the trading volume has increased in 2026. The market is expected to break through further in the spring offensive. The Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy is more attractive, and the Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy can be used as a base position [4]. - Overseas market: After recovering from the tariff shock, the upward momentum of the overseas market has weakened and differences have increased. Although there is still some allocation value in the short term, there are many risk points, and the overall cost - effectiveness is slightly lower than that of A-share strategy combinations [4]. 3.2 Performance of Equity Fund Strategy Indexes - Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Strategy Index: This week's return was -0.705% with an excess return of 0.283%. The one - month return was 0.717% with an excess return of -1.293% [5]. - Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Strategy Index: This week's return was -0.229% with an excess return of 0.759%. The one - month return was 2.294% with an excess return of 0.284% [5]. - Cash Enhancement Fund Strategy Index: This week's return was 0.019%, outperforming the CSI Money Fund Index with a cumulative excess return of 0.569% since the strategy's operation [5]. - Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Strategy Index: This week's return was -0.137% with an excess return of 0.186%. The one - month return was 1.834% with an excess return of -1.417% [5]. 3.3 Tool - based Fund Portfolio Performance Tracking - Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Portfolio: It has maintained low volatility and small drawdowns, significantly outperforming the CSI Active Equity Fund Index. It has both defensive and offensive characteristics [13]. - Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio: Since the strategy has been running for a short time, its performance is similar to that of the CSI Active Equity Fund Index. It is expected to have stronger elasticity in an improved market environment [16]. - Cash Enhancement Fund Portfolio: After double screening, it has continuously outperformed the benchmark, with a cumulative excess return of over 0.41% since July 2023 [17]. - Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio: Since July 2023, in the context of the Fed's interest - rate cut cycle and the boost of AI technology, it has accumulated high - level excess returns, which can thicken the return of the equity investment portfolio [20]. 3.4 Tool - based Fund Portfolio Construction Ideas - Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Portfolio: It aims to select funds with long - term stable returns in high - equity - position actively managed funds. By adding restrictions on fund valuation levels, it constructs a low - volatility active equity fund portfolio from the perspectives of net value performance and position characteristics [22][25]. - Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio: It aims to meet the needs of equity fund investors with different risk preferences. By analyzing the source of fund returns and constructing a portfolio based on the significant continuity of Alpha returns, it is expected to bring excess performance [23][26]. - Cash Enhancement Fund Portfolio: By constructing a money fund screening system, it helps investors select money funds with better returns, optimize the income of short - term idle funds, and reduce income volatility risks [23][27]. - Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio: Based on long - and short - term technical indicators and comprehensive index momentum and reversal effects, it selects QDII equity funds corresponding to overseas equity indexes to build a portfolio, meeting the needs of global allocation [24][28].
ETF及指数产品网格策略周报-20260106
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-06 08:53
分析师:卫以诺 分析师登记编码:S0890518120001 电话:021-20321014 邮箱:weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com 2026 年 01 月 06 日 证券研究报告 | 财富生态周报 ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报 2026/1/6 分析师登记编码:S0890522110001 电话:021-20321297 邮箱:chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 分析师:薛婧怡 分析师登记编码:S0890525070001 电话:021-20321092 邮箱:xuejingyi@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 2025/12/30》2025-12-30 2、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/23》2025-12-23 3、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/17》2025-12-17 4、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/9》2025-12-09 5、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/12/2》2025-12-02 投资要点 分析师:程秉哲 ◆网格交易策略概述:简单来说,"网格交易"本质上 ...
跨年行情延续,期待春季躁动
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-05 12:12
2026 年 01 月 05 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 跨年行情延续,期待春季躁动 公募基金指数跟踪周报(2025.12.29-2025.12.31) 分析师:孙书娜 分析师登记编码:S0890523070001 电话:021-20321306 邮箱:sunshuna@cnhbstock.com 分析师:王骅 分析师登记编码:S0890522090001 电话:021-20321067 邮箱:wanghua@cnhbstock.com 研究助理:张琦炜 邮箱:zhangqiwei@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话: 021-20515355 1 、 《 ETF 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 — 2026/1/5》2026-01-05 2、《"春季躁动"抢跑,成长和周 期 占 优 — 公 募 基 金 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 (2025.12.22-2025.12.26)》2025- 12-29 2025/12/29》2025-12-29 4、《情绪持续修复,仍偏震荡思 (2025.12.15-2025.12.19)》2025- 12-22 局 — 公 募 基 金 权 益 指 数 跟 踪 周 ...
ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20260105
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2026-01-05 07:46
Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings - No investment ratings for the industry are provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents several ETF strategy indices constructed with the help of ETFs, aiming to convert quantitative models or subjective views into practical investment strategies. It tracks the performance and positions of these indices on a weekly basis [12]. 3. Summary by Index 3.1 ETF Strategy Index Tracking - **Performance Last Week**: - **Huabao Research Large - Small Cap Rotation ETF Strategy Index**: Returned -0.59% last week, with a benchmark (CSI 800) return of -0.40% and an excess return of -0.18% [13]. - **Huabao Research Quantitative Windmill ETF Strategy Index**: Returned -0.49% last week, with a benchmark (CSI 800) return of -0.40% and an excess return of -0.09% [13]. - **Huabao Research Quantitative Balance Technique ETF Strategy Index**: Returned -0.28% last week, with a benchmark (CSI 300) return of -0.59% and an excess return of 0.31% [13]. - **Huabao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index**: Returned -1.08% last week, with a benchmark (CSI 800) return of -0.40% and an excess return of -0.68% [13]. - **Huabao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index**: Returned -0.68% last week, with a benchmark (CSI All - Share) return of -0.32% and an excess return of -0.35% [13]. - **Huabao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index**: Returned -0.17% last week, with a benchmark (ChinaBond Aggregate Index) return of -0.20% and an excess return of 0.03% [13]. 3.2 Huabao Research Large - Small Cap Rotation ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Uses multi - dimensional technical indicator factors and a machine - learning model to predict the return difference between the Shenwan Large - Cap Index and the Shenwan Small - Cap Index. It outputs weekly signals to determine positions and obtain excess returns [4]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/12/31, the excess return since 2024 was 19.34%, the excess return in the past month was -0.98%, and the excess return last week was -0.18%. The current position is 100% in the SSE 50 ETF (510300.SH) [4][14][18]. 3.3 Huabao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Uses price - volume indicators to time self - built Barra factors and maps timing signals to ETFs based on their exposure to 9 major Barra factors to outperform the market. It selects mainstream broad - based index ETFs and some style and strategy ETFs [4]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/12/31, the excess return since 2024 was 21.34%, the excess return in the past month was -3.08%, and the excess return last week was -0.68%. The positions include Tianhong ChiNext 300ETF (159836.SZ) with 25.01%, ChiNext Large - Cap ETF (159814.SZ) with 25.01%, E Fund ChiNext ETF (159915.SZ) with 25.00%, and Wanjia ChiNext Composite ETF (159541.SZ) with 24.98% [4][18][22]. 3.4 Huabao Research Quantitative Windmill ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Adopts a multi - factor approach, including grasping medium - and long - term fundamental dimensions, tracking short - term market trends, and analyzing the behavior of various market participants. It uses valuation and crowding signals to indicate industry risks and multi - dimensionally digs potential sectors for excess returns [5]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/12/31, the excess return since 2024 was 38.33%, the excess return in the past month was 2.15%, and the excess return last week was -0.09%. The positions include Chemical ETF (159870.SZ) with 20.94%, E Fund Securities and Insurance ETF (512070.SH) with 20.47%, Oil and Gas ETF (159697.SZ) with 19.77%, Steel ETF (515210.SH) with 19.48%, and New Energy ETF (516160.SH) with 19.34% [5][22][26]. 3.5 Huabao Research Quantitative Balance Technique ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Employs a multi - factor system covering economic fundamentals, liquidity, technical aspects, and investor behavior to build a quantitative timing system for equity market trend judgment. It also builds a prediction model for market large - and small - cap styles to adjust equity market position distribution and obtain excess returns through timing and rotation [5]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/12/31, the excess return since 2024 was -10.66%, the excess return in the past month was -0.66%, and the excess return last week was 0.31%. The positions include 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF (511260.SH) with 9.20%, Enhanced 500ETF (159610.SZ) with 6.15%, CSI 1000ETF (512100.SH) with 6.00%, 300 Enhanced ETF (561300.SH) with 32.86%, Short - Term Financing ETF (511360.SH) with 22.90%, and Government Bond ETF (511520.SH) with 22.88% [5][26][29]. 3.6 Huabao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Tracks and mines hot - spot index target products in a timely manner based on strategies such as market sentiment analysis, industry major event tracking, investor sentiment and professional opinions, policy and regulatory changes, and historical deductions. It constructs an ETF portfolio to capture market hot spots and provides short - term market trend references for investors [6]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/12/31, the excess return in the past month was -2.40%, and the excess return last week was -0.35%. The positions include Non - Ferrous Metals 50ETF (159652.SZ) with 39.28%, Bosera Hong Kong Stock Dividend ETF (513690.SH) with 23.20%, E Fund Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical ETF (513200.SH) with 18.96%, and Short - Term Financing ETF (511360.SH) with 18.56% [6][29][32]. 3.7 Huabao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index - **Strategy**: Uses bond market liquidity and price - volume indicators to select effective timing factors and predicts bond yields through machine - learning methods. When the expected yield is below a certain threshold, it reduces the long - duration positions in the bond investment portfolio to improve long - term returns and control drawdowns [6]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/12/31, the excess return in the past month was 0.15%, and the excess return last week was 0.03%. The positions include 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF (511260.SH) with 50.01%, 5 - to 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF (511020.SH) with 25.00%, and Government Bond ETF (511520.SH) with 24.99% [6][32][35].